Red Flag Warning 17, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
923 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2008

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENT...COOL FRONT HAS CLEARED THE SRN CWA THIS EVENING. WEAK HIGH
PRES CTR OVER THE NRN GOMEX IS EDGING EWD TWD THE STATE. AREAS OF SC
LINGERING ACROSS NRN HALD CWA ARE THE RESULT OF LATE DAY SEA BREEZE
INTERACTION. EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO THIN AND DISSIPATE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE HRS. OTRW...CLR TO MCLR ELSEWHERE... WITH TEMPS FALLING
INTO THE L60S AREAWIDE. LINGERING ONSHORE FLOW NOTED IN METARS OVER
THE CTRL/NERN CWA OWING TO RESIDUAL ECSB CIRC WITH LIGHT NWRLY FLOW
ELSEWHERE.

FCST...OTHER THAN SOME TWEAKS TO SKY COVER...NOSIG CHGS ANTICIPATED
TO THE GRIDS/TEXT. MIN TEMPS SHOULD BE MAINLY IN THE L-M50S...SAVE
FOR U40S ACROSS THE INTR NW AND U50S OVER THE COASTAL SE. EXPECT
WINDS TO GO LIGHT/CALM AS SFC HIGH PRES CTR SLIDES TWD FL.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR. RESIDUAL BKN CIGS @ FL050-070 ACROSS THE NORTH
SHOULD GIVE WAY TO SKC BY 03Z OR SO.

&&

.MARINE...NO CHGS WITH NERLY FLOW 10KT BACKING TO N-NW OVERNIGHT.
SEAS 2-3FT NR SHORE AND 3-4FT OFFSHORE.

(PREV) PLEASANT BOATING CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY. LOW PRES
MOVING ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC STATES ON
SATURDAY WILL INCREASE WINDS ESPECIALLY OVER THE OUTER WATERS. A
BACKDOOR FRONT IS FORECAST TO PRODUCE A NORTH SURGE AROUND SUNDAY
AND HEADLINES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR INCREASED WINDS AND SEAS SUNDAY
AND INTO TUESDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...(PREV) KEPT FIRE WEATHER WATCH GOING FOR NORTHERN
INTERIOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON SINCE RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP
BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR MARGINAL DURATIONS. WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY
LIGHT AND DURATIONS LOOK MARGINAL SO HAVE OPTED TO LET MID SHIFT
ASSESS NEXT RUN BEFORE UPGRADING. RH VALUES MAY APPROACH 35 PERCENT
FOR A BRIEF DURATION INTERIOR SECTIONS ON FRIDAY. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE RELATIVELY LIGHT ON FRI.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR INLAND VOLUSIA-
     NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE.

AM...NONE.

&&

CRISTALDI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
433 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2008

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-122100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
433 AM EDT WED MAR 12 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
THE INTERACTION OF SYNOPTIC SCALE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND A WEAK
SEA BREEZE TRYING TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SAINT LUCIE AND MARTIN
COUNTY COAST WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED LIGHTNING
STORMS EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 95 AND TURNPIKE BETWEEN FORT PIERCE
AND JUPITER INLETS THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY WEATHER THREATS WILL
BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AS
THESE STORMS TRACK EASTWARD INTO THE COAST.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL EXIST THIS AFTERNOON AT EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA BEACHES DUE TO ONSHORE WINDS AND 2 TO 3 FOOT LONG
PERIOD EASTERLY SWELLS. THE THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS WILL BE
GREATEST DURING THE OUTGOING TIDE IN THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. IF
CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT... SWIM PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF
THE THE PULL OF THE CURRENT THEN SWIM BACK TO SHORE.

...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
STORMS TRACKING OFF THE MAINLAND AND INTO THE NEARSHORE WATERS
BETWEEN FORT PIERCE AND JUPITER INLETS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AS THEY INITIALLY COME OFF LAND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
EASTERLY SWELLS WILL RAISE THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

WIMMER