Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 89, NWS Milwaukee, WI

June 14, 2008Dodge County, Jefferson County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 14, 2008, 6:04 PM CDT for Dodge County, Jefferson County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 17 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 14, 2008, 6:04 PM CDT (23:04 UTC)
Expired: Jun 14, 2008, 6:21 PM CDT
In force: 17 min
Issued by: NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Dodge County, WI, Jefferson County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 25 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 14, 3:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1584 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 55 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 91 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KMKX 142304
SVRMKX
WIC027-055-142345-
/O.NEW.KMKX.SV.W.0089.080614T2304Z-080614T2345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
604 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN DODGE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN...
  NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN...

* UNTIL 645 PM CDT

* AT 601 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WATERLOO...AND MOVING EAST AT 38 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  JOHNSON CREEK BY 615 PM CDT...
  WATERTOWN BY 620 PM CDT...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CLOUD TO GROUND 
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY 
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU 
CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4327 8850 4320 8849 4320 8853 4305 8854
      4304 8901 4324 8900
TIME...MOT...LOC 2304Z 272DEG 33KT 4314 8892

$$

HENTZ

3 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 142311
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
611 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

WIC027-055-142345-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-080614T2345Z/
DODGE WI-JEFFERSON WI-
611 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN JEFFERSON AND SOUTHWESTERN DODGE COUNTIES...

AT 610 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.
 THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HUBBLETON...OR 6 MILES WEST OF
WATERTOWN...MOVING EAST AT 41 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WATERTOWN AIRPORT AND WATERTOWN BY 620 PM CDT...
  PIPERSVILLE AND 6 MILES SOUTH OF LEBANON BY 625 PM CDT...  
  IXONIA BY 630 PM CDT...
  ASHIPPUN BY 635 PM CDT...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4327 8850 4320 8849 4320 8853 4305 8854
      4304 8901 4324 8900
TIME...MOT...LOC 2311Z 267DEG 35KT 4316 8882

$$

BORGHOFF

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 142318
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
618 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

WIC027-055-142345-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-080614T2345Z/
DODGE WI-JEFFERSON WI-
618 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON AND SOUTHWESTERN DODGE COUNTIES...

AT 615 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR WATERTOWN AIRPORT...OR NEAR WATERTOWN...
MOVING EAST AT 39 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PIPERSVILLE AND 6 MILES SOUTH OF LEBANON BY 625 PM CDT...
  IXONIA BY 630 PM CDT...
  ASHIPPUN BY 635 PM CDT...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4327 8851 4320 8849 4320 8853 4308 8854
      4308 8886 4317 8893 4323 8900 4324 8899
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 267DEG 34KT 4316 8874

$$

BORGHOFF

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 142321
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
621 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

WIC027-055-142331-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0089.000000T0000Z-080614T2345Z/
DODGE WI-JEFFERSON WI-
621 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON AND
SOUTHWESTERN DODGE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT TRIGGERED THE WARNING HAS 
WEAKENED...THEREFORE THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEASTERN WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4327 8851 4320 8849 4320 8853 4308 8854
      4308 8886 4317 8893 4323 8900 4324 8899
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 267DEG 34KT 4316 8870

$$

BORGHOFF

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 14, 2:18 PM CDT, 3 hours 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 2:18 PM CDT, 3 hours 46 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
218 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

.TONIGHT...WATER VAPOR/RUC COMBO SHOWS A COUPLE OF IMPULSES
UPSTREAM WITHIN THE BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW. H5 TEMPS -17 TO -19C
WITH SFC DEWS IN THE MID 50S. LI AXIS AROUND -5 STRETCHES ACRS THE
CWA AHEAD OF TROUGH. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SHOW INVERTED-V PROFILE. LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE HANDLED POORLY IN MODEL SOUNDINGS GIVEN REAL WORLD
TRENDS. IN FACT ONGOING CONVECTION ALONG AND SOUTH OF A DBQ TO ALO
LINE FEEDING OFF THE BETTER MOISTURE. HOWEVER DECENT MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES AND VEERING WIND PROFILES SUGGEST STORM ORGANIZATION
WILL BE THERE SHOULD STORMS GET GOING ACRS SRN WI. CURRENT SVR
WATCH JUST SOUTH OF CWA GIVEN ANTICIPATED LOCATION OF GREATEST
STORM COVERAGE...BUT WATCH DOES BUMP TO THE BORDER.

.SUNDAY...ANOTHER IMPULSE ARRIVES WITH COLD FRONT AND GOOD RRQ UPR
JET...POSSIBLY EVEN COUPLED WITHIN TWO SEGMENTS...WILL PROBABLY LEAD
TO A ROUND OF STORMS ACROSS THE CWA ON SUNDAY. THIS MAY BE ONGOING
FROM A COMPLEX THAT INITIATES UPSTREAM OVERNIGHT. MORE MOISTURE
WORKS IT WAY UP AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH SOUNDINGS SHOWING GOOD
INSTABILITY. SLGT RISK FOR SEVERE FROM SPC LOOKS GOOD. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WITH THIS ROUND WILL BE HEAVY UNDER THE SCATTERED STORMS.
HOWEVER...THEY WILL BE ON THE MOVE AND AREAL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD
NOT BE ENOUGH TO HAVE APPRECIABLE IMPACT ON CURRENT RIVER TRENDS.

.MONDAY AND BEYOND...DRY COOL AIR MOVES IN IN WAKE OF THE COLD
FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.
THERE IS SOME INDICATION THAT WE COULD SEE SOME DIURNAL /PEAK
HEATING/ SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS TUE THROUGH THU...BUT NOT
ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO CHANGE COURSE NOW. AT ANY RATE...PROBABILITIES
WOULD BE SMALL AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS LIGHT. AGAIN...NO IMPACT ON
RIVER TRENDS EXPECTED. IT SHOULD BE A GOOD WEEK AHEAD FOR DRYING
OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...A COUPLE OF CHANCES FOR CONVECTION...ONE THIS EVENING
WITH DAYTIME HEATING INTERACTING WITH SFC TROUGH AND UPPER LEVEL
IMPULSE/JETLET...THEN ANOTHER SHOT WITH COLD FRONT TOMORROW. BY AND
LARGE EXPECT VFR CIGS/VSBYS THRU MIDDAY TOMORROW. CONVECTION SHOULD
MOVE ALONG SO ANY REDUCTIIONS TO SUB-VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD BE BRIEF.

.MARINE...DECENT PRES GRADIENT AHEAD OF TROUGH...SO SW WINDS GUSTING
INTO CRITERIA. WENT WITH SCA INTO THE EVENING HOURS. WINDS PROGGD TO
DECREASE INTO MID EVE WITH LESS MIXING AND A MORE RELAXED GRADIENT
WITH PASSAGE OF TROUGH AND HINT OF RDGING SLIDING ACRS BY MIDNIGHT.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR LMZ643>646.

&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...05
AVIATION/MARINE...10

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 3:25 PM CDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
325 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-150900-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
325 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN THROUGH 8 PM. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN
THREATS.

AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE
REGION. WIDESPREAD FLOODING CONTINUES WITH NUMEROUS CLOSINGS OF
INTERSTATE HIGHWAYS AND MAJOR HIGHWAYS. HIGH WATER WILL CONTINUE
OVER MANY AREAS INTO THE WEEKEND.

MANY LAKES...RIVERS AND STREAMS REMAIN AT...OR ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH RECORD LEVELS. SEE OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION
SERVICES INTERNET PAGE FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING.
SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 130 PM SUNDAY FOR THE
ENTIRE REGION. HIGH WATER WILL CONTINUE OVER MANY AREAS.

MANY LAKES...RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON...TONIGHT AND
AGAIN SUNDAY.

LMZ643>646-150900-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
325 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN THROUGH 8 PM. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE MAIN
THREATS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM DUE TO GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING.
SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.

COLLAR
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 14, 5:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
503 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     HAIL             JACKSON                 43.32N 88.16W
06/14/2008  M1.25 INCH       WASHINGTON         WI   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

KUHLMAN

Local storm report, Jun 14, 5:18 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
518 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0517 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 W BROOKFIELD          43.06N 88.16W
06/14/2008  M59 MPH          WAUKESHA           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KUHLMAN

Local storm report, Jun 14, 5:19 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
519 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0517 PM     HAIL             5 N DODGEVILLE          43.04N 90.13W
06/14/2008  E0.75 INCH       IOWA               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KUHLMAN

Local storm report, Jun 14, 5:34 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
534 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             WEST BEND               43.42N 88.18W
06/14/2008  M2.50 INCH       WASHINGTON         WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            50 MPH WINDS ALSO REPORTED

&&

KUHLMAN

Local storm report, Jun 14, 5:47 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
547 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     HAIL             4 SE CROSS PLAINS       43.07N 89.59W
06/14/2008  M0.50 INCH       DANE               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KUHLMAN

Local storm report, Jun 14, 6:01 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
601 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     HAIL             MADISON                 43.08N 89.38W
06/14/2008  M0.75 INCH       DANE               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KUHLMAN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 13, 9:36 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	MKX	Rock	17 hr
Jun 14, 5:03 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	MKX	Ozaukee	30 hr
Jun 14, 3:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Dane, Iowa	80 min
Jun 14, 4:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Dane, Jefferson	44 min
Jun 14, 4:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Iowa, Lafayette	62 min
Jun 14, 4:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Dane, Dodge, Jefferson	40 min
Jun 14, 5:00 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		90 min
Jun 14, 5:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Dane, Iowa	51 min
Jun 14, 5:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Milwaukee, Waukesha	15 min
Jun 14, 5:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Dane	53 min
Jun 14, 5:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Ozaukee, Washington	36 min
Jun 14, 6:23 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		83 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.