Red Flag Warning 1, NWS New Orleans, LA

000 
WWUS84 KLIX 251700
RFWLIX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1200 PM CDT TUE MAR 25 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI FOR THIS AFTERNOON...

.LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND BREEZY WINDS WILL CREATE
DANGEROUS BURN CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.

MSZ068>071-077-080>082-252300-
/O.CON.KLIX.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080325T2300Z/
WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-HANCOCK-HARRISON-
JACKSON-
1200 PM CDT TUE MAR 25 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S
COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S
WILL CAUSE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO DROP INTO THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT
RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...SOUTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WILL BRING
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
300 AM CDT TUE MAR 25 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
SURFACE HIGH CENTERED NEAR BIRMINGHAM THIS MORNING AND DRIFTING
EASTWARD. OTHER THAN A FEW CIRRUS MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD TO OUR
NORTH...NO CLOUD COVER NOTED. A GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING NIGHT HAS
BROUGHT A LARGE SPREAD IN TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA. PQL AND MCB
FLIRTING WITH THE FREEZING MARK...WHILE MSY IS REPORTING 50
DEGREES. SURE WE WILL SEE A FEW REPORTS OF SUBFREEZING
TEMPERATURES...BUT THEY SHOULD BE ISOLATED AND NOT LONG LASTING.
&&

.SHORT TERM...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE TO THE EAST COAST OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS THIS AFTERNOON. AS MOISTURE HAS BEEN
SCOURED FROM MOST OF THE GULF...IT WILL TAKE A WHILE FOR ANY
SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE TO RETURN. FORECAST WILL BE DRY THROUGH
THURSDAY. WE MAY SEE A FEW MORE CLOUDS BY THURSDAY...BUT NOTHING
MAJOR.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR OUR MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES WILL BE UPGRADED
TO RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH RH LEVELS DROPPING
BELOW 35 PERCENT AND WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH.

TEMPERATURES...ABOUT 5 DEGREES OF WARMING FOR TODAY OVER YESTERDAY
AND A SIMILAR INCREASE TOMORROW. ADDING A COUPLE OF DEGREES TO
THAT FOR THURSDAY. LIGHT SOUTHERLY BREEZES WILL PREVENT
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT FROM FALLING TO DEWPOINT LEVELS IN MOST
AREAS...AND WILL GO SIMILAR TO MOS GUIDANCE FOR TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
&&

.LONG TERM...
MODELS STILL ALL OVER THE PLACE ON EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST. FRONT ON SATURDAY WILL NOT MOVE THROUGH THE AREA...BUT
WILL BE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BRING A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FOR THE
WEEKEND. NOT A WASHOUT BY ANY MEANS...BUT MAY NOT BE TOTALLY DRY
EITHER. TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN ABOUT 5 DEGREES OR SO ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH MONDAY. FOR NOW...IN EXTENDING THE GRIDS OUT FOR THE DAY
SHIFT...CARRYING THE 00Z GFS SOLUTION BRINGING A FRONT THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK...BUT CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE
SOLUTION FOR THAT PERIOD IS RATHER LOW.
&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
NO MARINE ISSUES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EASTERLY FLOW
THIS MORNING WILL BECOME ONSHORE DURING THE AFTERNOON WHICH WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  69  48  75  54 /  10  10  10  10
BTR  72  51  76  56 /  10  10  10  10
MSY  69  54  75  58 /  10  10  10  10
GPT  67  48  72  57 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: AMITE...HANCOCK...HARRISON...JACKSON...PEARL
     RIVER...PIKE...WALTHALL...AND WILKINSON.

&&

35/11

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
316 PM CDT MON MAR 24 2008

GMZ530-550-555-570-575-LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-252030-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-
IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-
ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-
ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-
UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-
LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-LOWER PLAQUEMINES-
LOWER ST. BERNARD-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
316 PM CDT MON MAR 24 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF GULF OF
MEXICO...SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
MARINE...WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WILL REMAIN IN THE 15 TO 20
KNOT RANGE THIS EVENING. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM
THROUGH 7 PM THIS EVENING.

FIRE WEATHER...HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S WITH DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 20S WILL CAUSE RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO DROP INTO THE
20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH DRY FUELS COULD CAUSE SOME BURNING
CONCERNS.

FREEZE...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 AND 12 CORRIDOR TONIGHT.
FREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR ONE TO TWO HOURS NEAR
SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM LIBERTY TO
FOLSOM TO SLIDELL TO SAUCIER. PATCHY FROST WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE
IN PROTECTED AREAS DURING THE SAME TIME PERIOD.

RIVER FLOODING...MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER AT RED RIVER LANDING AND ON THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER AT MORGAN
CITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
RIVER FLOODING...MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT VARIOUS POINTS
ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING BATON ROUGE....WITHIN THE
NEXT TWO WEEKS. RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR FLOOD WARNINGS
AND STATEMENTS FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON FORECASTED CREST
LEVELS AND IMPACTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.