Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 220, NWS St. Louis, MO

May 30, 2008Audrain County, Monroe County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 30, 2008, 5:34 PM CDT for Audrain County, Monroe County, Missouri. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 30, 2008, 5:34 PM CDT (22:34 UTC)
Expired: May 30, 2008, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 41 min
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Audrain County, MO, Monroe County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 7, 1:52 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	146 days
May 30, 1:56 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 278 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 349 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -110 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 605 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 73 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 186 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 272 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLSX 302234
SVRLSX
MOC007-137-302315-
/O.NEW.KLSX.SV.W.0220.080530T2234Z-080530T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
534 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN AUDRAIN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI
  SOUTHERN MONROE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 530 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 16 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF MADISON...OR 6 MILES SOUTH OF MOBERLY...AND MOVING
  EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MADISON...
  PARIS...
  SANTA FE...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3949 9231 3955 9173 3934 9173 3934 9172
      3922 9173 3926 9232
TIME...MOT...LOC 2234Z 267DEG 39KT 3933 9239

$$

GLASS

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 302259
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
559 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008

MOC007-137-302315-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0220.000000T0000Z-080530T2315Z/
AUDRAIN MO-MONROE MO-
559 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN MONROE AND NORTHWESTERN AUDRAIN COUNTIES...

AT 558 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MADISON...OR ABOUT 8 MILES NORTH OF
CENTRALIA...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...SANTA
FE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3949 9231 3955 9173 3934 9173 3934 9172
      3922 9173 3926 9232
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 267DEG 39KT 3933 9210

$$

GLASS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 30, 2:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 30, 2:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
251 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008

.DISCUSSION...
/250 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008/
A COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM EASTERN WI ACROSS NORTHWEST MO INTO
NORTHWEST OK AT THIS TIME. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SLOWLY
SOUTHEASTWARD TONIGHT. BY NOON SATURDAY, EXPECT THE FRONT WILL
EXTEND FROM SOUTHERN IL ACROSS SOUTH MO INTO NORTHERN OK. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY BEHIND THE FRONT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED FROM NORTHWEST MO ACROSS
NORTHEAST MO AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE LATEST LAPS DATA INDICATED
CAPES HAVE INCREASED TO ABOVE 3000 J/KG FROM CENTRAL MO INTO
NORTHWEST MO. LIS ARE IN THE -5 TO -6 RANGE. SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE
IN THE MID 60S TO NEAR 70 ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. TORNADO WATCH IS
IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. A BAND OF MID 30S TO LOW
40S K INDICES IS FORECAST BY THE MODELS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
EARLY THIS EVENING.

MUCH DRIER AIR IS FORECAST TO DROP DOWN ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY.
EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MO ACROSS THE
EASTERN OZARKS DURING THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTION
ACROSS SOUTH MO SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT.

A DEEP UPPER TROF IS FORECAST TO DIG INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES BY
EARLY THURSDAY. THE ECMWF IS MUCH DEEPER WITH THIS SYSTEM THAN THE
GFS. THE SURFACE LOW THAT IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS LOOKS MORE LIKE EARLY APRIL THAN EARLY JUNE.

TPS
&&

.AVIATION...
/1251 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008/
FOR THE 18Z TAFS...CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS NORTHEASTERN MO
AND WEST CENTRAL IL. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RE-INITIATE AFTER
19Z FOR KUIN AND AFTER 22Z FOR COU...SUS AND STL BASED ON LATEST
MODEL GUIDANCE. THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE...MAINLY
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THEN SKIES TO GRADUALLY
CLEAR AS WINDS SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST BY 14Z TO 15Z TOMORROW.

BYRD

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous weather outlook, May 30, 3:39 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
339 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-311200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
339 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THESE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS TO THE REGION MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS YET ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS A PORTION OF
THE AREA FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED THIS EVENING.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 30, 5:14 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
514 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             2 S NEWARK              39.97N  91.97W
05/30/2008  E0.88 INCH       KNOX               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00202

SIPPRELL

Local storm report, May 30, 5:17 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
517 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0516 PM     HAIL             2 SE NEWARK             39.97N  91.95W
05/30/2008  E1.00 INCH       LEWIS              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL AT THIS LOCATION

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00203

PRZYBYLINSKI

Local storm report, May 30, 5:18 PM CDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
518 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     HAIL             2 S NEWARK              39.97N  91.97W
05/30/2008  E0.88 INCH       KNOX               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00204

SIPPRELL

Local storm report, May 30, 5:20 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
520 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     HAIL             CANTON                  40.13N  91.52W
05/30/2008  E0.88 INCH       LEWIS              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00205

SIPPRELL

Local storm report, May 30, 5:23 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
523 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     TORNADO          1 N CENTER              39.52N  91.53W
05/30/2008                   RALLS              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL SPOTTER REPORTS OF A TORNADO NEAR CENTER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00206

BYRD

Local storm report, May 30, 5:34 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
534 PM CDT FRI MAY 30 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     HAIL             LEWISTOWN               40.08N  91.81W
05/30/2008  E0.88 INCH       LEWIS              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00207

SIPPRELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 30, 3:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Monroe	49 min
May 30, 4:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Knox, Lewis	61 min
May 30, 4:38 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Monroe, Pike, Ralls	52 min
May 30, 4:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Marion, Shelby	48 min
May 30, 5:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Lewis, Marion	38 min
May 30, 5:19 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	LSX	Pike, Ralls	41 min
May 30, 5:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Marion	44 min
May 30, 6:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Monroe, Ralls	50 min
May 30, 6:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Audrain, Callaway, Lincoln, Montgomery, Pike, Ralls and 1 more	43 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.