Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2008

River Flood Warning 249, NWS St. Louis, MO

July 29, 2008Lewis County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Jul 29, 2008, 8:56 PM CDT for Lewis County, Missouri. It was in force for 71 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2008, 8:56 PM CDT (01:56 UTC)
Expired
Aug 1, 2008, 7:45 PM CDT
In force
71 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Flood severity
Minor

County Lewis County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 179 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Middle Fabius River near Ewing (EWMM7). The gauge peaked at 16.59 ft at Aug 1, 2008, 2:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate5101507/3007/3108/0108/0208/03
Action stage
9.5 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
17 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05498150, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KLSX 300157
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
856 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI... 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS BASED ON AN AVERAGE OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF 
PRECIPITATION THE PAST 24 HOURS WITH UPWARDS TO 1.5 INCHES FORECAST IN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-310156-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0249.080730T0156Z-080801T1200Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.080729T2057Z.080730T0130Z.080731T1200Z.UU/
856 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING.
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

$$

MOC127-310155-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0250.080730T0156Z-080802T0600Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.080729T2346Z.080730T0130Z.080801T0600Z.NO/
856 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR.
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   07/30  07/31  08/01  08/02  08/03

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   13.7      13.0   12.0   10.8    8.7    6.6

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   10.0       8.6    9.8    9.0    7.4    5.3
9 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 300713
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
212 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE 
PAST 24 HOURS AND 1 TO 1.5 INCHES FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

HEAVIER RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-310712-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0241.000000T0000Z-080801T1818Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.080728T0659Z.080728T1445Z.080731T1818Z.NO/
212 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER NEAR TROY
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CREST AT 21.9 FEET THURSDAY
  MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.

$$

MOC111-310711-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0249.000000T0000Z-080802T0800Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.080729T2057Z.080730T1200Z.080801T0800Z.UU/
212 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.0 FEET THIS
  MORNING.  

$$

MOC127-310711-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0250.000000T0000Z-080802T0400Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.080729T2346Z.080730T1800Z.080801T0400Z.NO/
212 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 10.8 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   07/31  08/01  08/02  08/03  08/04

CUIVRE RIVER
  TROY             21   14.0      14.5   21.9   14.9   10.0    8.0

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   14.3      15.0   13.4   11.6    9.3    7.1

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   10.5      10.7    9.9    9.0    7.1    5.1
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 301609
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1109 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING TAKES INTO CONSIDERATION 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN IN
THE PAST 24 HOURS AND 0.75 INCHES IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-311609-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0249.000000T0000Z-080801T0945Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.080729T2057Z.080730T1430Z.080731T0945Z.UU/
1109 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT 9:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL IS CRESTING AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.


$$

MOC111-311608-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0246.000000T0000Z-080801T1312Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.080728T1827Z.080729T2200Z.080731T1312Z.NR/
1109 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THURSDAY.
* AT 9:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.


$$

MOC127-311608-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0251.000000T0000Z-080801T1516Z/
/PALM7.1.ER.080730T1421Z.080731T0000Z.080731T1516Z.UU/
1109 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:45 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 14.8 FEET THIS EVENING
  AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW LATE MORNING.


$$

MOC127-311608-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0250.000000T0000Z-080802T1108Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.080729T2346Z.080731T0600Z.080801T1108Z.NO/
1109 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 10.8 FEET LATE TONIGHT
  AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   07/31  08/01  08/02  08/03  08/04

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   15.0      11.7    8.1    5.5    4.8    4.6

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   13.3      11.1    8.6    7.1    6.2    5.6

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   13.1      13.6    8.4    5.5    4.6    4.4

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   10.6      10.8    9.4    7.4    5.5    4.0
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 301942
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
242 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY  

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF AROUND 1.50 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION 
THE PAST 24 HOURS AND VERY LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION FORECAST IN THE 
NEXT 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-311942-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0249.000000T0000Z-080801T1312Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.080729T2057Z.080730T1700Z.080731T1312Z.UU/
242 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

MOC111-311941-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0246.000000T0000Z-080801T2000Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.080728T1827Z.080729T2200Z.080731T2000Z.NR/
242 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

MOC127-311941-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0251.000000T0000Z-080801T0910Z/
/PALM7.1.ER.080730T1421Z.080731T0000Z.080731T0910Z.UU/
242 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 14.6 FEET BY THIS EVENING. 

$$

MOC127-311941-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0250.000000T0000Z-080801T1800Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.080729T2346Z.080730T1500Z.080731T1800Z.NO/
242 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   07/31  08/01  08/02  08/03  08/04

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   13.5      11.8    8.9    7.1    6.2    5.6

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   15.0      12.2    8.1    5.5    4.8    4.6

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   10.4      10.0    8.2    7.2    5.5    4.0

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   13.5      12.2    7.3    5.0    4.5    4.3
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 310114
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
814 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF AROUND 1.5 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS ACROSS THE FABIUS RIVER BASIN...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-010114-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0249.000000T0000Z-080802T0720Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.080729T2057Z.080731T0030Z.080801T0720Z.UU/
814 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

MOC111-010113-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0246.000000T0000Z-080802T2200Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.080728T1827Z.080729T2200Z.080801T2200Z.NR/
814 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 13.9 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. 
* THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOW DEVELOPS AT THIS HEIGHT 
  TOWARD MONTICELLO.

$$

MOC127-010113-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0250.000000T0000Z-080801T1800Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.080729T2346Z.080730T1500Z.080731T1800Z.NO/
814 PM CDT WED JUL 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   07/31  08/01  08/02  08/03  08/04

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   13.7      13.9   12.2    9.6    7.9    6.8

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   15.1      14.5   11.3    6.9    5.6    5.1

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   10.1      10.0    8.2    7.2    5.5    4.0
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 311615
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1115 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

..THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI..
 

   MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

   SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

   SALT RIVER NEAR NEW LONDON AFFECTING RALLS COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING TAKES INTO CONSIDERATION UP TO 0.50 INCHES OF
RAIN IN THE PAST 24 HOURS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO ISSUE FOLLOW UP
STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC173-011615-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0245.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NLDM7.2.ER.080729T0503Z.080801T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT RIVER NEAR NEW LONDON
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 27.3 FEET TOMORROW MORNING 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.


$$

MOC111-011614-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0249.000000T0000Z-080802T0420Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.080729T2057Z.080731T1530Z.080801T0420Z.UU/
1115 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL LATER TONIGHT.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.


$$

MOC127-011614-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0250.000000T0000Z-080801T1851Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.080729T2346Z.080730T1500Z.080731T1851Z.NO/
1115 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   08/01  08/02  08/03  08/04  08/05

SALT RIVER
  NEW LONDON       19   26.6      27.3   27.2   26.6   26.5   25.7

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   15.7      10.2    5.8    5.0    4.8    4.6

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   10.2       8.2    7.2    5.5    4.0    3.4
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 312015
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
315 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  SALT RIVER NEAR NEW LONDON AFFECTING RALLS COUNTY 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF AN AVERAGE OF AROUND 1.50 INCHES OF 
PRECIPITATION THE PAST 48 HOURS WITH LITTLE IF ANY PRECIPITATION FORECAST 
IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH THE SALT RIVER BASIN IMPACTED BY WATER 
RELEASES FROM MARK TWAIN LAKE...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AND 
ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC173-012015-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0245.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NLDM7.2.ER.080729T0503Z.080801T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
315 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT RIVER NEAR NEW LONDON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 2:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 27.2 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$

MOC113-012014-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0230.000000T0000Z-080803T0712Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.080801T1200Z.080802T0712Z.NO/
315 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 23.9 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 25.2 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

MOC111-012014-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0249.000000T0000Z-080802T1215Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.080729T2057Z.080731T1930Z.080801T1215Z.UU/
315 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 2:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE NEAR
  THE GAGE.

$$

MOC127-012014-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0250.000000T0000Z-080802T0300Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.080729T2346Z.080730T1500Z.080801T0300Z.NO/
315 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 2:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   08/01  08/02  08/03  08/04  08/05

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   15.9      12.1    6.8    5.9    5.4    5.0

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   10.2       8.4    7.2    5.5    4.0    3.4

SALT RIVER
  NEW LONDON       19   26.9      27.1   27.2   26.6   26.5   25.7

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24  E23.9      25.2   23.6   21.5   19.5   18.2
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 010141
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
841 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  SALT RIVER NEAR NEW LONDON AFFECTING RALLS COUNTY 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHEAST
MISSOURI OVER THE PAST WEEK...WITH THE SALT RIVER BASIN IMPACTED BY WATER 
RELEASES FROM MARK TWAIN LAKE...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AND 
ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC173-020141-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0245.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NLDM7.2.ER.080729T0503Z.080801T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
841 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT RIVER NEAR NEW LONDON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 27.2 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.

$$

MOC113-020140-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0230.000000T0000Z-080803T2247Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.080801T0600Z.080802T0000Z.080802T2247Z.NO/
841 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:25 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY AND 
  CREST NEAR 25.0 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING. 

$$

MOC111-020140-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0249.000000T0000Z-080804T0000Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.080729T2057Z.080801T1200Z.080803T0000Z.UU/
841 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 16.7 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.

$$

MOC127-020140-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0250.000000T0000Z-080803T0624Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.080729T2346Z.080730T1500Z.080802T0624Z.NO/
841 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   08/01  08/02  08/03  08/04  08/05

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   16.2      16.7   13.7   10.6    8.2    5.7

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   10.2       9.9    8.1    7.1    6.3    5.6

SALT RIVER
  NEW LONDON       19   27.1      27.1   27.2   26.6   26.5   25.7

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   23.5      24.7   24.8   22.9   21.4   19.8
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 011600
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1100 AM CDT FRI AUG 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN
MISSOURI...

 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SALT RIVER NEAR NEW LONDON AFFECTING RALLS COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF THE PAST 10 DAYS OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC173-021600-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0245.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NLDM7.2.ER.080729T0503Z.080801T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1100 AM CDT FRI AUG 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SALT RIVER NEAR NEW LONDON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10:15 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS CURRENTLY CRESTING AND SHOULD SLOWLY FALL 
  TO NEAR 25 FEET BY WEDNESDAY.

$$

MOC111-021559-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0249.000000T0000Z-080803T1708Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.080729T2057Z.080801T0700Z.080802T1708Z.UU/
1100 AM CDT FRI AUG 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THIS THIS EVENING.
* AT 9:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE FALLING AND SHOULD 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   08/02  08/03  08/04  08/05  08/06

SALT RIVER
  NEW LONDON       19   27.3      27.3   26.6   26.4   25.7   25.3

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   12.9      12.6   10.1    7.7    5.6    4.8
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 020045
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
745 PM CDT FRI AUG 01 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY

.THIS IS THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS FLOODING EVENT...

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-020115-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0249.000000T0000Z-080803T1708Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.080729T2057Z.080801T0700Z.080801T1506Z.UU/
745 PM CDT FRI AUG 01 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING.
* AT 7:30 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 10:06 AM FRIDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 5.7 FEET BY SUNDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   08/02  08/03  08/04  08/05  08/06

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12    6.5       5.7    5.0    4.6    4.5    4.5

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 29, 5:50 PM CDT, 3 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 29, 5:50 PM CDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
550 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008

.DISCUSSION...
/500 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008/

NO REST FOR THE WEARY. VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE...ESPECIALLY N OF
I-70...AND A WEAK BOUNDARY MOVING THRU...HAVE TRIGGERED A ROUND OF
FLASH FLOOD PRODUCING SEVERE STORMS OVER NERN MO AND W CNTRL IL
LATE THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS VERY
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WHERE SFC-BASED CINH IS WEAKEST...IN CNTRL
MO...AND INTO E CNTRL MO AND SWRN IL TOWARD SS.

OTHERWISE...ALL EYES ARE TURNED TOWARDS THE REMNANTS OF DOLLY THAT
WILL IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN THRUST THRU
EARLY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT WILL INITIALLY BE THRU THE NRN FA...WHERE
ALL MODELS SHOW THE BEST FORCING AND MID LEVEL SUPPORT. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO SAG ESEWD WITH TIME...MOVING THRU THE CNTRL THIRD OF THE
FA ON WEDNESDAY...AND INTO THE SRN THIRD BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A
SHORTWAVE QUICKLY FOLLOWS BEHIND /DOLLY/. WITH A TROPICAL AIRMASS
SUCH AS THIS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE...BUT FOR NOW...
HAVE HIT THIS PRIMARILY IN THE AREAS MOST VULNERABLE TO NEW
FLOODING. THESE ARE THE SAME AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED BETWEEN 5 AND
11 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST WEEK AND STILL HAVE SOME COUNTY AND
STATE ROADS STILL CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING...IN NERN/CNTRL MO AND W
CNTRL IL. THIS WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED IN AREA AND TIME
DEPENDING ON HOW THIS EVOLVES EXACTLY...AND IF HEAVY RAINFALL MAKES
A DECENT PUSH SEWD INTO OTHER AREAS.

WITH THE RAINFALL PUSHING THRU ON WEDNESDAY...WENT AOB THE COOLEST
MOS AS TEMP RECOVERY LOOKS VERY GRIM UNDER THICK CLOUDS AND
PERSISTENT PCPN.

DRY WX FINALLY ARRIVES BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE THE
REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK AS THE MID LEVEL RIDGE BEGINS TO ASSERT
ITSELF. BUT WITH THE DRY WX...HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL MAKE A RETURN.

FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD (FRIDAY NIGHT - TUESDAY)...MODELS REMAIN
IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON H500 RIDGE COMING IN TO DOMINATE MUCH OF THIS
PERIOD. THE ONLY CHANGE FROM 24HRS AGO IS THAT THE EROSION OF THE
NRN EDGE OF THIS RIDGE WITH THE WESTERLIES IS NOW EXPECTED TO OCCUR
A DAY LATER...TUESDAY RATHER THAN MONDAY. AT THE SURFACE...SLY SFC
WNDS WILL PERSIST THRU MUCH OF THE PERIOD UNTIL TUESDAY WHEN EROSION
OF RIDGE ALOFT WILL ALLOW A CDFNT TO PUSH THRU THE AREA. MODELS
STILL TRYING TO COME TOGETHER ON HANDLING THIS...SO LEFT THE
FORECAST DRY THRU THIS ENTIRE PERIOD. TEMPS WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL
THRU THE PERIOD

TES

&&

.AVIATION...
/530 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008/
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...TSRA WILL BE E OF UIN BY 00Z WED BUT LOOKING AT
RADAR IT APRS THAT THERE WILL BE SCT MAINLY LGT SHOWERS MOVG EWD
THRU THE UIN SITE THIS EVNG. NEW TSRA HAVE DVLPD NE OF COU ALONG
TSRA OUTFLOW BNDRY FM NERN MO W CNTRL IL CONVECTIVE COMPLEX. MORE
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED ALONG THIS BNDRY AS THE ATMOSPHERE IS VERY
HUMID AND UNSTABLE. MAY NEED TO MENTION VCTS IN STL/SUS THIS EVNG
OR EVEN A TEMPO GRP OF TSRA DEPENDING ON THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS.
THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF MID-UPR LVL CLOUDS AT THE TAF SITES TGT AS
THE MID LVL TROF OVER KS APPROACHES MO. NAM MDL DEPICTS PLENTY OF
UPR LVL DIVERGENCE TGT ESPECIALLY OVER NWRN AND N CNTRL PORTION OF
MO. UIN AND COU SHOULD HAVE THE BEST CHC OF SHRA/TSRA LT TGT AND
WILL INCLUDE PREVAILING SHRA IN UIN AND COU WITH A TEMPO GRP OF
TSRA. WILL INCLUDE A TEMPO GRP OF SHRA OR TSRA IN STL AND SUS.
PLENTY OF LOW-MID LVL CLOUDS WILL SHROUD THE CWA ON WED WITH
SHRA/TSRA CONTG THRU AT LEAST THE MRNG HRS.

GKS

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR AUDRAIN-BOONE-
     CALLAWAY-COLE-GASCONADE-KNOX-LEWIS-LINCOLN-MARION-MONITEAU-
     MONROE-MONTGOMERY-OSAGE-PIKE-RALLS-SHELBY-WARREN.

     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR JEFFERSON-
     MADISON-ST. CHARLES-ST. FRANCOIS-ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-
     STE. GENEVIEVE.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR ADAMS IL-BROWN
     IL-PIKE IL.

     HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR MADISON IL-
     MONROE IL-RANDOLPH IL-ST. CLAIR IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 29, 7:09 PM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
709 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-301200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
709 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 12 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR PARTS OF
NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.
SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...CAPABLE
OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

RICH TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE
DOLLY WILL ALLOW THE SHOWERS AND STORMS TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST
AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION... PLEASE REFER TO THE WATCH PRODUCT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE DOLLY CONTINUE TO MOVE
THROUGH ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE BEHIND IT. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE SHOWERS AND STORMS
DUE TO THE RICH TROPICAL MOISTURE STILL IN PLACE.

TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S WITH HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PUSH AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HEAT INDEX VALUES TO NEAR 105
DEGREES EACH DAY FROM SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

MODERATE FLOODING ON THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER IS EXPECTED AT CHESTER
AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND MAY CONTINUE UNTIL SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY FOR
AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

TES

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 29, 4:45 PM CDT, 4 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
445 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     URSA                    40.07N  91.37W
07/29/2008                   ADAMS              IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN WITHIN TOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0800803

SIPPRELL
Local storm report, Jul 29, 4:46 PM CDT, 4 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
446 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CAMP POINT              40.04N  91.07W
07/29/2008                   ADAMS              IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE AND POWER LINES DOWN ACROSS AND BLOCKING HIGHWAY
            24 NEAR THE INTERSECTION WITH WEST WOOD STREET.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0800804

SIPPRELL
Local storm report, Jul 29, 6:08 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
608 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W MONTGOMERY CITY     38.98N  91.54W
07/29/2008                   MONTGOMERY         MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            2 MILES WEST OF MONTGOMERY CITY ON HIGHWAY B...TREES
            BLOCKING THE ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0800805

PRZYBYLINSKI
Local storm report, Jul 29, 6:25 PM CDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
625 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     HAIL             5 NNW TROY              39.04N  91.01W
07/29/2008  E0.88 INCH       LINCOLN            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0800806

SIPPRELL
Local storm report, Jul 29, 6:29 PM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
629 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     HAIL             6 NNW TROY              39.06N  91.02W
07/29/2008  E0.88 INCH       LINCOLN            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL THE SIZE OF DIMES TO NICKELS WERE REPORTED 6 MILES
            NORTH NORTHWEST OF TROY MISSOURI

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0800807

PRZYBYLINSKI
Local storm report, Jul 29, 6:49 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
649 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     FLOOD            1 SSW COLONY            40.24N  91.99W
07/29/2008                   KNOX               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            STATE HIGHWAY K UNDER WATER AND CLOSED AT LOCATION
            WHERE IT CROSSES THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0800808

SIPPRELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 29, 8:56 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion62 hr
Jul 30, 2:16 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion18 hr
Jul 30, 2:29 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Monroe, Shelby6 hr
Jul 30, 11:57 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXCallaway, Cole3 days
Jul 30, 11:57 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXFranklin, Warren4 days
Jul 30, 1:55 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion30 hr
Jul 30, 1:55 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Louis, City of Saint Louis4 days
Jul 30, 3:26 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCrawford, Washington64 min
Jul 30, 4:24 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXJefferson, Saint Francois, Washington51 min
Jul 30, 5:03 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXSainte Genevieve, Saint Francois42 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2008Every river flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.