River Flood Warning 101, NWS Little Rock, AR

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
500 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2008

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-031000-
ARKANSAS-BAXTER-BOONE-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-
CONWAY-DALLAS-DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-FULTON-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-
INDEPENDENCE-IZARD-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-
MARION-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-NEWTON-OUACHITA-PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-
PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-SEARCY-SHARP-STONE-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
500 AM CDT TUE SEP 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA
TODAY...AND FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER WESTERN AND
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. THIS INCLUDES AREAS SOUTH OF A WALDRON...TO HOT
SPRINGS...TO MONTICELLO LINE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE TWO TO
FOUR INCHES ACROSS THIS AREA...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA.

ALSO...SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM...AS THERE
WILL BE TURNING OF WINDS WITH HEIGHT. AREAS SOUTH OF A FORT SMITH TO
SEARCY LINE ARE UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES BEING THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

WITH THE INTENSE LOW PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH OF THE STATE...WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY TODAY OVER THE SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE STATE. AS SUCH...A
LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE STATE INTO WEDNESDAY...AS
THE AREA OF RAINFALL MOVES TO THE NORTH AND EAST. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR MUCH OF
THE STATE...INCLUDING AREAS WEST OF A LINE FROM MOUNTAIN HOME TO
STUTTGART. AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
AREAS WILL BE TWO TO FIVE INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS.

PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS COULD RECEIVE MORE THAN
EIGHT INCHES OF RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM. RIVERS...SMALL STREAMS...AND
LOW WATER CROSSINGS ACROSS THIS AREA COULD SEE RAPID RISES DUE TO
THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY...AS THE STATE
WILL REMAIN ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM. DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE THE SEVERE WEATHER
CONCERNS.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE STATE FROM THE NORTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY. THIS WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE THE REMNANTS OF GUSTAV AWAY
FROM ARKANSAS. HOWEVER...IT WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR MORE SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WITH THE TROPICAL MOISTURE...AND MAY
PROLONG THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE STATE THROUGH THURSDAY.

IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT RESIDENTS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS...INCLUDING WATCHES AND WARNINGS...FROM YOUR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE REGARDING THIS FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER
SITUATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY...WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO WEATHER.GOV AND CLICK ON
CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

58

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
324 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2008

ARZ016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-030300-
ARKANSAS-BRADLEY-CALHOUN-CLARK-CLEBURNE-CLEVELAND-CONWAY-DALLAS-
DESHA-DREW-FAULKNER-GARLAND-GRANT-HOT SPRING-INDEPENDENCE-JACKSON-
JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-LINCOLN-LOGAN-LONOKE-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-OUACHITA-
PERRY-PIKE-POLK-POPE-PRAIRIE-PULASKI-SALINE-SCOTT-VAN BUREN-WHITE-
WOODRUFF-YELL-
324 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2008

...GUSTY WINDS CAUSING SOME TREES TO FALL...

NOW THAT THE GROUND IS SATURATED IN MOST OF THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS
OF ARKANSAS...THE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMAINS OF GUSTAV ARE
BRINGING SOME TREES DOWN.

MAXIMUM WIND GUSTS HAVE GENERALLY BEEN IN THE 30 TO 35 MPH RANGE...
AND THERE HAVE BEEN A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH. EVEN SO...WITH
THE SOGGY GROUND...TREES ARE BEING BROUGHT DOWN IN SOME AREAS.

THE SHERIFFS OFFICE IN DREW COUNTY REPORTED THAT MANY TREES HAVE
BEEN FELLED.

C AND L ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE HAS REPORTED PROBLEMS WITH TREES
BRINGING DOWN POWER LINES IN THEIR SERVICE AREA...WHICH INCLUDES
PARTS OF GRANT...CLEVELAND...LINCOLN...DESHA...DREW AND BRADLEY
COUNTIES.

AGAIN...THESE WINDS ARE BEING CAUSED BY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
REMNANTS OF GUSTAV...NOT THUNDERSTORMS.

WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT TONIGHT...SO MORE FALLEN
TREES AND POWER OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED.

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ON THE ALERT FOR LIMBS AND TREES ON SOME
ROADWAYS.

28

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
537 PM CDT TUE SEP 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 W LOCUST BAYOU        33.55N 92.70W
09/02/2008  M2.90 INCH       CALHOUN            AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HEAVY RAIN WAS NEAR THE CALHOUN/OUACHITA COUNTY LINE.

0330 PM     FLASH FLOOD      7 N TINSMAN             33.73N 92.35W
09/02/2008                   CALHOUN            AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING WAS REPORTED ON ARKANSAS HIGHWAY 274 BETWEEN
            TINSMAN AND FORDYCE.

0330 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 N LOCUST BAYOU        33.64N 92.67W
09/02/2008                   CALHOUN            AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING WAS REPORTED ON SOME OF THE HIGHWAYS AROUND THE
            HIGHLAND INDUSTRIAL PARK.

0455 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PEARCY                  34.43N 93.28W
09/02/2008                   GARLAND            AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ONE FOOT OF WATER WAS REPORTED OVER AMITY ROAD.

0455 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG PEARCY                  34.43N 93.28W
09/02/2008                   GARLAND            AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN AND THERE WERE POWER OUTAGES.

&&

28

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
552 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2008

ARZ016-025-022350-
INDEPENDENCE-JACKSON-
552 PM CDT TUE SEP 2 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR INDEPENDENCE AND JACKSON COUNTIES
UNTIL 650 PM CDT...

AT 552 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM PLEASANT PLAINS TO
JACKSONPORT TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF GRUBBS...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.

AREAS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED INCLUDE NEWPORT...NEWARK...MAGNESS...
DIAZ...CAMPBELL STATION...TUCKERMAN...SULPHUR ROCK AND MOOREFIELD.

TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING IN LOW LYING
AREA. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ADVISED TO EXPECTED REDUCED VISIBILITY DUE
TO THE VERY HEAVY RAIN.

57