Tornado Warning 44, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

000 
WWUS52 KMHX 051507
SVSMHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1107 AM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008

NCC031-133-051515-
/O.CON.KMHX.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-080905T1515Z/
CARTERET NC-ONSLOW NC-
1107 AM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 AM EDT FOR EASTERN
ONSLOW AND SOUTHWESTERN CARTERET COUNTIES...

AT 1106 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR EMERALD ISLE...OR
ABOUT 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEWPORT...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  CAPE CARTERET...CEDAR POINT...PELETIER AND SWANSBORO BY 1115 AM
  EDT...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-800-889-6889...WHEN YOU CAN
DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3466 7698 3466 7703 3465 7707 3471 7722
      3477 7709 3468 7693
TIME...MOT...LOC 1507Z 115DEG 18KT 3468 7700

$$

26

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
458 AM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
TROPICAL STORM HANNA WILL IMPACT EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TODAY
THROUGH SATURDAY WITH STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED. A WEAK
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA SUNDAY...THEN DISSIPATE AS WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON MONDAY. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
FROM THE NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
INITIAL BAND OF SHRA WELL IN ADVANCE OF HANNA APPREARING ON RADAR
ABOUT 100 MILES SE OF CAPE LOOKOUT AND TIME OF ARRIVAL TOOL
INDICATES IT WOULD REACH LOOKOUT AROUND 12Z. THIS IS CLOSE TO GFS
TIMING AND GFS ALSO CLOSE WITH OFFICIAL HANNA FCST TRACK...THUS
RELIED ON IT TODAY. INITIAL BAND WILL MOVE IN DURING MORNING BUT MAY
DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES IN DUE TO DRY ATMOS IN PLACE...AND ADJUSTED
POPS THIS MORNING ACCORDINGLY. ATMOS WILL BE SATURATED ENOUGH THIS
AFTN TO SUPPORT RAIN ALL AREAS AND KEPT POPS 60 INLAND TO 80 COAST.
MOS GDNC CLOSE ON MAX TEMPS AND FAIRLY UNIFORM LOW-MID 80S ACROSS
AREA LOOKS REASONABLE WITH INCREASING CLOUDS...ONSHORE WINDS AND
OCNL PCPN.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
FAIRLY STRAIGHT-FORWARD FCST WITH HANNA STILL COMING INLAND S OF
AREA OVERNIGHT AND TRACKING OVER INLAND SECTIONS EARLY SAT. OTHER
THAN TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...MAIN THREAT WILL BE TORNADOS WITH
BANDS MOVING ONSHORE STARTING THIS EVENING. PER SPC DAY 1
OUTLOOK...GOOD SETUP FOR WEAK SPIN-UPS OVER AREA. QPF FCST OF 3-5
INCHES OVER AREA LOOKS REASONABLE BUT WILL BE SPREAD OUT OVER 24-36
HOURS SO NOT A MAJOR FLOOD THREAT AND NO NEED FOR FLOOD WATCH. HIGH
POPS TONIGHT AND SAT MORNING...THEN DECREASING SAT AFTN AS STORM
MOVES N.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NO CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FCST...ISOLD/SCT MAINLY DIURNAL CONVECTION
POSSIBLE SUNDAY AS TRAILING LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MOVES INTO THE AREA.
LONGER RANGE MODELS SUGGEST A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL BE
APPROACHING THE AREA TUES NIGHT AND THIS MAY HELP TO EVENTUALLY
STEER THE NEXT TROPICAL SYSTEM IKE AWAY FROM THE EASTERN SEABOARD
LATE NEXT WEEK. HIGHS COOLING THROUGH THE WEEK, AND BY WED/THUR IN
THE LOW/MID 80S.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD HOLD THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON THEN DETERIORATE
FROM THEN ON AS TROPICAL STORM HANNA APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH. MID
DECK WILL ARRIVE IN THE MID-MORNING HOURS THEN LOW CLOUD DECK THIS
AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL ARRIVE IN THE AFTERNOON...BECOMING
A MORE STEADY AND HEAVY RAIN BY LATE EVENING. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE
FROM THE EAST TO NORTHEAST TODAY GENERALLY NEAR 10 KNOTS. TROPICAL
WINDS WILL NOT AFFECT TERMINALS UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. HANNA WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA IN
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS SATURDAY...THEN RAPIDLY OFF TO THE NORTHEAST
DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME WEST AT ALL TERMINALS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

A WEAK FRONT WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
SUNDAY. THAT FRONT WILL BECOME STATIONARY OVER THE AREA AND WASH OUT
ON MONDAY. ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH AND BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND STORMS TUESDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
USED 00Z GFS WINDS THROUGH EARLY EVENING AS THEY MATCH UP VERY WELL
WITH FORECAST MOVEMENT OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA. USED NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER WINDS THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
RESUMED USING THE 00Z GFS THROUGH LATE MONDAY EVENING. MADE NO
CHANGES BEYOND THAT. MADE NO CHANGES TO SEAS THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. BEYOND THAT I USED THE 00Z WNAWAVE4 WHICH DOES NOT BRING
DOWN SEAS QUITE SO FAST IN THE WAKE OF HANNA AND KEEPS THEM A LITTLE
HIGHER FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD. THIS MAKES SENSE SINCE SEAS WILL
NOT HAVE MUCH TIME TO COME DOWN BEFORE SWELLS FROM HURRICANE IKE
WORK INTO OUR WATERS NEXT WEEK.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...HURRICANE WATCH FOR NCZ047-080-081-093>095-098-103-104.
     TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR NCZ047-080-081-093>095-098-103-104.
     TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM EDT
     SATURDAY FOR NCZ029-044>046-079-090>092.
MARINE...HURRICANE WATCH FOR AMZ135-150-152-154-156-158.
     TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158.
&&

SYNOPSIS...JBM
NEAR TERM...JBM
SHORT TERM...JBM
LONG TERM...JW
AVIATION...HSA
MARINE...HSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
528 AM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008

NCZ047-080-081-093-094-060930-
MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
528 AM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HURRICANE WATCH.
   TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

TROPICAL STORM HANNA WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH TODAY AND IS
FORECAST TO TRACK INLAND LATE TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE. ISOLATED WEAK TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY LATE THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HURRICANE WATCH.
   TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. ISOLATED WEAK TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NCZ029-044>046-079-090>092-060930-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-GREENE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-
528 AM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
8 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.

TROPICAL STORM HANNA WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH TODAY AND IS
FORECAST TO TRACK INLAND LATE TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING. ISOLATED WEAK TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE...MAINLY LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.

TROPICAL STORM WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ISOLATED WEAK
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NCZ095-098-103-104-060930-
CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
528 AM EDT FRI SEP 5 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HURRICANE WATCH.
   TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

TROPICAL STORM HANNA WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH TODAY AND IS
FORECAST TO TRACK INLAND LATE TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE. ISOLATED WEAK TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY TONIGHT.

THERE IS A HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS FOR ALL AREA BEACHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HURRICANE WATCH.
   TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH HURRICANE
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. ISOLATED WEAK TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY
SATURDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.