Alert archive / Wisconsin / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 104, NWS Milwaukee, WI

July 2, 2008Columbia County, Sauk County, Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 2, 2008, 9:07 AM CDT for Columbia County, Sauk County, Wisconsin. It was in force for 53 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 2, 2008, 9:07 AM CDT (14:07 UTC)
Expired: Jul 2, 2008, 10:00 AM CDT
In force: 53 min
Issued by: NWS Milwaukee, WI
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Columbia County, WI, Sauk County, WI

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 2.1 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 31 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -323 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1340 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 233 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 244 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KMKX 021409
SVRMKX
WIC021-111-021500-
/O.NEW.KMKX.SV.W.0104.080702T1407Z-080702T1500Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
907 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  COLUMBIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
  NORTHERN SAUK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...

* UNTIL 1000 AM CDT

* AT 903 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF REEDSBURG...AND MOVING EAST AT 43
  MPH.

  ANOTHER SEVERE STORM WAS DEVELOPING NEAR LAKE DELTON AND SHOULD  
MOVE ACROSS THE WISCONSIN DELLS AREA THROUGH 925AM. 

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  REEDSBURG BY 915 AM CDT...
  BARABOO BY 935 AM CDT...
  7 MILES NORTH OF I90/94 WI RIVER BRIDGE BY 950 AM CDT...
  PORTAGE BY 955 AM CDT...
  PARDEEVILLE AND 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF RIO BY 1000 AM CDT...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 4363 9031 4363 8902 4330 8901 4337 9019
      4343 9022 4345 9021 4355 9021 4355 9027
TIME...MOT...LOC 1407Z 267DEG 37KT 4353 9011

$$

KRR/JPC

4 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 021420
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
918 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

WIC021-111-021500-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0104.000000T0000Z-080702T1500Z/
COLUMBIA WI-SAUK WI-
918 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT
FOR NORTHERN SAUK AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES...

AT 916 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR REEDSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 52 MPH.

ANOTHER SEVERE STORM WAS NEAR THE WISCONSIN DELLS MOVING EAST.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  NORTH FREEDOM BY 925 AM CDT...
  WISCONSIN DELLS AIRPORT...AND WEST BARABOO BY 930 AM CDT...
  INTERSTATE 90/94 WI RIVER BRIDGE AND PORTAGE BY 945 AM CDT...
  WYOCENA AND PARDEEVILLE BY 955 AM CDT...

LAT...LON 4364 9011 4363 8902 4330 8901 4340 9009
      4350 9013
TIME...MOT...LOC 1418Z 273DEG 45KT 4351 8996

$$

KUHLMAN

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 021428
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
926 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

WIC021-111-021500-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0104.000000T0000Z-080702T1500Z/
COLUMBIA WI-SAUK WI-
926 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN SAUK AND NORTHERN COLUMBIA COUNTIES...

AT 925 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF
PORTAGE...MOVING EAST AT 34 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PORTAGE...7 MILES NORTH OF INTERSTATE 90/94 WI RIVER BRIDGE BY 935 
  AM CDT...PARDEEVILLE RAWS...PARDEEVILLE AND WYOCENA BY 950 AM      
  CDT...AND 8 MILES NORTH OF DOYLESTOWN BY 1000 AM CDT...

LAT...LON 4364 8997 4363 8902 4341 8902 4346 8995
TIME...MOT...LOC 1426Z 272DEG 29KT 4355 8959

$$

KUHLMAN

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 021439
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
938 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

WIC111-021448-
/O.CAN.KMKX.SV.W.0104.000000T0000Z-080702T1500Z/
SAUK WI-
938 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SAUK COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 4363 8902 4345 8903 4350 8952 4354 8960
      4355 8959 4357 8961 4357 8966 4363 8978
      4364 8977
TIME...MOT...LOC 1438Z 272DEG 29KT 4355 8946

$$

WIC021-021500-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0104.000000T0000Z-080702T1500Z/
COLUMBIA WI-
938 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT
FOR NORTHERN COLUMBIA COUNTY...

AT 934 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PORTAGE...
MOVING EAST AT 33 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PARDEEVILLE RAWS...PARDEEVILLE AND WYOCENA BY 950 AM CDT...
  CAMBRIA AND 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FRIESLAND BY 1000 AM CDT...

LAT...LON 4363 8902 4345 8903 4350 8952 4354 8960
      4355 8959 4357 8961 4357 8966 4363 8978
      4364 8977
TIME...MOT...LOC 1438Z 272DEG 29KT 4355 8946

$$

KUHLMAN

000 
WWUS53 KMKX 021451
SVSMKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
951 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

WIC021-021500-
/O.CON.KMKX.SV.W.0104.000000T0000Z-080702T1500Z/
COLUMBIA WI-
951 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN COLUMBIA COUNTY...

AT 949 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES WEST OF
CAMBRIA...OR 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF PORTAGE...MOVING EAST AT 34 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  7 MILES NORTHWEST OF CAMBRIA AND 8 MILES WEST OF FRIESLAND BY 1000
  AM CDT...

LAT...LON 4364 8960 4363 8924 4363 8919 4363 8902
      4354 8903 4357 8955
TIME...MOT...LOC 1451Z 261DEG 29KT 4360 8932

$$

KUHLMAN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 2, 3:48 AM CDT, 5 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 2, 3:48 AM CDT, 5 hours 19 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
348 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

.SHORT TERM...SHOWERS AND TSTORMS ARE PRESENT ALONG THE COLD
FRONT OVER UPPER MI AND FAR NRN WI WHILE WARM ADVECTION ACTIVITY
IS DEVELOPING OVER NW IA. MODELS SUGGEST ACTIVITY WITHIN WAA OVER
IA WILL DEVELOP NEWD THIS MORNING AND PROBABLY AFFECT THE WRN AND
NRN CWA AROUND AND AFTER 15Z. COLD FRONT WILL THEN SHIFT SWD
THROUGH THE CWA MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH MAIN POLAR TROUGH
AND ASSOCIATED HT. FALLS WILL REMAIN OVER THE NRN GREAT LAKES AND
SRN CANADA...CONVERGENCE ALONG COLD FRONT AND WEAK CAP WILL RESULT
IN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. MUCAPES AROUND
2000 J/KG ARE CURRENTLY ANALYZED BY THE RUC ALONG THE FRONT OVER
CENTRAL MN AND ARE ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON OVER SRN WI ALONG
WITH 35 KTS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR. MULTICELLULAR STORMS ARE EXPECTED
BUT A COUPLE SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
AROUND 7 C/KM AND DELTA THETAE AROUND 18C WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR
SVR DOWNBURSTS AND LARGE HAIL IN THE STRONGER STORMS. ALTHOUGH PWS
MAY INCREASE TO 1.6 INCHES...STORM MOTION AROUND 25 KTS AND
PROPAGATING COLD FRONT SHOULD LIMIT THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT. A
CHANCE OF STORMS WILL LINGER IN THE EARLY EVENING WITH COLD
ADVECTION TO TAKE HOLD AFTERWARD AS WINDS TURN NLY.

.LONG TERM...
WEAK NW FLOW ALOFT AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL FROM THU INTO
SAT. THE CU RULE SUGGESTS SCT-BKN CLOUD COVER FOR THU WHILE A WEAK
SHORTWAVE MAY BRING SCT-BKN CLOUD COVER THU NT AND FRI. DRY
WEATHER ANTICIPATED DURING THIS TIME WITH DRY AIR IN LOW TO MID
LEVELS. IN WAKE OF COLD ADVECTION...TEMPS WILL BE RELATIVELY COOL
ON THU AND THEN WARM A FEW DEGREES EACH DAY INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...COLD FRONT MOVING FROM NORTHWEST WISCONSIN WILL SWEEP
ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN DURING AFTERNOON HOURS. EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY WITH EXCEPTION OF A
PERIOD OF MVFR CONDITIONS IN VICINITY OF FRONT. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF FRONT WITH LOCAL IFR
VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS OCCURRING IN STRONGEST STORMS...ALONG WITH
GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL. ATTEMPTED TIMING OF STORMS IN TAF FORECASTS
WILL BE REFINED AS ONGOING CONVECTION OVER NORTHWEST WISCONSIN
APPROACHES AREA. SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS AROUND 10 KNOTS TO BECOMING
WESTERLY AROUND 10 KNOTS WITH COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE AND THEN TURN TO
NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 KNOTS BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS MAY APPROACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA THIS
MORNING AHEAD OF COLD FRONT OVER NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. HOWEVER AS
FRONT NEARS LAKESHORE AREA LATER THIS MORNING...WINDS WILL DECREASE
AS PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES. FRONT MAY TRIGGER SEVERE STORMS DURING
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS WHICH WILL CAUSE WINDS AND WAVES TO BE
HIGHER NEAR THE STRONGEST STORMS. AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS AROUND 20 KNOTS ARE
POSSIBLE AND MAY LINGER AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. STILL SOME
INDICATIONS OF A PNEUMONIA FRONT AFTER THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
DURATION OF HIGHER WINDS WITH THIS FRONT EXPECTED TO BE SHORT LIVED
AT THE MOMENT. SO WILL NOT ISSUE HEADLINES AT THIS TIME...BUT WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...20
AVIATION/MARINE...17

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 2, 4:01 AM CDT, 5 hours 6 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
401 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-030915-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
401 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING WITH THUNDERSTORMS
BECOMING LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

SOME LAKES...RIVERS AND STREAMS REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. MUCH OF
THE ROCK RIVER IN SOUTHERN WISCONSIN...AND THE FOX RIVER AROUND
BERLIN...CONTINUES TO EXPERIENCE MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

MUCH OF THE ROCK RIVER WILL REMAIN IN MAJOR FLOOD THROUGH MUCH OF
THE REST OF THE WEEK...HOWEVER RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO
SLOWLY FALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
THIS EVENING.

LMZ643>646-030915-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
401 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING WITH THUNDERSTORMS
BECOMING LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA MAY BE MET THURSDAY DUE TO NORTHEAST
WINDS AND HIGH WAVES.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

TZ

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 2, 8:11 AM CDT, 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
811 AM CDT WED JUL 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 AM     HAIL             PALMYRA                 42.88N 88.59W
07/02/2008  E0.75 INCH       JEFFERSON          WI   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

RKAPELA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 2, 9:38 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Iowa, Lafayette	52 min
Jul 2, 9:42 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Columbia, Dodge, Fond du Lac, Green Lake, Marquette	63 min
Jul 2, 9:47 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Sheboygan	34 min
Jul 2, 9:53 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		43 min
Jul 2, 10:16 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Dane, Green, Rock	59 min
Jul 2, 10:38 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		73 min
Jul 2, 10:46 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Ozaukee, Sheboygan	29 min
Jul 2, 10:51 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Columbia, Dodge, Jefferson	39 min
Jul 2, 11:22 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Milwaukee, Ozaukee, Washington, Waukesha	53 min
Jul 2, 11:35 AM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		82 min
Jul 2, 1:56 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		36 min
Jul 2, 3:04 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		41 min
Jul 2, 6:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MKX	Ozaukee, Washington	61 min
Jul 2, 6:19 PM CDT	Special Marine Warning	MKX		116 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Wisconsin, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.