Gale Warning 39, NWS Medford, OR

000
WHUS76 KMFR 032216
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
216 PM PST MON NOV 3 2008

...POTENTIAL HAZARDS IN THE COASTAL WATERS TODAY THROUGH
TONIGHT...

.A LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE COASTAL
WATERS AND THEN INLAND BY EARLY EVENING. THE LOW PRESSURE AND ITS COLD
FRONT WILL LEAD TO GUSTY WINDS AND SHORT PERIOD SWELLS...LEADING
TO HAZARDOUS SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE TUESDAY.
ANOTHER STORM WILL BRING INCREASED WINDS AND SEAS TO THE COASTAL
WATERS STARTING WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PZZ356-376-041130-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0043.000000T0000Z-081104T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-081104T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
216 PM PST MON NOV 3 2008

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING...

THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST
TUESDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS
EVENING. 

GALE FORCE WINDS OF 25 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

WIND WAVES WILL RISE VERY QUICKLY TO 7 TO 10 FEET. ALONG WITH
NORTHWESTERLY SWELLS OF 10 FEET...COMBINED SEAS WILL RISE TO
12 TO 14 FEET WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 10 TO 11 SECONDS THROUGH
MOST OF THE NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS<85>AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT
OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ350-370-041130-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SI.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-081104T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SW.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-081104T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
216 PM PST MON NOV 3 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST
TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
4 AM PST TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM
PST TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS NOW
IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE
DECREASING TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

COMBINED SEAS OF 10 TO 12 FEET WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 10 TO
11 SECONDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT THEN DIMINISH BELOW
10 FT BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

&&

$$

000
WHUS76 KMFR 040507
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
907 PM PST MON NOV 3 2008


PZZ356-376-041000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.GL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-081104T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KMFR.SI.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-081104T1000Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0043.000000T0000Z-081104T1000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
907 PM PST MON NOV 3 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM PST
TUESDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM PST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR WINDS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM PST TUESDAY.
THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM PST TUESDAY. 

WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 KT WILL DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20
MPH BY EARLY MORNING.

COMBINED SEAS OF 12 TO 15 FEET WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 10 TO
11 SECONDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT THEN DIMINISH BELOW
10 FT BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS<85>AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT
OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ350-370-041200-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SI.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-081104T1000Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0097.000000T0000Z-081104T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
907 PM PST MON NOV 3 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM PST
TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM
PST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY. 

WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KT WILL DIMINISH TO 10 TO 20
MPH BY EARLY MORNING.

COMBINED SEAS OF 9 TO 10 FEET WITH A DOMINANT PERIOD OF 10 TO
11 SECONDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT THEN DIMINISH BELOW
9 FT BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

&&

$$
SVEN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
332 AM PST MON NOV 3 2008

.DISCUSSION...A ONE TWO PUNCH WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST OREGON AND
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TODAY. THE FIRST EVENT IS ALREADY BRINGING
RAIN TO SOUTHWEST OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WITH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS IN THE PAST 6 HOURS BETWEEN .30 AND .60 INCHES. 500MB
TEMPS OF -24C AND GREATER WILL REACH THE COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT WHICH COULD BRING ISOLATED THUNDERSHOWERS OVER THE
MARINE WATERS AND ADJACENT COAST.

CURRENT IR IMAGE SHOWS A LOW DEVELOPING NEAR 42 N AND 133 W. THIS
WILL BE THE SECOND PUNCH THAT WILL IMPACT THE CWA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. BOTH THE NAM AND GFS BRING THIS LOW TO THE
COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MOVING THROUGH THE CWA OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO 4000-4500 FEET OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. WITH THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE EXPECTED TO BE CENTERED IN
SOUTHWEST OREGON AND WESTERN AND SOUTH SISKIYOU COUNTY...HAVE GONE
WITH A SNOW ADVISORY FOR CAZ 80 AND 82. THE ADVISORY IS
BORDERLINE...BUT THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOCATIONS TO PICK
UP TO 8 INCHES TONIGHT ABOVE 4500 FEET. THE SISKIYOUS AND CASCADES
WILL GET THEIR FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW OF THE SEASON...BUT AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. HOWEVER IT IS
LIKELY THAT HWY 140 AND 62 AS WELL AS SISKIYOU SUMMIT WILL PICK UP
4 TO 7 INCHES TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE TROUGH AXIS WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE CWA TUESDAY WITH A COLD
MOIST WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. SHOWERS TUESDAY WILL BE MOSTLY
CONFINED TO ALONG AND WEST OF THE CASCADES WITH SNOW LEVELS
HOVERING AROUND 400 FEET.

500MB HEIGHTS RISE AS THE TROUGH CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST TUESDAY
NIGHT. AT THE SURFACE...A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH THE COAST
TOWARDS WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN MOVE INLAND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
IT IS QUESTIONABLE AS TO HOW MUCH AND THE EXTENT OF THE
PRECIPITATION. IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE SIGNIFICANT QPF WILL BE
NORTH OF CAPE BLANCO AND OVER THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE CWA. THE
MODELS DO HINT AT MORE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST...BUT THIS MAY BE
A BIT OVERDONE.

THE WARM FRONT ALONG WITH THE PRECIPITATION WILL LIFT NORTH OF
THE CWA WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH MOST AREAS TURNING OUT DRY AND MILDER
THURSDAY. THE DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO
FRIDAY...THEN RAIN WILL RETURN SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES
THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...CIGS WILL LOWER TO IFR THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CIGS AT THE COAST WILL BE AROUND 1500 FEET WITH SOME AREAS
LOWERING BELOW 1000 FEET. VISIBILITIES WILL OCCASIONALLY BE
RESTRICTED DUE TO A LOW CLOUD DECK AND PRECIPITATION. INLAND
LOCATIONS CIGS WILL START OUT AT MARGINAL MVFR THEN ARE EXPECTED
TO LOWER TO IFR THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. MTNS WILL BE
OBSCURED TODAY WITH VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY BEING REDUCED DUE TO
RAIN. WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS
ANOTHER DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE REACHES THE COAST.

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM PST
     TUESDAY FOR CAZ080-CAZ082.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL NOON
     PST TODAY FOR PZZ350-PZZ356.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 6 PM PST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR PZZ356.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY
     FOR PZZ350-PZZ370-PZZ376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY FOR PZZ370-
     PZZ376.

PETRUCELLI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
327 AM PST MON NOV 3 2008

CAZ080-082-040100-
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
327 AM PST MON NOV 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT. SEE WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE FOR MORE SPECIFIC
DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES UNTIL 7 AM PST TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

SPILDE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
305 AM PST MON NOV 3 2008

CAZ080-032300-
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ETNA...FORT JONES...GREENVIEW
305 AM PST MON NOV 3 2008

...DEBRIS FLOWS POSSIBLE IN HIGH INTENSITY BURN AREAS FROM THIS
FIRE SEASON THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

HEAVY RAINFALL RATES ON AREAS WHERE FIRES BURNED WITH HIGH
INTENSITY THIS FIRE SEASON MAY LEAD TO DEBRIS FLOWS THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON.

ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED TODAY IN WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY. TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS DURING THE PERIOD ARE EXPECTED TO BE 1 TO 2 INCHES
AT LOWER ELEVATIONS AND 2 TO 4 INCHES AT MID AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

THESE RAINFALL RATES MAY BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE LOCALIZED DEBRIS FLOWS
ON HYDROPHOBIC SOILS LEFT FROM HIGH INTENSITY BURNS FROM THIS
SUMMER.

PEOPLE SHOULD AVOID TRAVELING NEAR AND ESPECIALLY BELOW
HIGH INTENSITY BURN AREAS AT THE TIME OF AND AFTER PERIODS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL AS SIGNIFICANT RUN-OFF CARRYING DEBRIS SUCH AS
MUD...ROCKS...AND VEGETATION SUCH AS TREES MAY OCCUR.

FB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PST MON NOV 3 2008

CAZ081-083>085-ORZ027>031-040215-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-KLAMATH BASIN-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED...TENNANT...TULELAKE...
DORRIS...ALTURAS...CRATER LAKE...CRESCENT LAKE...DIAMOND LAKE...
UNION CREEK...HOWARD PRAIRIE...SISKIYOU SUMMIT...ALTAMONT...
KLAMATH FALLS...BEATTY...BLY...CHEMULT...CRESCENT...GILCHRIST...
SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW
401 AM PST MON NOV 3 2008

...MOUNTAIN SNOW EXPECTED TODAY INTO TUESDAY...

A STORM WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
TODAY THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY WITH SNOW LEVELS FALLING FROM NEAR 5500
FEET THIS MORNING TO NEAR 3500 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.

THE COLDER AIR ARRIVES TONIGHT WITH MOUNTAIN PASSES ABOVE 4500 FEET
LIKELY TO HAVE ACCUMULATIONS ON THE ORDER OF 4 TO 7 INCHES BY
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

MUCH OF THE EAST SIDE LIKELY TO SEE LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ON THE
ORDER OF 1 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT.

AS SNOW LEVELS FALL TO NEAR 3500 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING...THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD HAVE TAPERED OFF CONSIDERABLY FOR EASTERN
OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE STILL
EXPECTED TUESDAY IN THE OREGON CASCADES...MAINLY FROM HIGHWAY 140
NORTHWARD. A STORM TOTAL OF 6 TO 11 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN THE
CASCADES AND 5 TO 9 INCHES IN THE SISKIYOUS BY TUESDAY MORNING.

IF PLANNING TRAVEL ACROSS SOUTHWEST OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
LATE TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...BE PREPARED FOR LIGHT SNOW.

PETRUCELLI