Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2008

Red Flag Warning 51, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

April 29, 200818 counties in Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this red flag warning at Apr 29, 2008, 3:01 PM CDT for 18 counties in Texas. It took effect at Apr 30, 2008, 10:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 18 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 29, 2008, 3:01 PM CDT (20:01 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 30, 2008, 10:00 AM CDT
Expired
May 1, 2008, 4:00 AM CDT
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Counties Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Crane County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Loving County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 8 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 8 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2008-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2008-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 129 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3739 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
187 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 292001
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
301 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS FOR WINDY CONDITIONS...MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...THE VAN HORN
CORRIDOR...THE MARFA PLATEAU...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION...THE
PERMIAN BASIN AND THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR WINDY
CONDITIONS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND
VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY
FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...THE VAN HORN
CORRIDOR...THE MARFA PLATEAU...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION...THE
PERMIAN BASIN AND THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR WINDY
CONDITIONS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND
VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

NMZ114-TXZ258-300400-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0046.080430T1500Z-080501T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0051.080430T1500Z-080501T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0050.000000T0000Z-080430T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0047.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
201 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM MDT
THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM MDT
THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 30
MPH WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS. EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR 5 PERCENT
ARE ALSO EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 30 TO 40
MPH...WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE
ALSO EXPECTED BOTH DAYS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH
ONGOING VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER TO PROMOTE FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS...THE EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

NMZ115-TXZ074-300400-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0046.080430T1500Z-080501T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0051.080430T1500Z-080501T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0047.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
301 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2008 /201 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ WEDNESDAY
TO 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/ THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/ THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE
ALSO EXPECTED BOTH DAYS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH
ONGOING VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER TO PROMOTE FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS...THE EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-080-300400-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0046.080430T1500Z-080501T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0051.080430T1500Z-080501T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0047.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-MARFA PLATEAU-
301 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. EXTREMELY
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED BOTH DAYS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH ONGOING
VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER TO PROMOTE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS
FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS...THE EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ075-300400-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0051.080430T1500Z-080501T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0047.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
PECOS-
301 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. EXTREMELY
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED BOTH DAYS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH ONGOING
VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER TO PROMOTE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS
FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS...THE EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$
5 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS84 KMAF 300320
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1020 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...THE VAN
HORN CORRIDOR...THE MARFA PLATEAU...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION...
THE PERMIAN BASIN AND THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR WINDY
CONDITIONS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND
VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY FOR THE
GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...THE VAN HORN CORRIDOR...THE MARFA
PLATEAU...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION...THE PERMIAN BASIN AND
THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR WINDY CONDITIONS...MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME
FIRE DANGER...

NMZ114-TXZ258-301300-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0050.000000T0000Z-080430T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0051.080430T1500Z-080501T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0047.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
920 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM
MDT THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM
MDT THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 30 TO 40
MPH...WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE
ALSO EXPECTED BOTH DAYS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH
ONGOING VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER TO PROMOTE FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS...THE EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL
PROMOTE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
AND SPREAD ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

NMZ115-TXZ074-301300-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0051.080430T1500Z-080501T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0047.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
1020 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2008 /920 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/ THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO
30 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH BOTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ARE ALSO EXPECTED BOTH DAYS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE
WITH ONGOING VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER TO PROMOTE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD.

THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS...THE EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL
PROMOTE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
AND SPREAD ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-075-080-301300-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0051.080430T1500Z-080501T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0047.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
1020 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. EXTREMELY LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE ALSO EXPECTED
BOTH DAYS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH ONGOING VERY HIGH TO
EXTREME FIRE DANGER TO PROMOTE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS...THE EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL
PROMOTE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
AND SPREAD ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$
000 
WWUS84 KMAF 301043
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
543 AM CDT WED APR 30 2008

...A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER EVENT WILL AFFECT
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS TODAY...
 
...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT TODAY THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN
CORRIDOR...MARFA PLATEAU...UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION...PERMIAN
BASIN AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR WINDY
CONDITIONS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND
VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY FOR THE
GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN CORRIDOR...MARFA PLATEAU...
UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION...PERMIAN BASIN AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS FOR WINDY CONDITIONS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

NMZ114-115-TXZ074-258-301845-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0051.080430T1500Z-080501T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0047.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
543 AM CDT WED APR 30 2008 /443 AM MDT WED APR 30 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
THIS MORNING TO 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/ THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 40 TO 50 MPH...WITH GUSTS OVER 
70 MPH BOTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 50 TO 55 MPH WILL
AFFECT THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS.
EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ARE
ALSO EXPECTED BOTH DAYS.  THESE CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH
ONGOING VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER TO CREATE CONDITIONS 
FAVORABLE FOR RAPID...IF NOT EXPLOSIVE...FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS...EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-075-080-301845-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0051.080430T1500Z-080501T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0047.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
543 AM CDT WED APR 30 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE COMBINATION OF SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH... VERY LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS
WILL PROMOTE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$
000 
WWUS84 KMAF 301932
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
232 PM CDT WED APR 30 2008

...A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER EVENT WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN
CORRIDOR...MARFA PLATEAU...UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION...PERMIAN
BASIN AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR WINDY CONDITIONS. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME
FIRE DANGER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY FOR THE
GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN CORRIDOR...MARFA
PLATEAU... UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION...PERMIAN BASIN AND SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR WINDY CONDITIONS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

NMZ114-115-TXZ074-258-010345-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080501T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0047.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
232 PM CDT WED APR 30 2008 /132 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/
THURSDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/
THURSDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS...EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL
PROMOTE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
AND SPREAD ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-075-080-010345-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080501T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0047.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
232 PM CDT WED APR 30 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY
MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN...UPPER TRANS PECOS AND VAN HORN
AREAS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$
000 
WWUS84 KMAF 301959
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
259 PM CDT WED APR 30 2008

...A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER EVENT WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON...THROUGH TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
TONIGHT AND AGAIN THURSDAY FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...
VAN HORN CORRIDOR...MARFA PLATEAU...UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION...
PERMIAN BASIN AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR WINDY
CONDITIONS. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND
VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-075-080-011000-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0047.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0052.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080501T0300Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
259 PM CDT WED APR 30 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT AND AGAIN THURSDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

...THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN...UPPER TRANS PECOS AND VAN HORN
AREAS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

NMZ114-115-TXZ074-258-011000-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0047.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0052.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080501T0900Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
259 PM CDT WED APR 30 2008 /159 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/
THURSDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO 10 PM
CDT /9 PM MDT/ THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT
AND AGAIN THURSDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS...EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$
000 
WWUS84 KMAF 010512
RFWMAF

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1212 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2008

...A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER EVENT IS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR THE GUADALUPE
AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR WINDY
CONDITIONS...RH/S IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME
FIRE DANGER...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AND THURSDAY EVENING
FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS...VAN HORN AREA...MARFA PLATEAU...UPPER TRANS PECOS...
STOCKTON PLATEAU AND PERMIAN BASIN FOR WINDY CONDITIONS...RH/S IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...


NMZ114-115-TXZ074-258-011315-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080501T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0052.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1212 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2008 /1112 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/
THURSDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THURSDAY...

THE COMBINATION OF THE STRONG WINDS...EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL PROMOTE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD ACROSS THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS....AND SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO PLAINS OVERNIGHT.

STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL OCCUR AGAIN OVER THESE AREAS...SO
A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE SITUATION IS EXPECTED.  THIS AS 
RH/S DROP TO 5 PERCENT OR LESS AN FIRE DANGER WILL BE EXTREME.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-075-080-011315-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0052.080501T1500Z-080502T0300Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
1212 AM CDT THU MAY 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

...THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY...AND ONGOING EXTREME FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL
PROMOTE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID AND EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
AND SPREAD ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN...UPPER TRANS PECOS...STOCKTON
PLATEAU AND VAN HORN AREAS.

DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING
VEHICLE.  KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE
THROUGH TALL GRASS.  AVOID ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR
FLAMES OR SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 29, 2:43 PM CDT, 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 29, 2:43 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
243 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2008

.DISCUSSION...
WINDY TO VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE ONE OF THE MAIN STORIES ALONG
WITH FIRE WEATHER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. UPPER LOW WILL BE
DIGGING ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES WITH A STRONG SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPING EAST OF THE TROUGH AXIS ACROSS THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS.
STRONG WIND FIELDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW MAY
GENERATE HIGH WINDS IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH WIND ADVISORIES PROBABLY
ALSO NEEDED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS AND UPPER TRANS
PECOS. A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE
GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS FROM 18Z WEDNESDAY UNTIL 06
THURSDAY. THIS WATCH WILL PROBABLY NEED TO BE EXPANDED LATER INTO
THURSDAY. 850 MILLIBAR THERMAL RIDGING WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
CLIMB TO MUCH ABOVE NORMAL VALUES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS
THE UPPER SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES BEHIND THIS SYSTEM ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE PUSHED BACK TO NEAR NORMAL.

BEYOND SATURDAY GUIDANCE IS IN SIGNIFICANT DISAGREEMENT ON THE
EVOLUTION OF THE NEXT WESTERN SYSTEM. THE GFS40 IS MUCH MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND WEAKER WITH AN OPEN SYSTEM AS OPPOSED TO A
STRONGER AND SLOWER SOLUTION DEPICTED ON THE ECMWF/NOGAPS. DID NOT
MAKE MAJOR CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST...USED A BLEND OF
GFS/ECMWF ON WINDS AND DEWPOINTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THE RED FLAG VALID FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS TODAY HAS WORKED OUT
PRETTY WELL. WENT AHEAD AND UPGRADED THE WATCH ON WEDNESDAY TO A RED
FLAG WARNING AS IT LOOKS A PRETTY GOOD BET WINDS WILL HIT ACROSS
MOST OF THE AREA. LEFT THE WATCH ON THURSDAY ALONE FOR NOW THOUGH
THAT WILL UNDOUBTEDLY BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING AS WELL SINCE
CONDITIONS LOOK EVEN BETTER THAN WEDNESDAY.

PERHAPS MOST CRITICAL TO THE FIRE WEATHER FORECAST WILL BE THE
TIMING OF THE FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE WIND SHIFT WILL
PRIMARILY AFFECT AREAS EAST OF THE PECOS RIVER BEFORE SUNRISE...THEN
WILL PROGRESS SOUTH DURING THE REMAINDER OF FRIDAY MORNING.
FORTUNATELY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL NOT BE VERY STRONG BUT THE
WIND SHIFT ALONE COULD PRESENT PROBLEMS TO ANY FIRE FIGHTING
EFFORTS. THE COLD FRONT WILL DROP HIGH TEMPERATURES SOME...BUT ITS
MAIN EFFECT WILL BE TO LOWER WIND SPEEDS BELOW RED FLAG CRITERIA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              58  92  61  90  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                52  94  56  90  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  57  90  61  95  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           61  95  62  94  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          60  90  56  81  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   53  92  57  88  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   43  88  47  85  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    56  91  59  89  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  60  92  60  90  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    56  98  58  96  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 9 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...
     SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM MDT THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
     NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 AM WEDNESDAY TO 3 AM MDT THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN
     NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 12 PM WEDNESDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
     COUNTY.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...ANDREWS...BORDEN...CRANE...DAWSON...
     ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...HOWARD...LOVING...MARFA
     PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...PECOS...REAGAN...
     REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...SCURRY...UPTON...VAN
     HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...WINKLER.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM
     MDT/ THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...ANDREWS...BORDEN...
     CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...
     GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...
     LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...
     PECOS...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...
     SCURRY...UPTON...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...
     WINKLER.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM MDT THIS
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM CDT
     /3 AM MDT/ THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...DAVIS/APACHE
     MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM 1 PM CDT /12 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM CDT
     /MIDNIGHT MDT/ THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
     DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

10/12
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 29, 2:04 PM CDT, 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
204 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2008

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-301915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
204 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2008 /104 PM MDT TUE APR 29 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WEDNESDAY CONTINUING INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN...SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO...
THE TRANS PECOS...THE GUADAULUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...THE VAN
HORN CORRIDOR...AND THE MARFA PLATEAU. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
CONTINUES FOR THURSDAY ACROSS THAT SAME AREA AS VERY DRY AND WINDY
CONDITIONS RETURN.

STRONG WESTERLY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 29, 5:29 AM CDTFire Weather WatchMAFAndrews, Borden, Crane, Dawson, Ector, Gaines and 12 more34 hr
Apr 29, 5:29 AM CDTRed Flag WarningMAF17 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2008Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2008Every red flag warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.