Gale Warning 45, NWS Medford, OR

000
WHUS76 KMFR 201054
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
254 AM PST THU NOV 20 2008

PZZ350-356-370-376-210000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.SI.Y.0113.000000T0000Z-081120T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SW.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-081123T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0045.081120T1200Z-081120T1800Z/
/O.CAN.KMFR.SE.W.0047.081120T1800Z-081123T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
254 AM PST THU NOV 20 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
10 AM PST SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS CANCELLED...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS
NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST SUNDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING. 

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WATERS EARLY THIS MORNING.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT THROUGH
10 AM. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 15 TO 25 KT FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST
BEHIND THE FRONT BY AFTERNOON. A CHOPPY WIND WAVE WILL DOMINATE AHEAD
OF THE FRONT FOLLOWED BY A WEST SWELL OF 12 TO 14 FEET AT 11
SECONDS BEHIND THE FRONT...DECREASING TO BELOW 10 FEET SUNDAY AFTERNOON.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

&&

$$
SANDLER

000
WHUS76 KMFR 201617
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
817 AM PST THU NOV 20 2008

PZZ356-376-210530-
/O.CAN.KMFR.GL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-081120T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SI.Y.0114.081120T1617Z-081120T1900Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-081123T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
817 AM PST THU NOV 20 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PST THIS
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10 AM PST SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM PST THIS
MORNING. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
SUNDAY. 

A COLD FRONT WILL HAS MOVED EAST OF THE WATERS WITH WEST WINDS
DECREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A WEST SWELL OF 10 TO 11 FEET
AT 11 SECONDS WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS BY THIS AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO
BELOW 10 FEET SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

&&

$$

PZZ350-370-210530-
/O.CAN.KMFR.GL.W.0045.000000T0000Z-081120T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SI.Y.0114.081120T1617Z-081120T2200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0102.000000T0000Z-081123T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
817 AM PST THU NOV 20 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10 AM PST SUNDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PST THIS
AFTERNOON. THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
SUNDAY. 

A COLD FRONT WILL HAS MOVED EAST OF THE WATERS WITH WEST WINDS
DECREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A WEST SWELL OF 10 TO 11 FEET
AT 11 SECONDS WILL MOVE INTO THE WATERS BY THIS AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO
BELOW 10 FEET SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

&&

$$


GETTMAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
844 AM PST WED NOV 19 2008

.DISCUSSION...NO UPDATES ARE NEEDED FOR TODAY. THE FOG WILL LINGER
IN THE ROGUE AND ILLINOIS VALLEY INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...THEN
END UP MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ALREADY MOVING
INTO SOUTHWEST OREGON. THE 12Z NAM IS A LITTLE SLOWER WITH THE
ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT COMPARED TO THE 12Z GFS AND LAST NIGHTS ECMWF
RUN. MORE THAN LIKELY WELL LEAN TOWARDS THE FASTER GFS/ECMWF
TIMING AND GRADUALLY INCREASE POPS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. RAIN WILL BREAK TO SHOWERS WITH SNOW LEVELS LOWERING TO
AROUND 4000 FEET. SOME OF THE HIGHER PASSES MAY PICK UP AN INCH OR
TWO OF SNOW FORM THE SHOWERS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WELL LOOK INTO
THIS IN MORE DETAILS THIS MORNING AND MAKE ANY NECESSARY CHANGES
FOR THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...FOG AND LOW CLOUDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH NOON IN THE
ROGUE AND ILLINOIS VALLEYS...THEN WILL BREAK UP WITH SCT CIGS NEAR
1000 FEET. MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL LINGER INTO THE
AFTERNOON. FOG SHOULD NOT BE AN ISSUE IN THE UMPQUA BASIN THIS
MORNING...BUT CIGS WILL REMAIN IFR THROUGH THE MORNING...THEN
SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR AS THE LOW LEVEL CLOUDS BREAK UP AND BEING
REPLACED BY MID LEVEL CLOUDS NEAR 7000 FEET. VIS AND CIGS WILL
IMPROVE AT THE COAST LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. VFR
CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL TODAY EAST OF THE CASCADES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 215 AM PST WED NOV 19 2008/

DISCUSSION...THE AXIS OF A STRONG RIDGE LIES JUST TO THE EAST OF
THE REGION...WHILE A TROUGH IS LOCATED OFF THE COAST NEAR 145W. A
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO FEED VARYING AMOUNTS OF HIGH CLOUDS
ACROSS THE AREA AGAIN TODAY. BOTH THE GFS/ECMWF ARE CONSISTENT IN
BRINGING A COLD FRONT TO THE COAST THURSDAY MORNING THEN INLAND
DURING THE DAY. THIS SYSTEM LACKS MOISTURE AND GOOD DYNAMICS SO NOT
EXPECTING ANY SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION. A WEAK RIDGE WILL BUILD
OVER THE REGION FRIDAY...THEN ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE ONSHORE
FRIDAY NIGHT. MOST OF THE ENERGY WITH THIS NEXT SYSTEM WILL REMAIN
TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION.

IN THE EXTENDED...THE MODELS BEGIN THE PERIOD IN GOOD AGREEMENT
BUILDING WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY THE GFS SHOWS A CLOSED LOW APPROACHING THE
CALIFORNIA COAST WHILE THE ECMWF HAS A STRETCHED OUT TROUGH
APPROACHING.

AVIATION...COAST...AREAS OF IFR CONDITIONS THIS MORNING IMPROVING
TO MVFR THIS AFTERNOON. INLAND...AREAS OF IFR CONDITIONS DUE TO
VALLEY FOG THIS MORNING BECOMING VFR THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...AIR STAGNATION ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ023-
     ORZ024-ORZ026-ORZ029.
     DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR ORZ024-
     ORZ026.

CA...NONE.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT
     THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR PZZ350-PZZ356-PZZ370-PZZ376.

99/99/99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
134 AM PST WED NOV 19 2008

ORZ024-026-191800-
EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-JACKSON COUNTY-
134 AM PST WED NOV 19 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
OREGON.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING.
SEE WEATHER MESSAGE FOR MORE SPECIFIC DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

SPILDE