Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 15, NWS St. Louis, MO

January 8, 2008Crawford County, Gasconade County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 8, 2008, 12:08 AM CST for Crawford County, Gasconade County, Missouri. It was in force for 52 min. 3 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jan 8, 2008, 12:08 AM CST (06:08 UTC)
Expired: Jan 8, 2008, 1:00 AM CST
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Crawford County, MO, Gasconade County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 99 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jan 8, 12:34 AM CST	HAIL 0.88	Cuba, MO	ALONG HIGHWAY 44 AT MILE MARKER 209.
Jan 8, 12:44 AM CST	HAIL 0.75	3 Sw Sullivan, MO	AT INTERSECTION OF LANDON ROAD AND SOUTH SERVICE ROAD.
Jan 8, 12:44 AM CST	HAIL 0.75	Bourbon, MO	DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 7, 1:52 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	146 days
Jan 7, 7:48 PM CST	Tornado Watch PDS	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 6.1 hours before the alert went out and 243 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 765 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -14 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 955 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 281 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 338 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.7
Supercell composite: 7.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KLSX 080608
SVRLSX
MOC055-073-080700-
/O.NEW.KLSX.SV.W.0015.080108T0608Z-080108T0700Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1208 AM CST TUE JAN 8 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI
  SOUTHERN GASCONADE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI

* UNTIL 100 AM CST

* AT 1204 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 15 MILES WEST OF STEELVILLE...OR
  8 MILES EAST OF ROLLA...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  STEELVILLE...
  CUBA...
  LEASBURG...
  BOURBON...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN ST LOUIS.

LAT...LON 3780 9155 3788 9154 3815 9154 3817 9166
      3821 9164 3826 9138 3821 9137 3821 9112
      3805 9110 3779 9152
TIME...MOT...LOC 0608Z 237DEG 32KT 3796 9159

$$

CARNEY

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 080637
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1236 AM CST TUE JAN 8 2008

MOC055-073-080700-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080108T0700Z/
CRAWFORD MO-GASCONADE MO-
1236 AM CST TUE JAN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CST
FOR SOUTHERN GASCONADE AND NORTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES...

AT 1234 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED
NEAR LEASBURG AND BOURBON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE...RURAL
NORTHEASTERN CRAWFORD COUNTY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKLES HAS BEEN REPORTED NEAR CUBA WITH THIS 
STORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION 
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3780 9155 3788 9154 3815 9154 3817 9166
      3821 9164 3826 9138 3821 9137 3821 9112
      3805 9110 3779 9152
TIME...MOT...LOC 0636Z 236DEG 40KT 3813 9128

$$

CARNEY

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 080701
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
101 AM CST TUE JAN 8 2008

MOC055-073-080711-
/O.EXP.KLSX.SV.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080108T0700Z/
CRAWFORD MO-GASCONADE MO-
101 AM CST TUE JAN 8 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN GASCONADE AND 
NORTHERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...AND A TORNADO WATCH 
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM.

LAT...LON 3780 9155 3788 9154 3815 9154 3817 9166
      3821 9164 3826 9138 3821 9137 3821 9112
      3805 9110 3779 9152
TIME...MOT...LOC 0637Z 236DEG 40KT 3813 9127

$$

CARNEY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 7, 11:00 PM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 7, 11:00 PM CST, 1 hour 8 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1100 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

.DISCUSSION...
BUSY JANUARY SEVERE WEATHER DAY WITH TORNADO WATCH ALREADY IN EFFECT
FOR NWRN THIRD OF THE CWA.  MAIN CONCERN DEALS WITH HOW SEVERE
TRENDS WILL EVOLVE THROUGH TONIGHT...AND POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL TONIGHT.  FORECAST IS GENERALLY BASED ON THE GFS WHICH HAS
BETTER SUPPORT OF THE OTHER MODELS...THOUGH DID DISCOUNT ITS QPF
AND MASS FIELDS THAT ARE OVERDONE BY CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK.

SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL LOOKS TYPICAL OF DEEP COOL SEASON EVENTS
WITH CURRENT MUCAPES IN THE INSTABILITY AXIS RANGING UP TO 1000
J/KG THAT IS PROGGED WHICH WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 500-1000 J/KG THROUGH
12Z.  0-6KM BULK SHEAR OF 60-80KS WILL BE MORE THAN SUFFICIENT TO
OFFSET WEAK THERMODYNAMICS TO KEEP SEVERE WEATHER THREAT GOING
THROUGH THE NIGHT.  HAIL WILL CERTAINLY BE A THREAT WITH CURRENT
RADAR SHOWING 65 DBZ CORES REACHING 15K FT.  0-1KM BULK SHEAR OF
20-40KT INDICATES THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES WITH ANY SURFACE
BASED STORM THROUGH THE NIGHT.

ALSO HAVE CONCERNS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL. CONSIDERED ISSUING A
FLOOD WATCH...BUT HOLDING OFF BECAUSE OF THE RELATIVELY DRY
SOIL MOISTURE. STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT
HIGH VALUES OF PRECIPITABLE WATER INTO THE REGION...AND THERE WILL
BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING GIVEN THE ALIGNMENT OF LOW LEVEL
AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW. WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IN THE FORECASTS AND THE HWO.

COLD FRONT WILL NOT CLEAR THE ERN PART OF THE CWA UNTIL EARLY
AFTERNOON TOMORROW.  THERE WILL STILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE
UNTIL THE FRONT PASSES.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY
BRINGING AND CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.

IN THE EXTENDED (THURSDAY NIGHT-NEXT MONDAY)...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH UPPER FLOW GRADUALLY AMPILFYING
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND ONLY SHOW SOME MINOR TIMING DIFFERENCES
IN SHORTWAVES.   THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE STRENGTH OF
THE SHORTWAVE AND SUBSEQUENT STRENGTHENING OF SFC LOW FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES.  WILL LEAN
TOWARD THE ECWMF BASED ON ITS CONTNUITY FOR THIS FORECAST.  WITH
THIS SAID...WILL KEEP CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW OVER THE EAST ON THURSDAY
NIGHT AS MIDWEEK TROUGH EXITS AREA.  ECMWF IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER THAN
OTHER MODELS WITH A TROUGH IN THE SRN STREAM THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE REGION THIS WEEKEND...SO HAVE CHC OF RAIN OR SNOW GOING OVER THE
SRN AND ERN COUNTIES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.  ECWMF SHOWS ANOTHER
WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY...BUT DOESNT LOOK LIKE
ENOUGH TO WARRANT MORE THAN SLIGHT CHANCES.  TEMPERATURES ARE BASED
ON A BLEND OF PERSISTENCE...HPC GUIDANCE AND ECWMF.

BRITT

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 06Z TAFS...
COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM EAST CENTRAL IA ACROSS NORTH MO INTO
CENTRAL OK LATE THIS EVENING. WIDE BAND OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUED FROM SOUTHWEST MO ACROSS CENTRAL INTO EAST CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST MO. SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST.
COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD TONIGHT AND ON
TUESDAY. EXPECT THE FRONT TO CLEAR THE STL METRO AREA EARLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON TUESDAY.

TPS

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 7, 9:13 PM CST, 2 hours 55 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
913 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-081200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
913 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON CONVECTIVE WATCHES...PLEASE REFER TO
THE LATEST STORM PREDICTION CENTER WATCH PRODUCTS.

SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT
ALONG WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL SPREAD
SOUTHEASTWARD THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. THESE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES
WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. IN ADDITION...THESE STORMS WILL
ALSO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ON TUESDAY...PRIMARILY
ACROSS EASTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. SOME STORMS COULD
BE SEVERE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS ON TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SNOW ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE OF SNOW OVER SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS ON
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 7, 8:46 PM CST, 3 hours 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
846 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0837 PM     HAIL             10 NNE STEEDMAN         38.84N 91.75W
01/07/2008  E0.75 INCH       CALLAWAY           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SIPPRELL

Local storm report, Jan 7, 11:04 PM CST, 1 hour 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1104 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1104 PM     HAIL             WASHINGTON              38.55N 91.01W
01/07/2008  E1.00 INCH       FRANKLIN           MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

SIPPRELL

Local storm report, Jan 7, 11:14 PM CST, 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1114 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1110 PM     HAIL             MARTHASVILLE            38.63N 91.05W
01/07/2008  E0.75 INCH       WARREN             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SIPPRELL

Local storm report, Jan 7, 11:15 PM CST, 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1115 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 PM     HAIL             WASHINGTON              38.55N 91.01W
01/07/2008  E1.75 INCH       FRANKLIN           MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

SIPPRELL

Local storm report, Jan 7, 11:20 PM CST, 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1120 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 PM     HAIL             N WASHINGTON            38.56N 91.02W
01/07/2008  M1.50 INCH       FRANKLIN           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

SIPPRELL

Local storm report, Jan 7, 11:33 PM CST, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1133 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1132 PM     HAIL             6 NW COTTLEVILLE        38.81N 90.73W
01/07/2008  E0.75 INCH       ST. CHARLES        MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LOCATION AT WINGHAVEN BLVD AND HIGHWAY N.

&&

SIPPRELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 7, 6:20 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Pike	40 min
Jan 7, 7:23 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Boone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau	52 min
Jan 7, 8:12 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Callaway, Montgomery, Warren	48 min
Jan 7, 8:27 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LSX	Pike	48 min
Jan 7, 8:35 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LSX	Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade	40 min
Jan 7, 8:52 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Gasconade, Osage	38 min
Jan 7, 9:04 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LSX	Gasconade, Osage	41 min
Jan 7, 9:43 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LSX	Lincoln, Pike	47 min
Jan 7, 9:43 PM CST	Tornado Warning	LSX	Franklin, Gasconade, Warren	27 min
Jan 7, 10:01 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade	44 min
Jan 7, 10:43 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Franklin, Saint Charles, Warren	47 min
Jan 7, 11:18 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Saint Charles, Saint Louis	42 min
Jan 8, 12:35 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Franklin, Washington	40 min
Jan 8, 1:10 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Jefferson, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis	50 min
Jan 8, 3:39 AM CST	River Flood Warning	LSX	Marion	17 hr
Jan 8, 4:26 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade, Osage, Washington	49 min
Jan 8, 4:39 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Iron, Reynolds	51 min
Jan 8, 5:02 AM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LSX	Franklin, Washington	25 min
Jan 8, 1:30 PM CST	River Flood Warning	LSX	Lincoln	20 hr
Jan 8, 2:30 PM CST	River Flood Warning	LSX	Osage	20 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.