Severe Thunderstorm Warning 67, NWS Louisville, KY

000 
WWUS53 KLMK 031248
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
846 AM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

INC019-043-KYC111-031300-
/O.CON.KLMK.SV.W.0067.000000T0000Z-080603T1300Z/
CLARK IN-FLOYD IN-JEFFERSON KY-
846 AM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM EDT
FOR JEFFERSON...EASTERN FLOYD AND SOUTHERN CLARK COUNTIES...

AT 845 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DIME SIZE HAIL 
AND SMALL HAIL WAS REPORTED IN DOWNTOWN LOUISVILLE. THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED NEAR BOWMAN FIELD IN LOUISVILLE ...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

LAT...LON 3810 8586 3834 8593 3844 8568 3814 8544
      3813 8545
TIME...MOT...LOC 1246Z 260DEG 28KT 3823 8559

$$

JA

000 
WWUS53 KLMK 031257
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
856 AM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

INC019-043-KYC111-031306-
/O.EXP.KLMK.SV.W.0067.000000T0000Z-080603T1300Z/
CLARK IN-FLOYD IN-JEFFERSON KY-
856 AM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR JEFFERSON...EASTERN FLOYD AND
SOUTHERN CLARK COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 900 AM EDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING WEAKENED AND IS NO LONGER 
SEVERE. HOWEVER STRONG STORMS REMAIN IN THE AREA. THESE ARE CAPABLE 
OF PRODUCING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND DEADLY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3810 8586 3834 8593 3844 8568 3814 8544
      3813 8545
TIME...MOT...LOC 1256Z 260DEG 28KT 3824 8549

$$

JA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
740 AM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

.UPDATE....

UPDATED FORECAST OUT BY 7:45 TO REFLECT CURRENT THUNDERSTORMS AND
EXPECTED ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS UPSTREAM. WE WILL UP POPS IN THE
NORTHERN CWFA TO CATEGORICAL WITH CHANCE POPS ACROSS THE SOUTH.

SHORT RANGE(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE THE AREAL COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS OUR NORTHERN CWA DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

ENERGETIC UPPER FLOW ACROSS THE CONUS CURRENTLY FEATURES A TROUGH
ACROSS THE ROCKIES...A FLAT RIDGE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
TROUGHING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. UPPER ENERGY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES WILL EJECT NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES TODAY. LOW PRESSURE NOW OVER KANSAS WILL SCOOT EAST NORTHEAST
ALONG A WARM FRONT THAT WILL WILL MOVE NORTH TOWARDS NORTHERN
ILLINOIS LATE TODAY.

CURRENTLY THE SURFACE WARM FRONT LIES ROUGHLY FROM ST LOUIS
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO CENTRAL TENNESSEE...WITH AN ELEVATED BAROCLINIC
ZONE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THIS SURFACE FRONT. BY LATE TODAY...THIS
FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH OF KENTUCKY AND BRING IN INFLUX OF VERY WARM
HUMID AIR FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

THE GFS IS MOST ACCURATE WITH ITS DEPICTION OF THE ONGOING
DEVELOPMENT OF AN MCS ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS. THIS CONVECTION WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AND MOVE EAST SOUTHEAST
ALONG THE 850-300 MB THICKNESS LINES. THE GFS TRACK OF PRECIPITATION
MAY BE A BIT NORTHEAST OF REALITY...AND WILL TAKE A BLEND OF THE GFS
AND THE HPCQPF FROM 06Z.

ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD ENTER SOUTHWEST INDIANA BY 3 AM AND
MOVE NORTHEAST OF A LINE ROUGHLY FROM DUBOIS THROUGH JEFFERSON
COUNTY KENTUCKY...THROUGH PERHAPS THE LEXINGTON AREA. EXPECT A SHARP
PRECIP GRADIENT ALONG THE SOUTHWEST EDGE OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS.
LITTLE OR NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN KENTUCKY...WHILE WIDESPREAD THUNDER IS EXPECTED ACROSS OUR
NORTHERN STRIP OF COUNTIES.

FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO SHOW A STRENGTHENING 850MB SOUTHWESTERN JET
DEVELOPING TOWARDS 12Z. TRAINING CELLS ALONG THIS EXPECTED MCS HINT
AT PERHAPS SOME HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG THE MAIN AXIS OF THESE WEST TO
EAST ORIENTATED STORMS. FEEL THE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS IS LOW DUE
TO SOMEWHAT MARGINAL ELEVATED INSTABILITY...ALTHOUGH SOME OF THE
STRONGER CELLS MAY CONTAIN SMALL HAIL.

BY MID TO LATE MORNING...STORMS SHOULD BE EXITING THE NORTHERN
BLUEGRASS AREA. THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD BE MOSTLY DRY AS CONVECTIVE
CHANCES MOVE FARTHER NORTH ALONG RETREATING WARM FRONT. WILL
HOWEVER...KEEP CHANCE POPS ACROSS OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S ACROSS OUR SOUTH...WITH
SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH.

IN THE EXTENDED (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...

LITTLE CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED THIS MORNING...WITH VERY WARM WEATHER
AND OCCASIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS STILL THE TREND FOR THE 2-7
DAY PERIOD.

FIRST SHOT FOR THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO BE WEDNESDAY MORNING
ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHERN ZONES...IF LINGERING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE NORTHERN MOVING COLD FRONT HANGS ON ACROSS THE AREA.  THIS
PRECIPITATION MOVES OFF QUICKLY TO THE NORTH BY MIDDAY FOR A
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER UNDER
A BUILDING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST. THIS STRETCH
ALSO APPEARS TO BE THE WARMEST IN THE EXTENDED AT THIS
TIME...WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH HIGHS IN
THE 90S AND LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MI 70S.

SOME SLIGHT RELIEF FROM TEMPERATURES MAY COME FROM A STORM SYSTEM
THAT WILL BRING OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE FRIDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT VERY WARM WEATHER SHOULD BE AROUND
THROUGH THE END OF THE EXTENDED. TIMING ONSET OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS
WITH THIS SYSTEM STILL SOMEWHAT IN DOUBT...AND IS LIKELY TO BE LATER
IF ANYTHING AS THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL BE SLOW TO BREAK
DOWN.  SLOWER PROGRESSION OF THE SYSTEM AS A WHOLE COULD LINGER
SHOWERS INTO SUNDAY AS WELL...BUT WILL LOOK TO FURTHER MODEL RUNS
FOR CONSISTENCY BEFORE MAKING ANY ADDITIONS OF POP CHANCES IN THE
SUNDAY AND BEYOND TIME FRAME.

&&

.AVIATION (12Z TAFS)...

EXPECT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
AT ALL TAF SITES...WITH INCREASING COVERAGE AT SDF TOWARDS 18Z.
ALTHOUGH SCATTERED STORMS MAY CONTINUE AT BWG THROUGH 14Z...STORMS
WILL LIKELY DIMINISH AFTER MID MORNING.

CIGS SHOULD STAY VFR EXCEPT WITHIN THUNDERSTORMS.

A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS NOW EAST OF ST LOUIS WILL MOVE EAST
SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. BASED ON EXTRAPOLATED TRACK OF
THESE STORMS...THEY WILL REACH SDF AROUND 18Z....AND AT LEX AROUND
11-13Z...SHOULD THEY HOLD TOGETHER.

SURFACE WINDS WILL STAY RELATIVELY LIGHT THIS MORNING...BUT WILL
INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

UPDATE.......JA
SHORT TERM...JSD
LONG TERM....JM
AVIATION.....JSD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
354 AM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-040800-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
354 AM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008 /254 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS NORTHERN KENTUCKY AND
SOUTHERN INDIANA THIS MORNING. ONLY MARGINAL INSTABILITY IS
AVAILABLE AND NONE OF THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA OR
NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STORMS
THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON MAY BECOME STRONG WITH BRIEF VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTH OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. IN ADDITION TO DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING...ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCUR WILL CONTAIN BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS.  AT THIS TIME...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
NOT ANTICIPATED WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
634 AM EDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0633 AM     HAIL             FRANKFORT               38.19N 84.87W
06/03/2008  E0.75 INCH       FRANKLIN           KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SIZE ESTIMATED OUTSIDE WINDOW OF EMERGANCY DISPATCH

&&

JSD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
641 AM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

KYZ040-041-031130-
FAYETTE-WOODFORD-
641 AM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...STRONG STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS FAYETTE COUNTY...

AT 638 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR VERSAILLES...OR 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
GEORGETOWN...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...SMALL PEA OR MARBLE
SIZE HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 35 TO 40 MPH... ARE EXPECTED
WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE...
  NEAR LEXINGTON BY 700 AM EDT.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

JSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
728 AM EDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 W LEXINGTON           38.04N 84.53W
06/03/2008                   FAYETTE            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES REPORTED DOWNED NEAR LEES TOWN AND WEST
            HAMPTON.

&&

JSD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
745 AM EDT TUE JUN 03 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0741 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LEXINGTON               38.04N  84.46W
06/03/2008                   FAYETTE            KY   DISPATCH

            LINES AND TREES DOWN IN MANY PARTS OF CITY

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00075

CMC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
809 AM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

INZ076-077-090>092-KYZ028>030-045-053-054-063>065-074>076-031415-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HARDIN KY-
BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY-NELSON KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-HART KY-
GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...
JEFFERSONVILLE...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX...MOUNT WASHINGTON...
SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...BARDSTOWN...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...
MUNFORDVILLE...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...GLASGOW...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON
809 AM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008 /709 AM CDT TUE JUN 3 2008/

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND
CENTRAL KENTUCKY THIS MORNING. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL THROUGH
METCALFE, SPENCER, AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES IN KENTUCKY AND
WASHINGTON AND CLARK COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN INDIANA. THESE STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS TO 45 MPH, SMALL HAIL, AND
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

JA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
818 AM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

KYZ049-031245-
CLARK-
818 AM EDT TUE JUN 3 2008

...STRONG STORM STILL AFFECTING CLARK COUNTY...

AT 814 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WINCHESTER...OR 12 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MOUNT STERLING...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...SMALL PEA OR MARBLE SIZE HAIL...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF
AROUND 45 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
ALL HAZARDS RADIO...WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR
LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

AL