Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Milwaukee, WI

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 090219
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
918 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIC079-133-090228-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-080609T0300Z/
WAUKESHA WI-MILWAUKEE WI-
918 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MILWAUKEE AND EASTERN WAUKESHA
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE WEAKENED TO BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. 
HOWEVER...VERY HEAVY RAIN AND URBAN AND RURAL FLASH FLOODING
WILL CONTINUE. 

LAT...LON 4284 8828 4285 8830 4320 8833 4319 8785
      4313 8787 4306 8784 4303 8787 4300 8786
      4298 8782 4285 8781
TIME...MOT...LOC 0218Z 269DEG 48KT 4318 8828 4301 8832
          4285 8831

$$

GEHRING

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
314 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS ON ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WITH HEAVY
RAIN TONIGHT...RAIN CHANCES MONDAY...TREND OF RAIN CHANCES DURING
THE WEEK.

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT...ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN
EXPECTED OVER CWA. CONVECTION ALREADY FIRING UP IN IOWA AS
ATMOSPHERIC SETUP LOOKS VERY CLOSE TO 24 HOURS AGO. SEVERE
POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR TONIGHT DESPITE AIRMASS BEING BEATEN UP
DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS AND IS SLOWER TO RECOVER THAT YESTERDAY.
BUT FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL REMAIN QUITE GOOD TONIGHT. VERY
JUICY AIRMASS WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BETWEEN 1.75 AND 2
INCHES...EXISTS OVER AREA ALONG WITH VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT
PRECIPITATION EFFICIENCIES. KEY COMPONENT REMAINS PERSISTENT NOSE
OF LOW LEVEL JET POINTING INTO THE CWA TONIGHT WITH 40 TO 45 KNOT
CORE. STORMS OVER IOWA TO PROPAGATE INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN ON THE
NOSE OF THIS JET. CORFIDI VECTORS STILL FAVORABLE TO INDICATE THAT
SOME BACK BUILDING OF STORMS WILL LEAD TO TRAINING ECHOES OVER
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. HAVE EXTENDED FLASH FLOOD WATCH ACROSS CWA TO
INCLUDE BALANCE OF THE NIGHTTIME HOURS TO COVER EXPECTED DURATION
OF RAIN.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PROGRESSIVE WEATHER PATTERN
CONTINUES MONDAY AS GFS DEPICTS A STRONG RIGHT REAR JET OVER
WESTERN WISCONSIN PULLS A SURFACE WAVE ALONG WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY
PASSING TO THE SOUTH OF THE CWA. THIS WILL SERVE TO GIVE SOUTHEAST
WISCONSIN A DECENT SHOT OF PRECIPITATION BEFORE SOMEWHAT DRIER AIR
AND A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TAKES TEMPORARY CONTROL OF THE
WEATHER PATTERN. CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW CONCERNING BRIEF BREAKS
IN PRECIPITATION PATTERN...WITH MID WEEK LOOKING LIKE THE BEST
TIME FOR A DRY TREND. BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW AT THE MOMENT TO
FORECAST A DRY PERIOD OF ANY LENGTH. KEPT TEMPERATURES ON WARM
SIDE OF GUIDANCE GFS/ECMWF SHOWS SIGNIFICANT WARM UP AFTER MID
WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM IOWA THROUGH NRN WI TNT AND
WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT EAST ACROSS SRN WI. ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY WILL ONCE AGAIN LEAD TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY
RAIN TNT. VFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON WILL TRANSITION TO AREAS OF
MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS TNT. ON MONDAY THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER NRN
IL AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG IT. THIS WILL GENERATE
MORE TSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN MAINLY OVER SE WI. VFR CONDITIONS TO
BEGIN THE DAY WITH AREAS OF MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS DEVELOPING IN SE
WI.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR WIZ046-047-051-052-
     056>060-062>072.

LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...17
AVIATION/MARINE...20

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
315 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-091315-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
315 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER ALL OF SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND ARE THE MAIN THREAT.
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS ACROSS THE AREA ARE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...OR
FORECAST TO EXCEED FLOOD STAGE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT OVER ALL OF
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL LEAD TO MORE
FLASH FLOODING OF RIVERS...STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT.

LMZ643>646-091315-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
315 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND AND WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY

GEHRING
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
840 PM CDT SUN JUN 08 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0839 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BLANCHARDVILLE          42.81N 89.86W
06/08/2008                   LAFAYETTE          WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            COUNTY ROAD H CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

MBK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
842 PM CDT SUN JUN 08 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0746 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 W HOLY HILL           43.24N 88.45W
06/08/2008                   DODGE              WI   AMATEUR RADIO

            2 FEET OF STANDING WATER

&&

FRANKS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
843 PM CDT SUN JUN 08 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0232 PM     TORNADO          1 ESE PARDEEVILLE       43.53N 89.28W
06/07/2008  F2               COLUMBIA           WI   NWS STORM SURVEY

            *** 5 INJ *** BEGINNING OF TORNADO TRACK OF 8 MILES FROM
            232 PM TO 250 PM CDT. TRACK ENDED 3 MILES SOUTH OF
            CAMBRIA. BROAD AREA OF DAMAGE ABOUT 2 MILES WIDE AT TIMES
            WITH ESTIMATED SPEEDS OF 60 TO 90 MILES.
            HOWEVER...SEVERAL EMBEDDED VORTICES WITH DAMAGE OF 100 TO
            120 MPH. THOUSANDS OF TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED...A
            COUPLE DOZEN POWER POLES SNAPPED...AT LEAST 4 BARNS
            DESTROYED...AND ROOF DAMAGE TO SEVERAL HOMES. A GRAIN
            SILO WAS SHEARED IN HALF. SEE PUBLIC INFORMATION
            STATEMENT. HP SUPERCELL EVIDENT.

&&

CRAVEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
846 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-090400-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM...
WEST BEND...PORT WASHINGTON...DODGEVILLE...MADISON...JEFFERSON...
LAKE MILLS...WAUKESHA...BROOKFIELD...MILWAUKEE...DARLINGTON...
MONROE...JANESVILLE...BELOIT...ELKHORN...LAKE GENEVA...RACINE...
KENOSHA
846 PM CDT SUN JUN 8 2008

...TORNADO WATCH 491 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR IOWA
LAFAYETTE...GREEN...DANE AND GREEN COUNTIES...

...TORNADO WATCH 494 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY FOR WALWORTH
RACINE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES...

AT 840 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REACHING FROM OAK CREEK TO FONTANA.
THE INDIVIDUAL STORMS ARE MOVING NORTHEAST AROUND 50 MPH AND THE
LINE OF STORMS WAS MOVING EAST AROUND 25 MPH. THIS LINE STORMS
WILL AFFECT WALWORTH...RACINE AND KENOSHA COUNTIES THROUGH 1015 PM
CDT.

A SECOND LINE OF SEVERE STORMS REACHED FROM WATERLOO TO JANESVILLE.
THE INDIVIDUAL STORMS ARE MOVING NORTHEAST AROUND 40 MPH AND THE
LINE OF STORMS WAS MOVING EAST AROUND 25 MPH. A CLUSTER OF SEVERE
STORMS OVER JEFFERSON AND ROCK COUNTIES WILL BE MOVING THROUGH
WALWORTH AND WAUKESHA COUNTIES THROUGH 1015 PM.

ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND
HEAVY RAIN. ANY STRONG THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION. BE READY TO TAKE QUICK ACTION
WHEN A WARNING IS ISSUED.

TZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
855 PM CDT SUN JUN 08 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0854 PM     HAIL             2 W WHITEWATER          42.83N 88.78W
06/08/2008  M0.88 INCH       ROCK               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

FRANKS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
859 PM CDT SUN JUN 08 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0852 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     SILVER LAKE             42.55N 88.17W
06/08/2008                   KENOSHA            WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NEAR SILVER LAKE...INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD F AND
            COUNTY ROAD W

&&

FRANKS