Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Warnings in 2008

Tornado Warning 10, NWS Lubbock, TX

June 19, 2008Cottle County, Texas

NWS Lubbock, TX issued this tornado warning at Jun 19, 2008, 5:43 PM CDT for Cottle County, Texas. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 19, 2008, 5:43 PM CDT (22:43 UTC)
Expired: Jun 19, 2008, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 32 min
Issued by: NWS Lubbock, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon

County Cottle County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 19, 4:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Sill, OK (KFSI), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 2185 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 141 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS54 KLUB 192243
TORLUB
TXC101-192315-
/O.NEW.KLUB.TO.W.0010.080619T2243Z-080619T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
543 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN COTTLE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TEXAS.

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 541 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THE MOST
  DANGEROUS PART OF THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SWEARINGEN...OR ABOUT
  11 MILES NORTHEAST OF PADUCAH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE SWEARINGEN.

A TORNADO MAY FORM AT ANY TIME...TAKE COVER NOW ABANDON MOBILE HOMES
AND VEHICLES FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
AT 8 0 6 7 4 5 1 2 9 0.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3422 10000 3423 10003 3423 10005 3392 10005
      3393 10008 3412 10033 3431 10017 3431 10003
      3431 9999 3423 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2243Z 310DEG 18KT 3413 10017

$$

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS54 KLUB 192302
SVSLUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
602 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

TXC101-192315-
/O.CON.KLUB.TO.W.0010.000000T0000Z-080619T2315Z/
COTTLE TX-
602 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN COTTLE COUNTY...

AT 558 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.  THE
MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SWEARINGEN...OR
ABOUT 12 MILES EAST OF PADUCAH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE SWEARINGEN.

A TORNADO MAY FORM AT ANY TIME...TAKE COVER NOW ABANDON MOBILE HOMES
AND VEHICLES FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
FRIDAY MORNING FOR THE PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3422 10000 3423 10003 3423 10005 3392 10005
      3393 10008 3412 10033 3431 10017 3431 10003
      3431 9999 3423 10000
TIME...MOT...LOC 2302Z 310DEG 18KT 3407 10008

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jun 19, 3:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 3:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
350 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

.SHORT TERM...
12Z WRF-NAM HAD THE RIGHT IDEA WITH WEAKLY CAPPED AIR MASS ACROSS
THE PANHANDLE BEING BROKEN WHEN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM STORMS ACROSS
SW KS AND NW OKLA MOVED INTO THE AREA. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TO THE ESE AND EXPECT THEM TO ALSO SPREAD SWD
TOWARD THE NERN QUADRANT OF THE FCST AREA. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALSO
GONE UP ON THE MOUNTAINS OF NRN NM AGAIN AND EXPECT THESE TO MAKE A
RUN FOR THE NWRN ZONES THIS EVENING. IN THE FCST AREA RADAR AND SFC
OBS SHOW TWO REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES TO THE W/SW OF LUBBOCK.
COULD SEE SOME INITIATION ALONG ONE OF THESE BOUNDARIES...ALTHOUGH
SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS CAP IS HOLDING ACROSS THE SRN HALF OF THE
FCST AREA. SET UP THUS FAVORS HIGH CHC TO LIKELY POPS THIS
EVENING...FAVORING NRN HALF OF THE FCST AREA. SVR POTENTIAL STILL
SEEMS DECENT...ESPECIALLY IF CONVECTION CAN DEVELOP IN THE BEST
COMBINATION OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR FROM THE NWRN ZONES SEWD TO THE
SERN SOUTH PLAINS.

PRECIP CHANCE TO CONTINUE AFTER 06Z WITH POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER MCS
TO ROLL SSEWD THROUGH THE ERN ZONES LATE TONIGHT AND POTENTIAL FOR
SCATTERED CONVECTION ON THE CAPROCK IN A MID-LEVEL INSTABILITY AXIS.
WILL MAINTAIN HIGH CHC TO LIKELY POPS AND FAVOR ERN THIRD WITH THE
HIGHEST POPS. SLIGHT CHC POPS TO CONTINUE FRIDAY PENDING WHERE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES END UP.

WILL GO TOWARD THE COOL END OF GUIDANCE FOR LOWS TONIGHT GIVEN
EXPECTATION OF WIDESPREAD CONVECTION. MODERATION FRIDAY SIMILAR TO
THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS.

.LONG TERM...
NOT MANY CHANGES NEEDED IN THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST. WILL STICK
CLOSE TO PERSISTENCE FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WHICH
CONTINUES TO FAVOR SCT AFTN/EVENING CONVECTION OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO MOVING TWD THE CWA MAINLY DURG THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HRS. HARD TO SAY WHICH NIGHT/AREAS ARE FAVORED
FOR MORE WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY...BUT AT THIS TIME...THERE IS SOME
GENERAL CONSENSUS OF THE MODELS BREAKING OUT MORE STORMS FOR
SATURDAY NIGHT.

BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK...MODELS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE A GRADUAL AMPLIFICATION OF THE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES...WITH THE RIDGE BEGINNING TO TRANSLATE EASTWARD OVER THE
SRN PLAINS. THIS WOULD TEND TO DECREASE STORM CHANCES WITH WEAKER
FLOW ALOFT AND INCREASING SUBSIDENCE. FOR NOW...WILL KEEP POPS BELOW
MENTIONABLE LEVELS PAST SUNDAY NIGHT. AFTER NEAR NORMAL TEMPS THIS
WEEKEND...READINGS SHOULD GRADUALLY CLIMB INTO THE MID/UPR 90S NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
FRIONA        62  88  63  88  64 /  50  20  30  30  30
TULIA         63  87  64  87  64 /  60  20  30  30  30
PLAINVIEW     64  88  64  89  65 /  60  20  30  20  30
LEVELLAND     65  88  64  91  65 /  40  20  30  20  30
LUBBOCK       65  89  65  90  66 /  50  20  20  20  30
DENVER CITY   65  88  64  93  65 /  30  20  20  20  30
BROWNFIELD    65  89  66  92  66 /  40  20  20  20  30
CHILDRESS     68  89  67  90  68 /  60  20  20  20  30
SPUR          67  90  67  92  67 /  60  20  20  20  20
ASPERMONT     70  91  68  93  69 /  60  20  20  20  20

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

07/21

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 19, 11:30 AM CDT, 6 hours 13 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1130 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

TXZ021>044-201630-
PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE-
FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING-
YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL-
1130 AM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

CONVECTIVE

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT. ONE OR MORE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT
AREAS NORTH OF A FRIONA TO LUBBOCK TO GUTHRIE LINE WILL BE FAVORED
FOR THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...MAINLY IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY
BE SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS
EVENING.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 19, 3:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
300 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 AM     HAIL             7 NW CHILDRESS          34.50N 100.33W
06/19/2008  E1.00 INCH       CHILDRESS          TX   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00143

RCB

Local storm report, Jun 19, 4:28 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
428 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0421 PM     HAIL             ESTELLINE               34.55N 100.44W
06/19/2008  E1.00 INCH       HALL               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00144

JWL

Local storm report, Jun 19, 5:18 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
518 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0509 PM     HAIL             3 S TELL                34.34N 100.39W
06/19/2008  E0.88 INCH       CHILDRESS          TX   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00145

JWL

Local storm report, Jun 19, 5:32 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
532 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0528 PM     TORNADO          7 N PADUCAH             34.12N 100.30W
06/19/2008                   COTTLE             TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00146

JWL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lubbock, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 19, 1:30 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Childress, Hall	60 min
Jun 19, 4:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Childress, Hall	60 min
Jun 19, 4:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Briscoe, Hall	58 min
Jun 19, 5:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Briscoe, Swisher	57 min
Jun 19, 5:07 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LUB	Briscoe, Hall	23 min
Jun 19, 5:09 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LUB	Childress, Cottle	36 min
Jun 19, 5:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Childress	46 min
Jun 19, 5:31 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LUB	Hall	29 min
Jun 19, 5:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Cottle, Motley	43 min
Jun 19, 5:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Briscoe, Swisher	67 min
Jun 19, 5:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LUB	Hall	32 min
Jun 19, 6:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Cottle	25 min
Jun 19, 6:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Castro	62 min
Jun 19, 6:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Hall, Motley	55 min
Jun 19, 6:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Cottle, King	59 min
Jun 19, 6:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Floyd	57 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Texas, 2008 Every tornado warning in 2008 Tornadoes in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.