Tornado Warning 75, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
305 PM CDT WED SEP 3 2008

.DISCUSSION...
VERY BUSY AFTERNOON INDEED AS 16 TORNADO WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
ISSUED THUS FAR AND IT ISNT EVEN 3 PM YET. TROPICAL DEPRESSION
GUSTAV FORECAST BY GFS MODEL TO MOVE RAPIDLY NORTH AND EAST AS
IT GETS PICKED UP BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW ALLOW FOR A DISCONNECTION OF THE TROPICAL
MOISTURE THAT HAS PLAGUED OUR AREA TODAY. EVEN THOUGH GUSTAV IS
WELL NORTH...WE HAVE HAD THE CONNECTION FROM THE GULF FEED GUSTAV.

THE GUSTAV TROPICAL CONNECTION GETS BROKEN ON THURSDAY AND
THEREFORE TWO THINGS ARE GOING TO OCCUR. DRY AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE
AREA AS A COOL FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION. THE SECOND ITEM IS THAT
SIGNIFICANT RAINS WILL END FOR THE AREA.

THE AREA HAS BEEN BATTERED BY HEAVY RAINS...TORNADOES...AND HIGH WINDS.
THE REST OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND WILL ALLOW FOR RECOVERY EFFORTS.

FOR NEXT WEEK...A REINFORCING COOL FRONT WILL PUSH DOWN INTO THE AREA
ON TUESDAY ALLOW FOR DRY AND LESS HUMID WEATHER TO CONTINUE. THAT
IS ALSO GREAT NEWS BECAUSE IT HAS BEEN VERY HUMID WHICH IS USALLY
THE CASE WITH HURRICANES AND TROPICAL STORMS. THUS KIND OF RELIEF
IS HIGH WELCOME.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AFTER 7 PM
TONIGHT. EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS FOR THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SEAS AND WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES
WITH THE ABSENCE OF GUSTAV.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  74  86  71  89  71 /  50  30  20  10  20
KBPT  69  88  69  91  69 /  20  10  10  10  20
KAEX  71  86  68  89  67 /  40  10  20  10  20
KLFT  73  85  70  88  70 /  50  30  20  10  20

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: ACADIA...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...IBERIA...
     LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...ST.
     MARY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERMILION.

TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

06

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
637 AM CDT WED SEP 3 2008

GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-
201-215-216-041100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
637 AM CDT WED SEP 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A TORNADO WATCH 885 IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA UNTIL 1 PM CDT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWEST...SOUTH CENTRAL
...AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA FOR TODAY.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR NUISANCE FLOODING AND A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR MODERATE WINDS AND SEAS.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN
LOUISIANA TODAY...BECOMING LESS NUMEROUS ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS.
SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH TORNADOES AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE ACTIVATION OF SPOTTERS IS POSSIBLE FOR TODAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1211 PM CDT WED SEP 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 AM     TSTM WND DMG     EFFIE                   31.22N 92.16W
09/03/2008                   AVOYELLES          LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERRIFFS DEPT REPORTS 2 HOMES WITH ROOFS REMOVED.
            POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

MOGGED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
205 PM CDT WED SEP 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     ARNAUDVILLE             30.42N 91.93W
09/03/2008                   ST. LANDRY         LA   PUBLIC

            TWO REPORTS OF FUNNEL CLOUDS NEAR ARNAUDVILLE FROM THE
            PUBLIC RELAYED BY SHERIFFS OFFICE.

&&

JNUNN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
210 PM CDT WED SEP 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0153 PM     TORNADO          NNE ARNAUDVILLE         30.42N 91.93W
09/03/2008                   ST. LANDRY         LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DAMAGE REPORTED ON HEBERT ROAD

&&

KKUYPER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
223 PM CDT WED SEP 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     TORNADO          5 N LEONVILLE           30.54N 91.98W
09/03/2008                   ST. LANDRY         LA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED THAT TORNADO ON THE GROUND
            BETWEEN LEONVILLE AND PORT BARRE.

&&

JNUNN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
244 PM CDT WED SEP 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0231 PM     TORNADO          ARNAUDVILLE             30.42N 91.93W
09/03/2008                   ST. LANDRY         LA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            MEDIA REPORTS DAMAGE ON HWY 31 NEAR ARNAUDVILLE

&&

JNUNN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
252 PM CDT WED SEP 03 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0252 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     5 W SCOTT               30.24N 92.17W
09/03/2008                   ACADIA             LA   PUBLIC

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED BY PUBLIC BETWEEN SCOTT AND DUSON
            ON IH 10.

&&

JNUNN