Red Flag Warning 26, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1004 PM CDT SUN MAR 16 2008

.UPDATE...
WE HAVE ALLOWED THE WIND ADVISORY TO EXPIRE FOR THE EDDY COUNTY
PLAINS...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS REGION...AND THE VAN HORN CORRIDOR
AS WINDS HAVE TAPERED TO THE 15-25 MPH RANGE ACROSS THOSE
LOCATIONS. THE HIGH WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE GUADALUPE AND
DAVIS MTNS OVERNIGHT. IMPRESSIVE SOUTHEAST TO EAST WINDS ARE
RETURNING TO THE PERMIAN BASIN BEHIND A RETREATING DRYLINE. WIND
SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH MAY CONTINUE
ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS...ALONG WITH
DEWPOINTS INCREASING TO THE LOW TO MID 50S. LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
AN UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE EJECTING NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF MEXICO...
ALONG WITH THE STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET MAY AID IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
EASTERN BASIN AND WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LEFT
THE CURRENT POP CONFIGURATION AS IS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WE WILL EXTEND THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS
MOUNTAINS THROUGH 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/. OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
RH VALUES ARE STILL AROUND 10 PERCENT...WITH SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS
OVER 20 MPH AT THE 10 PM CDT HOUR. THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA PREVIOUSLY IN
EFFECT. INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EAST OF A RETREATING DRYLINE
SHOULD ALLOW FOR GOOD RH RECOVERY ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN AND
LOWER TRANS PECOS REGION TONIGHT.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN
     NF/LNZ.

TX...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
     CDT /6 AM MDT/ MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
     DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING TO 1 AM
     CDT /MIDNIGHT MDT/ MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
     DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

06/21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
252 PM CDT SUN MAR 16 2008

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-172000-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
252 PM CDT SUN MAR 16 2008 /152 PM MDT SUN MAR 16 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS
MOUNTAINS THROUGH TONIGHT.  IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...EXPECT
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 70 MPH.
ACROSS THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS...EXPECT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 35 TO
45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 60 MPH.

A WIND ADVISORY ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND THE VAN HOUR HIGHWAY 54
CORRIDOR UNTIL 8 PM CDT.  EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH.

THE WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY DRY AIR OVER MUCH OF THE
REGION.  THEREFORE...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
LOCATIONS ALONG AND WEST OF A MIDLAND...RANKIN...SHEFFIELD AND
DRYDEN LINE INTO THIS EVENING.  CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WITH
ANYTHING THAT COULD SPARK AND CAUSE A FIRE AS CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO RAPID GROWTH AND SPREAD OF ANY FIRE THAT IS IGNITED
TODAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN PERMIAN
BASIN TONIGHT.  ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SINCE DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER MOST OF THE AREA MONDAY...
NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL PERSIST OVER ALL BUT THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND