Wind Advisory 2, NWS New Orleans, LA

000 
WWUS74 KLIX 191629
NPWLIX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1029 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2008

...A FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING TO EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING FOR THE NEW ORLEANS METRO AREA AND RIVER PARISHES...

...THE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

.AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
A STRONG ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD IN AFTER THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT.

LAZ058>065-200030-
/O.CAN.KLIX.WI.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-080119T1700Z/
/O.CON.KLIX.FZ.A.0002.080120T0000Z-080120T1300Z/
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAPLACE...RESERVE...THIBODAUX...
RACELAND...LAROSE...DESTREHAN...NORCO...METAIRIE...KENNER...
NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE...VIOLET...HOUMA...
BAYOU CANE
1029 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2008

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...
...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS CANCELLED THE
WIND ADVISORY. A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST
THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO
BUILD IN AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
TONIGHT. NORTH WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW 25 MPH.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE INTO THE LOWER 30S SUNDAY
MORNING ACROSS THE NEW ORLEANS METRO AREA AND THE RIVER PARISHES.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS FREEZING OR SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE.
THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

$$

LAZ056-057-200030-
/O.CON.KLIX.FZ.A.0002.080120T0000Z-080120T1300Z/
ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PIERRE PART...LABADIEVILLE...
PAINCOURTVILLE...LUTCHER...GRAMERCY
1029 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2008

...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

A FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
THIS AFTERNOON. A STRONG ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD
IN AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE INTO THE LOWER 30S
SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE NEW ORLEANS METRO AWAY FROM LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN AND THE RIVER PARISHES.

A FREEZE WATCH MEANS FREEZING OR SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
417 AM CST SAT JAN 19 2008

.SHORT TERM...
LATEST MID AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWED A WAVE FROM WISCONSIN TO
CENTRAL TEXAS. A VERY STRONG DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED AT THE BASE
OF THE WAVE...SOUTH TEXAS...AND ANOTHER OVER EAST NEW MEXICO. LDS
NETWORK INDICATED SOME CONVECTION OVER NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL
GULF...WILL INSERT THUNDER JUST SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS THIS MORNING. A SW
TO NE JET FROM EAST TEXAS TO NORTHEAST CONUS PLACE RR QUADRANT OF
THE JET OVER SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTH LOUISIANA AND GENERALLY
LIFT IS EXPECTED ESPECIALLY WITH APPROACHING DISTURBANCE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. A GENERAL SOAKING WITH AMOUNTS UP TO AN INCH AND HALF
CAN EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA BY 9 AM.
AT THE SURFACE...A 1009MB LOW WAS OVER NORTHWEST GULF AND A
ELONGATED MERGING 1023MB HIGH OVER THE MID SOUTH. IN ADDITION...A
STRONG COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM OHIO TO WEST TENNESSEE TO
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA TO WACO. THE MAIN TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST WITH
THE FLOW OVER THE AREA BECOMING WESTERLY ABOVE 750MB AND SCOURING
THE ATM OF MOISTURE. COLD DENSE WILL FILTER AT THE LOWER LEVELS.
THESE FEATURES WILL DIMINISH PRECIP/RAIN OVER THE AREA. GFS AND
NAM FORECAST SOUNDING AT BTR AND MCB REVEALED A PRECIP PROCESS AT
0C AT 18Z BUT CAA UP TO 800MB...WILL INSERT SNOW FLURRIES ACROSS
EXTREME SOUTH MISSISSIPPI FOR THIS MORNING. PRECIP/RAIN SHOULD END
AROUND NOON FOR ALL AREAS. ANOTHER FREEZE IS LIKELY ACROSS THE
NORTH HALF ZONES WITH MID TO UPPER 20S AND A LIGHT FREEZE POSSIBLE
ACROSS AREAS SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. WILL
ISSUE A FREEZE WATCH FOR THE NEW ORLEANS METRO AREA AND RIVER
PARISHES. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM MONTANA TO SOUTHEAST
CONUS THROUGH SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...
UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST TO WEST WITH SURFACE HIGH
SETTLING OVER THE EAST COAST. RETURN MOISTURE WILL OCCUR MONDAY
AFTERNOON. NO REAL COLD AIR INVADING THE SOUTH NEXT WEEK AND
MOISTURE WILL BE IN PLACE. MID LAYER INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE GULF SOUTH. WILL INSERT THUNDER TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
A FRONTAL PASSAGE MAY OCCUR NEXT SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 45 26 49 27 / 60 0 0 10
BTR 46 27 51 32 / 60 0 0 10
MSY 47 33 51 39 / 80 0 0 10
GPT 47 29 49 30 / 80 0 0 10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FREEZE WATCH FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 7 AM SUNDAY LAZ056>065

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF
     THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF
     THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF
     THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 9 AM SUNDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS
     FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF
     THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI
     RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF
     THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20
     TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF
     THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 9 AM SUNDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE
     SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST
     PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS
     FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND COASTAL WATERS
     FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM.

&&

18

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
330 PM CST FRI JAN 18 2008

GMZ530-550-555-570-575-LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-191300-
PASCAGOULA TO SW PASS MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
PASCAGOULA TO SW PASS MISSISSIPPI RIVER 20-60 NM OUT-
SW PASS MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO ATCHAFALAYA RIVER OUT 20 NM-
SW PASS MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO ATCHAFALAYA RIVER 20-60 NM OUT-AMITE-
ASCENSION-ASSUMPTION-EAST BATON ROUGE-EAST FELICIANA-HANCOCK-
HARRISON-IBERVILLE-JACKSON-LAKES PONTCHARTRAIN AND MAUREPAS-
LIVINGSTON-LOWER JEFFERSON-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-
LOWER ST BERNARD-LOWER TERREBONNE-ORLEANS-PEARL RIVER-PIKE-
POINTE COUPEE-ST CHARLES-ST HELENA-ST JAMES-ST JOHN THE BAPTIST-
ST TAMMANY-TANGIPAHOA-UPPER JEFFERSON-UPPER LAFOURCHE-
UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-WALTHALL-
WASHINGTON-WEST BATON ROUGE-WEST FELICIANA-WILKINSON-
330 PM CST FRI JAN 18 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO...SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT ACROSS THE TIDAL LAKES
AND COASTAL WATERS...WITH A GALE WARNING FOR THE OUTER COASTAL
WATERS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
GUST TO GALE FORCE IN THE COASTAL WATERS AFTER MIDNIGHT AS AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE OFFSHORE LOUISIANA WATERS. A WIDESPREAD
STEADY RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES...
BUT TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
WIDESPREAD PONDING OF WATER IS LIKELY DUE TO THE SATURATED GROUND...
AND THERE COULD BE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING...POORLY DRAINED
AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

GALE WARNING CRITERIA OVER THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS SHOULD DIMINISH
SATURDAY MORNING. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO
CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WITH NORTHERLY AND
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.