High Wind Warning 4, NWS Elko, NV

000 
WWUS75 KLKN 291021
NPWLKN

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
221 AM PST SAT NOV 29 2008


NVZ032-291130-
/O.CAN.KLKN.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-081130T0000Z/
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ELKO COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELKO...SPRING CREEK...CARLIN...WELLS
221 AM PST SAT NOV 29 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE EAST SLOPES OF THE RUBY MOUNTAINS AND
EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE AND ADJACENT VALLEYS IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ELKO HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH WIND
WARNING FOR THE EAST SLOPES OF THE RUBY MOUNTAINS AND EAST HUMBOLDT
RANGE AND ADJACENT VALLEYS.

WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY BELOW HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA
FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT AND DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. HOWEVER WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING ALONG
THE EAST SLOPES OF THE RUBY MOUNTAINS AND EAST HUMBOLDT RANGE AND
ADJACENT VALLEYS.

$$

CEC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
300 PM PST FRI NOV 28 2008

.SYNOPSIS...A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL BRING PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES TO NORTHEAST NEVADA TONIGHT...SATURDAY...AND SATURDAY NIGHT.
OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE PLEASANT WEATHER THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. &&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. AT 500MB A RELATIVELY MILD
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FCST AREA THROUGH SUNDAY
AS A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CENTER APPROACHES THE WEST COAST. WEAK
VORT MAXS MOVING THRU THE NORTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING SCATTERED TO BROKEN
LOW CLOUDS TO THE NORTHEAST HALF OF THE FCST AREA...WITH MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES SOUTHWEST HALF. CLOUDS NORTHEAST WILL KEEP MIN TEMPS
UP NORTHEAST...AND SUPPRESS HIGHS A BIT ON SATURDAY.

THE RIDGE WILL MOVE OVERHEAD SUNDAY AND SINK SOUTH MONDAY..AS A
QUICK ZONAL FLOW SETS UP ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS. AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM SLOWLY THRU THE PERIOD...CONTINUING TO RUN
5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. REA

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY. MONDAY NIGHT A
SHORTWAVE CLIPS NORTHERN NEVADA BRINGING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS TO
HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES. INCREASED POPS AND CLOUD COVER OVER
EXTREME NORTHERN NEVADA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...HOWEVER
STOPPED SHORT OF INTRODUCING SHOWERS TO THE FORECAST WITH THIS
FIRST SHORTWAVE PASSAGE.

MODEL SOLUTION DIVERGENCE INCREASES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS
THE SECOND SHORTWAVE DROPPING OUT OF THE GULF OF ALASKA APPROACHES
THE WEST COAST. BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THE GFS MODEL HAS THE
SHORTWAVE/LOW CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL CA SIERRAS...WHILE AT THE
SAME TIME THE ECMWF HAS THE ENERGY CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES OFF THE
NORTHERN CA COAST.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY THE SOLUTIONS DIVERGE FURTHER...WITH
THE GFS CONTINUING TO TRACK THE LOW SOUTH ALONG THE SIERRA RANGE
REACHING NORTHERN BAJA BY 00Z FRIDAY. GFS THEN MOVES THE CLOSED LOW
SOUTH AND WEST WITH THE CLOSED LOW 600 MILES WEST OF THE CENTRAL
BAJA COAST 00Z SATURDAY. ECMWF MODEL KEEPS THE LOW FROM EVER MOVING
INLAND OVER NORTHERN CA WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THEN TAKES THE LOW SOUTH
AND WEST THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY ENDING UP 1300 MILES WEST OF THE
CENTRAL BAJA COAST. CONTINUE TO BELIEVE A BLEND OF THE TWO SOLUTIONS
IS THE WAY TO GO AS THE GFS SEEMS TO MOVE THE LOW TOO FAR INLAND
BEFORE RETROGRADING THE  LOW BACK OFFSHORE OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC.

WITH A CLOSED LOW SOMEWHERE OFF THE SOUTHERN CA/BAJA COAST FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...THE MAIN JET REMAINS OVER SOUTHERN B.C./PAC NW...WITH A
LITTLE ENERGY CLIPPING NORTHERN NEVADA. INTRODUCED SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWER WORDING TO THE MOUNTAINS OF EXTREME NORTHERN NEVADA THURSDAY
NIGHT...SPREADING SOUTH THROUGH HUMBOLDT AND ELKO COUNTIES FRIDAY.
HOWEVER AT THIS TIME THE I80 CORRIDOR LOOKS TO REMAIN DRY THROUGH
NEXT WEEK...WITH MAINLY JUST A THREAT OF PRECIP TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE TWO COUNTIES. &&

.AVIATION...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY WITH A MODERATELY STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. SHOULD SEE
SOME LOWERING CLOUDS OVER NORTHEASTERN NEVADA OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...ALTHOUGH EXPECT CONDITIONS TO REMAIN VFR. &&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

90/96/96