Red Flag Warning 52, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 010512
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1212 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2008

...A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER EVENT IS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR THE GUADALUPE
AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR WINDY
CONDITIONS...RH/S IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME
FIRE DANGER...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING
FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS...VAN HORN AREA...MARFA PLATEAU...UPPER TRANS PECOS...
STOCKTON PLATEAU AND PERMIAN BASIN FOR WINDY CONDITIONS...RH/S IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...


NMZ114-115-TXZ074-258-011315-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080501T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0052.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1212 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2008 /1112 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/
THURSDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THURSDAY...

THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS...EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS....AND SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO PLAINS OVERNIGHT.

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR AGAIN OVER THESE AREAS...SO
A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE SITUATION IS EXPECTED.  THIS AS 
RH/S DROP TO 5 PERCENT OR LESS AN FIRE DANGER WILL BE EXTREME.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-075-080-011315-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0052.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
1212 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

...THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL
PROMOTE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
AND SPREAD ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN...UPPER TRANS PECOS...STOCKTON
PLATEAU AND VAN HORN AREAS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 011024
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
524 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2008

...A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER EVENT IS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS TODAY...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN 
CORRIDOR...MARFA PLATEAU...UPPER TRANS PECOS...PERMIAN BASIN 
AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR WINDY CONDITIONS...
MINIMUM RH/S IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME 
FIRE DANGER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...VAN HORN 
CORRIDOR...UPPER TRANS PECOS AND PERMIAN BASIN FOR WINDY 
CONDITIONS...MINIMUM RH/S IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH 
FIRE DANGER...

NMZ114-115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-258-012000-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0048.080502T1800Z-080503T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0052.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
524 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2008 /424 AM MDT THU MAY 1 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
THIS MORNING TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM
CDT /9 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING.

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AFFECT THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS TODAY
THROUGH THIS EVENING.  WINDY TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE LOWER LANDS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.  THE
COMBINATION OF THESE WINDS...RH/S IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY
HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN VERY CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE SITUATION
TODAY.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ074-075-080-012000-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0052.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
524 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AFFECT THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS TODAY
THROUGH THIS EVENING.  WINDY TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE LOWER LANDS OF WEST TEXAS.  THE COMBINATION OF THESE
WINDS...RH/S IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER WILL RESULT IN VERY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND A
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE SITUATION TODAY.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 011451
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
951 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2008

...A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER EVENT IS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS TODAY...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN
CORRIDOR...MARFA PLATEAU...UPPER TRANS PECOS...PERMIAN BASIN AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR VERY WINDY CONDITIONS... MINIMUM
RH/S IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...VAN HORN
CORRIDOR...UPPER TRANS PECOS AND PERMIAN BASIN FOR WINDY
CONDITIONS...MINIMUM RH/S IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER...

NMZ114-115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-258-020300-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0052.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0048.080502T1800Z-080503T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
951 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2008 /851 AM MDT THU MAY 1 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

STRONG SOUTHWEST AND WEST WINDS WILL AFFECT THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS OF 60 TO 75 MPH.
WINDY TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE LOWER LANDS
OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS WHERE WIND GUSTS TO 45 TO
55 MPH ARE FORECAST. THE COMBINATION OF THESE WINDS...RH/S IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN
EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND A PARTICULARLY
DANGEROUS FIRE SITUATION TODAY.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. 

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE AND PROPERTY THREATENING
FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...COMBINED WITH RECENT ONGOING DROUGHT WILL CREATE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD. A
REGIONAL OUTBREAK OF DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES IS POSSIBLE.

$$

TXZ074-075-080-020300-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0052.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
951 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING. 

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AFFECT THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS TODAY
THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 60 MPH ABOVE 6000 FT.
WINDY TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE LOWER LANDS
OF WEST TEXAS. THE COMBINATION OF THESE WINDS...RH/S IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN EXTREMELY
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE
SITUATION TODAY.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.   

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE AND PROPERTY THREATENING
FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...COMBINED WITH RECENT ONGOING DROUGHT WILL CREATE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD. A
REGIONAL OUTBREAK OF DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES IS POSSIBLE.

$$

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 011855
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
155 PM CDT THU MAY 1 2008

...PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE EARLY EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF
WEST TEXAS TODAY...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 PM CDT FOR
THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN CORRIDOR...MARFA
PLATEAU...UPPER TRANS PECOS...PERMIAN BASIN AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO PLAINS FOR VERY WINDY CONDITIONS...MINIMUM RH/S IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...VAN HORN
CORRIDOR...UPPER TRANS PECOS AND PERMIAN BASIN FOR WINDY
CONDITIONS...MINIMUM RH/S IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER...

NMZ114-115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-258-020300-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0052.000000T0000Z-080502T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0048.080502T1800Z-080503T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
155 PM CDT THU MAY 1 2008 /1255 PM MDT THU MAY 1 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...

STRONG WEST WINDS WILL AFFECT THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS THROUGH
THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS OF 60 TO 75 MPH. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE LOWER LANDS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST
TEXAS INCLUDING THE PERMIAN BASIN WHERE WIND GUSTS TO 40 TO 60 MPH
ARE FORECAST. THE COMBINATION OF THESE WINDS...RH/S IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER HAVE RESULTED IN A PARTICULARLY
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION TODAY.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY FOR WINDS OF 20 TO 30
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE MOUNTAINS. POOR RECOVERY OVERNIGHT
WILL SET THE STAGE FOR ANOTHER VERY DRY DAY.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE AND PROPERTY
THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND
VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...COMBINED WITH RECENT ONGOING
DROUGHT ARE RESULTING IN WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME
FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD. A REGIONAL OUTBREAK OF DANGEROUS WIND-
DRIVEN WILDFIRES IS POSSIBLE.

$$

TXZ074-075-080-020300-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0052.000000T0000Z-080502T0300Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
155 PM CDT THU MAY 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AFFECT THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS
TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 60 MPH ABOVE 6000
FT. WINDY TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE LOWER LANDS OF THE TRANS PECOS. THE COMBINATION
OF THESE WINDS...RH/S IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER
HAVE RESULTED IN A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION
TODAY.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE AND PROPERTY
THREATENING FIRE WEATHER SITUATION. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND
VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...COMBINED WITH RECENT ONGOING
DROUGHT ARE RESULTING IN WEATHER CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
EXTREME FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD. A REGIONAL OUTBREAK OF DANGEROUS
WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES IS POSSIBLE.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
230 PM CDT WED APR 30 2008

.DISCUSSION...
NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE ONGOING FORECAST.  STILL LOOKING AT
EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF TODAY AND INTO THURSDAY. EXPECT THE INCREASED SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY...AND DECOUPLE A BIT AFTER SUNSET. BUT
WITH AN H85 JET OVER THE AREA...DO NOT EXPECT WINDS TO DIE DOWN
COMPLETELY. COULD STILL SEE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10 TO 15KT WITH
GUSTS TO NEAR 20KT POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. THEN TOMORROW WILL SEE
ANOTHER ROUND OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS AREA WIDE...WITH MOST
PLACES IN THE LOW TO MID 90S FOR HIGHS. WITH THE UNSEASONABLY WARM
TEMPS AND DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE...WILL SEE SINGLE DIGIT RH VALUES
AREAWIDE YET AGAIN. DO NOT EXPECT GOOD RECOVERY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
NOR TOMORROW NIGHT...SO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL LIKELY REMAIN
ELEVATED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IN ADDITION...WITH THE
INCREASED WINDS AGAIN ON THURSDAY... KEPT BLOWING DUST IN THE WX
GRID. SUBSEQUENT SHIFTS MAY NEED TO HOIST A WIND ADVISORY TOMORROW
FOR PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. CONFIDENCE ON HOW FAR EAST TO
TAKE THE HIGHER WINDS IS THE MITIGATING FACTOR AT THIS POINT.
EXPECT THE HIGHER WINDS TO BE LOCATED ACROSS THE SE NM PLAINS AND
BLEEDING OVER INTO THE NW PERMIAN BASIN...BUT OUTSIDE THOSE
AREAS...CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO SAY.

A PACIFIC FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA EARLY FRIDAY...KNOCKING
TEMPS DOWN TO NEAR NORMAL AND VERY BRIEFLY VEER THE WINDS AROUND
FROM THE NORTH...BEFORE THEY BACK AGAIN FROM THE WEST LATER IN THE
DAY. THE COOLER AIR WILL FOLLOW ON SATURDAY WITH MOST LOCATIONS
SEEING HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WILL SEE A SLOW WARMING TREND INTO
EARLY WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ATTEMPTS TO BUILD IN OVER THE
AREA AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. THE GFS IS GOING WHOLE HOG ON
DEWPOINTS THIS LAST RUN DURING THIS TIME FRAME...WHICH COULD SET
UP AN INTERESTING WEATHER PATTERN AROUND MID WEEK. DID A MODEL
BLEND WITH THE GFS/EURO ON THE DEWPOINT GRIDS FOR NOW TO TEMPER A
BIT. MODELS ARE INDICATING A CHANCE AT RAIN DURING THAT TIME FRAME
AS WELL...BUT KEPT FORECAST LOW END POPS UNTIL BETTER RESOLUTION
EXISTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THE RED FLAG WARNING SEEMS TO BE WORKING OUT QUITE WELL TODAY WITH
WINDS AND HUMIDITIES EASILY MEETING CRITERIA. WENT AHEAD AND
CONVERTED THE WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING TOMORROW...BUT THE MID
SHIFT WILL HAVE TO ADDRESS WHETHER IT MAY NEED TO BEGIN SOONER.
CLEAR SKIES SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME DECOUPLING TONIGHT OF THE SURFACE
WINDS BUT CANNOT BE ENTIRELY SURE OF IT. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL
BEGIN EARLIER THAN TODAY WITH MOISTURE RECOVERY TONIGHT EXPECTED TO
BE VERY POOR. WINDS WILL BE STRONGER TOMORROW AND A WIND ADVISORY
MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN MAKING TOMORROW A
WORSE FIRE WEATHER DAY THAN TODAY.

CANNOT RULE OUT THE NEED FOR A FIRE WEATHER WATCH ON FRIDAY. DESPITE
A FRONTAL PASSAGE...NOT MUCH COOL AIR CAN BE EXPECTED AND MOISTURE
WILL DEFINITELY BE LACKING WITH DOWNSLOPING NORTHWEST FLOW. THE ONLY
QUESTION IS THE WIND SPEEDS WHICH ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE 10 TO 20 MPH RANGE. AM CONCERNED THOUGH THAT THE MODELS COULD BE
UNDERESTIMATING THE AMOUNT OF MIXING TO OCCUR AND WINDS MAY BE
HIGHER. LATER SHIFTS NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THIS. FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS SHOULD FINALLY ABATE OVER THE WEEKEND AS A SECOND AND
STRONGER SURGE OF COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              61  90  52  79  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                59  88  48  80  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  61  98  63  88  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           62  93  56  84  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          56  80  48  73  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   58  88  46  78  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   46  85  48  76  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    61  90  51  80  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  62  91  51  81  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    59  96  49  84  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...
     SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT MDT
     TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF
     EDDY COUNTY.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
     COUNTY.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 AM MDT THURSDAY
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN
     NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...CENTRAL LEA COUNTY...EDDY COUNTY
     PLAINS...NORTHERN LEA COUNTY...SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM CDT THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...ANDREWS...BORDEN...
     CRANE...DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...HOWARD...
     LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...
     PECOS...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...
     SCURRY...UPTON...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...
     WINKLER.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM
     MDT/ THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...ANDREWS...BORDEN...
     CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...
     GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...
     LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...
     PECOS...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...
     SCURRY...UPTON...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...
     WINKLER.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT MDT
     TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM CDT /1 PM MDT/ THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM
     CDT /3 AM MDT/ THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
     DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...
     LOVING...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...VAN HORN AND
     HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

&&

10/13

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
116 PM CDT WED APR 30 2008

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-011830-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
116 PM CDT WED APR 30 2008 /1216 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH WILL
AFFECT THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS TODAY.  A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN
EFFECT THERE FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT THURSDAY MDT.

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL
AFFECT THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...UPPER TRANS PECOS...VAN
HORN AREA AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS.  THEREFORE...A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS FROM NOON UNTIL 8 PM CDT.  IN ADDITION...
AREAS OF BLOWING DUST CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED IN MOST OF THESE
LOCATIONS.

VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL AFFECT THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS
MOUNTAINS...ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS
TODAY.  WINDY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH SINGLE DIGIT RELATIVE
HUMIDITY AND CREATE VERY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT WILL
PROMOTE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.  A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING UNTIL 4 AM CDT THURSDAY MORNING.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL ALSO AFFECT MOST OF THE REST
OF WEST TEXAS TODAY...WHERE FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL ALSO BE A
PROBLEM DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS.  A
RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM UNTIL 10 PM CDT FOR THESE
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AGAIN
THURSDAY. A HIGH WIND WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
THURSDAY. IN ADDITION...SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH COULD
AFFECT THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...SOUTH THROUGH THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS...AND EASTWARD INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

FIRE CONCERNS WILL BE JUST AS GREAT THURSDAY...IF NOT MORE SO DUE TO
THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONGER WINDS AREAWIDE...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND DRY FUELS.  A FIRE WEATHER WATCH CONTINUES THURSDAY FOR ALL
BUT THE BIG BEND REGION AND LOWER TRANS PECOS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND