Severe Thunderstorm Warning 68, NWS St. Louis, MO

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 280016
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
715 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008

MOC151-280025-
/O.CAN.KLSX.SV.W.0070.000000T0000Z-080328T0045Z/
OSAGE MO-
715 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN OSAGE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 3846 9165 3870 9164 3868 9159 3868 9157
      3871 9144 3869 9137 3859 9138 3859 9137
      3849 9137
TIME...MOT...LOC 0015Z 254DEG 24KT 3853 9157

$$

MOC073-280045-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0070.000000T0000Z-080328T0045Z/
GASCONADE MO-
715 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN GASCONADE COUNTY...

AT 713 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR MOUNT STERLING...OR ABOUT 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF
OWENSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 
INCLUDE...GASCONADE...BAY...DRAKE AND SWISS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR
PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME
OR BUSINESS. HEAVY RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD.

LAT...LON 3846 9165 3870 9164 3868 9159 3868 9157
      3871 9144 3869 9137 3859 9138 3859 9137
      3849 9137
TIME...MOT...LOC 0015Z 254DEG 24KT 3853 9157

$$

TILLY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
354 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008

.DISCUSSION...
UNSETTLED WX WILL CONTINUE TO PLAGUE REGION OVR THE NXT FEW
DAYS...ALTHOUGH WE SHUD GET A BIT OF A BREAK IN THE FRI-SAT TIME FRAME.

STILL WAITING FOR CONVECTION TO SHOW ITS HAND TO PIN DOWN TNGTS
PCPN. SO FAR MID LVL CAP HAS SUPPRESSED CNVTV INITIATION ALG AND S
OF VRY STG WRMFNT...BUT WITH APRCH OF SFC LO AND WHAT APRS TO BE A
WK SHTWV THINK FORCING WL OVERCOME INHIBITION TO GET TSRA GOING
OVR THE NXT HR OR TWO. HAVE CONTINUED VRY HIGH POPS FOR THE 00Z-
06Z TIME FRAME WITH THE EXPECTATION THAT STORMS WILL FIRE OVR MID
MO SHORTLY...THEN INCR IN AREAL COVERAGE AS THEY WORK INTO AND E
OF MS RVR VLY. WHILE STGST STORMS WL CERTAINLY BE OVR THE S HLF OF
FA DONT THINK THREAT WILL BE ENTIRELY LIMITED TO THE S...AS
ELEVATED CAPE IN VRY COLD AIR IN THE N COULD ALSO PRODUCE
MARGINALLY SVR HAIL FOR A WHILE THIS EVE. AND...LOCALLY HVY RAIN
CAN BE EXPECTED AS WELL.

CDFNT SHUD SURGE SWD DURG THE EVE...WITH TSRA THRT DMSNG FROM N
TO S AND CONFINING TSRA THRT TO FAR S COUNTIES AFT 06Z. TEMPS OVR
N WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW...BUT UNCERTAIN THAT PCPN WL
LINGER IN THE COLD AIR LONG ENOUGH FOR THE CHGOVR TO OCR.

FRI-SAT SHUD BE THE QUIETEST DAYS IN THE NR TERM OF THE
FCST...ALTHOUGH THEY PROBABLY WONT BE TOTALLY RAIN-FREE. PCPN ON
FRI SHUD BE LIMITED TO SM LINGERING R- IN THE S DURG THE
MRNG...BUT BY SAT IT APRS THAT CNVTN WILL BGN TO THREATEN ONCE
AGAIN AS STG WAA DVLPS IN ADV OF NXT SHTWV...WITH ELEVATED TSRA
FORMING WITH RETURN OF MODEST INSTABILITY BUT STG ISENTROPIC
LIFT.

CERTAINLY...THE HEAVIEST PCPN THRT WL BE LT SATURDAY NIGHT...THRU
SUN AND MON...AND INTO MON NGT...AS VRY MOIST AND UNSTBL
AMS...QSNTRY FNTL BNDRY...AND SHTWV ENERGY INTERACT ACR AREA.
NO WAY TO SAY FOR CERTAIN HOW MUCH RAIN WILL FALL...BUT THIS IS
NOT THE KIND OF PATTERN WE NEED AFTER THE HEAVY RAIN AND NEAR
RECORD RIVER LEVELS OF LAST WEEK. ESF ISSUED EARLIER ON THIS THRT
AND WL REISSUE WITH THIS FCST PKG AS WELL.

TRUETT

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 18Z TAFS...TRICKY FORECAST OVER THE EARLY PART OF THE
PERIOD. FRONTAL BNDRY TO REMAIN ACROSS CNTRL PORTIONS OF MO AND
INTO IL. LOW CLOUDS AND REDUCED VISBYS ARE TO BE EXPECTED N OF
THIS BNDRY...RESULTING IN IFR CONDITIONS FOR KUIN THRU THE FIRST
PART OF THE PERIOD. CIGS RISING BEHIND BNDRY.  SHRA AND TSRA
ANTICIPATED TO DVLP OVR CNTRL AND SRN MO OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HRS...SOME OF WHICH MAY BE SEVERE AS STRONG MOIST ADVECTION AND
INSTABILITY SURGE BEHIND THE FRONTAL BNDRY. IMPACTS TO
KCOU...KSUS...AND KSTL THRU THE AFTN COULD RESULT IN IFR AND VIFR
CONDITIONS. VCTS AT PRESENT BUT MAY HAVE TO AMEND AS TSRA
DEVELOPS. OVERNIGHT FRONTAL BNDRY WILL SHIFT SEWD RESULTING IN
WINDS TO SHIFT OUT OF THE N FOR ALL TAF LOCATIONS. COLD AIR
ADVECTION BEHIND BNDRY SHOULD RESULT LOWERED CIGS AND IFR TO VIFR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED...BUT ON THE BRIGHT SIDE WINDS WILL BE
BLUSTERY OUT OF THE NORTH THUS RESULTING IN BETTER VISBYS. SKIES
SHOULD BREAK OUT BY THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.

SIPPRELL

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
420 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-281215-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
420 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING. A
FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL AND LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN. IN ADDITION...A FEW OF THE STORMS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE FOR SNOW LATE TONIGHT FOR PARTS OF
NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. NO SNOW
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT...WITH AN EVEN GREATER THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS ON
SUNDAY...MONDAY...AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

THE THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN...WHICH COULD MEAN ANOTHER FLOOD
THREAT FOR PARTS OF THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT ANY HAIL...HEAVY RAIN...OR STRONG
WINDS THAT THEY OBSERVE TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

TRUETT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
541 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     HAIL             1 N COLUMBIA            38.97N 92.33W
03/27/2008  M1.00 INCH       BOONE              MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

TRUETT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
545 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     HAIL             HATTON                  39.02N 92.03W
03/27/2008  E0.75 INCH       CALLAWAY           MO   PUBLIC

&&

TRUETT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
549 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0526 PM     HAIL             3 NW COLUMBIA           38.98N 92.37W
03/27/2008  E1.00 INCH       BOONE              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            AT MEXICO GRAVEL ROAD AND BALLENGER.

&&

TRUETT