Special Weather Statement, NWS Miami, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
248 PM EDT THU JUN 12 2008

.DISCUSSION...
THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT HAS PERSISTED OVER THE AREA THE
LAST FEW DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE REGION THROUGH AT
LEAST FRIDAY...AND IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY DRIFT SOUTH. THIS COUPLED
WITH LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND CONTINUING ABUNDANT MOISTURE ON
FRIDAY WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...BUT MAINLY CONFINED TO THE AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW FAVORING THE INLAND AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF
SOUTH FLORIDA. BY SATURDAY...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
ENCOMPASS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH MID TO UPPER LEVEL
SUBSIDENCE HELPING TO INHIBIT CONVECTION. IN ADDITION...WITH DIFLUENT
SURFACE AND LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL SOME LOCAL DRYING WILL TAKE PLACE.
SIMILAR CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY WILL ALSO HELP TO INHIBIT CONVECTION.

THERE IS A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE JUST EAST OF PUERTO RICO...BUT WITH
A SURFACE AND LOW LEVEL RIDGE FORECAST TO BUILD INTO THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC THROUGH SATURDAY THIS WOULD LIKELY PREVENT ANY LOCAL
EFFECTS FROM THE WAVE AS IT WOULD LIKELY MOVE WELL SOUTH OF THE
REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
NO MARINE CONCERNS AS SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 4 FEET OR LESS
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THE MUCK FIRE IN WESTERN PORTION OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE
CONTINUES. HEAVY SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY OF THE LAKE THIS
AFTERNOON WILL AID IN FAVORING FOG FORMATION TONIGHT...WITH THE
FOG AND SMOKE COMBINING TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES WEST OF THE LAKE
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY. OTHERWISE...NO FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  76  88  75  86 / 20 40 20 20
FORT LAUDERDALE  79  87  76  87 / 20 40 20 20
MIAMI            77  88  74  87 / 20 40 20 20
NAPLES           74  91  73  91 / 30 50 20 30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

LONG TERM...60/BD
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...04/AT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1003 AM EDT THU JUN 12 2008

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-130145-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
1003 AM EDT THU JUN 12 2008

...HIGH RISK OF WATERSPOUTS...
...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EAST TO NUMEROUS INTERIOR AND WEST TODAY...
...DENSE FOG/SMOKE POSSIBLE TONIGHT NEAR LAKE OKEECHOBEE...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WATERSPOUTS: THE COMBINATION OF A FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL WIND PROFILE
AND CLOUD CONVERGENCE LINES IN THE ATLANTIC WATERS WILL RESULT IN
A HIGH RISK OF WATERSPOUTS TODAY.

THUNDERSTORMS: SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
IN THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND ALONG THE EAST LATE THIS
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON WITH NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
INTERIOR AND WEST THIS AFTERNOON. FREQUENT LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS TO
50 MPH, SMALL PEA SIZE HAIL, AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE
MAIN HAZARDS AND MAINLY INTERIOR AND ALONG THE WEST COAST.

WIND: WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY WITH ANY
STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

HAIL: SMALL HAIL TO PEA SIZE WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH WITH ANY STRONG
THUNDERSTORM.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IN THE THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY IN
THE INTERIOR AND WEST PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA, MAY LEAD TO
MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND FLOOD-PRONE AREAS.

VISIBILITY: FOG, POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SMOKE, MAY BE POSSIBLE ONCE
AGAIN TONIGHT NEAR THE MUCK FIRE BURNING ALONG WESTERN SHORE OF
LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR AGAIN ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FRIDAY
AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

A MIX OF SMOKE AND NIGHTTIME FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL NIGHTS NEAR LAKE OKEECHOBEE AFFECTING MAINLY GLADES AND
HENDRY COUNTIES.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN, GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL ALONG WITH THE OCCASIONAL
TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES CAN BE EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
142 PM EDT THU JUN 12 2008

FLZ067-121830-
INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-
142 PM EDT THU JUN 12 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING ACROSS WESTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY...

AT 139 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BELLE GLADE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 18 MPH.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOP IS ALSO EXPECTED AS OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES COLLIDE OVER THE OKEELANTA AREA AND THE HOLEY LAND
WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT...

BELLE GLADE...
SOUTH BAY...
LAKE HARBOR...
OKEELANTA...
HIGHWAY 27 FROM CLEWISTON TO THE PALM BEACH AND BROWARD COUNTY LINE...

AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH...PEA-SIZED
HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF THESE ARE POSSIBLE.
LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES
AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 50 MPH CAN
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 2684 8052 2642 8052 2643 8088 2674 8088
      2673 8083 2671 8082 2671 8078 2669 8074
      2672 8073 2677 8075 2678 8072 2675 8071
      2676 8070 2680 8070 2684 8066
TIME...MOT...LOC 1742Z 033DEG 16KT 2674 8068

TINGLER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
227 PM EDT THU JUN 12 2008

FLZ067-121900-
INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-
227 PM EDT THU JUN 12 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING ACROSS HIGHWAY 27...

AT 226 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES EAST OF HOLEY LAND WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT
AREA...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT...

   HIGHWAY 27 BETWEEN SOUTH BAY AND THE BROWARD AND PALM BEACH
COUNTY LINE...

AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH...DIME-SIZED
HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF THESE ARE POSSIBLE.
LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES
AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 50 MPH CAN
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 2634 8084 2666 8083 2666 8049 2634 8048
TIME...MOT...LOC 1827Z 056DEG 5KT 2646 8063

TINGLER

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