Freeze Warning 2, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 230858
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
358 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2008

...FREEZING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE BUILDING IN ACROSS WEST TEXAS
AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO THIS MORNING. CALM WINDS CONTINUE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA UNDER CLEAR SKIES. TEMPERATURES ACROSS
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS/MARFA PLATEAU HAVE
ALREADY REACHED OR DROPPED BELOW FREEZING. CONTINUE TO EXPECT
TEMPERATURES ACROSS ELEVATIONS ABOVE 6000 FEET IN THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS TO DROP BELOW FREEZING AS WELL THIS MORNING.

NMZ027-TXZ074-080-258-231500-
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.W.0002.081023T0900Z-081023T1500Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
MARFA PLATEAU-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...QUEEN...ALPINE...FORT DAVIS...MARFA...
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP...PINE SPRINGS
358 AM CDT THU OCT 23 2008 /258 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2008/

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
THIS MORNING...

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING.

THOSE WITH COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS OR ANIMALS...OR OTHER CONCERNS
RELATED TO FREEZING TEMPERATURES...SHOULD BEGIN PREPARATIONS NOW
FOR THIS FREEZE. IF YOU HAVE NOT ALREADY DONE SO...NOW IS THE
TIME TO MAKE SURE HEATERS ARE IN PROPER WORKING ORDER.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

$$

NMZ029-231500-
/O.CON.KMAF.FZ.W.0002.081023T0900Z-081023T1500Z/
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TATUM
258 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2008

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING...

TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY DROPPED INTO THE UPPER 20S THIS MORNING
ACROSS NORTHERN LEA COUNTY.

THOSE WITH COLD SENSITIVE PLANTS OR ANIMALS...OR OTHER CONCERNS
RELATED TO FREEZING TEMPERATURES...SHOULD BEGIN PREPARATIONS NOW
FOR THIS FREEZE. IF YOU HAVE NOT ALREADY DONE SO...NOW IS THE
TIME TO MAKE SURE HEATERS ARE IN PROPER WORKING ORDER.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

$$

13

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
258 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2008

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF THIS MORNING/S FRONTAL PASSAGE...BUT SPEEDS
HAVE COME DOWN A BIT FROM EARLIER. SURFACE OBS FROM GUADALUPE PASS
HAVE NEVER REALLY SHOWN WINDS WITHIN WARNING CRITERIA TODAY...AND
WIND SPEEDS HAVE DECREASED AT MT. LOCKE IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS. WE
WILL THUS CANCEL THE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THOSE LOCATIONS. THE WIND
ADVISORY THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
AND PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED.

WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THIS EVENING...AND ARE EXPECTED TO
BECOME LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE REGION. MUCH LOWER DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED
TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF THE
DRY AIR AND LIGHT WINDS SHOULD HELP TEMPERATURES DROP OFF NICELY
TOWARD MORNING. STILL SOME QUESTION AS TO HOW MUCH WRAP AROUND CLOUD
COVER WILL EXIST FROM SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO TO THE NORTHERN PERMIAN
BASIN...BUT HAVE OPTED TO GO FOR A MOSTLY CLEAR FORECAST EVERYWHERE
TONIGHT. WE WILL ISSUE A FREEZE WARNING FOR NORTHERN LEA COUNTY...
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS AND MARFA PLATEAU TONIGHT...WHERE TEMPERATURES SHOULD DROP
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S. ELSEWHERE...TEMPERATURES MAY APPROACH
FREEZING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EDDY/LEA COUNTIES...AND THE
NORTHWESTERN PERMIAN BASIN. WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT MENTION OF
FROST OR LIGHT FREEZE ACROSS THESE LOCATIONS IN THE HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

BEYOND TONIGHT...BENIGN WEATHER IS GENERALLY ANTICIPATED FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THE INTENSE UPPER LOW OVER KANSAS AND NEBRASKA
WILL MOVE LITTLE THURSDAY...BUT WILL FINALLY LIFT NORTHEAST FRIDAY.
DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM WILL
PREVAIL ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO BOTH DAYS.
SURFACE RIDGING SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES COOL THURSDAY...BUT THE
SURFACE LEE TROUGH SHOULD RE-DEVELOP FRIDAY...LENDING TO WARMER
TEMPERATURES.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE SUNDAY OR
EARLY MONDAY AS ANOTHER POTENT SHORTWAVE DIVES ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THIS FRONT SHOULD BRING BREEZY CONDITIONS BACK LATE SUNDAY
OR EARLY MONDAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD ALSO BE MUCH COOLER MONDAY. THE
GFS AND ECMWF MODELS BOTH SHOW A LITTLE MID LEVEL MOISTURE TO WORK
WITH AHEAD OF THE FRONT MONDAY MORNING...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE CWFA. HAVE OPTED TO KEEP THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW.
UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE RIDGING BEGINS TO TAKE SHAPE ACROSS THE REGION
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS TREND SUPPORTS KEEPING THE FORECAST DRY
WITH A MODERATING TREND IN TEMPERATURES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              36  65  37  74  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                33  66  34  78  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  42  69  43  79  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           39  70  42  81  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          37  62  41  72  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   33  64  34  74  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   26  65  29  75  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    37  66  37  75  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  38  66  37  75  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    36  70  38  80  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM MDT THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY...NORTHERN LEA
     COUNTY.

TX...FREEZE WARNING FROM 4 AM CDT /3 AM MDT/ TO 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
     THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
     AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...MARFA PLATEAU.

&&

49/21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
139 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2008

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-231845-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
139 PM CDT WED OCT 22 2008 /1239 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH WILL SUBSIDE IN THE DAVIS AND
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.

IN ADDITION...A FREEZE IS EXPECTED ON THE MARFA PLATEAU...IN THE
HIGH MOUNTAIN VALLEYS IN THE DAVIS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...AND
IN FAR NORTHERN LEA COUNTY AND A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT.
OTHER LOCATIONS WILL BE ABLE TO FALL INTO THE 30S. TAKE CARE OF
SENSITIVE PLANTS AND PETS TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A FROST OR LIGHT FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO AND THE MARFA
PLATEAU.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND