High Wind Warning 23, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 231030
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
530 AM CDT SUN MAR 23 2008

...STRONG WINDS THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CHANNEL THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT MOVED
THROUGH THE AREA YESTERDAY.  WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER
NOON MDT TODAY.

TXZ258-231800-
/O.EXT.KMAF.HW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-080323T1800Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
430 AM MDT SUN MAR 23 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON MDT TODAY...

NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 35 TO 50 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS NEAR 60
MPH ARE EXPECTED TO CHANNEL THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS TODAY. WINDS
SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON.

MOTORISTS PLANNING TRAVEL THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS ON HIGHWAY
62 180 TODAY SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION... ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
312 PM CDT SAT MAR 22 2008

.DISCUSSION...
AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS STILL SHOWS A WEAK SURFACE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO PLAINS...
THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN...AND SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS. LOW LEVEL SURFACE MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INCREASE
ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN AND THE LOWER TRANS PECOS REGION...WHERE
DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES CURRENTLY RANGE IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED NICELY DESPITE THE SURFACE BOUNDARY AND
HIGH CLOUD COVER...WITH MOST LOCATIONS IN THE 70S TO NEAR 80 AT 2 PM
CDT. WE ARE STILL LOOKING FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN
AND WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...IN THE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY
AND AN AXIS OF RATHER STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND WEAK
INSTABILITY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS ACROSS
THE PERMIAN BASIN AND WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS MARGINAL CAPE/INSTABILITY...AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES SUPPORT SOME MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS WITH THE
STRONGER STORMS.

A POTENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH LOCATED ACROSS THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON IS STILL PROGGED TO QUICKLY DIVE SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT WITHIN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. MODELS ARE
STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
MORE ORGANIZED ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
EVENING AS THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVE SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE REGION. WE STILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION ALIGNED ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN AND FAR SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE NEW MEXICO PLAINS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...WITH SLIGHT
RAIN CHANCES EXTENDING ALL THE WAY TO THE RIO GRANDE. ALSO OF
CONCERN TONIGHT WILL BE HIGH WINDS THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS FOLLOWING
THE PASSAGE OF THE STRONG COLD FRONT AFTER MIDNIGHT. WE HAVE ISSUED
A HIGH WIND WARNING THERE FROM 06Z-15Z SUNDAY.

INSTABILITY WILL QUICKLY DECREASE EARLY SUNDAY AS COLDER AIR ADVECTS
INTO THE REGION...SO LEFT PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF RAIN
SHOWERS. HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY MAY BE REACHED EARLY IN THE DAY
WITH TEMPERATURES HOLDING STEADY...POSSIBLY DECREASING A LITTLE AS
THE DAY PROGRESSES. OVERALL A CLOUDY...COLD AND POTENTIALLY WET
EASTER SUNDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST SUNDAY EVENING...WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES
ANTICIPATED SUNDAY NIGHT.

THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS LIKE A RETURN TO WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS...WITH ZONAL FLOW ALOFT AND LEE SIDE SURFACE
TROUGHING. WE DID ADJUST TEMPERATURES A LITTLE FROM THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST...MAINLY TRENDING UPWARD A FEW DEGREES DURING THE MIDDLE TO
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THE WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH
INCREASED WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY ELEVATE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS BY
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              42  45  38  67  /  50  60  10   0
CARLSBAD NM                43  47  37  74  /  30  40  10   0
DRYDEN TX                  53  54  42  72  /  20  30  20   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           47  48  41  73  /  30  40  20   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          41  47  34  70  /  20  30  10   0
HOBBS NM                   42  46  37  71  /  50  50  10   0
MARFA TX                   38  51  32  69  /  10  30  20   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    42  45  38  67  /  50  60  10   0
ODESSA TX                  44  46  39  68  /  50  60  10   0
WINK TX                    45  49  39  74  /  50  60  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM MDT SUNDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

06/21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
247 PM CDT SAT MAR 22 2008

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-232000-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
247 PM CDT SAT MAR 22 2008 /147 PM MDT SAT MAR 22 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN LOW
ROLLING PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT WILL THEN SPREAD ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
AND MOST OF WEST TEXAS THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A FEW STRONG TO
POSSIBLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR AREAS MAINLY
EAST OF THE PECOS RIVER. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL
BE THE MAIN CONCERN WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

LOCALLY STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS NEAR 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN
BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. MOUNTAIN GAPS AND PASSES WILL BE FAVORED FOR THESE
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND