Alert archive / Tennessee / Wind Advisories in 2008
Wind Advisory 24, NWS Memphis, TN
NWS Memphis, TN issued this wind advisory at Sep 13, 2008, 6:54 AM CDT for 4 states. It took effect at Sep 13, 2008, 3:46 PM CDT. It was in force for 23 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 13, 2008, 6:54 AM CDT (11:54 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 13, 2008, 3:46 PM CDT
- Expired
- Sep 14, 2008, 2:58 PM CDT
- In force
- 23 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Memphis, TN
All 50 counties
Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Dunklin County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Obion County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Weakley County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 63 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1465 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -11 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 934 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 98 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 171 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.8
- Supercell composite
- 6.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS74 KMEG 131154 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 654 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH 4 PM SUNDAY FOR AREAS ROUGHLY WEST OF WATER VALLEY MISSISSIPPI TO LEXINGTON TENNESSEE LINE... .TROPICAL STORM IKE WILL LIFT INTO NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS BY SUNRISE SUNDAY. THIS TROPICAL SYSTEM WILL BE IN CLOSE ENOUGH PROXIMITY TO THE MIDSOUTH TO CREATE WINDS NEAR OR EXCEEDING WIND ADVISORY LEVELS LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL LIKELY OCCUR OVER NORTHEAST ARKANSAS...THE NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI DELTA AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL TONIGHT. BY SUNRISE SUNDAY...THE STRONG WINDS WILL LIFT INTO WEST TENNESSEE AND FAR NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI. AS THE REMNANTS OF IKE LIFT TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY EVENING...WIND SPEEDS SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASE OVER THE MIDSOUTH...BECOMING LIGHT BY EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>003-007-008-010>012-020-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>052-088>090- 132100- /O.NEW.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.080914T0500Z-080914T2100Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA- TALLAHATCHIE-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL- LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-SHELBY-FAYETTE- HARDEMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...UNION CITY...MARTIN... DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON... COVINGTON...JACKSON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE... MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR 654 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM CDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM CDT SUNDAY. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM IKE LIFT INTO THE OZARKS TOWARD SUNDAY MORNING. WIND SPEEDS OVER NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO SPEEDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH... WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE STRONG WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI DURING THE DAYLIGHT MORNING HOURS ON SUNDAY. WINDS WILL SIGNIFICANTLY DECREASE OVER THE MIDSOUTH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS SUNDAY...AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM IKE RAPIDLY LIFT AWAY FROM THE AREA. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ PWB
8 follow-up statements
000 WWUS74 KMEG 132046 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 346 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE IKE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION THIS EVENING AND ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SUNDAY MORNING. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD TIGHTEN ACROSS THE MID SOUTH IN ADVANCE OF IKE AND RESULT IN STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY. MSZ013-021-TNZ053>055-140500- /O.EXA.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.080914T0500Z-080914T2100Z/ LAFAYETTE-YALOBUSHA-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OXFORD...LEXINGTON 346 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM CDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM CDT SUNDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE WIND ADVISORY AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN DOWNED TREE BRANCHES...WEAK TREES...AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>003-007-008-010>012-020-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>052-088>090- 140500- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.080914T0500Z-080914T2100Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA- TALLAHATCHIE-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL- LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-SHELBY-FAYETTE- HARDEMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...UNION CITY...MARTIN... DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON... COVINGTON...JACKSON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE... MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR 346 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM CDT SUNDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM CDT SUNDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE WIND ADVISORY AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN DOWNED TREE BRANCHES...WEAK TREES...AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ JLH
000 WWUS74 KMEG 140407 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1107 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 TROPICAL STORM IKE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ARKANSAS OVERNIGHT REACHING SOUTHEAST MISSOURI BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD TIGHTEN ACROSS THE MID SOUTH IN ADVANCE OF IKE AND RESULT IN STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS OVERNIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY. ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>003-007-008-010>013-020-021-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055- 088>090-141215- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.080914T0500Z-080914T2100Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA- LAFAYETTE-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER- GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER- HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD...UNION CITY...MARTIN... DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON... COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN... COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR 1107 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT SUNDAY... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT SUNDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE LIKELY OVER THE WIND ADVISORY AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH OF SUNDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN DOWNED TREE BRANCHES...WEAK TREES...AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$
000 WWUS74 KMEG 140812 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 312 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 TROPICAL STORM IKE WILL MOVE FROM NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH MIDDAY TODAY. STRONG WINDS ON THE EAST AND SOUTHWEST SIDE OF IKE WILL AFFECT THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH MID AFTERNOON TODAY. MSZ004>006-009-014-TNZ091-092-141700- /O.EXA.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-PRENTISS-UNION-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CORINTH...IUKA...BOONEVILLE... NEW ALBANY...SAVANNAH 312 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL OCCUR THROUGH MID AFTERNOON TODAY. THE BRISK WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREE BRANCHES AND ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>003-007-008-010>013-020-021-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055- 088>090-141700- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI- CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT- DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TUNICA-TATE-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA- LAFAYETTE-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER- GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER- HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY... HELENA...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... TUNICA...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD...UNION CITY...MARTIN... DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON... COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN... COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR 312 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. THE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREE BRANCHES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ PWB
000 WWUS74 KMEG 141021 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 521 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 TROPICAL STORM IKE WILL MOVE FROM NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH MIDDAY TODAY. STRONG WINDS ON THE EAST AND SOUTHWEST SIDE OF IKE WILL AFFECT THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH MID AFTERNOON TODAY. ARZ008-009-017-018-141400- /O.NEW.KMEG.HW.W.0002.080914T1021Z-080914T1400Z/ /O.EXT.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD 521 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING. THE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL OCCUR THROUGH 9 AM. THESE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY DAMAGE POWER LINES... TREES AND MAY CAUSE MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY FROM 9 AM...THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES IS NOT ADVISED UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. $$ ARZ026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>014-020-021- TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-141400- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ CRAIGHEAD-POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS- LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH- ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA- LAFAYETTE-UNION-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY- DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON- CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESBORO...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE... WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...HELENA...KENNETT... CARUTHERSVILLE...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...IUKA... TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD... NEW ALBANY...UNION CITY...MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG... HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON... BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON... SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 521 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. THE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREE BRANCHES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ PWB
000 WWUS74 KMEG 141123 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 623 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 TROPICAL STORM IKE WILL MOVE FROM NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH MIDDAY TODAY. STRONG WINDS ON THE EAST AND SOUTHWEST SIDE OF IKE WILL AFFECT THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH MID AFTERNOON TODAY. ARZ026-MOZ113-141400- /O.EXA.KMEG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T1400Z/ /O.EXT.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JONESBORO...KENNETT 623 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL CAUSE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AND TREE DAMGE. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 35 AND 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH 9 AM. THE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREE BRANCHES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ ARZ008-009-017-018-141400- /O.EXT.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ /O.CON.KMEG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T1400Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD 623 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING... ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL OCCUR THROUGH 9 AM. THESE VERY STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY DAMAGE POWER LINES... TREES AND MAY CAUSE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY FROM 9 AM...THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES IS NOT ADVISED UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. $$ ARZ027-028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ115-MSZ001>014-020-021- TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-141400- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS- PEMISCOT-DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO- TUNICA-TATE-PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION- TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON- CARROLL-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER- HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE... WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...HELENA...CARUTHERSVILLE... SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE... CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...UNION CITY... MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN... HUNTINGDON...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT... GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE... BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 623 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. THE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREE BRANCHES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$
000 WWUS74 KMEG 141405 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 905 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 TROPICAL STORM IKE WILL MOVE FROM NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH MIDDAY TODAY. STRONG WINDS ON THE EAST AND SOUTHWEST SIDE OF IKE WILL AFFECT THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH MID AFTERNOON TODAY. ARZ008-009-017-018-026-142100- /O.CAN.KMEG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T1400Z/ /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO 905 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND WARNING. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. THE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREE BRANCHES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ MOZ115-TNZ001>004-019>021-142100- /O.EXB.KMEG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T1700Z/ /O.EXT.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARUTHERSVILLE...UNION CITY...MARTIN... DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON 905 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY... ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 35 AND 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH 12 PM. THE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREE TREES...WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES...AND SOME POSSIBLE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO WEAK STRUCTURES OR MOBILE HOMES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES IS NOT ADVISED UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. $$ MOZ113-142100- /O.EXT.KMEG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T1700Z/ /O.EXT.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ DUNKLIN- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...KENNETT 905 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY... ...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY. THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 35 AND 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH 12 PM. THE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREE TREES...WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES...AND SOME POSSIBLE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO WEAK STRUCTURES OR MOBILE HOMES. A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES IS NOT ADVISED UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE. $$ ARZ027-028-035-036-048-049-058-MSZ001>014-020-021-TNZ048>055- 088>092-142100- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ POINSETT-MISSISSIPPI-CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS- DESOTO-MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE- PRENTISS-COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-TALLAHATCHIE- YALOBUSHA-LAUDERDALE-TIPTON-HAYWOOD-CROCKETT-MADISON-CHESTER- HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISBURG...BLYTHEVILLE...WYNNE... WEST MEMPHIS...FORREST CITY...HELENA...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH... CORINTH...IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE... OXFORD...NEW ALBANY...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON... BARTLETT...GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON... SOMERVILLE...BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 905 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. THE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN DOWNED TREE BRANCHES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ JLH
000 WWUS74 KMEG 141718 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1218 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE HAS MOVED QUICKLY NORTHEAST AND IS POSITIONED OVER SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS AT NOON. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS TIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA AND WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST OVER ADVISORY CRITERIA BEHIND A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>021-142100- /O.EXP.KMEG.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T1700Z/ /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...UNION CITY... MARTIN...DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN... HUNTINGDON 1218 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...HIGH WIND WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THESE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN ADDITIONAL DOWNED TREE BRANCHES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ ARZ027-035-036-048-049-058-MSZ001>014-020-021-TNZ049-050-052>055- 088>092-141830- /O.CAN.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ POINSETT-CROSS-CRITTENDEN-ST. FRANCIS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-DESOTO- MARSHALL-BENTON MS-TIPPAH-ALCORN-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-TATE-PRENTISS- COAHOMA-QUITMAN-PANOLA-LAFAYETTE-UNION-TALLAHATCHIE-YALOBUSHA- TIPTON-HAYWOOD-MADISON-CHESTER-HENDERSON-DECATUR-SHELBY-FAYETTE- HARDEMAN-MCNAIRY-HARDIN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISBURG...WYNNE...WEST MEMPHIS... FORREST CITY...HELENA...SOUTHAVEN...OLIVE BRANCH...CORINTH... IUKA...TUNICA...BOONEVILLE...CLARKSDALE...BATESVILLE...OXFORD... NEW ALBANY...COVINGTON...JACKSON...LEXINGTON...BARTLETT... GERMANTOWN...COLLIERVILLE...MEMPHIS...MILLINGTON...SOMERVILLE... BOLIVAR...SAVANNAH 1218 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. WINDS HAVE FALLEN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BUT EXPECT CONTINUED WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH. $$ ARZ008-009-017-018-026-028-TNZ048-051-142100- /O.CON.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-MISSISSIPPI-LAUDERDALE- CROCKETT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... BLYTHEVILLE 1218 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON... A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THESE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN ADDITIONAL DOWNED TREE BRANCHES AND SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED...OR GUSTS WILL RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 57 MPH. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. $$ JLH
000 WWUS74 KMEG 141958 NPWMEG URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 258 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...WINDS CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE IN THE WAKE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE... ARZ008-009-017-018-026-028-MOZ113-115-TNZ001>004-019>021-048-051- 142100- /O.CAN.KMEG.WI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-080914T2100Z/ RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-MISSISSIPPI-DUNKLIN- PEMISCOT-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-HENRY-DYER-GIBSON-CARROLL-LAUDERDALE- CROCKETT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO... BLYTHEVILLE...KENNETT...CARUTHERSVILLE...UNION CITY...MARTIN... DRESDEN...PARIS...DYERSBURG...HUMBOLDT...MILAN...HUNTINGDON 258 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. TROPICAL DEPRESSION IKE HAS MOVED WELL NORTHEAST OF THE MID SOUTH AND HAS ALLOWED WINDS TO DROP BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. THEREFORE THE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ JLH
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Sep 13, 3:52 AM CDT, 3 hours 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 13, 3:52 AM CDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 352 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 .DISCUSSION... HURRICANE IKE MADE LANDFALL SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERNS REMAIN THE RAIN...WIND AND TORNADO THREATS ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF IKE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. YESTERDAY AT THIS TIME...THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS WERE FAR APART WITH THEIR HANDLING OF IKE/S REMNANTS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. NO SUCH MODEL DISAGREEMENT THIS MORNING WITH TIGHT MODEL AGREEMENT... LEADING TO INCREASED FORECAST CONFIDENCE. THIS TIGHT AGREEMENT IS THE RESULT OF THE GFS COMING IN LINE WITH THE CONSISTENT ECMWF. IT APPEARS THAT THE REMNANTS OF IKE WILL BE QUICKLY LIFTED NORTHEAST...AHEAD OF RATHER HIGH AMPLITUDE MIDLEVEL TROF DROPPING INTO THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY. BY LATE SUNDAY EVENING...EXPECT THE SURFACE LOW THAT HAD BEEN IKE TO BE NEAR BUFFALO NY. A MODIFIED CANADIAN SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DROP INTO THE MIDSOUTH MONDAY...AND PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE WORKWEEK. BACK TO THE SHORTER TERM...AS IKE LIFTS NORTH THROUGH EAST TX THIS AFTERNOON...SOME OUTER CONVECTIVE BANDS WILL LIKELY ENTER NORTHWEST MS AND EAST AR. SFC TO 3KM AVERAGE HELICITY VALUES WILL NOT INCREASE ABOVE 200 M2/S2 UNTIL SUNDOWN OVER THESE AREAS. NONETHELESS...LOCALLY MAXIMIZED AREAS OF HELICITY IN THE OUTER BANDS MAY ENCOUNTER SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO OVER EAST AR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHEN THE CENTRAL LOW PRESSURE OF IKE REACHES THE ARKLATEX REGION. IKE WILL TRACK INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MO BY SUNRISE SUNDAY. AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE...PARTICULARLY WEST OF THE MS RIVER. AT THIS TIME...SURFACE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO PICK UP NOTICEABLY OVER THE MIDSOUTH. A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE REQUIRED FOR LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY OVER A PORTION OF THE MIDSOUTH. AFTER COORDINATION WITH NEIGHBORING OFFICES... WILL HOLD OFF ON ADVISORY ISSUANCE UNTIL THE DAYSHIFT. WILL MENTION THE STRONG WINDS WITH THE TORNADO POTENTIAL IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN STILL POSSIBLE WEST OF THE MS RIVER OVERNIGHT. WIDESPREAD FLOODING THREAT SHOULD BE LIMITED...DUE TO THE SPEED AT WHICH IKE WILL LIFTS OUT. THE BULK OF IKE/S HEAVY RAINS WILL OCCUR IN THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE SURFACE LOW...OVER NORTHWEST AR AND SOUTHWEST/SOUTH CENTRAL MO TONIGHT. THE WEATHER FROM MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY CAN BEST BE DESCRIBED AS TRANQUIL AND AUTUMN LIKE. HAVE DROPPED TEMPS A BIT FROM EARLIER FORECASTS...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT. QUITE A CHANGE FROM THE RECENT HOT/HUMID WEATHER AND THE CHAOTIC WEATHER OF TROPICAL SYSTEM IKE. PWB && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... MEM 90 76 81 62 / 20 50 70 20 MKL 91 74 83 58 / 10 20 70 20 JBR 89 73 80 60 / 30 90 90 20 TUP 91 73 84 62 / 10 20 60 30 && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 13, 4:29 AM CDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 429 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-141100- ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA- CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER- FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY- ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON- MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT- PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY- ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA- UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 429 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT CONVECTIVE BANDS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM IKE WILL MOVE INTO ARKANSAS TODAY...WITH OUTER BANDS LIKELY REACHING EAST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SHORT LIVED TORNADOES IN THESE OUTER BANDS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE INTO THE LATE NIGHT HOURS...AFFECTING AREAS MAINLY WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. WINDS WILL INCREASE NOTICEABLY LATE TONIGHT...AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM IKE MOVES INTO NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH ARE LIKELY OVER NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL OVERNIGHT. IN ADDITION TO THE WIND AND ISOLATED TORNADO THREATS... NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL MAY SEE UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THIS MAY LEAD TO A LOCALIZED THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING LATE TONIGHT. DUE TO THE SPEED AT WHICH IKE WILL LIFT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...A WIDESPREAD THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THE AREA OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL SPREAD EAST INTO NORTHWEST TENNESSEE DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS SUNDAY MORNING. THE MEMPHIS METRO AREA WILL LIKELY SEE WINDS NEAR 25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. NORTHWEST TENNESSEE MAY SEE A BRIEF RISK OF TORNADOES DURING THE DAYLIGHT MORNING HOURS ON SUNDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY IS VERY LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. PLEASE REPORT ANY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...FLOODING OR TORNADOES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MEMPHIS. PWB
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Tennessee, 2008Wind Advisories in Mississippi, 2008Wind Advisories in Arkansas, 2008Every wind advisory in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.