Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2008

River Flood Warning 51, NWS St. Louis, MO

March 17, 2008Fayette County, Illinois

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Mar 17, 2008, 7:47 PM CDT for Fayette County, Illinois. It took effect at Mar 18, 2008, 10:54 PM CDT. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Mar 17, 2008, 7:47 PM CDT (00:47 UTC)
In effect from: Mar 18, 2008, 10:54 PM CDT
Expired: Mar 23, 2008, 8:24 PM CDT
In force: 5 days
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Flood severity: Minor

County Fayette County, IL

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Kaskaskia River at Vandalia (VNDI2). The gauge peaked at 26.16 ft at Mar 20, 2008, 7:00 PM CDT.

Action stage: 16 ft
Minor stage: 18 ft
Moderate stage: 24 ft
Major stage: 26 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05592500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KLSX 180047
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
747 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS... 

  KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF ON AVERAGE 0.25 INCHES OF 
PRECIPITATION THE PAST 24 HOURS AND 1.5 TO 2 INCHES FORECAST IN THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS WITH UPWARDS OF 3 TO 3.5 INCHES FORECAST BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEAST OVER CENTRAL 
AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...AS WELL AS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 
AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES EASTWARD OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  

STRONG SOUTHERLY MOIST AIR OUT OF THE GULF REGIONS WILL BUILD ALONG 
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LEADING TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
ALONG WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS ACROSS MANY BASINS IN MISSOURI AND 
ILLNOIS.
 
HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  

RESIDENTS LIVING IN THE REGION SHOULD BE AWARE OF POSSIBLE LOCALIZED 
FLOODING ON LOCAL CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS. 

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-190047-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0051.080319T1134Z-080324T0215Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.080319T1134Z.080321T0000Z.080323T0215Z.NO/
747 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA.
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
  TO RISE TO NEAR 23.0 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LEVEE BEGINS TO BE SLIGHTLY 
  OVERTOPPED.  NO RESIDENCES ARE AFFECTED AT THIS LEVEL.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/18  03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   13.4      13.5   18.1   22.5   22.7   19.9

13 follow-up statements

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 181725
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1225 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
ILLINOIS...
 
  KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS..
  KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TW AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 1.5 TO 2.2 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE 
PAST 24 HOURS AND 1.5 INCHES FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-191725-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0051.080319T1330Z-080324T0130Z/
/VNDI2.1.ER.080319T1330Z.080321T0000Z.080323T0130Z.NO/
1225 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING AND FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LEVEE BEGINS TO BE SLIGHTLY 
  OVERTOPPED.  NO RESIDENCES ARE AFFECTED AT THIS LEVEL.

$$

ILC027-191724-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.080312T1317Z.080318T1630Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1225 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TW
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 424.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 424.3 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 424.5 FEET...SOME CABINS JUST BELOW THE DAM ARE 
  INUNDATED.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   14.4      17.7   21.7   22.3   20.0   16.8
  CARLYLE TW      424  424.4     424.3  424.3  424.3  424.3  424.3

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 182036
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
336 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
ILLINOIS...
 
  KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...

  KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TW AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION 
THE PAST 24 HOURS AND AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES FORECAST IN THE NEXT 
24 HOURS...

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGHOUT THE BASIN
THRU TONIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY.  ALREADY EXCESSIVE RAINS HAVE FALLEN
WITH AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS.

THIS WILL LEAD TO EXPANSION IN EXISTING FLOODING...OR ESCALATION TO 
FLOODING IN INUNDATION FOR THE AREAS THAT ARE ONLY EXPERIENCING 
MINOR FLOODING AT THE MOMENT.

AS SUCH HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN
PREDICTED.

RESIDENTS LIVING IN AND AROUND THE REGION SHOULD BE AWARE OF LOCALIZED
FLOODING ON LOCAL CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP
VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD.  WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE 
SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-192036-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0051.080319T0848Z-080324T1600Z/
/VNDI2.2.ER.080319T0848Z.080321T0000Z.080323T1600Z.NO/
336 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 2:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE TO
  RISE TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LEVEE BEGINS TO BE SLIGHTLY 
  OVERTOPPED.  NO RESIDENCES ARE AFFECTED AT THIS LEVEL.

$$

ILC027-192036-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.080312T1317Z.080318T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
336 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TW
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 2:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 424.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 424.3 FEET BY 
  THIS EVENING.  ADDITIONAL RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 424.5 FEET...SOME CABINS JUST BELOW THE DAM ARE 
  INUNDATED.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   15.1      18.8   23.8   24.3   22.2   18.6
  CARLYLE TW       424  424.2     424.3  424.3  424.3  424.3  424.3

000 
WGUS43 KLSX 190219
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
919 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008


...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY 
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...

  KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION 
THE PAST 24 HOURS AND AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES FORECAST IN THE NEXT 
24 HOURS...ALONG WITH ASSOCIATED UPSTREAM RUNOFF.

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGHOUT THE BASIN
THRU TONIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY.  ALREADY EXCESSIVE RAINS HAVE FALLEN
WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS.

THIS WILL LEAD TO EXPANSION IN EXISTING FLOODING...OR ESCALATION TO 
FLOODING IN INUNDATION FOR THE AREAS THAT ARE ONLY EXPERIENCING 
MINOR FLOODING AT THE MOMENT.

AS SUCH HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN
PREDICTED.

RESIDENTS LIVING IN AND AROUND THE REGION SHOULD BE AWARE OF LOCALIZED
FLOODING ON LOCAL CREEKS...STREAMS AND RIVERS.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP
VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD.  WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE 
SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-200219-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0051.080319T0354Z-080324T1920Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.080319T0354Z.080320T1800Z.080323T1920Z.NR/
919 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MODERATE TO MAJOR SEVERITY...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE 
  TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.  THE DIVELY AND 
  VANDALIA LEVEES BEGIN TO BE OVERTOPPED.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   17.0      21.2   26.1   25.8   22.9   19.1

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 191715
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1215 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
ILLINOIS...
 
  KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS..
  KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TW AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 48 HOURS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-201715-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080325T0130Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.080319T0448Z.080321T0000Z.080324T0130Z.NR/
1215 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 11:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.  THE DIVELY AND 
  VANDALIA LEVEES BEGIN TO BE OVERTOPPED.

$$

ILC027-201714-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.080312T1317Z.080318T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1215 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TW
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 423.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISING TO NEAR 424.3 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL 
  RISES MAY BE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* IMPACT...AT 424.5 FEET...SOME CABINS JUST BELOW THE DAM ARE 
  INUNDATED.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   20.8      25.0   26.4   23.9   20.1   16.8
  CARLYLE TW      424  423.9     424.3  424.3  424.3  424.3  424.3

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 200159
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
859 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KASKASKIA RIVER...
 
  AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 

  AT CARLYLE TW AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DURING THE PAST
48 HOURS AND NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-210159-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080324T1054Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.080319T0448Z.080321T0000Z.080323T1054Z.NR/
859 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST NEAR 26.5 FEET TOMORROW 
  EVENING AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.  THE DIVELY AND 
  VANDALIA LEVEES BEGIN TO BE OVERTOPPED.

$$

ILC027-210158-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-080321T0223Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.080312T1317Z.080318T1700Z.080320T0223Z.NO/
859 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TW
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 423.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...CORPS OF ENGINEERS IS EXPECTED TO REDUCE OUTFLOW FROM 
  CARLYLE LAKE CAUSING THE RIVER TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 423.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  RURAL DAMAGE BEGINS.  
  TOWNSHIP ROADS IN COVINGTON BECOME INUNDATED.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/20  03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   23.1      25.4   25.8   22.6   17.8   15.2
  CARLYLE TW       424  423.7     423.0  422.6  422.6  422.6  422.6

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 201432
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
932 AM CDT THU MAR 20 2008


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
ILLINOIS...
 
  KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 

  KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TW AFFECTING CLINTON COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-211432-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080324T1200Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.080319T0448Z.080321T0000Z.080323T1200Z.NR/
932 AM CDT THU MAR 20 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.7 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.  THE DIVELY AND 
  VANDALIA LEVEES BEGIN TO BE OVERTOPPED.

$$

ILC027-211431-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0046.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CRLI2.1.ER.080312T1317Z.080318T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
932 AM CDT THU MAR 20 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT CARLYLE TW
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 8:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 423.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 423.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 423.7 FEET THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
* IMPACT...AT 423.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  RURAL DAMAGE BEGINS.  
  TOWNSHIP ROADS IN COVINGTON BECOME INUNDATED.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   25.7      26.2   22.2   18.0   15.1   14.0
  CARLYLE TW      424  423.7     423.7  423.7  423.7  423.7  423.7

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 210049
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
749 PM CDT THU MAR 20 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KASKASKIA RIVER...
 
  AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING CONTAINS NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION FORECAST IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-220049-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080324T1127Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.080319T0448Z.080321T0030Z.080323T1127Z.NR/
749 PM CDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT  7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.5 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.  THE DIVELY AND 
  VANDALIA LEVEES BEGIN TO BE OVERTOPPED.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/21  03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   26.5      26.1   22.1   17.9   15.0   13.9

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 211333
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
833 AM CDT FRI MAR 21 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
ILLINOIS...
 
  KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF UPSTREAM BASIN RUNOFF IN
ACCORDANCE WITH HEAVY RAINS EARLIER THIS WEEK...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-221333-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080324T0810Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.080319T0448Z.080321T0030Z.080323T0810Z.NR/
833 AM CDT FRI MAR 21 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 26.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.  THE DIVELY AND 
  VANDALIA LEVEES BEGIN TO BE OVERTOPPED.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   25.5      22.1   17.3   14.7   13.6   13.1

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 220130
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
830 PM CDT FRI MAR 21 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KASKASKIA RIVER...
 
  AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD STATEMENT CONTAINS NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION FORECAST
IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-230130-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080324T0517Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.080319T0448Z.080321T0030Z.080323T0517Z.NR/
830 PM CDT FRI MAR 21 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND MIDNIGHT SUNDAY.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/22  03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   23.7      22.0   16.1   12.2   11.2   10.6

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 221527
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1027 AM CDT SAT MAR 22 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...
 
  KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF UPSTREAM BASIN RUNOFF IN
ASSOCIATION HEAVY RAINS EARLIER THIS WEEK...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-231527-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080324T0500Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.080319T0448Z.080321T0030Z.080323T0500Z.NR/
1027 AM CDT SAT MAR 22 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   21.7      16.1   12.9   11.7   11.0   10.5

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 230156
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
856 PM CDT SAT MAR 22 2008


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE KASKASKIA RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
          AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-240156-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080324T1800Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.080319T0448Z.080321T0030Z.080323T1800Z.NR/
856 PM CDT SAT MAR 22 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL SUNDAY.
* AT 8:30 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/23  03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   20.2      18.8   16.0   14.1   12.8   11.7

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 231450
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
950 AM CDT SUN MAR 23 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...
 
  KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF UPSTREAM BASIN RUNOFF DUE TO
HEAVY RAINS OVER THE PREVIOUS WEEK WITH LITTLE PRECIPITATION IF
ANY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND VERY LITTLE IF ANY ANTICIPATED IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-241445-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080324T1445Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.080319T0448Z.080321T0030Z.080323T1445Z.NR/
950 AM CDT SUN MAR 23 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.  
  UNPROTECTED FARMLAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   18.0      15.9   14.7   13.8   13.1   12.4

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 240124
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
824 PM CDT SUN MAR 23 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN
ILLINOIS...
 
    THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA AFFECTING FAYETTE COUNTY


   THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS EVENT


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC051-240154-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-080324T1445Z/
/VNDI2.3.ER.080319T0448Z.080321T0030Z.080323T1438Z.NR/
824 PM CDT SUN MAR 23 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE KASKASKIA RIVER AT VANDALIA.
* AT 7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  9:38 AM SUNDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/24  03/25  03/26  03/27  03/28

KASKASKIA RIVER
  VANDALIA         18   15.6      14.7   13.5   12.7   12.2   11.7

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 17, 6:50 PM CDT, 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 17, 6:50 PM CDT, 57 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
650 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

.DISCUSSION...
HAVE NOT MADE MUCH CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST WHICH HANDLES
IMPENDING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EVENT WELL AND DO NOT PLAN ANY
CHANGES TO GOING WATCHES.

BUSY DAY SO FAR TODAY AS WIDESPREAD SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPED ON THE NOSE
OF A BROAD LOW LEVEL JET LATE LAST NIGHT AND CONTINUED INTO MOST
OF TODAY. MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE WAY THIS SYSTEM
WILL EVOLVE THE NEXT TWO DAYS. CWA WILL LIE UNDER SUSTAINED STRONG
VERTICAL ASCENT THROUGH TOMORROW CAUSED BY NORTHERN STREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH PASSING TO THE NORTH AND POSITION OF THE RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION OF THE GREAT LAKES JET. FIRST AREA OF SHRA/TSRA
NOW OVER WRN AND NRN MO WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING OVER THE
NRN PART OF THE CWA. 925-850MB MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND THETA-E
ADVECTION WILL THEN FOCUS FARTHER SOUTHEAST OVER THE CNTRL AND
SERN PARTS OF THE CWA TONIGHT. THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL BEGIN TO
CROSS THE SURFACE COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SEWD ACROSS THE
CWA TOMORROW. THIS WILL ACT TO FURTHER INCREASE LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE CWA TOMORROW AS 60KT
LOW LEVEL JET TRANSPORTS HIGHLY ANOMOLOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE
NORTHWARD INTO AREA. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
IN EXCESS OF 1.5 INCHES MAKING ANY TSRA HIGHLY EFFICIENT RAINFALL
PRODUCERS.

MODELS ARE NOW SLOWER WITH EJECTING THE SOUTHERN STREAM TROUGH
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MIDWEST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE STRONG ASCENT ALONG WITH THE GREAT
LAKES JET STREAK. HAVE UPPED POPS INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE CWA TO ACCOUNT FOR THE SLOWER MOVEMENT OF THE
LOW.

THE GFS/NAM/ECWMF/SREF ALL HAVE THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AXIS ACROSS
SRN MO INTO SRN IL INCLUDING THE FAR SRN CWA WITH LESSER AMOUNTS
DOWN TO AROUND AN INCH OVER THE FAR NRN PART OF THE CWA. DO THINK
THAT THE GFSS TOTAL OF >9 INCHES OVER THE SRN THREE COUNTIES IS
MOST LIKELY TOO HIGH BECAUSE OF NOTICEABLE GRIDSCALE FEEDBACK...
BUT CERTAINLY THINK THAT 5-7 INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE SRN COUNTIES BY WEDNESDAY BECAUSE EVEN THE SREF IS
SHOWING THIS.

TEMPERATURES ARE A BLEND OF GFS MOS AND SREF MEAN.

CONFIDENCE IN THE EXTENDED PART OF THE FORECAST (THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
NEXT MONDAY) IS LOWER TODAY AS OPERATIONAL MODELS AND THEIR
ENSEMBLES HAVE BEEN SHOWING INCREASING RUN-TO-RUN CONTINUITY
PROBLEMS.  HAVE KEPT SLGT CHC OF SHRA IN FOR FRIDAY AS BOTH MODELS
INDICATE A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS MO/IL IN ZONAL FLOW.
LAST NIGHTS RUNS OF THE GFS/ECWMF DIGS A LESS AMPLIFIED/MORE
PROGRESSIVE TROUGH LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO THE MIDWEST COMPARED
TO YESTERDAYS RUNS WHICH WAS DEEPER AND FARTHER TO THE WEST. WILL
STILL GO WITH CHC OF SHRA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS THE TROUGH
PASSES THROUGH. TEMPERATURES ARE BASED MAINLY ON PERSISTENCE AND
HPC GUIDANCE.

BRITT

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...
MAIN AREA OF PCPN ATTM EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL IL THRU NE MO INTO
CENTRAL MO THEN SWWD INTO SW MO AND NE OK. PCPN IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD INTO THE STL AREA EARLY THIS EVENING. BULK OF
THE PCPN OVER THE LAST 3H IN THE TAF SITES HAS BEEN ALL RAIN BUT
THUNDER THREAT SHOULD ENTER THE PICTURE LATER THIS EVENING. AMOUNT
AND COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED QUICKLY ACROSS NE OK
AND SW MO SINCE 22Z AND THIS TREND SHOULD PERSIST AND EXPAND NEWD AS
LOW LEVEL FORCING INCREASES TONIGHT. RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
IMPACT THE KCOU AND STL AREA TAFS WITH PRIMARILY MVFR CIGS. CIGS
WILL DROP INTO THE IFR RANGE UPON THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

GLASS

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-
     GASCONADE-JEFFERSON-LINCOLN-OSAGE-ST. CHARLES-ST. LOUIS-ST.
     LOUIS CITY-WARREN-WASHINGTON.

     FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 AM CDT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR
     IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE.

     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR AUDRAIN-BOONE-CALLAWAY-
     COLE-KNOX-LEWIS-MARION-MONITEAU-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-PIKE-
     RALLS-SHELBY.

IL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR BOND IL-CALHOUN IL-
     GREENE IL-JERSEY IL-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-MONROE IL-
     MONTGOMERY IL-ST. CLAIR IL.

     FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 AM CDT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR
     CLINTON IL-FAYETTE IL-MARION IL-RANDOLPH IL-WASHINGTON IL.

     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE
     IL.

&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 17, 3:44 PM CDT, 4 hours 3 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
344 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-181200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
344 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. FLOODING ON LOCAL
STREAMS...CREEKS AND RIVERS ARE LIKELY. LOW LYING AREAS AND LOW
WATER CROSSINGS MAY ALSO EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING. SEE FLOOD
WATCH AND WARNING PRODUCTS FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS ON THIS FLOODING
EVENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT
ARE EXPECTED TO BRING 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL TO THE AREA.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 7 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 IN MISSOURI AND INTERSTATE 70 IN ILLINOIS.

THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY CAUSE SERIOUS FLOODING ON LOCAL
STREAMS...CREEKS AND RIVERS. LOW LYING AREAS AND LOW WATER
CROSSINGS MAY ALSO EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING. SEE FLOOD WATCH AND
WARNING PRODUCTS FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS ON THIS FLOODING EVENT.

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON TUESDAY OVER SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS AND LAW ENFORCEMENT ARE ASKED TO RELAY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST. LOUIS.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

CVKING

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 17, 2:49 PM CDT, 4 hours 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
249 PM CDT MON MAR 17 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 ESE STURGEON          39.22N 92.23W
03/17/2008                   BOONE              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL SECONDARY ROADS IN NORTHERN BOONE COUNTY BETWEEN
            STURGEON AND CENTRALIA HAD WATER FLOWING OVER THEM...UP
            TO A FOOT IN SOME SPOTS. SEVERAL CREEKS WERE OVERLFLOWING
            AS WELL.

&&

BYRD

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 17, 11:36 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LSX	Monroe, Randolph, Saint Clair	6 hr
Mar 18, 1:54 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Pike	23 hr
Mar 18, 1:54 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Pike	32 hr
Mar 18, 1:54 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Calhoun	7 days
Mar 18, 1:54 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Calhoun	56 hr
Mar 18, 1:54 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Jersey	8 days
Mar 18, 1:54 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	LSX	Randolph	10 days
Mar 18, 6:20 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	LSX	Marion	5 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2008 Every river flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.