Red Flag Warning 1, NWS Melbourne, FL

000 
WWUS82 KMLB 021106
RFWMLB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
606 AM EST WED JAN 2 2008

FLZ044-144-022200-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.A.0001.080103T1600Z-080103T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0001.080102T1600Z-080102T2200Z/
NORTHERN LAKE-SOUTHERN LAKE-
606 AM EST WED JAN 2 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

DESPITE MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...A VERY DRY AIRMASS AND
GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE A FIRE SENSITIVE DAY
ACROSS ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY WITH CRITICAL RH
DURATIONS EXCEEDING 4 HOURS.

CONDITIONS MAY APPROACH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FOR RH AND WIND AGAIN
THURSDAY.

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...A
COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS...ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS...LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OR A
COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS...ARE
POSSIBLE BETWEEN 24 AND 72 HOURS.

$$

FLZ041-045>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-147-022200-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0001.080102T1600Z-080102T2200Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-OSCEOLA-
INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
606 AM EST WED JAN 2 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

DESPITE MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...A VERY DRY AIRMASS AND
GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE A FIRE SENSITIVE DAY
ACROSS ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY WITH CRITICAL RH
DURATIONS EXCEEDING 4 HOURS.

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...A
COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS...ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

$$

KELLY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
942 AM EST TUE JAN 1 2008

.DISCUSSION...

...STRONG COLD FRONT TO BRING COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY WITH FREEZING TEMPERATURES MANY LOCATIONS...

...QUICK WARM UP WILL MODERATE TEMPS AT OR ABOVE NORMAL THIS
WEEKEND...

BAND OF PREFRONTAL SHOWERS CONTINUES TO SHIFT SOUTHWARD THIS MORNING
AS WIND SHIFT LINE SLIDES SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE PENINSULA. MAY
ADJUST MENTIONABLE POP AREA SOUTH FOR THIS AFTERNOON. WILL CONTINUE
A LOW POP SOUTH INTO THE AFTERNOON...BUT SHOWERS ENDING AND CLOUDS
DECREASING FROM N TO S AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. NORTHERN
SECTIONS ALREADY BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. MAIN SURGE OF COLD AIR STILL
WELL TO THE NORTH...SO THE DAYTIME HOURS SHOULD SEE HIGH TEMPS
REACHING PLEASANT READINGS IN THE 70S BEFORE THE COLD AIR BEGINS TO
INVADE LATE IN THE DAY. WILL ASSESS 12Z RUNS AS THEY ARRIVE AND
DECIDE ON UPGRADING FREEZE WATCH AREA BY MIDDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...AREAS FROM KLEE-KDAB NORTHWARD HAVE ALREADY BECOME VFR
AND VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHWARD TO AROUND KMCO-KTTS
BY 16-17Z. AREAS OF MVFR/LCL IFR WITH SHOWERS/LOW CIGS WILL CONTINUE
SOUTH HALF INTO THE AFTN HOURS. IMPROVEMENT WILL OCCUR N-S THROUGH
THESE AREAS AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES.

&&

.MARINE...CURRENT ADVISORIES STILL ON TRACK WITH SCA BEGINNING FOR
NORTHERN SECTIONS 15Z...EXPANDING TO ALL AREAS WITH GALE WARNING
OFFSHORE LEGS TONIGHT. NO SIG CHANGES PLANNED WITH MORNING CWF.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...(PREVIOUS DISCUSSION)A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SPREAD
SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE DAY. DEPENDING ON AMOUNT OF DRY AIR
IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT...ONE TO THREE HOURS OF RH VALUES
AROUND 35% MAY BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTH INTERIOR DURING THE LATE
AFTN HOURS...AND WINDS COULD ALSO REACH TO AROUND 15 MPH.

ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE MUCH BELOW NORMAL...STRONG AND
GUSTY NORTH NORTHWEST WINDS AND VERY DRY AIR WILL MAKE WEDNESDAY A
VERY FIRE SENSITIVE DAY. FIRE WEATHER WATCH CONTINUES BUT WILL
LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING EITHER LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES AND DEW POINT READINGS ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO
MODERATE BACK UPWARD THU-FRI...BUT WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE
INTERIOR ON THU FOR POSSIBLE DEW POINTS BELOW MOS GUIDANCE AND
RH VALUES APPROACHING CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.

&&

.CLIMATE...RECORD LOWS FOR WED AND THU MORNINGS:

       JAN 2            JAN 3

MCO  35     1980      28     1979
MLB  33     1949      33     1962
DAB  31     1949      28     1979
VRB  36     1949      30     1979

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
     FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-
     OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-ST.
     LUCIE.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-
     MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-
     OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR COASTAL
     VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-
     NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN
     BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR
     INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE.

     HARD FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-SOUTHERN LAKE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY
     FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY
     FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET
     OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
     TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM EST FRIDAY FOR
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER
     INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     GALE WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
     WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20
     TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER
     INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS
     EVENING FOR WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD
     COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

SHORT TERM...GLITTO
LONG TERM....SPRATT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
447 AM EST TUE JAN 1 2008

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-012200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
447 AM EST TUE JAN 1 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY.
LOW TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 30S
OVER THE NORTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS TO THE MID 40S OVER THE
BARRIER ISLANDS OF THE TREASURE COAST. MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES
COMBINED WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
WILL ALLOW WIND CHILLS TO RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 20S NORTH
TO THE MID 30S FAR SOUTH OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND GUSTY WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS MAY RESULT IN
HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE
OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES WITH CLOTHING
IN LAYERS.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
A NORTHWEST WIND SURGE OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL SPREAD SOUTH
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THIS AFTERNOON WITH DETERIORATING SEAS
TO FOLLOW TONIGHT. A GALE WARNING IS POSTED FOR THE OFFSHORE
WATERS BEYOND 20 MILES FROM THE EAST COAST DUE TO FREQUENT GALE
FORCE GUSTS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. STRONG WINDS AND
BUILDING SEAS WILL MAKE FOR VERY HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS
PERSISTING INTO FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF COLD WIND CHILL READINGS NEAR FREEZING
TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER THE EXTREME
NORTHERN SECTIONS OF LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A HARD FREEZE
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING FOR ALL OF LAKE AND INTERIOR PORTIONS OF VOLUSIA
COUNTY. A HARD FREEZE WATCH MEANS TEMPERATURES BELOW 28 DEGREES ARE
POSSIBLE FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THESE CONDITIONS CAN KILL CROPS AND
OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION AS WELL AS HARM EXPOSED WATER PIPES.
A FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA. IT IS POSSIBLE THE IMMEDIATE COAST SOUTH OF CAPE
CANAVERAL...THE BARRIER ISLANDS...MAY ESCAPE FREEZING TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY MORNING WITH LOWS IN THE MID 30S. THE DURATIONS OF SUB
FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL VARY WIDELY BUT MAY BE AS LONG AS 8
HOURS WEST OF I 95.

HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS ALONG WITH AN INCREASING THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS FROM FRIDAY
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

PENDERGRAST