Severe Thunderstorm Warning 356, NWS St. Louis, MO

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 032145
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
444 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2008

MOC179-032200-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0356.000000T0000Z-080703T2200Z/
REYNOLDS MO-
444 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN REYNOLDS COUNTY...

AT 441 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR ELLINGTON...OR ABOUT 13 MILES WEST OF PIEDMONT...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...RURAL 
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN REYNOLDS COUNTY.

NICKLE SIZE HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED IN ELLINGTON BY THE ELLINGTON 
POLICE DEPARTMENT WITH THIS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THE 
STORM...TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3719 9110 3720 9111 3721 9114 3725 9114
      3726 9115 3738 9107 3727 9073 3717 9074
      3714 9076 3714 9078 3705 9079 3705 9084
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 298DEG 13KT 3721 9090

$$

CARNEY

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 032200
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
458 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2008

MOC179-032215-
/O.EXP.KLSX.SV.W.0356.000000T0000Z-080703T2200Z/
REYNOLDS MO-
458 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN REYNOLDS COUNTY
EXPIRES AT 500 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER 
APPEARED TO BE SEVERE.  HOWEVER...THIS STORM WILL CONTINUE TO BE 
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...PEA SIZED 
HAIL...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...AND FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING AS IT 
CONTINUES
MOVING SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 15 MPH.

LAT...LON 3719 9110 3720 9111 3721 9114 3725 9114
      3726 9115 3738 9107 3727 9073 3717 9074
      3714 9076 3714 9078 3705 9079 3705 9084
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 298DEG 13KT 3719 9084

$$

CARNEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
240 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2008

.DISCUSSION...
/238 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2008/
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SAG SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. DEWPOINTS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE UPPER 50S ACROSS NORTH MO.
EXPECT THE FRONT TO CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTHEASTWARD OVERNIGHT. BY 12Z
ON THE 4TH, THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM NORTHERN KY ACROSS
THE MO BOOTHEEL INTO CENTRAL OK. LARGE CANADIAN HIGH WILL BUILD INTO
THE REGION AND PROVIDE BELOW NORMAL TEMPS AND HUMIDITY FOR THE 4TH
AND ON SATURDAY.

WARMER AIR SPREADS BACK INTO THE REGION BY SUNDAY MORNING. VARIOUS
MODELS ARE FORECASTING 20C TEMPS AT H85 BACK INTO CENTRAL MO. TEMPS
WILL REBOUND BACK CLOSE TO NORMAL FOR EARLY JULY. THE GFS AND ECMWF
FORECAST THAT A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON
MONDAY. COLD FRONT IS THEN FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEB INTO NORTHERN KS. BOTH MODELS FORECAST THE
FRONT WILL SAG INTO THE REGION BY WEDNESDAY. INCREASED POPS IN THE
VICINITY OF THE FRONT FOR EARLY TO MID WEEK. THE ECMWF FOREASTS THAT
THE FRONT WILL CLEAR MO AND IL BY 12Z THU THE 10TH. THE MODEL HAS
BEEN PERFORMING WELL DURING THE EARLY SUMMER. THE ECMWF FORECAST 8
TO 10 DAYS AGO THAT THE COLD FRONT OVER US NOW WILL PUSH ACROSS THE
REGION.

TPS
&&

.AVIATION...
/1132 AM CDT THU JUL 3 2008/
FOR THE 18Z TAFS...

COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY SETTLE SOUTH ACROSS THE CWA. WINDS
SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST BEHIND THE FRONT WITH SOME LOWER CEILINGS
NOTED THIS MORNING. BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER HAS HELPED CEILINGS RISE
SOME...WITH KUIN NOW VFR. WILL SEE THE FRONT SETTLE SOUTH OF KCOU
AND ST. LOUIS TAF SITES THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CERTAINLY BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE FRONT...SO VCSH WITH A CB
GROUP IN ORDER.

CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES AFTER
MIDNIGHT.

CVKING

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
309 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2008

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-041215-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
309 PM CDT THU JUL 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS A PORTION OF THE
AREA AS A COLD FRONT MOVES SLOWLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA.

MODERATE TO MAJOR RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG PARTS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI AND ILLINOIS RIVERS. SEE THE APPROPRIATE FLOOD
STATEMENT FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THE FOURTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS A SMALL PORTION OF
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS FRIDAY MORNING.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION.

MODERATE TO MAJOR RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
ALONG PARTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI AND ILLINOIS RIVERS. SEE THE
APPROPRIATE FLOOD STATEMENT FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1