Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 170, NWS Memphis, TN

April 25, 2008Lawrence County, Randolph County, Arkansas

NWS Memphis, TN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 25, 2008, 8:09 PM CDT for Lawrence County, Randolph County, Arkansas. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 25, 2008, 8:09 PM CDT (01:09 UTC)
Expired
Apr 25, 2008, 8:45 PM CDT
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Memphis, TN
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Lawrence County, AR, Randolph County, AR

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2008-04-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1862 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2008-04-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 171 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1862 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
785 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
171 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
213 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.8
Supercell composite
9.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 25, 3:38 PM CDT, 4 hours 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 25, 3:38 PM CDT, 4 hours 31 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
338 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

.DISCUSSION...

A LEAD SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE NOW MOVING ACROSS THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS HAS INITIATED CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE MID
SOUTH. THESE STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP WITHIN A DESTABLIZING
AIRMASS AS SBCAPES ARE EXCEEDING 1000J/KG IN THIS REGION. A LAYER
OF WARMER MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY
LIMITING FACTOR TO STORM INTENSITY. THERMODYNAMIC INSTABILITY WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE WITH STRONG HEATING THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
MAY TEND TO ERODE THE CAPPING INVERSION FURTHER ALLOWING FOR A FEW
STORMS THIS AFTERNOON TO APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS. THESE STORMS MAY
PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS. THIS
AFTERNOONS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN MORE PULSE IN NATURE
AS BETTER DEEP LAYER SHEAR REMAINS BACK TO THE NORTHWEST.

A MORE ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL COME LATER THIS EVENING
AS A SECONDARY NORTHERN STREAM UPPER SHORTWAVE EJECTS NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING. EXPECT A COLD
FRONT OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS OF 20Z TO CONTINUE MOVING EAST
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. EXPECT A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS TO MOVE
INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AFTER 8PM THIS EVENING
AND THEN ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BEFORE MIDNIGHT. DEEP LAYER
SHEAR WILL INCREASE (30-40KTS) ALONG THE FRONT AND ALONG THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A MID LEVEL JET STREAK MOVING THROUGH THE
MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. INSTABILITY WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE AFTER
SUNSET...BUT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO SUSTAIN A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS NEAR AND WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BEFORE
MIDNIGHT. SBCAPES WILL STILL RANGE FROM 500-1000J/KG WITH LI/S
AROUND -2C. PLAN TO MAINTAIN THE SLIGHT RISK IN SAME AREAS AS
ALREADY HIGHLIGHTED. NOT EXPECTING A WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER
EVENT...BUT A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE.

AS THE LINE CONTINUES INTO AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER...INSTABILITY VALUES SHOULD BE TOO MEAGER TO SUPPORT
CONTINUED SEVERE WEATHER AS THE BEST MID LEVEL COOLING AND UPPER
LEVEL DYNAMICS LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST. EXPECT THE LINE TO
CONTINUE TO WEAKEN WITH EASTWARD EXTENT.

THE FRONT SHOULD DROP SOUTH INTO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI ON SATURDAY
BEFORE STALLING AS THE FRONT BECOMES COMPLETELY DETATCHED FROM THE
UPPER SUPPORT. A STRONGER NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE WILL DIVE
SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE MID SOUTH BY SUNDAY MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE WILL FORCE THE STALLED FRONT BACK TO
THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. A SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE SHOULD DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA ON
SUNDAY. THERE STILL REMAINS UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE NORTHWARD EXTENT
AND QUALITY OF A DEVELOPING WARM SECTOR OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI ON SUNDAY. IF A CONVECTIVELY UNDISTURBED WARM SECTOR
CAN DEVELOP OVER NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THEN
SOME SEVERE WEATHER MAY BE POSSIBLE. THERE STILL REMAINS ENOUGH
UNCERTAINTY TO KEEP SEVERE STORM WORDING OUT OF THE HWO AT THIS
TIME. A GREATER THREAT OVER THE AREA WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL. A
GENERAL 1-2 INCH RAINFALL...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE REGION ON SUNDAY AND THIS MAY RESULT IN
ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING. LATER SHIFTS WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS POTENTIAL.

THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE EAST LEAVING A LARGE SCALE UPPER TROUGH OVER
THE EASTERN U.S. FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO BE SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING WILL BUILD BY MID WEEK WITH CONTINUED DRY AND WARMER
WEATHER. THE AIRMASS WILL DESTABLIZE AHEAD OF THE NEXT APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK WHICH WILL LEAD TO INCREASING
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RETURN
TO ABOVE AVERAGE LEVELS FOR THE END OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  57  73  55  65 /  90  10  30  80
MKL  56  71  49  66 /  90  10  20  80
JBR  52  71  48  62 /  90  10  30  80
TUP  62  74  55  71 /  90  30  30  80

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

JLH
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 25, 11:59 AM CDT, 8 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1159 AM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-261900-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
1159 AM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT OVER THE
DELTA OF EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS...THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL...FAR WEST TENNESSEE...AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...AND LAW
ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY
BE NEEDED TONIGHT OVER THE SLIGHT RISK AREA.

JLH

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 25, 2:36 PM CDT, 5 hours 33 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Apr 25, 3:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 9 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
300 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

ARZ008-009-017-252045-
CLAY AR-RANDOLPH AR-LAWRENCE AR-
300 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

...THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...

  WESTERN CLAY COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  LAWRENCE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN RANDOLPH COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL
AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER MINTURN AT 300 PM
CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 41 MPH.

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

THIS STORM IS INTENSIFYING AND COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN CLAY...LAWRENCE AND RANDOLPH COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
CITIES OF BLACK ROCK...CORNING...HOXIE...POCAHONTAS AND WALNUT
RIDGE...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ALERT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT.
Special weather statement, Apr 25, 4:51 PM CDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
451 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

ARZ008-009-252230-
CLAY AR-RANDOLPH AR-
451 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

...THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...

  CLAY COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  EAST CENTRAL RANDOLPH COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50
MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTH OF REYNO AT 451 PM CDT...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN CLAY AND RANDOLPH COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
CORNING...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY..
Special weather statement, Apr 25, 5:07 PM CDT, 3 hours 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
507 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

ARZ026-027-252230-
CRAIGHEAD AR-POINSETT AR-
507 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

...THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...

  SOUTHWESTERN CRAIGHEAD COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  WESTERN POINSETT COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50
MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF FISHER AT 507 PM CDT...
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN CRAIGHEAD AND POINSETT COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
HARRISBURG...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. THIS SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM CDT.
Special weather statement, Apr 25, 7:54 PM CDT, 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
754 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

ARZ008-017-260130-
RANDOLPH AR-LAWRENCE AR-
754 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

...THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...

  NORTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  SOUTH CENTRAL RANDOLPH COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL WAS LOCATED 7
MILES SOUTHWEST OF ANNIEVILLE AT 754 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN LAWRENCE AND RANDOLPH COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF
BLACK ROCK...HOXIE AND WALNUT RIDGE...SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY..

The office that day

Everything else NWS Memphis, TN issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 25, 11:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGShelby38 min
Apr 25, 8:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Randolph47 min
Apr 25, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene49 min
Apr 25, 9:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Poinsett43 min
Apr 25, 9:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Greene, Lawrence41 min
Apr 25, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay45 min
Apr 25, 9:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, St. Francis34 min
Apr 25, 9:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay46 min
Apr 25, 10:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Mississippi, Poinsett40 min
Apr 25, 10:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, St. Francis42 min
Apr 25, 10:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Lee, St. Francis34 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arkansas, 2008Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.