River Flood Warning 27, NWS St. Louis, MO

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 172004
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
204 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS..
  LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY AFFECTING BROWN COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION 
THE PAST 24 HOURS AND AROUND 0.25 INCHES FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

LOCAL RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG AND NEAR THE BASIN SHOULD BE AWARE OF 
POSSIBLE FLOODING.  DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS FLOODED ROADWAYS.  TURN
AROUND, DONT DROWN.

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC009-182004-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0027.080218T0600Z-080219T0600Z/
/RIPI2.1.ER.080218T0600Z.080218T0600Z.080218T0600Z.NO/
204 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 1:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AFTER 
  MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  FARMLAND FLOODING AND RURAL 
  DAMAGES BEGIN.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   02/18  02/19  02/20  02/21  02/22

LA MOINE RIVER
  RIPLEY           22   19.9      21.2   19.5   19.8   16.6   12.4

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 180243
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
843 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
ILLINOIS...
 
  THE LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY AFFECTING BROWN COUNTY

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 1.0 TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE 
PAST 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

ILC009-180313-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-080219T0600Z/
/RIPI2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
843 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY.
* AT 7:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 20.6 FEET 
  LATER TONIGHT.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   02/18  02/19  02/20  02/21  02/22

LA MOINE RIVER
  RIPLEY           22   20.4      20.3   19.3   20.1   15.1   11.5

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
602 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING RAPIDLY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST WITH LARGE
PRECIPITATION SHIELD BLANKETING THE CENTER OF THE NATION. WARM
CONVEYOR BELT CONTINUES TO BRING COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE AND
RAINFALL TO THE CWA EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH ANOTHER LINE OF
CONVECTION FORMING AHEAD OF THE DRYSLOT IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THIS SHOULD CONTINUE THE THREAT OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF THE MORNING.

CWA TO REMAIN ON WARM SIDE OF THIS SYSTEM FOR MOST OF THE DAY
UNTIL COLD FRONT RACES SOUTHEAST IN WAKE OF THE DEEPENING LOW THIS
AFTERNOON.

WARM CONVEYOR BELT PRECIPITATION SHOULD SHIFT EAST AS DRY SLOT
PUNCHES UP THE I-44 CORRIDOR LATER THIS MORNING.

POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG AND POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON...AS WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH AND PLACES MOST OF THE
CWA FIRMLY WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR. GIVEN IMPRESSIVE LAPSE
RATES...SOME INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED
TO SEE SOME LOW TOP CONVECTION FORM AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT...MAINLY ACROSS ILLINOIS COUNTIES (EAST OF ST. LOUIS). 4KM
WRF ACTUALLY DEPICTS THIS SCENARIO WELL...WITH CONVECTIVE FEATURES
DEVELOPING WITHIN THE DRYSLOT AND RAPIDLY MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST.

OTHERWISE...DEFORMATION ZONE WILL MAINLY AFFECT LOCATIONS ALONG
AND NORTH OF A COLUMBIA MISSOURI TO QUINCY ILLINOIS LINE. RAIN
SHOULD CHANGE TO SNOW...FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON
AS COLDER AIR DEEPENS ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW INCHES OF WET SNOW
MAY ACCUMULATE ON GRASSY AREAS BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE THIS
AFTERNOON OR EARLY THIS EVENING.

COLD AIR STRATUS WILL LINGER WITH FLURRIES AND SNOW SHOWERS
CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY. REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR ARRIVES
MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES. HAVE LOWERED
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY TO REFLECT THIS TREND IN MODEL GUIDANCE.

NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. GFS
AND ECWMF HAVE AGREED ON PUSHING THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE ENTIRE
CWA...WITH A BETTER LIKELIHOOD OF SNOW ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-70
CORRIDOR. STILL ALOT OF DETAILS TO WORKOUT BUT TREND IS DEFINETLY
COLDER...

CVKING

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z TAFS...
NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS THINKING. RAIN HAS DIMINISHED
SOMEWHAT AT KSTL/KSUS AND CIGS HAVE CLIMBED BACK TO MVFR OR VFR.
RAIN ALONG WITH IFR CIGS CONTINUE WHERE RAIN PERSISTS AT
KCOU/KUIN. LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER CNTRL MO AT 12Z WILL RACE
NORTHEASTWARD INTO NRN IL BY 18Z. EXPECTED S-SELY WINDS TO VEER
W-NWLY AS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVES EAST BEHIND THE LOW. EXPECT
MVFR CIGS BEHIND THE FRONT WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN INTO THE
EVENING. RAIN WILL CHANGE OVER TO SNOW OVER CENTRAL MO LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AT KCOU AND AT KUIN/KSTL/KSUS BETWEEN 00-06Z.

BRITT

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR AUDRAIN-BOONE-
     CALLAWAY-COLE-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-IRON-JEFFERSON-
     KNOX-LEWIS-LINCOLN-MADISON-MARION-MONITEAU-MONROE-
     MONTGOMERY-OSAGE-PIKE-RALLS-REYNOLDS-SHELBY-ST. CHARLES-ST.
     FRANCOIS-ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-STE. GENEVIEVE-WARREN-
     WASHINGTON.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR ADAMS IL-BOND IL-
     BROWN IL-CALHOUN IL-CLINTON IL-FAYETTE IL-GREENE IL-JERSEY
     IL-MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-MARION IL-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-
     PIKE IL-RANDOLPH IL-ST. CLAIR IL-WASHINGTON IL.

&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
336 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-181200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
336 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WATER LEVELS ON LOCAL CREEKS...RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL RISE THIS
MORNING AS RUNOFF FROM LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT CONTINUES.
THEREFORE...A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY MAINLY SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 70 IN MISSOURI AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55 IN ILLINOIS.
SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND HAIL
UP TO THE SIZE OF DIMES.

RAIN WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO SNOW ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS THIS AFTERNOON. A TOTAL
SNOW ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 2 INCHES IS POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY.

MODERATE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ON MONDAY. LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SNOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.
SNOW ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 70.

MODERATE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON THE ILLINOIS RIVER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO RELAY RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF AN
INCH...FLOODING REPORTS...AND WINTER PRECIPITATION REPORTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST. LOUIS.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

CVKING

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
350 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 AM     FLOOD            3 NW CUBA               38.09N 91.44W
02/17/2008                   CRAWFORD           MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PORTIONS OF LAKE SHORE DRIVE SURROUNDING INDIAN HILLS
            LAKE RESORT INUNDATED AND SHUT DOWN BY LOCAL DEPUTIES.

0315 AM     FLOOD            STEELVILLE              37.97N 91.36W
02/17/2008                   CRAWFORD           MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER NORTH 3RD STREET NEAR SHERIFFS DEPARTMENT
            OFFICE. IN ADDITION MULTIPLE LOW WATER CROSSINGS ACROSS
            THE COUNTY REPORTED TO BE INUNDATED BY WATER.

&&

SIPPRELL