Severe Thunderstorm Warning 50, NWS Miami, FL

000
WWUS52 KMFL 091744
SVSMFL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
144 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

FLC021-091800-
/O.CON.KMFL.SV.W.0050.000000T0000Z-080609T1800Z/
COLLIER FL-
144 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM EDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL COLLIER COUNTY...

AT 141 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR OCHOPEE...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT NEAR 15 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
CARNESTOWN...
TAMIAMI TRAIL IN SOUTHERN COLLIER COUNTY...
  AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 2600 8123 2590 8100 2581 8094 2580 8128
      2584 8133 2583 8134 2590 8148
TIME...MOT...LOC 1744Z 055DEG 13KT 2586 8125

$$

TINGLER

000
WWUS52 KMFL 091755
SVSMFL

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
155 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

FLC021-091805-
/O.EXP.KMFL.SV.W.0050.000000T0000Z-080609T1800Z/
COLLIER FL-
155 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL COLLIER COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 200 PM EDT...

THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE AREA. FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO
40 MPH...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND SMALL HAIL ARE STILL POSSIBLE. STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST UPDATES.

LAT...LON 2600 8123 2590 8100 2581 8094 2580 8128
      2584 8133 2583 8134 2590 8148
TIME...MOT...LOC 1755Z 063DEG 10KT 2588 8122

$$

TINGLER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
956 AM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

.UPDATE 2...

...POSSIBLE STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS OVER WESTERN AREAS OF SOUTH
FLORIDA TODAY...

HIGH PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER THE CAROLINAS THIS MORNING...AS
THE MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW WAS OVER THE EAST COAST OF SOUTH
FLORIDA. THE HIGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY TODAY...AS THE MID
TO UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA. AT THE SAME TIME...THE EAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES
SHOULD DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE
PUSHING ACROSS THE CWA...WHILE THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE REMAINS NEAR
THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL FOCUS THE MOST ACTIVITY OVER THE WESTERN
AREAS OF THE CWA THIS AFTERNOON. SO WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW THE
HIGHEST POPS OVER THE WESTERN AREAS OF THE CWA FOR TODAY.

THE MIA MORNING SOUNDING THIS MORNING WAS ALSO SHOWING THAT THE
500 MB TEMPS WERE AROUND -10C AND THE WET BULB ZERO WAS AROUND
11,500 FEET. THIS INDICATES THAT SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE OVER THE WESTERN INTERIOR AREAS THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING. SO WILL UPDATE THE MORNING HWO AND ALSO ADD THE
STRONG STORM WORDING TO THE WESTERN INTERIOR AREA ZONES FOR THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING.

THE WINDS OVER THE CWA WATERS WERE FROM THE EAST AROUND 10 MPH
THIS MORNING OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS...AND 5 TO 10 MPH OVER REST
OF THE CWA WATERS. THE EASTERLY WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT THE WINDS NEAR THE EAST COAST BEACHES COULD GET UP
TO THE 10 TO 15 MPH RANGE INCLUDING BISCAYNE BAY. SO WILL UP THE
WINDS A LITTLE BIT FOR BISCAYNE BAY...AND WILL ALSO MENTION A
MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE EAST COAST BEACHES OF
SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ACROSS THE CWA SHOULD ALSO REMAIN ABOVE THE
35 PERCENT CRITICAL VALUES TODAY. SO NO PROBLEMS WITH THE FIRE
WEATHER FOR TODAY.

REST OF THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD AT THIS TIME...AND NO OTHER
CHANGES ARE PLAN.

&&
.UPDATE...54/BNB

.PREV UPDATE... /ISSUED 748 AM EDT MON JUN 9 2008/

AVIATION...A FEW ISOLD SHRA CONTINUE TO MOVE GENERALLY WEST
ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS THIS MORNING AND INTO THE EAST
COAST METROS, HOWEVER AS THE DAY PROGRESSES COVERAGE OF SHRA AND
TSRA IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS S FL, BUT MOST ACTIVITY SHOULD
PUSH INLAND AND INTO THE WEST COAST. AFTER 18Z JUST LEFT CB GROUP
IN WITHOUT MENTION OF SHRA UNTIL NIGHT FOR EAST, BUT VCTS UNTIL
LATER IN DAY FOR APF. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN EASTERLY ALONG
THE EAST COAST SITES, HOWEVER ALONG THE WEST COAST, APF WILL
EXPERIENCE A SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON. /TINGLER

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 344 AM EDT MON JUN 9 2008/

DISCUSSION...THE MID/UPPER LOW THAT HAS BEEN TRACKING WESTWARD
THE PAST FEW DAYS IS OVER THE WESTERN BAHAMAS AND ALL MODELS IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT IT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE GOFMEX TODAY. AS
A RESULT, FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW STEERING FLOW BECOMING SOUTHERLY ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW AND THIS SEEMS REASONABLE IF IN FACT THE
LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE WEST. HOWEVER, LOOKING AT WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY, IT APPEARS THAT THE LOW HAS SLOWED ITS WESTWARD MOTION
AND IF THIS CONTINUES THE STEERING FLOW MAY BE A LITTLE RELUCTANT
TO VEER TO A SOUTHERLY MOTION. THAT BEING SAID, AND SINCE SFC
RIDGE WILL REMAIN ACROSS NORTH/CENTRAL FLA, WILL LEAVE HIGHEST
POPS OVER THE INTERIOR ZONES TO IN THE NAPLES AREA. A COUPLE OF
STORMS ALONG THE WEST COAST LATE YESTERDAY DID BECOME STRONG WITH
KAPF REPORTING 38KT MAXIMUM WIND GUST NOT JUST ONCE BUT TWICE.
INCREASING MOISTURE WITH PWAT GOING UP TO NEAR TWO INCHES TODAY AS
FCST SOUNDINGS SHOW, APPEARS THAT THIS WILL BE LESS OF A FACTOR
TODAY. BEYOND TODAY, WX WILL BE DEPENDANT ON WHERE THE UPPER LOW
ENDS UP SO FOR NOW WILL PRETTY MUCH LEAVE CURRENT FCST ON TRACK
WITH TYPICAL EVERY DAY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.

MARINE...WEAK SFC RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW
THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SEAS LESS THAN 4 FT.

FIRE WEATHER...NO PROBLEMS OR CONCERNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  87  76  88  76 / 40 30 50 40
FORT LAUDERDALE  86  79  87  79 / 40 30 50 40
MIAMI            87  79  88  78 / 40 30 50 40
NAPLES           90  72  90  74 / 50 40 40 30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

LONG TERM...30/KOB
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...15/JR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
106 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-100500-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
1259 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

...A FEW STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY INTERIOR AND WEST LOCATIONS...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY BUT MAINLY
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AND MAINLY IN THE WEST INTERIOR
AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. OCCASIONAL TO FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES,
GUSTY WINDS, SMALL HAIL, AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE, MAINLY IN THE WEST INTERIOR AREAS.

WATERSPOUTS: DUE TO COLD AIR ALOFT OVER SOUTH FLORIDA, SOME OF
THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN FUNNEL CLOUDS OR
WATERSPOUTS.

WIND: IF STRONG STORMS DO DEVELOP TODAY A FEW MAY BECOME MARGINALLY
SEVERE ACROSS WEST INTERIOR AREAS POSSIBLY PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO
NEAR 60 MPH.

HAIL: IF STRONG STORMS DO DEVELOP TODAY A FEW MAY BECOME MARGINALLY
SEVERE ACROSS WEST INTERIOR AREAS POSSIBLY PRODUCING HAIL TO
AROUND PENNY SIZE.

VISIBILITY: VISIBILITIES COULD AGAIN BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED
TONIGHT DUE TO SMOKE MIXED WITH FOG OVER GLADES AND HENDRY
COUNTIES.

RIP CURRENTS: SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON
WILL PRODUCE A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

RIP CURRENTS WILL OCCUR AGAIN ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST ESPECIALLY TOWARD
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

A MIX OF SMOKE AND NIGHTTIME FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL NIGHTS NEAR LAKE OKEECHOBEE AFFECTING MAINLY GLADES AND
HENDRY COUNTIES.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN, GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL ALONG WITH THE OCCASIONAL
LIGHTNING STRIKES CAN BE EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY GUSTY WINDS, HAIL AND FUNNEL CLOUDS.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
103 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

FLZ069-070-075-091745-
MAINLAND MONROE FL-COASTAL COLLIER COUNTY FL-INLAND COLLIER COUNTY FL-
103 PM EDT MON JUN 9 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF MAINLAND
MONROE...

AT 1258 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LOOP ROAD CENTER...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 14
MPH.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT...

MONROE STATION...
LOOP ROAD...

AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH...PEA-SIZED
HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF THESE ARE POSSIBLE.
LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN FLORIDA. TREES
AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 50 MPH CAN
DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 2583 8133 2592 8113 2580 8095 2565 8098
      2566 8119
TIME...MOT...LOC 1703Z 125DEG 12KT 2574 8105

TINGLER