Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2008

River Flood Warning 277, NWS St. Louis, MO

September 13, 2008Marion County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Sep 13, 2008, 11:13 AM CDT for Marion County, Missouri. It took effect at Sep 14, 2008, 12:30 AM CDT. It was in force for 37 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 13, 2008, 11:13 AM CDT (16:13 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 14, 2008, 12:30 AM CDT
Expired
Sep 15, 2008, 1:54 PM CDT
In force
37 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Flood severity
Moderate

County Marion County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point North River (MO) at Palmyra (PALM7). The gauge peaked at 21.36 ft at Sep 14, 2008, 6:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderatemajor510152009/1309/1409/1509/16
Action stage
11 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
16 ft
Major stage
22 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05501000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KLSX 131613
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1113 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI... 

 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS BASED ON RAINFALL UPWARDS TO 3 INCHES OR
HIGHER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND 2.5 INCHES IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...


HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-141613-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0275.080913T2100Z-080918T1115Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.080913T2100Z.080914T1800Z.080917T1115Z.UU/
1113 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN RISE TO 
  NEAR 24.0 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.


$$

MOC111-141612-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0276.080914T0726Z-080918T1617Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.080914T0726Z.080915T1200Z.080917T1617Z.NR/
1113 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT AND THEN RISE TO 
  NEAR 21.5 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.


$$

MOC127-141612-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0277.080914T0530Z-080916T1836Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.080914T0530Z.080914T1800Z.080915T1836Z.UU/
1113 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT AND THEN RISE TO 
  NEAR 18.9 FEET TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE LEFT BANK 
  BEGINS FLOODING NEAR THE GAGE.


$$

MOC127-141612-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0278.080914T0600Z-080918T1630Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.080914T0600Z.080916T0000Z.080917T1630Z.NO/
1113 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT AND THEN RISE TO 
  NEAR 15.0 FEET BY MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   09/14  09/15  09/16  09/17  09/18

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12    7.8      23.5   20.3   15.0   11.9    9.6

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11    7.3      12.9   21.5   18.2   12.0    8.4

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13    8.3      16.6   14.3   10.4    8.5    6.8

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10    7.7      11.4   14.2   14.7   10.7    5.6
5 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 141349
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
849 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SALT RIVER NEAR NEW LONDON AFFECTING RALLS COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI..
  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF UPWARDS OF 3 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION THE 
PAST 24 HOURS AND UPWARDS TO 2 INCHES FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-151349-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0276.000000T0000Z-080918T0849Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.080913T1840Z.080915T1200Z.080917T0849Z.NR/
849 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.5 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING.


$$

MOC113-151348-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0268.000000T0000Z-080917T0616Z/
/TRYM7.3.ER.080912T1958Z.080915T1200Z.080916T0616Z.NO/
849 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 30.0 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.



$$

MOC113-151348-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0280.080915T0220Z-080920T0218Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.080915T0220Z.080916T1200Z.080918T1418Z.NO/
849 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM THIS EVENING TO FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 

$$

MOC111-151348-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0275.000000T0000Z-080918T1851Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.080913T2012Z.080915T1200Z.080917T1851Z.UU/
849 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.0 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.


$$

MOC127-151348-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0277.000000T0000Z-080916T2308Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.080914T0001Z.080914T1800Z.080915T2308Z.UU/
849 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.8 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY EVENING.



$$

MOC127-151348-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0278.000000T0000Z-080918T1800Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.080913T2342Z.080915T1200Z.080917T1800Z.NO/
849 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY 
  EARLY AFTERNOON.



$$

MOC173-151348-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0284.000000T0000Z-080915T2100Z/
/NLDM7.1.ER.080914T0517Z.080914T1800Z.080914T2100Z.NO/
849 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT RIVER NEAR NEW LONDON
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.8 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   09/15  09/16  09/17  09/18  09/19

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   15.3      21.5   17.3   10.1    6.4    5.6

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   22.0      30.0   14.6    8.8    7.4    6.9
  OLD MONROE       24             27.4   33.1   29.6   24.5   19.4

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   16.8      24.0   16.9   12.9   10.1    8.0

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   19.5      15.8   11.0    8.8    7.2    5.8

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   13.2      17.0   15.3   11.0    5.9    4.0

SALT RIVER
  NEW LONDON       19   20.5      15.3   14.6   13.5   13.4   13.3
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 150150
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
850 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF NEARLY FIVE INCHES OF RAINFALL
DURING THE PREVIOUS 24 HOURS AND NO ADDITIONAL RAIN IS IN THE
FORECAST...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-160149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0268.000000T0000Z-080917T0300Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.080912T1958Z.080915T1200Z.080916T0300Z.NO/
850 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.7 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY  
  LATE EVENING.

$$

MOC113-160149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0280.000000T0000Z-080920T0210Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.080916T1200Z.080918T1410Z.NO/
850 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* THE LATEST ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 23.6 FEET.  
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...CREST NEAR 32.1 FEET TUESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 31.8 FEET...OLD HIGHWAY 79 FLOODS BETWEEN OLD MONROE
  AND HIGHWAY 79.
* IMPACT...AT 30.8 FEET...THE CORNER OF SYCAMORE ST. AND FIRST STREET 
  IS FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 30.6 FEET...LOW STEEL ON BNSF RAILROAD BRIDGE
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING BEGINS.  RESIDENTIAL
  FLOODING IN OLD MONROE.
* IMPACT...AT 29.1 FEET...STREETS IN OLD MONROE BEGIN FLOODING.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.  MODERATE FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.

$$

MOC111-160149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0276.000000T0000Z-080918T0951Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.080913T1840Z.080915T1200Z.080917T0951Z.NR/
850 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.3 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.

$$

MOC111-160149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0275.000000T0000Z-080918T0130Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.080913T2012Z.080915T1200Z.080917T0130Z.UU/
850 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING.  


$$

MOC127-160149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0278.000000T0000Z-080918T1936Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.080913T2342Z.080916T0000Z.080917T1936Z.NO/
850 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.6 FEET BY 
  MONDAY EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.8 FEET...3000 ACRES ARE FLOODED.


$$

MOC127-160149-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0277.000000T0000Z-080917T0045Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.080914T0001Z.080914T2115Z.080916T0045Z.UU/
850 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED AT 21.43 FEET EARLIER THIS EVENING AND   
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.

$$


&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   09/15  09/16  09/17  09/18  09/19

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   16.0      15.6   10.5    7.0    5.9    5.6

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   25.7      14.3    8.9    7.5    7.0    6.8
  OLD MONROE       24  E23.6      32.1   29.1   24.4   19.9   16.6

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   17.8      12.9   11.3    9.8    7.9    6.1

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   13.9      15.8   11.4    6.2    4.3    3.7

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   21.2       9.2    5.7    4.8    4.5    4.4
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 151246
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
745 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
IN THE PAST 48 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-161245-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0276.000000T0000Z-080918T2248Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.080913T1840Z.080916T0000Z.080917T2248Z.NR/
745 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 21.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

MOC111-161244-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0275.000000T0000Z-080918T2145Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.080913T2012Z.080916T0000Z.080917T2145Z.UU/
745 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:44 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 22.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

MOC127-161244-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0277.000000T0000Z-080920T0000Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.080914T0001Z.080914T2115Z.080919T0000Z.UU/
745 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING.


$$

MOC127-161244-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0278.000000T0000Z-080919T0849Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.080913T2342Z.080916T1800Z.080918T0849Z.NO/
745 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 15.5 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  THURSDAY MORNING.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   09/16  09/17  09/18  09/19  09/20

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   19.5      18.9   13.2    9.5    7.8    6.5

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   20.4      17.5   13.5   10.3    8.0    5.9

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   17.9      16.5   14.8   13.6   12.5   11.7

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   13.1      15.4   14.4    8.6    4.5    3.7
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 151358
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
858 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION THE 
PAST 48 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-161358-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0276.000000T0000Z-080918T2200Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.080913T1840Z.080916T0000Z.080917T2200Z.NR/
858 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.2 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 21.0 FEET BY THIS
  EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

MOC113-161357-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0268.000000T0000Z-080916T2223Z/
/TRYM7.3.ER.080912T1958Z.080915T1130Z.080915T2223Z.NO/
858 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.4 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.



$$

MOC113-161357-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0280.000000T0000Z-080920T0345Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.080916T0600Z.080918T1545Z.NO/
858 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 

$$

MOC111-161357-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0275.000000T0000Z-080918T1424Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.080913T2012Z.080915T1800Z.080917T1424Z.UU/
858 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 22.0 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

MOC127-161357-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0277.000000T0000Z-080917T0425Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.080914T0001Z.080914T2115Z.080916T0425Z.UU/
858 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.


$$

MOC127-161357-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0278.000000T0000Z-080919T0910Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.080913T2342Z.080916T1200Z.080918T0910Z.NO/
858 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 15.2 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  MORNING.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   09/16  09/17  09/18  09/19  09/20

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   20.2      18.9   13.2    8.6    6.8    6.0

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   27.4      13.9    8.9    7.5    7.0    6.8
  OLD MONROE       24             31.4   27.4   24.5   20.7   16.8

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   21.4      16.7   12.4    9.2    7.0    5.2

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   16.9      10.7    6.3    5.0    4.4    4.3

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   12.9      15.2   14.1    8.7    4.5    3.7
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 151854
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
153 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY

.THIS IS THE LAST STATEMENT REGARDING THIS WARNING EVENT...


THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC127-151923-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0277.000000T0000Z-080917T0425Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.080914T0001Z.080914T2115Z.080915T1615Z.UU/
153 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA.
* AT  1:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.0 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11:15 AM MONDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 7.1 FEET BY TUESDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   09/16  09/17  09/18  09/19  09/20

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   11.0       7.1    5.1    4.7    4.5    4.3

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 13, 7:32 AM CDT, 3 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 13, 7:32 AM CDT, 3 hours 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
732 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

.DISCUSSION...
/303 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008/
STILL EXPECTING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE CWA THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. GOING FORECAST INCLUDING THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH LOOKS
GOOD AND HAVE MADE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS IT. THE NAM HAS SLOWED
THE PROGRESSION OF IKE CONSIDERABLY COMPARED TO 24 HOURS AGO AND
IS NOW THE SLOWEST OF THE MODELS. THE GFS HAS SPED UP THE MOVEMENT
CONSIDERABLY AND NOW IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE CONSISTENT
ECMWF...SO HAVE USED A BLEND OF THE 00Z RUNS OF THE GFS/ECMWF FOR
THIS FORECAST.

THE GROUND HAS ALREADY BECOME SATURATED IN AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF
I-70 WHERE RAINFALL FROM YESTERDAY WAS GENERALLY IN THE 1-2 RANGE
WITH A FEW SPOTS SEEING 3-4 BASED ON RADAR ESTIMATES.   ATMOSPHERE
IS VERY MOIST FOR THE MIDDLE OF SEPTEMBER.  00Z 850MB ANALYSIS SHOWS
A REMARKABLY LARGE PART OF THE CONUS WITH 15C+ DEWPOINTS.
PRECIPITABLE WATERS WILL BE WELL OVER 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
CLIMO WITH VALUES OF 1.75-2.5 THE NEXT 36 HOURS WITH K INDICES
BETWEEN 35-40 OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS ALONG WITH WARM CLOUD
DEPTHS AS HIGH AS 4.5KM INDICATES SHRA/TSRA WILL BE EFFICIENT AT
PRODUCING HIGH RAINFALL RATES.

FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM CNTRL IA THRU FAR NW MO INTO CNTRL
KS WILL MOVE EAST TODAY IN RESPONSE TO NRN PLAINS MID-LEVEL TROUGH
LIFTING ENEWD...BUT THEN STALL OVER NERN/CNTRL MO THIS AFTN AHEAD
OF IKE. THERE WILL BE STRONG LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG
THIS FRONT IN CONJUNCTION WITH ASCENT FROM THE AFOREMENTIONED
TROUGH...SO HAVE GONE WITH CATEGORICAL POPS IN THIS PART OF THE
CWA. FARTHER EAST...HAVE CHC/LIKELY POPS GOING WHERE MLCAPES WILL
INCREASE INTO THE 500-1000 J/KG RANGE WITH INCREASING LARGE SCALE
ASCENT. HAVE CONCERN PER SWODY1 PARTICULARLY OVER THE SRN HALF OF
THE CWA WHERE SMALL SUPERCELLS MAY DEVELOP WITH SOME THREAT FOR
TORNADOES GIVEN 0-1KM SHEAR OF 20KTS. HAVE CATEGORICAL POPS WITH
THE MENTION OF HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGHOUT THE CWA TONIGHT. VERY STRONG
UPWARD MOTION WILL OCCUR AS THE AREA WILL LIE UNDER THE RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION OF A GREAT LAKES JET STREAK AND DIFFLUENT FLOW
AHEAD OF IKE. ALSO...AXIS OF STRONG 925-850MB MOISTURE CONVERGENCE
WILL SET UP BY LATE THIS AFTN/EARLY THIS EVENING OVER THE NWRN
HALF OF THE CWA AND SHIFT ONLY SLIGHTLY BY 12Z INTO THE CNTRL CWA
ON THE NOSE OF A 70KT JET. HAVE WIDESPREAD SHRA/ISOLD TSRA GOING
THROUGH 18Z BEFORE I TAPER THE PRECIPITATION OFF SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM
SW-NE AS THE ECMWF HAS BEEN CONSISTENT IN QUICKLY MOVING IKE AWAY
FROM THE CWA BY 00Z SUNDAY EVENING.

WHILE IKE WILL BE RAPIDLY WEAKENING AS IT BECOME EXTRATROPICAL
TOMORROW...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE PRETTY TIGHT WHICH WILL
CAUSE SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER THE CWA.

RAINFALL TOTALS TODAY INTO TOMORROW WILL BE IN THE 3-6 INCH RANGE
WITH THE HEAVIEST AXIS EXTENDING FROM SOUTH CNTRL MO INTO CNTRL
IL. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING WITH
SUBSTANTIAL RISES ALONG LOCAL RIVERS.

GENERALLY FOLLOWED GFS MOS GUIDANCE.  CURRENT TEMPERATURES ARE IN
THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S...SO WILL NOT SHOW MUCH INCREASE TODAY OVER
CNTRL/NERN MO AND W CNTRL IL.

BRITT

&&

.AVIATION...
/655 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008/
FOR THE 12Z TAFS...LOOKING AT THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS THE SHRA AND
FEW TSRA WILL REMAIN N AND W OF UIN AND COU THIS MRNG. MID LVL
CLOUD CVR WILL CONT OVER THE TAF SITES WITH DIURNAL CUMULUS CLOUDS
DVLPG LTR THIS MRNG IN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
CDFNT. SLY WNDS WL CONT TDA AND MAY EVEN BE A LTL GUSTY. THIS
CDFNT WILL MOVE SEWD THRU UIN AND COU THIS AFTN AND THIS EVNG WITH
THE WND VEERING ARND TO A N-NWLY DIRECTION BHND THE FNT BY LT
TGT. SCT SHRA/TSRA SHOULD DVLP ALONG THE CDFNT FM UIN TO COU THIS
AFTN MOVG INTO STL/SUS LT THIS AFTN AND THIS EVNG. MORE WIDESPREAD
RAIN WILL DVLP ACRS THE TAF SITES TGT ALONG WITH LWRG CLOUD
CEILINGS BHND THIS CDFNT AND AS WKNG HURRICANE IKE MOVES N-NEWD
THRU AR.

GKS

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR AUDRAIN-BOONE-
     CALLAWAY-COLE-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-IRON-JEFFERSON-
     LINCOLN-MADISON-MARION-MONITEAU-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-OSAGE-
     PIKE-RALLS-REYNOLDS-ST. CHARLES-ST. FRANCOIS-ST. LOUIS-ST.
     LOUIS CITY-STE. GENEVIEVE-WARREN-WASHINGTON.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR KNOX-LEWIS-SHELBY.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR ADAMS IL-BOND IL-
     BROWN IL-CALHOUN IL-CLINTON IL-FAYETTE IL-GREENE IL-JERSEY
     IL-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-MARION IL-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-
     PIKE IL-RANDOLPH IL-ST. CLAIR IL-WASHINGTON IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 13, 5:09 AM CDT, 6 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
509 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-141015-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
509 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY...
PARTICULARLY ALONG A COLD FRONT OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL THAT COULD PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE FLASH FLOODING WILL
BECOME WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AS THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE IKE APPROACHES MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI. A FEW STORMS
MAY PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD UNTIL LATE SUNDAY ONCE
THE REMAINS OF HURRICANE IKE MOVES NORTHEAST OF THE AREA. IN
ADDITION TO FLASH FLOODING...SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG AREA RIVERS
IS POSSIBLE THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. IN ADDITION TO
ANY SEVERE WEATHER...SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT HEAVY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

BRITT

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 12, 8:36 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXCallaway, Cole7 days
Sep 12, 8:36 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXCallaway, Osage9 days
Sep 12, 8:36 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXGasconade, Montgomery10 days
Sep 12, 8:36 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXGasconade, Montgomery9 days
Sep 12, 8:36 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXFranklin, Warren9 days
Sep 12, 8:36 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis9 days
Sep 13, 8:41 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXKnox8 hr
Sep 13, 11:13 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis5 days
Sep 13, 11:13 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis4 days
Sep 13, 11:13 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion5 days
Sep 13, 11:33 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Louis10 days
Sep 13, 12:33 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln6 days
Sep 13, 4:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Monroe6 hr
Sep 13, 4:35 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Marion, Pike, Ralls, Shelby18 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2008Every river flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.