High Wind Warning 24, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 271948
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
248 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS UNTIL 6 PM MDT/7
PM CDT...

.AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
WILL RESULT IN SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60
MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THESE HIGH WINDS WILL END BY EARLY THIS
EVENING AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA.

NMZ027-TXZ258-280000-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-080328T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...
PINE SPRINGS
148 PM MDT THU MAR 27 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS. 
WIND SPEEDS WILL DECREASE EARLY THIS EVENING. PERSONS TRAVELING
ON U.S. 62/180 THROUGH THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...INCLUDING
GUADALUPE PASS...SHOULD BE PREPARED TO ENCOUNTER HIGH WINDS.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1250 AM CDT THU MAR 27 2008

.AVIATION...
DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND RESULT IN GUSTY WEST WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON.  ONLY
A FEW HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED... VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 258 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008/

DISCUSSION...
NO HUGE CHANGES MADE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE.  MODELS CONTINUE
THE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WHICH WILL CONTINUE THE HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE AREA.  MODELS STILL INDICATE A COUPLE OF FRONTS MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND AGAIN ON MONDAY.  THE FRONT ON FRIDAY
CONTINUES TO LOOK TO STALL ACROSS THE AREA WHICH WOULD PROVIDE THE
NEEDED FOCUS FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY.  STILL KEPT POPS FAIRLY ISOLATED
AND CONFINED TO THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA ON
SATURDAY.  CONFIDENCE STILL NOT TOO HIGH ON ENOUGH MOISTURE
AVAILABLE TO GENERATE ANY APPRECIABLE PRECIPITATION.  DID INCREASE
THE POPS EVERY SO SLIGHTLY ON MONDAY THOUGH AS DYNAMICS LOOK A
LITTLE BETTER FOR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.  HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE LINE
FARTHER WEST OVER THE MIDLAND/ODESSA AREA FOR NOW.  WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR FOR BETTER DETAILS.

UNTIL THEN...WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE AND THEN MODERATE WITH
THE PASSAGE OF EACH FRONT.  THURSDAY WILL BE NEARLY A CARBON COPY OF
TODAY...ALTHOUGH MAYBE A DEGREE OR TWO COOLER...BUT WHO/S COUNTING?
THE FORECAST HIGH REMAINS ABOUT 10 DEGREES OR SO WARMER THAN
SEASONAL AVERAGES. THE FRONTS WILL KNOCK HIGHS DOWN TO NEAR OR
BELOW AVERAGE BUT TEMPS WILL REBOUND QUICKLY IN FOLLOWING DAYS.
GIVEN THE WARM PATTERN FOR ANOTHER DAY...CONTINUED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS FOR THURSDAY. DRY
CONDITIONS WILL BE HAD AREA-WIDE...BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN BELOW
WARNING CRITERIA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE GUADALUPES. WITH
FRIDAYS FRONTAL PASSAGE...WILL SEE ENOUGH MOISTURE ALONG THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO TEMPER FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WITH RH VALUES
ABOVE 20 PERCENT IN THOSE AREAS. AND WINDS LOOK TO REMAIN BELOW
ISSUANCE CRITERIA AS WELL. /13/

FIRE WEATHER...
VERY WARM AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH INCREASING WINDS AND A
DRY AIRMASS AND HIGH FIRE DANGER HAS YIELDED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS.
LATE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WERE IN THE LOWER 90S F ACROSS THE TRANS
PECOS REGION WITH WIDESPREAD UPPER 70S TO UPPER 80S ELSEWHERE.
AFTERNOON RH/S HAVE ALSO DROPPED INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS WEST OF THE
DRYLINE. THE CURRENT RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN/HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
PLAINS...REEVES COUNTY...AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS WILL REMAIN INTACT
THROUGH THIS EVENING. OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY WILL REMAIN POOR ACROSS
THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT...AND FAIR FOR MOST OF THE PLAINS AS THE
DRYLINE IS NOT EXPECTED TO RETREAT TOO FAR WEST THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. LOW RH/S CAN AGAIN BE EXPECTED FOR MOST AREAS ON
THURSDAY. FOR NOW...IT APPEARS THE STRONGER WINDS (SUSTAINED 20 FOOT
WINDS ABOVE 20 MPH) WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.
THE CURRENT FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL REMAIN INTACT FOR THIS REGION.
WE DO EXPECT COOLER TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
INTO THE REGION. THE BIGGEST EFFECT ON TEMPERATURES AND RH/S WILL
LIKELY REMAIN EAST OF THE PECOS RIVER.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN
     NF/LNZ.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT CDT /11 PM MDT/ TO 1 AM CDT
     /MIDNIGHT MDT/ EARLY THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
     GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 10 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
245 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-271945-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
245 PM CDT WED MAR 26 2008 /145 PM MDT WED MAR 26 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

DRY CONDITIONS...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND GUSTY WEST WINDS
WILL RESULT IN CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD THROUGH THIS EVENING. AFFECTED AREAS INCLUDE THE GUADALUPE
AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...THE SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO PLAINS...REEVES
COUNTY...AND VAN HORN CORRIDOR. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT
FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS OVER THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS WILL CONTINUE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED...A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH CONTINUES FOR THIS AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND