River Flood Warning 37, NWS St. Louis, MO

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 040206
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
806 PM CST MON MAR 03 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING IN MISSOURI...
 
  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY

.THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS EVENT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FORECASTS AS CONDITIONS CHANGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC127-040236-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-080305T0109Z/
/PALM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
806 PM CST MON MAR 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA.
* AT  7:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 16.0 FEET AND WILL CONTINUE TO FALL 
  TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. 


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/04  03/05  03/06  03/07  03/08

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          16   14.6      13.0   11.7   11.1   10.7   10.6

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1132 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

.DISCUSSION...
STRONG CDFNT EXTDG FM NR CHICAGO SW THRU ST LOUIS TO BETWEEN
SPRINGFIELD AND WEST PLAINS. THE TEMPERATURES WERE DROPPING RAPIDLY
BHND THE CDFNT. TEMPERATURES HAVE FALLEN ALMOST 30 DGRS IN THE
LAST TWO HRS IN PARTS OF THE STL METRO AREA. A BAND OF SHRA AND
TSRA CONT ALONG AND JUST AHD OF THE FNT WITH LIGHTER RAINS BHND
THE CDFNT. THIS RAIN SHOULD CONT ACRS THE SRN AND ERN PTN OF THE
CWA THIS MRNG WHERE THE STG SWLY LLJ WILL CONT TO BRING STG
TEMPERATURE AND MOISTURE ADVCTN TO THE REGION. THE RAIN SHOULD
BCM QUITE LIGHT AND PATCHY OVR THE NRN AND WRN PTN OF THE CWA
THOUGH LATER THIS MRNG. THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR PCPN SHOULD CONT
THIS AFTN MAINLY S AND E OF STL AS THE MID LVL LOW CURRENTLY OVR
SERN NM MOVES EWD THRU TX WITH A SFC WAVE DVLPG ALONG THE FNT IN
ERN TX WHICH WILL MOVE NEWD THRU SRN AR. WITH THE SFC TEMPERATURE
CONTG TO DROP THRU THE DAY BHND THE CDFNT THE RAIN WILL GRADUALLY
CHANGE OVER TO A MIXTURE OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET...THEN TO A
MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET AS THE SFC LYR OF COLD AIR CONTS TO DEEPEN.
IT APRS THAT THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR SLEET AND ICE ACCUMULATION
WILL OCCUR OVER THE SERN HALF OF THE CWA TGT MAINLY S AND SE OF
STL WHERE THE MDLS DEPICT STG LOW-MID LVL WAA NE OF THE 850 MB LOW
WHICH WILL MOVE NEWD THRU AR. ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR
THE SERN HALF OF THE CWA THIS AFTN THRU TUE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
SIGNIFICANT FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET CAUSING VERY HAZARDOUS
DRIVING CONDITIONS. THE WINTERY MIX SHOULD CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW
ON TUE AS THE MID LVL LOW AND 850 MB LOW MOVE NEWD THRU SERN MO
WITH THE SFC LOW FURTHER SE MOVG THRU WRN PTNS OF TN AND KY. THIS
IS A FAVORABLE STORM TRACK FOR HEAVY SNOW TO OCCUR ALONG THE I-44
CORRIDOR. THE MDLS ARE SHOWING A WELL DEFINED TROWAL STRUCTURE
WHICH WILL MOVE NEWD THRU THE STL METRO AREA LT TGT AND TUE MRNG.
STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHERE THE HEAVIEST SNOW BAND WILL
OCCUR ON TUE BUT IT APRS THAT IT SHOULD BE OVER OR AT LEAST CLOSE
TO THE STL METRO AREA WHERE 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW MAY FALL ON TUE.
THE LATEST NAM MDL WAS ALSO SHOWING A BAND OF -.25 EPV FM 600-650
MB OVER SWRN IL AT 12Z TUE. THIS MAY INDICATE A POTENTIAL OF
CONVECTIVE THUNDERSNOW OR A LEAST CSI BANDING WHICH COULD ENHANCE
THE SNOW AMOUNTS LOCALLY. EARLY MARCH IS ALSO A FAVORABLE TIME FOR
THUNDERSNOW IN THIS AREA. THE SNOW SHOULD TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES BY
TUE EVNG AS THE MID-UPR LVL LOW MOVES E OF THE CWA.

GKS

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 18Z TAFS...
APPEARS NEXT BATCH OF RAIN/FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 THIS AFTERNOON.
MEANWHILE...COLD AIR CONTINUES TO BUILD ACROSS THE REGION. THIS
WILL CHANGE THE RAIN TO SLEET AND THEN SNOW FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST. APPEARS PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...WITH
DEFORMATION ZONE SETTING UP ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44
CORRIDOR AFTER 09Z TONIGHT...AND LASTING THROUGH THE END OF THE
VALID TAF PERIOD. KUIN AND KCOU WILL BE ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF
THIS SYSTEM.

CVKING

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR CRAWFORD-
     FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-IRON-JEFFERSON-LINCOLN-MADISON-OSAGE-
     REYNOLDS-ST. CHARLES-ST. FRANCOIS-ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-
     STE. GENEVIEVE-WARREN-WASHINGTON.

     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-ST.
     FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR AUDRAIN-BOONE-
     CALLAWAY-COLE-MONITEAU-MONTGOMERY-PIKE.

IL...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR BOND IL-CALHOUN
     IL-CLINTON IL-FAYETTE IL-GREENE IL-JERSEY IL-MACOUPIN IL-
     MADISON IL-MARION IL-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-RANDOLPH IL-
     ST. CLAIR IL-WASHINGTON IL.

     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR BOND IL-CLINTON IL-FAYETTE
     IL-MARION IL-MONROE IL-RANDOLPH IL-ST. CLAIR IL-WASHINGTON
     IL.

     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR PIKE IL.

&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
637 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-041230-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
637 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POSSIBLE TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING
OVER PARTS OF THE BI-STATE AREA...
...WINTER STORM WILL BEGIN IMPACTING PORTIONS OF THE AREA TODAY AND
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE TODAY INTO THIS EVENING OVER MAINLY SOUTHEASTERN
MISSOURI AND SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS ALONG AND JUST BEHIND A STRONG
COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEASTWRD THROUGH THE REGION. AS A
RESULT...FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING FOR
PARTS OF THE BI-STATE AREA. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION...PLEASE
REFER TO THE WATCH PRODUCT.

THE RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW
LATER TODAY AS COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET BY EARLY THIS
EVENING ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE
EASTERN OZARKS INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS TONIGHT...WITH
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SLEET AND ICE FROM FREEZING RAIN.
FURTHER NORTH...SNOW SHOULD BECOME THE PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION
TYPE. A WINTER STORM WARNING AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY ARE IN EFFECT
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO THE WARNING/ADVISORY PRODUCT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE FINAL THRUST OF THE STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA ON TUESDAY
WHEN A BAND OF SNOW...POTENTIALLY HEAVY IS EXPECTED IN THE
VICINITY OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR IN MISSOURI AND INTERSTATE
70 IN ILLINOIS. AS MUCH AS 5 TO 9 INCHES OF SNOW ARE POSSIBLE IN
THIS AREA BY TUESDAY EVENING WHEN THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT PRECIPITATION TYPES AND AMOUNTS
AND ANY SNOW...SLEET OR ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

GKS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1213 PM CST MON MAR 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1212 PM     SLEET            ROSEBUD                 38.39N 91.40W
03/03/2008  U0.00 INCH       GASCONADE          MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            COMBINATION OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FALLING.

&&

CVKING

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
255 PM CST MON MAR 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     SLEET            BRIDGETON               38.77N 90.43W
03/03/2008  E0.00 INCH       ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SLEET MIXING IN WITH THE FREEZING RAIN

0220 PM     SLEET            MARYLAND HEIGHTS        38.72N 90.48W
03/03/2008  E0.00 INCH       ST. LOUIS          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SLEET MIXING IN WITH THE FREEZING RAIN

0230 PM     SLEET            TOWN AND COUNTRY        38.62N 90.48W
03/03/2008  E0.00 INCH       ST. LOUIS          MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            SLEET MIXING IN WITH THE FREEZING RAIN

0230 PM     FREEZING RAIN    POTOSI                  37.94N 90.78W
03/03/2008  E0.00 INCH       WASHINGTON         MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SLEET MIXING IN WITH THE FREEZING RAIN. ICE STARTING TO
            ACCUMULATE ON TREES AND POWER LINES WITH A TEMPERATURE OF
            30 DEGREES.

&&

BRM