Alert archive / Florida / Dense Smoke Advisories in 2008

Dense Smoke Advisory 2, NWS Melbourne, FL

May 12, 2008

NWS Melbourne, FL issued this dense smoke advisory at May 12, 2008, 9:04 PM EDT. It took effect at May 13, 2008, 12:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 12, 2008, 9:04 PM EDT (01:04 UTC)
In effect from: May 13, 2008, 12:00 AM EDT
Expired: May 13, 2008, 8:00 AM EDT
In force: 8 hr
Issued by: NWS Melbourne, FL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this dense smoke advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Melbourne, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this dense smoke advisory went out at May 12, 3:00 PM EDT, 6 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 12, 3:00 PM EDT, 6 hours 4 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
300 PM EDT MON MAY 12 2008

.DISCUSSION...

TONIGHT/TUE...BRISK W-NW WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET BECMG NORTH
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HRS...THEN GRADUALLY VEER TO NE EARLY TUE AS THE
SFC HIGH PRES RIDGE DRIFTS EWD ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH AND INTO THE
ATLC. WITH SFC HIGH NEARING THE LONGITUDE OF FL COUPLED WITH MUCH
LOWER TDS IN PLACE...EXPECT WINDS TO DROP OFF...ALLOWING MINS TO COOL
INTO THE U50S AREAWIDE LATE TONIGHT. 60-L60S LKLY ACROSS THE FAR SE
CWA...AS WELL AS THE METRO ORL AREA. WITH FLOW ACQUIRING ONSHORE
COMPONENT TUE AFTN...EXPECT NR TO SLGTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS TO BE
MAINTAINED...NR 80F/L80S ALONG THE COAST AND 85F INLAND.

TUE NIGHT-THU NIGHT...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE AREA MIDWEEK
KEEPING WEATHER WARM AND DRY. HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NORTH OF THE
REGION WED WILL KEEP AN ONSHORE FLOW OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WITH
WINDS THEN VEERING TO THE SOUTHEAST THURS AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO
MOVE OFF TO THE EAST. MAX TEMPS WED WILL REACH THE MID/UPPER 80S
INLAND WITH LOW 80S NEAR THE COAST AS ONSHORE FLOW KEEPS TEMPS A
LITTLE COOLER. THURS WILL SEE ABOVE AVERAGE HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S
ALONG THE COAST TO LOW 90S INLAND.

FRI-MON (PREVIOUS DISCUSSION)...LATEST MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE
INDICATES RIDGE ALOFT WILL HOLD OVER THE AREA THROUGH LATE WEEK THEN
BE REPLACED BY SOME TROFFING AND POSSIBLY A FRONTAL BAND PUSHING
INTO THE STATE OVER THE WEEKEND. STILL SOME DISAGREEMENT WRT EXTENT
AND TIMING OF THIS OCCURRING SO NOT GOING MORE THAN A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF POPS. WITH QUESTIONS ON THE TIMING AND AMOUNT OF MOISTURE RETURN
OCCURRING IN THE OTHERWISE DRY PATTERN OF LATE...WILL KEEP LOW POPS
IN FOR SAT ONLY AT THIS TIME BUT MAY NEED ADJUSTED UP/DOWN AS
SITUATION GETS BETTER IN FOCUS. TEMPS A LITTLE WARMER THAN MID MAY
CLIMO NORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR WITH DRSG WIND GUSTS BY 00Z. SKC THRU ABOUT 14Z-15Z
WITH FEW-SCT035-045 DVLPG NR THE COAST AND TRYING TO ADVECT INLAND
...THOUGH SUSPECT IT WILL (AT LEAST INITIALLY) GET EATEN UP BY DRY
LOW-MID LVL AIR OVER THE INTR.

&&

.MARINE...MDT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL VEER TO NORTH TONIGHT THEN DCRS
FURTHER AS IT VEERS TO NE @ 10-15KT. EASTERLY ONSHORE FLOW WED WILL
VEER TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST THURS WITH WIND SPEEDS GENERALLY AROUND
15 KNOTS OR LESS. SEAS LOOK TO INCREASE ABOVE ADVISORY LEVELS BY WED
AFTERNOON DUE TO ELEVATED NORTHEAST SWELL GENERATED BY LOW PRESSURE
EAST OF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THIS WILL MAINLY AFFECT THE OFFSHORE
WATERS THROUGH THURS EVENING WITH SEAS UP TO 7 FEET EXPECTED.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WITH GRADIENT FLOW SLACKENING OVERNIGHT/TUE...THERE
SHOULD BE SOME DELAY IN ADVECTION OF MODIFIED MARINE AIR MASS INTO
THE INTR DURG TUE AFTN. MODEL PROGS AGREE WITH THIS SCENARIO...AND
INDICATE SUFFICENT RH DURATIONS ACROSS ALL THE INTR COS TO WARRANT
UPGRADE OF FWW TO AN RFW. ONSHORE FLOW WED WILL KEEP RH LEVELS ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS NEAR THE COAST...HOWEVER INTERIOR LOCATIONS COULD
STILL SEE MIN RH VALUES AROUND 35 PERCENT FOR A FEW HOURS IN THE
AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  56  80  62  82 /   0   0   0  10
MCO  59  85  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  57  83  65  83 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  58  83  64  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-
     INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-
     NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN
     BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM TO 7 PM TUESDAY FOR INLAND VOLUSIA-
     NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 5 AM TUESDAY FROM FLAGLER
     BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-

&&

CRISTALDI/WEITLICH

Hazardous weather outlook, May 12, 4:31 PM EDT, 4 hours 33 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Melbourne, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 13, 3:16 AM EDT	Fire Weather Watch	MLB	Lake, Okeechobee, Orange, Osceola, Seminole, Volusia	24 hr

Nearby

Dense Smoke Advisories in Florida, 2008 Every dense smoke advisory in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.