River Flood Warning 39, NWS St. Louis, MO

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 050228
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
828 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING POINTS ALONG THE
MISSOURI RIVER...
 
  
   GASCONADE AFFECTING GASCONADE AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES 

   CHAMOIS AFFECTING CALLAWAY AND OSAGE COUNTIES 

   HERMANN AFFECTING GASCONADE AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES 


.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE FOLLOW UP
STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC027-151-060228-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0040.080306T0900Z-080308T0900Z/
/CMSM7.1.ER.080306T0900Z.080307T0000Z.080307T0900Z.NO/
828 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER NEAR CHAMOIS
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET. 
* ONLY MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE TO NEAR 17.2 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE:  LOWER LYING BOTTOM LAND 
  BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

MOC073-139-060227-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0039.080305T0925Z-080310T1030Z/
/GSCM7.1.ER.080305T0925Z.080306T1800Z.080309T1030Z.NO/
828 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 4:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 23.4 FEET BY THURSDAY EVENING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.


$$

MOC073-139-060227-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0041.080306T1400Z-080309T0900Z/
/HRNM7.1.ER.080306T1400Z.080307T0600Z.080308T0900Z.NO/
828 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT HERMANN
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE TO NEAR 21.5 FEET FRIDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/05  03/06  03/07  03/08  03/09

MISSOURI RIVER
  CHAMOIS          17   15.0      15.9   17.1   16.9   15.8   14.5
  GASCONADE        22   20.8      22.3   23.3   23.4   22.8   21.9
  HERMANN          21   18.6      19.9   20.9   21.4   20.9   20.3

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 051641
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1041 AM CST WED MAR 05 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER NEAR CHAMOIS AFFECTING CALLAWAY AND OSAGE COUNTIES 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE AFFECTING GASCONADE AND MONTGOMERY 
  COUNTIES 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT HERMANN AFFECTING GASCONADE AND MONTGOMERY 
  COUNTIES 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF THE HEAVY RAIN FROM THE PAST
COUPLE OF DAYS AND NO PRECIPITATION FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC027-151-061641-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0040.080305T2159Z-080308T1200Z/
/CMSM7.1.ER.080305T2159Z.080306T1800Z.080307T1200Z.NO/
1041 AM CST WED MAR 05 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER NEAR CHAMOIS
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST NEAR 17.3 FEET THURSDAY.

$$

MOC073-139-061640-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-080310T0112Z/
/GSCM7.1.ER.080305T1200Z.080307T0000Z.080309T0112Z.NO/
1041 AM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE
* UNTIL SATURDAY.
* AT 6 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS AN ESTIMATED 22.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST NEAR 23.0 FEET LATE 
  THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.


$$

MOC073-139-061640-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0041.080306T1800Z-080309T0300Z/
/HRNM7.1.ER.080306T1800Z.080307T0600Z.080308T0300Z.NO/
1041 AM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT HERMANN
* FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL SATURDAY.
* AT 9:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST NEAR 21.2 FEET FRIDAY.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/06  03/07  03/08  03/09  03/10

MISSOURI RIVER
  CHAMOIS          17   16.5      17.2   17.0   16.1   13.7   10.2
  GASCONADE        22  E22.0      22.9   22.9   22.4   21.1   17.4
  HERMANN          21   19.9      20.9   21.2   20.6   19.2   15.4

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 060257
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
857 PM CST WED MAR 05 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR POINTS ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER...
 
  
  GASCONADE AFFECTING GASCONADE AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES 

  HERMANN AFFECTING GASCONADE AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES 

  CHAMOIS AFFECTING CALLAWAY AND OSAGE COUNTIES 


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE FOLLOW UP
STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC027-151-070257-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-080308T1200Z/
/CMSM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.080306T1800Z.080307T1200Z.NO/
857 PM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER NEAR CHAMOIS
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE TO NEAR 17.3 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE: LOWER LYING BOTTOM LAND BEGINS
  TO FLOOD.

$$

MOC073-139-070256-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-080309T1930Z/
/GSCM7.1.ER.080305T1200Z.080307T0000Z.080308T1930Z.NO/
857 PM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 4:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE TO NEAR 23.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING AND FALL
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SUNDAY.


$$

MOC073-139-070256-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0041.080307T0000Z-080308T1800Z/
/HRNM7.1.ER.080307T0000Z.080307T0600Z.080307T1800Z.NO/
857 PM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT HERMANN
* UNTIL THE WARNING I

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 061713
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1113 AM CST THU MAR 06 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI..

  MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE AFFECTING GASCONADE AND MONTGOMERY 
  COUNTIES 

.NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC073-139-071713-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-080309T1930Z/
/GSCM7.1.ER.080305T1200Z.080306T1300Z.080308T1930Z.NO/
1113 AM CST THU MAR 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CRESTING NOW AND WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD
  STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/07  03/08  03/09  03/10  03/11

MISSOURI RIVER
  GASCONADE        22   23.3      22.9   22.3   21.0   18.6   15.5

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 070330
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT +
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
930 PM CST THU MAR 06 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  
    THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE AFFECTING GASCONADE AND 
      MONTGOMERY COUNTIES 


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/


MOC073-139-080330-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-080309T2100Z/
/GSCM7.1.ER.080305T1200Z.080306T1300Z.080308T2100Z.NO/
930 PM CST THU MAR 06 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY...
  THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE
* UNTIL SATURDAY.
* AT 6 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.2 (ESTIMATED) FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/07  03/08  03/09  03/10  03/11

MISSOURI RIVER
  GASCONADE        22  E23.2      22.9   22.3   21.3   18.6   15.8

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 071540
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
940 AM CST FRI MAR 07 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE AFFECTING GASCONADE AND MONTGOMERY 
  COUNTIES 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS BASED ON NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION IN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC073-139-081540-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-080309T0959Z/
/GSCM7.1.ER.080305T1200Z.080306T1300Z.080308T0959Z.NO/
940 AM CST FRI MAR 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT  6:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 22.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  MORNING.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/08  03/09  03/10  03/11  03/12

MISSOURI RIVER
  GASCONADE        22  E22.9      21.9   20.8   19.1   16.7   14.5

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 081503
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
903 AM CST SAT MAR 08 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE MISSOURI RIVER...
 
  AT GASCONADE AFFECTING GASCONADE AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES 

.THIS FLOOD STATEMENT CONTAINS NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION IN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC073-139-091503-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-080309T1912Z/
/GSCM7.1.ER.080305T1200Z.080306T1300Z.080308T1912Z.NO/
903 AM CST SAT MAR 08 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:00 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 22.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/09  03/10  03/11  03/12  03/13

MISSOURI RIVER
  GASCONADE        22  E22.4      20.6   18.2   16.0   15.0   14.3

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 091843
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
143 PM CDT SUN MAR 09 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE MISSOURI RIVER...
 
  AT GASCONADE AFFECTING GASCONADE AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES

.THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS EVENT...

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC073-139-091913-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-080309T1912Z/
/GSCM7.1.ER.080305T1200Z.080306T1300Z.080308T1003Z.NO/
143 PM CDT SUN MAR 09 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE.
* AT  1:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO FALL TO 17.5 FEET 
  TOMORROW MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/10  03/11  03/12  03/13  03/14

MISSOURI RIVER
  GASCONADE        22   19.0      17.5   15.8   15.3   15.0   14.5

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1150 AM CST TUE MAR 4 2008

.DISCUSSION...
ROUND 2 OF WINTER STORM TAKING AIM ON FA ERY TDA. PCPN HAS BEEN
REFORMING OVR S MO AND S IL DURG THE LAST FEW HRS...AND EXPECT
ADDITIONAL AND FAIRLY RPD DVLPMT TO OCR HEADING INTO THE ERY MRNG
HRS AS DYNAMICS SHIFT E.  00Z MODEL RUNS CONT TO FCST A MAJOR
SNOWFALL FOR PARTS OF THE AREA...BUT ALL OPERATIONAL MODELS HV
SHIFTED THE AXIS OF HVIER SNW JUST A BIT SE FROM ERYR FCSTS. THIS
SHIFT WAS ALSO CAPTURED BY THE CANADIAN MODEL...WHICH HAS CONSISTENTLY
BEEN THE MODEL WITH THE MOST NW TRACK OVR THE LAST FEW DAYS AND
NGTS.

HWVR...THINK THE QPF SHIFT INDICATED BY THE MODELS MAY BE A BIT
TOO FAR S...WITH DEFORMATION ZN SETTING UP NICELY FROM SW MO INTO
N OZARKS. FORCING IN DEF ZN...INCLUDING INTS FRONTOGENETICAL
FORCING...SHUD EASILY PRODUCE 6+ INCHES OF SNOW FROM THE E OZARKS
INTO S IL DURG THE DAY...AND WITH MODELS STILL FCSTG A BIT OF
ELEVATED CAPE THINK THERE SHUD BE A FEW CLAPS OF THUNDER AS WELL
WHICH WILL HV THE POTENTIAL TO GREATLY ELEVATE SNOW TOTALS IN
ISOLATED AREAS. MIX OF -SN...IP...AND FZRA IS STILL BEING REPORTED
IN OUR XTRM SE COUNTIES ERY TDAY...BUT THINK COLD AIR WL CHG PCPN
OVR TO ALL SNOW IN THESE AREAS BY MID MRNG.

PERHAPS THE MOST DFCLT PART OF THE FORECAST IS TRYING TO PIN DOWN
WHERE THE NW EDGE OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WL SET UP. ITS GOING TO
BE ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE TO PIN DOWN AMTS IN THIS ZONE...AS
ACCUMULATIONS WILL GO FROM JUST A DUSTING TO SVRL INCHES IN A
DISTANCE OF ONLY A FEW MILES. COMPOUNDING THIS PART OF THE FCST IS
THE FACT THAT DRY AIR HAS PENETRATED A BIT FURTHER S THAN EXPECTED
OVRNGT...WHICH IS FORCING PCPN ALOFT TO SATURATE LWR LVLS BFR
REACHING THE GROUND.  LOCATION OF AFOREMENTIONED DEF ZN...ALG WITH
TRACK OF UPR LO AND MID LVL FORCING PROGS... SUGGEST THIS NW EDGE
WL EXTEND FROM RUFLY OSAGE CO TO NR CARLINVILLE. HV TWEEKED
HEADLINES JUST A BIT TO ACCT FOR THIS EXPECTED EDGE...WITH A STRIP
OF COUNTIES N OF THIS LINE IN AN ADVSRY THRU 00Z.

NO MAJOR CHGS TO GOING FCST TNGT INTO MIDWEEK...WITH GUID TEMPS
ADJ IN AN ATTEMPT TO ACCT FOR EXPECTED SNWFALL TDA.

TRUETT

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 18Z TAFS...
SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL KY LATE THIS MORNING. A BAND OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW COVERED THE STL METRO AREA WHILE IT WAS CLEAR
IN KCOU AND KUIN. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS STL METRO AREA
UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING. SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION TONIGHT AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO
THE REGION. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL NOON ON
WEDNESDAY AT KCOU AND KUIN AND IMPROVE TO VFR AT KSTL AND KSUS
THIS EVENING.

TPS
&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR CRAWFORD-
     FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-IRON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-OSAGE-REYNOLDS-
     ST. CHARLES-ST. FRANCOIS-ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-STE.
     GENEVIEVE-WARREN-WASHINGTON.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     CALLAWAY-COLE-LINCOLN-MONTGOMERY.

IL...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR BOND IL-
     CLINTON IL-FAYETTE IL-JERSEY IL-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-
     MARION IL-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-RANDOLPH IL-ST. CLAIR IL-
     WASHINGTON IL.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     CALHOUN IL-GREENE IL.

&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
652 AM CST TUE MAR 4 2008

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-051215-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
652 AM CST TUE MAR 4 2008

...MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL AFFECT THE REGION TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WINTER STORM WILL BRING HEAVY SNOW TO SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL
MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS TODAY.  WHILE ACCUMULATING SNOW IS
EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF A JEFFERSON CITY...WHITE HALL
LINE...THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 44 IN MISSOURI AND ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 IN ILLINOIS.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA...WITH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ISOLATED HEAVIER AMOUNTS.

LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MAY BE MIXED WITH THE SNOW THROUGH
MID MORNING OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

IN ADDITION...STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CREATE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING OF THE SNOW.

SNOWFALL WILL RAPIDLY DIMINISH ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ARE IN EFFECT
TODAY FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION...PLEASE
REFER TO THE WARNING/ADVISORY PRODUCT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE URGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL TOTALS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...AS WELL AS ANY THUNDER THAT THEY OBSERVE.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

TRUETT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1136 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 AM     HEAVY SNOW       CHESTERFIELD            38.65N 90.58W
03/04/2008  M5.0 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            2.5 INCHES HAS FALLEN IN THE PAST 30 MINUTES

&&

CARNEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1149 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1135 AM     SNOW             6 SE SULLIVAN           38.15N 91.09W
03/04/2008  M1.5 INCH        WASHINGTON         MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.3 INCHES OVER THE PAST HOUR

1135 AM     SNOW             FREDERICKTOWN           37.56N 90.30W
03/04/2008  M1.0 INCH        MADISON            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CONTINUING TO SNOW

1135 AM     HEAVY SNOW       CREVE COEUR             38.66N 90.44W
03/04/2008  M4.0 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY SNOW CONTINUES

1140 AM     HEAVY SNOW       OVERLAND                38.70N 90.37W
03/04/2008  M7.0 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CONTINUING TO SNOW HEAVILY

&&

CARNEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1202 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 AM     HEAVY SNOW       WEBSTER GROVES          38.59N 90.35W
03/04/2008  M4.0 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   PUBLIC

            HEAVY SNOW CONTINUING

1045 AM     HEAVY SNOW       KIRKWOOD                38.58N 90.42W
03/04/2008  M3.5 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY SNOW CONTINUING

1045 AM     SNOW             6 SE SULLIVAN           38.15N 91.09W
03/04/2008  M1.0 INCH        WASHINGTON         MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

1045 AM     HEAVY SNOW       MANCHESTER              38.59N 90.51W
03/04/2008  M3.5 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2.2 INCHES IN THE PAST HOUR

1145 AM     HEAVY SNOW       ELLISVILLE              38.59N 90.59W
03/04/2008  M6.0 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CONTINUING TO SNOW HEAVILY

1145 AM     HEAVY SNOW       CARLINVILLE             39.28N 89.88W
03/04/2008  M2.5 INCH        MACOUPIN           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            2.5 INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER THE PAST 2 1/2 HOURS

1145 AM     HEAVY SNOW       OVERLAND                38.70N 90.37W
03/04/2008  M7.0 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CONTINUING TO SNOW HEAVILY

1145 AM     HEAVY SNOW       STEELVILLE              37.97N 91.36W
03/04/2008  M6.0 INCH        CRAWFORD           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SNOW TAPERING OFF

1145 AM     ICE STORM        DU BOIS                 38.22N 89.21W
03/04/2008                   WASHINGTON         IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1/4-1/2 INCH ICE ESTIMATED. TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES
            DOWN...WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES SINCE YESTERDAY EVENING.

1150 AM     HEAVY SNOW       2 E BRIDGETON           38.77N 90.39W
03/04/2008  M6.1 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            OFFICIAL SNOWFALL MEASUREMENT AT KSTL LAMBERT
            INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT

1150 AM     HEAVY SNOW       2 SSE POTOSI            37.91N 90.77W
03/04/2008  M6.0 INCH        WASHINGTON         MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            VISIBILITY ESTIMATED AT 200 YARDS IN HEAVY SNOW

1155 AM     SNOW             CEDAR HILL              38.36N 90.64W
03/04/2008  M3.0 INCH        JEFFERSON          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

1155 AM     HEAVY SNOW       CHESTERFIELD            38.65N 90.58W
03/04/2008  M6.5 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            1.5 INCHES MEASURED IN THE PAST 30 MINUTES

1155 AM     HEAVY SNOW       CREVE COEUR             38.66N 90.44W
03/04/2008  M6.2 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            6.2 INCHES MEASURED IN THE PAST 3 HOURS

&&

CARNEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1219 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1155 AM     HEAVY SNOW       ST. CLAIR               38.35N 90.98W
03/04/2008  M8.0 INCH        FRANKLIN           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CONTINUING TO SNOW HEAVILY

1155 AM     SNOW             CADET                   37.99N 90.69W
03/04/2008  M5.0 INCH        WASHINGTON         MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

1200 PM     SNOW             MARYLAND HEIGHTS        38.72N 90.48W
03/04/2008  M5.0 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LIGHT SNOW CONTINUING

1200 PM     SNOW             COLUMBIA                38.46N 90.23W
03/04/2008  M1.8 INCH        MONROE             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LIGHT SNOW CONTINUING

1200 PM     SNOW             BYRNES MILL             38.44N 90.57W
03/04/2008  M4.2 INCH        JEFFERSON          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

1205 PM     HEAVY SNOW       FLORISSANT              39.49N 91.79W
03/04/2008  M8.0 INCH        MONROE             MO   PUBLIC

1210 PM     SNOW             10 NNW POTOSI           38.07N 90.85W
03/04/2008  M2.3 INCH        WASHINGTON         MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

1210 PM     HEAVY SNOW       CRESTWOOD               38.56N 90.38W
03/04/2008  M5.0 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

1210 PM     HEAVY SNOW       CEDAR HILL              38.36N 90.64W
03/04/2008  M5.0 INCH        JEFFERSON          MO   PUBLIC

1210 PM     HEAVY SNOW       PACIFIC                 38.48N 90.75W
03/04/2008  M4.0 INCH        FRANKLIN           MO   PUBLIC

            1.5 INCHES IN THE PAST HOUR...CONTINUING TO SNOW HEAVILY

1210 PM     SNOW             MEHLVILLE               38.50N 90.32W
03/04/2008  M3.9 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

1210 PM     HEAVY SNOW       4 NE FARMINGTON         37.82N 90.37W
03/04/2008  M3.0 INCH        STE. GENEVIEVE     MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CONTINUING TO SNOW HEAVILY...VERY POOR VISIBILITY

&&

CARNEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1232 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 PM     HEAVY SNOW       MANCHESTER              38.59N 90.51W
03/04/2008  M5.0 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

1215 PM     HEAVY SNOW       BOURBON                 38.15N 91.25W
03/04/2008  M6.3 INCH        CRAWFORD           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

1215 PM     HEAVY SNOW       EUREKA                  38.50N 90.64W
03/04/2008  M7.0 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   PUBLIC

1215 PM     SNOW             BETHALTO                38.90N 90.05W
03/04/2008  M2.0 INCH        MADISON            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

1215 PM     HEAVY SNOW       JERSEYVILLE             39.12N 90.33W
03/04/2008  E2.0 INCH        JERSEY             IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WHITE OUT CONDITIONS...ROADS NEARLY IMPASSIBLE...SNOW
            BLOWING AND DRIFTING

1220 PM     HEAVY SNOW       OFALLON                38.78N 90.71W
03/04/2008  M1.8 INCH        ST. CHARLES        MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY SNOW CONTINUING...1 INCH FELL IN 40 MINUTES

1225 PM     SNOW             NEW MELLE               38.71N 90.88W
03/04/2008  M4.0 INCH        ST. CHARLES        MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1 INCH PER HOUR SNOWFALL RATE. BLOWING AND DRIFTING
            SNOW...SOME SNOW DRIFTS UP TO 12 INCHES DEEP.

&&

CARNEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1245 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1225 PM     HEAVY SNOW       ST. LOUIS               38.64N 90.24W
03/04/2008  M5.5 INCH        ST. LOUIS CITY     MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

1230 PM     HEAVY SNOW       GODFREY                 38.97N 90.19W
03/04/2008  M9.0 INCH        MADISON            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

1230 PM     HEAVY SNOW       CHESTERFIELD            38.65N 90.58W
03/04/2008  M7.0 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SNOWFALL RATE HAS DECREASED TO AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR

1230 PM     SNOW             MADISON                 38.68N 90.15W
03/04/2008  M3.5 INCH        MADISON            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR

1235 PM     HEAVY SNOW       FENTON                  38.54N 90.45W
03/04/2008  M6.3 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STILL SNOWING HEAVILY

1235 PM     HEAVY SNOW       CREVE COEUR             38.66N 90.44W
03/04/2008  M8.5 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   PUBLIC

1240 PM     HEAVY SNOW       FLORISSANT              38.80N 90.32W
03/04/2008  M9.0 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   PUBLIC

1240 PM     HEAVY SNOW       OVERLAND                38.70N 90.37W
03/04/2008  M8.0 INCH        ST. LOUIS          MO   PUBLIC

&&

CARNEY