Alert archive / Louisiana / Hurricane Warnings in 2008
Hurricane Warning 1, NWS Lake Charles, LA
NWS Lake Charles, LA issued this hurricane warning at Sep 11, 2008, 12:41 PM CDT. It was in force for 47 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 11, 2008, 12:41 PM CDT (17:41 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 13, 2008, 11:18 AM CDT
- In force
- 47 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Lake Charles, LA
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WTUS84 KLCH 111741
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES GROW IN SIZE...
...HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED...
.AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST OR ABOUT 580 MILES...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 470 MILES
...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. A GENERAL
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND THE CENTER OF IKE SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE COAST BY LATE
FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE
THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE
COASTLINE.
IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES
LANDFALL. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN
BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
ALONG THE CENTRAL AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
15 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
TXZ201-216-112345-
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HARDIN-ORANGE-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WIND WATCH ISSUED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
HARDIN...ORANGE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE
COUNTY...VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP INTO SABINE LAKE. THIS IS
FORECAST TO CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND
ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY.
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BRIDGE CITY AND ORANGE. THE STORM TIDE
LEVEL AT RAINBOW BRIDGE IS FORECAST REACH 10 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER. AT LEAST 6 FEET IS FORECAST AT THE OLD ORANGE RIVER GAUGE
AND THIS IS MAJOR FLOODING. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG COW
BAYOU BETWEEN ORANGEFIELD AND BRIDGE CITY.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND NOON
FRIDAY. THESE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE BY FRIDAY EVENING. SUSTAINED HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS OF 75 TO 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE FOR
TWO TO SIX HOURS BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING. A
HURRICANE WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THIS
WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES...NUMEROUS TREES BLOWN
DOWN...AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS ON HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND HARDIN
COUNTIES IS 20 TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES RANGE FROM 70 TO 80
PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT ORANGE ON THE SABINE
RIVER DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING. OTHERWISE AREAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 6 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA
THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
TEXAS ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS EXPECTED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
LAZ028-029-032-033-112345-
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/O.EXB.KLCH.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080913T0200Z/
AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED ACROSS ALL CENTRAL AND WESTERN
LOUISIANA.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. THIS WILL
RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE
TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH
IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN
POWER OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND ROOFS DAMAGE TO HOMES AND
BUSINESSES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA RANGE FROM 40 PERCENT ACROSS AVOYELLES PARISH
TO NEAR 70 PERCENT ACROSS BEAUAGARD PARISH.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH
FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
LAZ051-112345-
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/O.NEW.KLCH.HU.W.1009.080911T1741Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR CAMERON PARISH.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE TODAY...THEN INCREASE
RAPIDLY THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...CRESTING
BETWEEN 10 AND 13 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH SUNDAY DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER
LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL
BE UNDER WATER. AS MUCH AS SIX TO SEVEN FEET OF WATER WILL COVER
THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON.
LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE
FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE 3 TO 4 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM IN
THESE LOCATIONS.
CALCASIEU PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 2:36 AM 7:09 PM
FRIDAY 2:35 AM 8:13 AM 11:01 AM 8:23 PM
SATURDAY 2:39 AM 8:17 AM 12:19 PM 8:59 PM
SABINE PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 3:32 AM 7:55 PM
FRIDAY 3:31 AM 8:59 AM 11:56 AM 8:33 PM
SATURDAY 3:35 AM 9:03 AM 1:15 PM 9:09 PM
LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION LIKELY
ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL
COMMUNITIES...WILL BE INUNDATED DURING HIGH TIDE. MANY RESIDENCES
OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED.
WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY
ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY.
NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE
WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE
CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED
BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY
DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF
BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO
REPAIR.
...WINDS...
CAMERON PARISH WILL EXPERIENCE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO
50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH STARTING FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS OF 60 TO
70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO APPROACH HURRICANE FORCE BETWEEN FRIDAY EVENING AND
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN
DOWN...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS CAMERON PARISH
RANGE FROM 10 TO 30 PERCENT.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
GMZ452-455-472-475-112345-
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COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS
FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING
FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
ALL CRAFT SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION TO FIND SAFE HARBOR AND STAY
IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL
WATERS SHORTLY AFTER NOON THURSDAY...SPREADING TOWARD THE COAST
DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH HURRICANE FORCE
BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. PREPARATIONS TO SECURE MARITIME PROPERTY
ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY NOON THURSDAY.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR WATER SPOUTS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
LAZ052>054-112345-
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IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR VERMILION PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14
INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE
PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR IBERIA PARISH:
A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS
UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION.
FOR SAINT MARY:
VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF
INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND
SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN
FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW
LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE
DAY AND INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL STORM
SURGE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE 8 TO 12 ACROSS VERMILION PARISH TO
6 TO 8 FEET ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE
SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED
ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL APPROACH OR EXCEED THE STORM
SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER 1961 AND
TROPICAL STORM FRANCES OF 1998.
FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL
WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN
ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING
THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY...
AND DELCAMBRE.
FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL
EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND.
ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST
AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL LIKELY FLOOD ON
FRIDAY.
SOUTHWEST PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 4:18 AM 8:00 PM
FRIDAY 4:17 AM 9:04 AM 12:42 AM 8:38 PM
SATURDAY 4:21 AM 9:08 AM 2:01 PM 9:14 PM
ACROSS VERMILION LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION LIKELY
ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL
COMMUNITIES...WILL BE INUNDATED DURING HIGH TIDE. MANY RESIDENCES
OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED.
WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY
ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY.
NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE
WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE
CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9
FEET FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY
BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH
MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK
CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO
REPAIR.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH WILL BEGIN
AFFECTING THE COASTAL LOUISIANA PARISHES JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY
MORNING...AND PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE 10 PERCENT OR LESS
ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
GMZ450-470-112345-
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COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
VESSELS SHOULD RUSH TO COMPLETION THE PREPERATION FOR HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS AND SEAS AND SEEK SAFE HARBOR NOW. STAY IN PORT UNTIL
THE STORM PASSES.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL IMPACT THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS BY
THURSDAY EVENING. WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE
FRIDAY MORNING...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS BECOMING SUSTAINED BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...AND PREPARATIONS TO
SECURE MARITIME PROPERTY ALONG THE COAST SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR WATER SPOUTS WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
TXZ215-112345-
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JEFFERSON-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
JEFFERSON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
HURRICANE WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY
AND INCREASE RAPIDLY THROUGH FRIDAY...CRESTING BETWEEN 11 AND 13 FEET
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE
THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE
WATER LEVELS WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE STORM SURGE EXPERIENCED DURING
HURRICANE CARLA OF SEPTEMBER 1961.
AT THESE WATER LEVELS...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY
73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL LIKELY HAVE STORM SURGE
FLOODING. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR
BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR
ALONG COW BAYOU BETWEEN ORANGEFIELD AND BRIDGE CITY.
ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. SECTIONS OF HIGHWAY
73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL.
SABINE PASS
HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE HIGH TIDE LOW TIDE
TODAY 3:32 AM 7:55 PM
FRIDAY 3:31 AM 8:59 AM 11:56 AM 8:33 PM
SATURDAY 3:35 AM 9:03 AM 1:15 PM 9:09 PM
INUNDATION LIKELY
ENTIRE COASTAL CITIES AND TOWNS WILL BE INUNDATED. PERMANENT
BREACHES MAY BE CUT OFF. FULL RECOVERY WILL TAKE MONTHS IF NOT
YEARS. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 13 FEET FOR MORE THAN A MILE
INLAND. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES
WILL NOT ONLY EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE BUT WASH OUT SOLID ROAD
AND BRIDGE STRUCTURES. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION WILL TAKE YEARS
TO REPAIR.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG COASTAL
JEFFERSON COUNTY BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
TO BETWEEN 50 AND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. BY LATE FRIDAY EVENING...SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
OF 75 TO 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE EXPECTED AND WILL PERSIST
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD POWER
OUTAGES...NUMEROUS TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO
ROOFS ON HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY
IS 30 TO 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE 80 TO 90 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG
AREA RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY
TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE
FLASH FLOODING.
MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NECHES RIVER UP THROUGH
BEAUMONT DUE TO THE STORM SURGE.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
LAZ041>045-055-112345-
/O.UPG.KLCH.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080912T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.TI.W.0004.080911T1741Z-080913T0200Z/
ACADIA-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST. MARTIN-
UPPER ST. MARTIN-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT FRIDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING ISSUED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ACADIA...CALCASIEU...JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST.
MARTIN...UPPER ST. MARTIN.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL
TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES
RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR
WELL-BEING.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
FOR CALCASIEU PARISH:
STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES LATE
FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS OF 7
TO 8 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO
RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW
AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND.
AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER
BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...VINCENT LANDING JUST SOUTHEAST OF
CARLYSS...AND LOCKMOOR JUST SOUTH OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM
SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210
BRIDGES...AREAS NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH
WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE
COMPARABLE TO THAT EXPIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA.
...WINDS...
FOR CALCASIEU PARISH:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS OF AROUND 60 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN POWER
OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND ROOFS DAMAGE TO HOMES AND
BUSINESSES.
FOR JEFF DAVIS...ACADIA AND LAFAYETTE PARISHES:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY MORNING. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS
IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN POWER
OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND ROOFS DAMAGE TO HOMES AND
BUSINESSES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE 50 TO 70 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT MOST OF THIS RAIN WILL
FALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME MINOR
FLOODING ALONG AREA RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE GROUND IS QUITE
SATURATED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DUE TO THE RAINS
FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING
ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY
TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH
FLOODING. IF THE STORM APPROACHES SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA CLOSER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
BE QUITE A BIT HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.
AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU
RIVER FROM THE SALT WATER BARRIER TO OLD TOWN BAY AND MODERATE
FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM
HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO
TIDAL BACKUP UP THE CALCASIEU RIVER. ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER
MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST UP THE RIVER THROUGH MERMENTAU DUE TO
STORM SURGE
AT THIS TIME ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...MAJOR FLOODING OF
RESIDENTIAL AREAS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER. FURTHER
UP THE RIVER TO OLD TOWN BAY...WATER WILL COMPLETELY COVER GOOS
FERRY ROAD ALL THE WAY TO THE RIVER ROAD ENTRANCE. FLOOD WATER
ENTERS LOWER LEVELS OF SOME ELEVATED HOMES ON GOOS FERRY ROAD.
FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN WHITE OAK PARK. ALONG THE WEST FORK OF THE
CALCASIEU WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA.
CYPRESS LAKE DRIVE BECOMES IMPASSIBLE AND WATER IS UP TO A FEW
HOMES ALONG THE ROAD. PORTIONS OF SAM HOUSTON PARK ARE UNDER
WATER.
SOME MINOR FLOODING IS ALSO FORECAST UP THE VERMILION RIVER DUE TO
STORM SURGE AS WELL.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$
LAZ027-030-031-TXZ180>182-112345-
/O.EXT.KLCH.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080913T0200Z/
ALLEN-BEAUREGARD-JASPER-NEWTON-TYLER-VERNON-
1241 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IN EFFECT
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ALLEN...BEAUREGARD...JASPER...NEWTON...TYLER...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. THIS WILL
RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE
TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES.
...WINDS...
FOR TYLER...JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE
WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO BETWEEN 55 AND 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE BY MIDNIGHT FRIDAY. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH IS
IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL RESULT IN POWER
OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND DAMAGE TO ROOFS ON HOMES AND
BUSINESSES.
FOR ALLEN AND BEUREGARD PARISHES:
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FROM 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH
IS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL RESULT IN
POWER OUTAGES...TREES BLOWN DOWN...AND ROOFS DAMAGE TO HOMES AND
BUSINESSES.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGE FROM 60 TO 80 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS
TO NEAR 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL
SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH
FLOODING.
...TORNADOES...
THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM OR SOONER IF NEEDED.
$$12 follow-up statements
000 WTUS84 KLCH 112306 HLSLCH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...IKE HEADED FOR THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... .AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT 510 MILES EAST- SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 400 MILES...EAST- SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS... WITH A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATE FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER- TEXAS COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE LONG BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. IKE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE PRIOR TO REACHING THE COASTLINE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE DATA WAS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL...EXCEPT AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...WHERE SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 25 FT COULD OCCUR. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ALONG THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. LAZ041-120515- /O.UPG.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KLCH.HI.W.0002.080911T2306Z-080913T0900Z/ CALCASIEU- 606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: CALCASIEU. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WIND WARNING. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... STORM SURGE WILL MOVE UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES LATE FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND. AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210 BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON. AROUND MID AFTERNOON WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 60 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH WINDS WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS 90 SHOULD OCCUR ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH LATE TOMORROW NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 10 TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 70 TO 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THE GROUND IS QUITE SATURATED ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA DUE TO THE RAINS FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. IF THE STORM APPROACHES SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA CLOSER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE QUITE A BIT HIGHER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST. AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER FROM THE SALT WATER BARRIER TO OLD TOWN BAY AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP UP THE CALCASIEU RIVER. ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UP THE RIVER. AT THIS TIME ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...MAJOR FLOODING OF RESIDENTIAL AREAS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER. UPSTREAM NEAR OLD TOWN BAY...WATER WILL COMPLETELY COVER GOOS FERRY ROAD ALL THE WAY TO THE RIVER ROAD ENTRANCE. FLOOD WATER ENTERS LOWER LEVELS OF SOME ELEVATED HOMES ON GOOS FERRY ROAD. FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN WHITE OAK PARK. ALONG THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. CYPRESS LAKE DRIVE BECOMES IMPASSIBLE AND WATER IS UP TO A FEW HOMES ALONG THE ROAD. PORTIONS OF SAM HOUSTON PARK ARE UNDER WATER. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM. $$ TXZ201-216-120515- /O.UPG.KLCH.HI.A.0002.000000T0000Z-080913T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KLCH.HI.W.0002.080911T2306Z-080913T0900Z/ HARDIN-ORANGE- 606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: HARDIN...ORANGE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WIND WARNING. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY...VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ORANGE: STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP INTO SABINE LAKE. THIS IS FORECAST TO CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE MUCH OF IF NOT ALL OF BRIDGE CITY AND PORTIONS OF ORANGE. THE STORM TIDE LEVEL AT RAINBOW BRIDGE IS FORECAST REACH 11 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT LEAST 6 FEET IS FORECAST AT THE OLD ORANGE RIVER GAUGE AND THIS IS MAJOR FLOODING. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND MID MORNING FRIDAY WITH WINDS INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON TO 60 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 70 TO 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES IS 20 TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES RANGE FROM 80 TO 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT ORANGE ON THE SABINE RIVER DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER AS WELL AS THE PINE ISLAND BAYOU NEAR SOUR LAKE. OTHERWISE...AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM. $$ LAZ030-TXZ180>182-120515- /O.UPG.KLCH.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080913T0200Z/ /O.EXB.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/ BEAUREGARD-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON- 606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: BEAUREGARD...JASPER...NEWTON...TYLER. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 80 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING AND REACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH BY LATE MORNING TOMORROW AND INCREASE TO 55 TO 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 20 PERCENT OR LESS. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ALONG THE SABINE RIVER NEAR BON WIER IS EXPECTED AS WELL AS ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AND VILLAGE CREEK. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM. $$ LAZ027>029-031>033-120515- /O.UPG.KLCH.TI.A.0001.000000T0000Z-080913T0200Z/ /O.EXB.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/ VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY- 606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: VERNON...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING AND REACH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 55 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ACROSS ALLEN...EVANGELINE AND VERNON PARISHES. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA RANGES FROM 40 PERCENT ACROSS AVOYELLES AND RAPIDES PARISHES TO NEAR 70 PERCENT ACROSS PORTIONS OF VERNON AND ALLEN PARISHES. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM. $$ LAZ042>045-055-120515- /O.EXT.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/ JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN- LOWER ST. MARTIN- 606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: ACADIA...JEFFERSON DAVIS...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...UPPER ST. MARTIN. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. THIS WILL RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING FROM EAST TO WEST. WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ACROSS JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY MID AFTERNOON TOMORROW AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM ABOUT 60 PERCENT ACROSS UPPER AND LOWER SAINT MARTIN PARISH TO NEARLY 80 PERCENT ACROSS JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THE GROUND IS QUITE SATURATED ACROSS SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DUE TO THE RAINS FROM HURRICANE GUSTAV...AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL LIKELY PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS AS WELL AS FLASH FLOODING WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM. $$ TXZ215-120515- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ JEFFERSON- 606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: JEFFERSON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT AND INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY...CRESTING BETWEEN 13 AND 15 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE OVERTOPPED...ESPECIALLY WITH WAVES OF UP TO FIVE FEET ABOVE THE PREDICTED WATER LEVEL. THEREFORE PORTIONS OF DOWNTOWN PORT ARTHUR ARE LIKELY TO FLOOD. MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL. INUNDATION LIKELY ENTIRE COASTAL CITIES AND TOWNS WILL BE INUNDATED. FULL RECOVERY WILL TAKE MONTHS IF NOT YEARS. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL NOT ONLY EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE BUT WASH OUT SOLID ROAD AND BRIDGE STRUCTURES. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION WILL TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH TOMORROW MORNING AND WILL INCREASE TO 60 TO 70 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 75 TO 85 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 100 MPH EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 30 TO 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 80 TO 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER UP THROUGH BEAUMONT DUE TO THE STORM SURGE. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM. $$ GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-120515- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY END FROM EAST TO WEST TOMORROW NIGHT. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT FOR WATER SPOUTS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM. $$ LAZ051>054-120515- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY- 606 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: CAMERON...VERMILION...IBERIA...SAINT MARY. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR CAMERON PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. FOR VERMILION PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14 INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR IBERIA PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR SAINT MARY: VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CAMERON: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...CRESTING BETWEEN 12 AND 14 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDER WATER. AS MUCH AS EIGHT TO TEN FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE SIX TO SEVEN FEET OF WATER OVER THEM IN THESE LOCATIONS. VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY: THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THIS EVENING AND INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL STORM SURGE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE 10 TO 12 ACROSS VERMILION PARISH TO 6 TO 8 FEET ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE. FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND. ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL LIKELY FLOOD ON FRIDAY. ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES...LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION IS LIKELY ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... CAMERON: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN TOMORROW MORNING. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 60 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 70 TO 80 WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL BEGIN IN THE EVENING TOMORROW AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT WITH WINDS INCREASING TO 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE TOMORROW AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TOMORROW NIGHT...BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO THE MORNING SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 10 TO 30 PERCENT FOR CAMERON PARISH AND IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 60 TO 70 PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY AND IBERIA PARISHES...AND INCREASES TO 70 TO 80 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 10 PM. $$
000 WTUS84 KLCH 120318 HLSLCH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1018 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...IKE REMAINS A LARGE CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE AND POSES A SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE HAZARD... .AT 1000 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS ...WITH A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. DATA FROM BOTH NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND IKE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE COAST. THE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT IKE REMAINS A LARGE CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 265 MILES FROM THE CENTER.. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON AIRCRAFT DATA IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 25 FEET COULD OCCUR AT POINTS AND HEADLANDS ALONG THE COAST. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING FROM 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES ALONG THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. TXZ215-120930- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ JEFFERSON- 1018 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTY: JEFFERSON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY BY NOON ON FRIDAY...CRESTING TO AROUND 20 FEET MEAN SEA LEVEL. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET...CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF THE CITY OF PORT ARTHUR. MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL. INUNDATION LIKELY ENTIRE COASTAL CITIES AND TOWNS WILL BE INUNDATED. FULL RECOVERY WILL TAKE MONTHS IF NOT YEARS. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL NOT ONLY EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE BUT WASH OUT SOLID ROAD AND BRIDGE STRUCTURES. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION WILL TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING...INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 30 TO 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 80 TO 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER UP THROUGH BEAUMONT DUE TO THE STORM SURGE. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY. $$ GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-120930- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 1018 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM... COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY END FROM EAST TO WEST TOMORROW NIGHT. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT FOR WATER SPOUTS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ051>054-120930- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CAMERON-IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION- 1018 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES: CAMERON...IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR CAMERON PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. FOR VERMILION PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14 INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR IBERIA PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR SAINT MARY: VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CAMERON: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...CRESTING BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. MOST OF CAMERON PARISH WILL BE INUNDATED. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDER WATER. AS MUCH AS EIGHT TO TEN FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE 6 TO 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM. VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY: THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THIS EVENING... THEN INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL STORM SURGE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE...FROM AROUND 8 FEET ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES...TO AROUND 12 FEET ACROSS VERMILION PARISH. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE. FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND. ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL FLOOD ON FRIDAY. ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES...LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION IS LIKELY ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES ...WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... CAMERON: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN TOMORROW MORNING...INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL BEGIN BY FRIDAY EVENING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING ...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON. VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...INCREASING TO AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO THE MORNING SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 10 TO 30 PERCENT FOR CAMERON PARISH...AND IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 60 TO 70 PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY AND IBERIA PARISHES...AND INCREASES TO 70 TO 80 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ041-TXZ201-216-120930- /O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/ CALCASIEU-HARDIN-ORANGE- 1018 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND PARISH: CALCASIEU...HARDIN...ORANGE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY... VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CALCASIEU: STORM SURGE WILL MOVE UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES LATE FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND. AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210 BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. ORANGE: STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP INTO SABINE LAKE. THIS IS FORECAST TO CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY AND PORTIONS OF ORANGE. THE STORM TIDE LEVEL AT RAINBOW BRIDGE IS FORECAST REACH FROM 10 TO 15 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT LEAST 6 FEET IS FORECAST AT THE OLD ORANGE RIVER GAGE AND THIS IS MAJOR FLOODING. ...WINDS... CALCASIEU: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...INCREASING TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH BY FRIDAY EVENING. WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH COULD EXPERIENCE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH BY FRIDAY EVENING. ORANGE AND HARDIN: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN AROUND MID MORNING FRIDAY...INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... CALCASIEU: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 10 TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 70 TO 80 PERCENT. ORANGE AND HARDIN: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES RANGE FROM 80 TO 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... CALCASIEU: AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER FROM THE SALT WATER BARRIER TO OLD TOWN BAY AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP. ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST...ALSO DUE TO A TIDAL BACKUP. AT THIS TIME ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...MAJOR FLOODING OF RESIDENTIAL AREAS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER. UPSTREAM NEAR OLD TOWN BAY...WATER WILL COMPLETELY COVER GOOS FERRY ROAD ALL THE WAY TO THE RIVER ROAD ENTRANCE. FLOOD WATER ENTERS LOWER LEVELS OF SOME ELEVATED HOMES ON GOOS FERRY ROAD. FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN WHITE OAK PARK. ALONG THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. CYPRESS LAKE DRIVE BECOMES IMPASSIBLE AND WATER IS UP TO A FEW HOMES ALONG THE ROAD. PORTIONS OF SAM HOUSTON PARK ARE UNDER WATER. ORANGE AND HARDIN: AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT ORANGE ON THE SABINE RIVER DUE TO THE STORM SURGE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER AS WELL AS THE PINE ISLAND BAYOU NEAR SOUR LAKE. OTHERWISE...AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ030-TXZ180>182-120930- /O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/ BEAUREGARD-JASPER-NEWTON-TYLER- 1018 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND PARISH: BEAUREGARD...JASPER...NEWTON...TYLER. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN AROUND LATE MORNING FRIDAY...INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY EVENING AND PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 20 PERCENT OR LESS. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ALONG THE SABINE RIVER NEAR BON WIER IS EXPECTED AS WELL AS ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AND VILLAGE CREEK. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ027>029-031>033-042>045-055-120930- /O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/ ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE- LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON- 1018 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS... LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN LATER TONIGHT...AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY...BEFORE DECREASING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 60 PERCENT ACROSS UPPER AND LOWER SAINT MARTIN PARISH TO 80 PERCENT ACROSS JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY. $$
000 WTUS84 KLCH 120520 AAA HLSLCH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1220 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...IKE REMAINS A LARGE CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE AND POSES A SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE HAZARD... .AT 1000 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.4 WEST OR ABOUT 340 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS ...WITH A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE FRIDAY. DATA FROM BOTH NOAA AND AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND IKE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE COAST. THE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT IKE REMAINS A LARGE CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 265 MILES FROM THE CENTER.. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON AIRCRAFT DATA IS 956 MB...28.23 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 25 FEET COULD OCCUR AT POINTS AND HEADLANDS ALONG THE COAST. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING FROM 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES ALONG THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. TXZ215-121130- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ JEFFERSON- 1220 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTY: JEFFERSON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY BY NOON ON FRIDAY...CRESTING TO AROUND 20 FEET MEAN SEA LEVEL. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET...CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF THE CITY OF PORT ARTHUR. MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL. INUNDATION LIKELY ENTIRE COASTAL CITIES AND TOWNS WILL BE INUNDATED. FULL RECOVERY WILL TAKE MONTHS IF NOT YEARS. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL NOT ONLY EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE BUT WASH OUT SOLID ROAD AND BRIDGE STRUCTURES. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION WILL TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING...INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 30 TO 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 80 TO 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER UP THROUGH BEAUMONT DUE TO THE STORM SURGE. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY. $$ GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-121130- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 1220 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM... COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY END FROM EAST TO WEST TOMORROW NIGHT. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT FOR WATER SPOUTS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ051>054-121130- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CAMERON-IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION- 1220 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES: CAMERON...IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR CAMERON PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. FOR VERMILION PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14 INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR IBERIA PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR SAINT MARY: VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CAMERON: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...CRESTING BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. MOST OF CAMERON PARISH WILL BE INUNDATED. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDER WATER. AS MUCH AS EIGHT TO TEN FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE 6 TO 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM. VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY: THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THIS EVENING... THEN INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL STORM SURGE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE...FROM AROUND 8 FEET ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES...TO AROUND 12 FEET ACROSS VERMILION PARISH. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE. FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND. ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL FLOOD ON FRIDAY. ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES...LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION IS LIKELY ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES ...WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... CAMERON: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN TOMORROW MORNING...INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL BEGIN BY FRIDAY EVENING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING ...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON. VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...INCREASING TO AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO THE MORNING SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 10 TO 30 PERCENT FOR CAMERON PARISH...AND IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 60 TO 70 PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY AND IBERIA PARISHES...AND INCREASES TO 70 TO 80 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ041-TXZ201-216-121130- /O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/ CALCASIEU-HARDIN-ORANGE- 1220 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND PARISH: CALCASIEU...HARDIN...ORANGE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY... VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CALCASIEU: STORM SURGE WILL MOVE UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES LATE FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND. AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210 BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. ORANGE: STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP INTO SABINE LAKE. THIS IS FORECAST TO CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY AND PORTIONS OF ORANGE. THE STORM TIDE LEVEL AT RAINBOW BRIDGE IS FORECAST REACH FROM 10 TO 15 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT LEAST 6 FEET IS FORECAST AT THE OLD ORANGE RIVER GAGE AND THIS IS MAJOR FLOODING. ...WINDS... CALCASIEU: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...INCREASING TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH BY FRIDAY EVENING. WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH COULD EXPERIENCE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH BY FRIDAY EVENING. ORANGE AND HARDIN: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN AROUND MID MORNING FRIDAY...INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... CALCASIEU: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 10 TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 70 TO 80 PERCENT. ORANGE AND HARDIN: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES RANGE FROM 80 TO 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... CALCASIEU: AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER FROM THE SALT WATER BARRIER TO OLD TOWN BAY AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP. ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST...ALSO DUE TO A TIDAL BACKUP. AT THIS TIME ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...MAJOR FLOODING OF RESIDENTIAL AREAS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER. UPSTREAM NEAR OLD TOWN BAY...WATER WILL COMPLETELY COVER GOOS FERRY ROAD ALL THE WAY TO THE RIVER ROAD ENTRANCE. FLOOD WATER ENTERS LOWER LEVELS OF SOME ELEVATED HOMES ON GOOS FERRY ROAD. FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN WHITE OAK PARK. ALONG THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. CYPRESS LAKE DRIVE BECOMES IMPASSIBLE AND WATER IS UP TO A FEW HOMES ALONG THE ROAD. PORTIONS OF SAM HOUSTON PARK ARE UNDER WATER. ORANGE AND HARDIN: AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT ORANGE ON THE SABINE RIVER DUE TO THE STORM SURGE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER AS WELL AS THE PINE ISLAND BAYOU NEAR SOUR LAKE. OTHERWISE...AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ030-TXZ180>182-121130- /O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/ BEAUREGARD-JASPER-NEWTON-TYLER- 1220 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND PARISH: BEAUREGARD...JASPER...NEWTON...TYLER. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN AROUND LATE MORNING FRIDAY...INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY EVENING AND PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 20 PERCENT OR LESS. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ALONG THE SABINE RIVER NEAR BON WIER IS EXPECTED AS WELL AS ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AND VILLAGE CREEK. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ027>029-031>033-042>045-055-121130- /O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/ ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE- LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON- 1220 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS... LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN LATER TONIGHT...AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY...BEFORE DECREASING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 60 PERCENT ACROSS UPPER AND LOWER SAINT MARTIN PARISH TO 80 PERCENT ACROSS JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THIS EVENING... THEN INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL STORM SURGE VALUES MAY REACH 8 FEET NEAR LAKE ARTHUR. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ027>029-031>033-042>045-055-121130- /O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/ ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE- LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON- 1220 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS... LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN LATER TONIGHT...AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY...BEFORE DECREASING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 60 PERCENT ACROSS UPPER AND LOWER SAINT MARTIN PARISH TO 80 PERCENT ACROSS JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM. ...TORNADOES... THE THREAT OF TORNADOES WILL INCREASE ON FRIDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY. $$
000 WTUS84 KLCH 120626 HLSLCH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 126 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...LARGE CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE IKE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST... .AT 100 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.1 WEST OR ABOUT 405 MILES... 650 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 300 MILES ...485 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...WITH A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE TODAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE EARLY TODAY...LONG BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH... 160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO...AND IKE COULD BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE COAST. THE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE THAT IKE REMAINS A LARGE CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 265 MILES...425 KM. AN OIL PLATFORM IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 78 MPH... 126 KM/HR...AT AN ELEVATION OF 400 FEET. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 957 MB...28.26 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL...EXTENDING A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 25 FEET COULD OCCUR AT THE HEADS OF BAYS. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ALONG THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEXAS COAST AND OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. LAZ030-TXZ180>182-121230- /O.UPG.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T0900Z/ /O.EXB.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080913T1200Z/ BEAUREGARD-JASPER-NEWTON-TYLER- 126 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: BEAUREGARD...JASPER...NEWTON...TYLER. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS ON FRIDAY...AND CONTINUE INCREASING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AROUND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY EVENING AND PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES AND PARISHES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 70 TO 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES AND PARISHES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ALONG THE SABINE RIVER NEAR BON WIER IS EXPECTED AS WELL AS ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AND VILLAGE CREEK. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY MORNING. $$ LAZ041-TXZ201-216-121230- /O.EXT.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080913T1200Z/ CALCASIEU-HARDIN-ORANGE- 126 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: CALCASIEU...HARDIN...ORANGE. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CALCASIEU: STORM SURGE WILL MOVE UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES LATE FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND. AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210 BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. ORANGE: STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP INTO SABINE LAKE. THIS IS FORECAST TO CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY AND PORTIONS OF ORANGE. THE STORM TIDE LEVEL AT RAINBOW BRIDGE IS FORECAST REACH FROM 10 TO 15 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT LEAST 6 FEET IS FORECAST AT THE OLD ORANGE RIVER GAGE AND THIS IS MAJOR FLOODING. ...WINDS... CALCASIEU: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...INCREASING TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH BY FRIDAY EVENING. WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH COULD EXPERIENCE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH BY FRIDAY EVENING. ORANGE AND HARDIN: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN AROUND MID MORNING FRIDAY...INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... CALCASIEU: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 10 TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 70 TO 80 PERCENT. ORANGE AND HARDIN: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 20 TO 30 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES RANGE FROM 80 TO 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... CALCASIEU: AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER FROM THE SALT WATER BARRIER TO OLD TOWN BAY AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP. ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST...ALSO DUE TO A TIDAL BACKUP. AT THIS TIME ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...MAJOR FLOODING OF RESIDENTIAL AREAS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER. UPSTREAM NEAR OLD TOWN BAY...WATER WILL COMPLETELY COVER GOOS FERRY ROAD ALL THE WAY TO THE RIVER ROAD ENTRANCE. FLOOD WATER ENTERS LOWER LEVELS OF SOME ELEVATED HOMES ON GOOS FERRY ROAD. FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN WHITE OAK PARK. ALONG THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. CYPRESS LAKE DRIVE BECOMES IMPASSIBLE AND WATER IS UP TO A FEW HOMES ALONG THE ROAD. PORTIONS OF SAM HOUSTON PARK ARE UNDER WATER. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY MORNING. $$ LAZ027>029-031>033-042>045-055-121230- /O.EXT.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T1200Z/ ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE- LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON- 126 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS... LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN LATER TONIGHT...AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY...BEFORE DECREASING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 20 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY MORNING. $$ LAZ051>054-121230- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CAMERON-IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION- 126 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: CAMERON...IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR CAMERON PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. FOR VERMILION PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14 INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR IBERIA PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR SAINT MARY: VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CAMERON: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT...THEN INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...CRESTING BETWEEN 14 AND 18 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. MOST OF CAMERON PARISH WILL BE INUNDATED. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDER WATER. AS MUCH AS EIGHT TO TEN FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE 6 TO 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM. VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY: THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THIS EVENING... THEN INCREASE RAPIDLY FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL STORM SURGE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE...FROM AROUND 8 FEET ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES...TO AROUND 12 FEET ACROSS VERMILION PARISH. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE. FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND. ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL FLOOD ON FRIDAY. ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES...LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION IS LIKELY ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES... WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... CAMERON: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN TOMORROW MORNING...INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL BEGIN BY FRIDAY EVENING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON. VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...INCREASING TO AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO THE MORNING SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 10 TO 30 PERCENT FOR CAMERON PARISH...AND IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 60 TO 70 PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY AND IBERIA PARISHES...AND INCREASES TO 70 TO 80 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION AND CAMERON PARISHES. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY MORNING. $$ TXZ215-121230- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ JEFFERSON- 126 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: JEFFERSON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY BY NOON ON FRIDAY... CRESTING TO AROUND 20 FEET MEAN SEA LEVEL. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET...CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF THE CITY OF PORT ARTHUR. MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL. LIFE THREATENING FLOOD INUNDATION IS LIKELY ENTIRE COASTAL CITIES AND TOWNS WILL BE INUNDATED. FULL RECOVERY WILL TAKE MONTHS IF NOT YEARS. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL NOT ONLY EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE BUT WASH OUT SOLID ROAD AND BRIDGE STRUCTURES. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION WILL TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING...INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 30 TO 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 80 TO 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER UP THROUGH BEAUMONT DUE TO THE STORM SURGE. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY MORNING. $$ GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-121230- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 126 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM... COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY END FROM EAST TO WEST TOMORROW NIGHT. ...TORNADOES... WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM FRIDAY MORNING. $$
000 WTUS84 KLCH 121100 HLSLCH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...IKE GETS A LITTLE STRONGER...FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE... .AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.6 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF BEAUMONT TEXAS AND ABOUT 260 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF LAKE CHARLES LOUISIANA. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE TODAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE TODAY...LONG BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH... 165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND IKE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTERS IS 953 MB...28.14 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL...EXTENDING A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 25 FEET...AND POSSIBLY HIGHER...COULD OCCUR AT THE HEADS OF BAYS. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. LAZ028-029-032-033-043>045-055-121700- /O.EXT.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T2000Z/ ACADIA-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES- ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN- 600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... TORNADO WATCH 897 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES: ACADIA...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN LATER TODAY...AND PERSIST TODAY INTO SATURDAY...BEFORE DECREASING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 20 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 897 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM THIS MORNING. $$ LAZ030-041-TXZ180>182-201-216-121700- /O.EXT.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080913T2000Z/ BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER- 600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR PARISHES: BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE... TYLER. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY. PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CALCASIEU: STORM SURGE WILL MOVE UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES THIS MORNING AND INTO FRIDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY MORNING. TOTAL STORM TIDE LEVELS OF 8 TO 10 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW AFTER IKE MOVES INLAND. AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210 BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. ORANGE: STORM SURGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE UP INTO SABINE LAKE. THIS IS FORECAST TO CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY AND PORTIONS OF ORANGE. THE STORM TIDE LEVEL AT RAINBOW BRIDGE IS FORECAST REACH FROM 10 TO 15 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT LEAST 6 FEET IS FORECAST AT THE OLD ORANGE RIVER GAGE AND THIS IS MAJOR FLOODING. ...WINDS... CALCASIEU PARISH: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN THIS MORNING AND PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...INCREASING TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH THIS EVENING. WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH COULD EXPERIENCE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH BY THIS EVENING. ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN THIS MORNING...INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. BEAUREGARD PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...AND CONTINUE INCREASING THROUGH THE EVENING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES AND PARISHES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 70 TO 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES AND PARISHES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... CALCASIEU PARISH: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 35 TO 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 80 TO 90 PERCENT. ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 35 TO 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES RANGE FROM 80 TO 90 PERCENT. BEAUREGARD PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 30 TO 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 80 TO 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... CALCASIEU: AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER FROM THE SALT WATER BARRIER TO OLD TOWN BAY AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP. AT THIS TIME ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER...MAJOR FLOODING OF RESIDENTIAL AREAS WILL OCCUR NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER. UPSTREAM NEAR OLD TOWN BAY...WATER WILL COMPLETELY COVER GOOS FERRY ROAD ALL THE WAY TO THE RIVER ROAD ENTRANCE. FLOOD WATER ENTERS LOWER LEVELS OF SOME ELEVATED HOMES ON GOOS FERRY ROAD. FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN WHITE OAK PARK. ALONG THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. CYPRESS LAKE DRIVE BECOMES IMPASSIBLE AND WATER IS UP TO A FEW HOMES ALONG THE ROAD. PORTIONS OF SAM HOUSTON PARK ARE UNDER WATER. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM THIS MORNING. $$ LAZ027-031-042-121700- /O.EXT.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080913T2000Z/ ALLEN-JEFFERSON DAVIS-VERNON- 600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. A TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES: ALLEN...JEFFERSON DAVIS...VERNON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN LATER TONIGHT...AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY...BEFORE DECREASING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 20 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM THIS MORNING. $$ LAZ052>054-121700- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION- 600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... TORNADO WATCH 897 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES OR MARINE AREAS: IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR VERMILION PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14 INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR IBERIA PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR SAINT MARY: VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY: THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY THEN INCREASE RAPIDLY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. TOTAL STORM SURGE VALUES ARE FORECAST TO RANGE...FROM AROUND 8 FEET ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES...TO AROUND 12 FEET ACROSS VERMILION PARISH. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE. FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND. ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL FLOOD ON FRIDAY. ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION IS LIKELY ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES... WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN TODAY...INCREASING TO AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE BY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT...BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO THE MORNING SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 70 TO 80 PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY...VERMILION... AND IBERIA PARISHES. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM THIS MORNING. $$ LAZ051-TXZ215-121700- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CAMERON-JEFFERSON- 600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND PARISHES OR MARINE AREAS: CAMERON...JEFFERSON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR CAMERON PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CAMERON: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TODAY RAPIDLY INTO TONIGHT...CRESTING BETWEEN 15 AND 20 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. MOST OF CAMERON PARISH WILL BE INUNDATED. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDER WATER. AS MUCH AS EIGHT TO TEN FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE 6 TO 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM. JEFFERSON: STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY BY NOON TODAY... CRESTING TO AROUND 20 TO 25 FEET MEAN SEA LEVEL. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET...CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF THE CITY OF PORT ARTHUR. MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL. LIFE THREATENING FLOOD INUNDATION IS LIKELY ALL NEIGHBORHOODS... AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES... WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY HOMES MAY FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9 FEET FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN MULTI-STORY FACILITIES RISK BEING CUTOFF. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES CLOSER TO THE COAST. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... CAMERON: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN THIS MORNING...INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL BEGIN BY THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON. JEFFERSON: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY...INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 35 TO 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 90 TO 100 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER UP THROUGH BEAUMONT DUE TO THE STORM SURGE. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM THIS MORNING. $$ GMZ452-455-121700- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM- 600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE DAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY END FROM EAST TO WEST LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ...TORNADOES... WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM FRIDAY MORNING. $$ GMZ450-470-472-475-121700- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 600 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM... WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS GRADUALLY SPREADING FROM EAST TO WEST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY END FROM EAST TO WEST LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ...TORNADOES... WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 8 AM FRIDAY MORNING. $$
000 WTUS84 KLCH 121624 HLSLCH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1124 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED ALONG THE UPPER-TEXAS COAST BY MIDNIGHT SATURDAY... .AT 1000 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK... THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE TODAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE SOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE BUT COULD REACH THE COAST AS A CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH A FEW SPOTS TO NEAR 25 FEET...ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY RISEN BY MORE THAN 5 FEET ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA . ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. LAZ028-029-032-033-043>045-055-122230- /O.EXT.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ ACADIA-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES- ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN- 1124 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES: ACADIA...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY...BEFORE DECREASING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 20 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 897 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ030-041-TXZ180>182-201-216-122230- /O.EXT.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER- 1124 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES AND PARISHES: BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE... TYLER. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY. PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CALCASIEU: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES. A VERTICAL WATER RISE FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210 BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. ORANGE: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP INTO SABINE LAKE. THE ASSOCIATED RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE WILL CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY AND PORTIONS OF ORANGE. THE VERTICAL WATER RISE AT RAINBOW BRIDGE IS FORECAST TO REACH FROM 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. THE VERTICAL WATER RISE AT THE OLD ORANGE RIVER GAGE IS FORECAST TO REACH 6 FEET WHICH WILL CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING. ...WINDS... CALCASIEU PARISH: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...INCREASING TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH THIS EVENING. WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH COULD EXPERIENCE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH BY THIS EVENING. ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL PREVAIL THIS MORNING...INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. BEAUREGARD PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...THEN CONTINUE INCREASING THROUGH THE EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES AND PARISHES...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... CALCASIEU PARISH: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 35 TO 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 80 TO 90 PERCENT. ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 35 TO 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES RANGE FROM 80 TO 90 PERCENT. BEAUREGARD PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 30 TO 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 80 TO 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... CALCASIEU: AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER THIS WOULD CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HALF THE CITY OF LAKE CHARLES TO BE FLOODED. ON THE LOWER CALCASIEU AT OLD TOWN BAY AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST...WITH WATER LEVELS FORECAST TO RIVAL THOSE REACHED IN NOVEMBER 2002 WHICH IS THE FOURTH HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD. NUMEROUS HOMES AND CAMPS NEAR THE RIVER ARE FLOODED. MAJOR FLOODING FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP WITH NUMEROUS HOMES AND CAMPS UNDER WATER. MANY ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE. ORANGE: AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE SABINE RIVER AT ORANGE DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING FROM HURRICANE IKE. THIS WOULD CAUSE INUNDATION OF MUCH OF THE CITY OF ORANGE. RECORD FLOODING IS ALSO FORECAST ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT DUE TO STORM SURGE. WIDESPREAD MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. NUMEROUS HOMES IN NORTHEAST BEAUMONT AND ROSE CITY ARE FLOODED. JEFFERSON: AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT DUE TO STORM SURGE. WIDESPREAD MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. NUMEROUS HOMES IN NORTHEAST BEAUMONT AND ROSE CITY ARE FLOODED. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ027-031-042-122230- /O.EXT.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ ALLEN-JEFFERSON DAVIS-VERNON- 1124 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES: ALLEN...JEFFERSON DAVIS...VERNON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN LATER TONIGHT...AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY...BEFORE DECREASING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 20 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING WITH HEAVIER RAINBANDS. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ052>054-122230- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION- 1124 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES: IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR VERMILION PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14 INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR IBERIA PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR SAINT MARY: VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY: THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE WILL RANGE... FROM AROUND 8 FEET ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES...TO AROUND 12 FEET ACROSS VERMILION PARISH. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. FOR VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE. FOR IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND. ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL FLOOD ON FRIDAY. ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION IS LIKELY ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES... WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT...BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 70 TO 80 PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY...VERMILION... AND IBERIA PARISHES. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ051-TXZ215-122230- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CAMERON-JEFFERSON- 1124 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES: CAMERON...JEFFERSON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR CAMERON PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CAMERON: STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY THROUGH TONIGHT. ITS ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE...FROM 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER TABLE...IS EXPECTED BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDER WATER. AS MUCH AS EIGHT TO TEN FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE FROM 6 TO 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. JEFFERSON: STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY BY THIS AFTERNOON. ITS ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE...FROM 20 TO 25 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER TABLE...IS EXPECTED BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET...CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF THE CITY OF PORT ARTHUR. MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL. LIFE THREATENING FLOOD INUNDATION IS LIKELY ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY HOMES MAY FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9 FEET FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN MULTI-STORY FACILITIES RISK BEING CUTOFF. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES CLOSER TO THE COAST. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... CAMERON: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BE INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL BEGIN BY THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON. JEFFERSON: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...INCREASING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 35 TO 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS RANGES FROM 90 TO 100 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER UP THROUGH BEAUMONT DUE TO THE STORM SURGE. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$ GMZ452-455-122230- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM- 1124 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... |ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TODAY...INCREASING TO HURRICANE FORCE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...TORNADOES... WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$ GMZ450-470-472-475-122230- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 1124 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM... WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS LATER TODAY...INCREASING TO HURRICANE FORCE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. ...TORNADOES... WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$
000 WTUS84 KLCH 121841 HLSLCH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXPECTED ALONG THE UPPER-TEXAS COAST BY MIDNIGHT SATURDAY... .AT 100 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.1 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK... THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE TODAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. HOWEVER...BECAUSE IKE IS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE...WEATHER WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ALONG THE COASTLINE SOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE BUT COULD REACH THE COAST AS A CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH A FEW SPOTS TO NEAR 25 FEET...ABOVE THE NORMAL TIDE ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY RISEN BY MORE THAN 5 FEET ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA . ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. LAZ051>054-130045- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CAMERON-IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION- 141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... A NEW TORNADO WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: CAMERON...IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR VERMILION PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14 INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR IBERIA PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR SAINT MARY: VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER. FOR CAMERON PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CAMERON: STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY THROUGH TONIGHT. ITS ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE...FROM 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...IS EXPECTED BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDERWATER. AS MUCH AS 8 TO 10 FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE AROUND 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM. SEVERE FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN SOUTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY AND SOUTHERN CAMERON PARISH. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY: THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES WILL BE AROUND 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM. THE ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE ACROSS VERMILION PARISH WILL BE AROUND 12 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE. STORM SURGE FLOODING IS BEING REPORTED AROUND VERMILION BAY. ACROSS IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND. ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL FLOOD ON FRIDAY. ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES... WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... CAMERON: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BE INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL BEGIN BY THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON. VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT...BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IS BEING REPORTED. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT FOR CAMERON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR CAMERON. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 70 AND 80 PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY...VERMILION... AND IBERIA PARISHES. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 898 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$ TXZ215-130045- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ JEFFERSON- 141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: JEFFERSON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE VERY RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON. ITS ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE...FROM 20 TO 25 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...IS EXPECTED BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET...CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF THE CITY OF PORT ARTHUR. MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL. LIFE THREATENING FLOOD INUNDATION IS LIKELY ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY HOMES MAY FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9 FEET FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN MULTI-STORY FACILITIES RISK BEING CUTOFF. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES CLOSER TO THE COAST. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...INCREASING OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY THIS EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER UP THROUGH BEAUMONT DUE TO THE STORM SURGE. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$ GMZ450-452-455-130045- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM- 141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM... COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE INCREASING TO HURRICANE FORCE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH 898 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT. WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$ GMZ470-472-475-130045- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD FROM EAST TO WEST ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS LATER TODAY...INCREASING TO HURRICANE FORCE LATER THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. ...TORNADOES... WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ030-041-130045- /O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU- 141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING PARISHES: BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL. PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CALCASIEU: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES. A VERTICAL WATER RISE FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210 BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING IN LAKE CHARLES. ...WINDS... CALCASIEU PARISH: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...INCREASING TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH THIS EVENING. WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH COULD EXPERIENCE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH BY THIS EVENING. WINDS ARE ALREADY GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE. BEAUREGARD PARISH: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...THEN CONTINUE INCREASING THROUGH THE EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES AND PARISHES...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... CALCASIEU PARISH: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. BEAUREGARD PARISH: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... CALCASIEU: AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER WHICH WILL CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HALF THE CITY OF LAKE CHARLES TO BE FLOODED. ON THE LOWER CALCASIEU AT OLD TOWN BAY MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ...WITH WATER LEVELS FORECAST TO RIVAL THOSE REACHED IN NOVEMBER 2002 WHICH IS THE FOURTH HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD. NUMEROUS HOMES AND CAMPS NEAR THE RIVER ARE FLOODED. MAJOR FLOODING FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP WITH NUMEROUS HOMES AND CAMPS UNDER WATER. MANY ROADS WILL BECOME IMPASSABLE. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 898 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ027>029-031>033-042>045-055-130045- /O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE- LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON- 141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS... LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS RAPID INCREASE IN THE LAKE ARTHUR AREA. ITS ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE MAY REACH 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY...BEFORE DECREASING TO BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 20 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 60 AND 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER RAINBANDS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 898 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$ TXZ180>182-201-216-130045- /O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER- 141 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND GALVESTON ISLAND. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE...TYLER. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY. PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ORANGE: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP INTO SABINE LAKE. THE ASSOCIATED RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE...FROM 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...WILL CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY AND PORTIONS OF ORANGE. FLOODING IS LIKELY AROUND BRIDGE CITY. THE VERTICAL WATER RISE AT RAINBOW BRIDGE IS FORECAST TO REACH FROM 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM. THE VERTICAL WATER RISE AT THE OLD ORANGE RIVER GAGE IS FORECAST TO REACH 6 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...WHICH WILL CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING. ...WINDS... ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL PREVAIL...INCREASING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL BEGIN BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS...THEN CONTINUE INCREASING THROUGH THE EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES AND PARISHES...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE SABINE RIVER AT ORANGE DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING. THIS WOULD CAUSE INUNDATION OF MUCH OF THE CITY OF ORANGE. RECORD FLOODING IS ALSO FORECAST ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT DUE TO STORM SURGE. WIDESPREAD MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. NUMEROUS HOMES IN NORTHEAST BEAUMONT AND ROSE CITY ARE FLOODED. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 PM FRIDAY. $$
000 WTUS84 KLCH 122126 HLSLCH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 426 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...IKES FURY AIMED AT THE UPPER TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA COAST... .AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST OR ABOUT 135 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS. IKE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. A NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATE TODAY OR EARLY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE BUT COULD REACH THE COAST AS A CATEGORY THREE...A MAJOR HURRICANE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN STRONGER GUSTS... ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH A FEW SPOTS TO NEAR 25 FEET...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY RISEN BY MORE THAN 5 FEET ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. LAZ051>054-130330- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CAMERON-IBERIA-ST. MARY-VERMILION- 426 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...HEADING TOWARD THE GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: CAMERON...IBERIA...ST. MARY...VERMILION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR VERMILION PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14 INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR IBERIA PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR SAINT MARY: VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER. FOR CAMERON PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CAMERON: STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY THROUGH TONIGHT. ITS ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE...FROM 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...IS EXPECTED BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDERWATER. AS MUCH AS 8 TO 10 FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE AROUND 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM. SEVERE FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN SOUTHERN CAMERON PARISH. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY: THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THROUGH THIS EVENING. ITS ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES WILL BE AROUND 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM. ITS ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE ACROSS VERMILION PARISH WILL BE AROUND 12 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL BE FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN ISLAND. FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE. STORM SURGE FLOODING IS BEING REPORTED AROUND VERMILION BAY. ACROSS IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING...CUTTING OFF WEEKS ISLAND. ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY WILL FLOOD TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES... WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... CAMERON: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL PREVAIL...AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON. VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WILL PREVAIL. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT...BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IS BEING REPORTED. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT FOR CAMERON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR CAMERON. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 70 AND 80 PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY...VERMILION... AND IBERIA PARISHES. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 898 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM FRIDAY. $$ TXZ215-130330- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ JEFFERSON- 426 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...HEADING TOWARD THE GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: JEFFERSON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... SEVERE STORM SURGE FLOODING IS OCCURRING. STORM SURGE IS INCREASING VERY RAPIDLY. ITS ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE...FROM 20 TO 25 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...IS POSSIBLE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET...CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF THE CITY OF PORT ARTHUR. MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL. LIFE THREATENING FLOOD INUNDATION IS LIKELY ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY HOMES MAY FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY EXCEED 9 FEET FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN MULTI-STORY FACILITIES RISK BEING CUTOFF. CONDITIONS WILL BE WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES CLOSER TO THE COAST. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY SEE FLASH FLOODING. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER NECHES RIVER UP THROUGH BEAUMONT DUE TO THE STORM SURGE. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM FRIDAY. $$ GMZ450-452-455-130330- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM- 426 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...HEADING TOWARD THE GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM... COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH 898 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT. WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM FRIDAY. $$ GMZ470-472-475-130330- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 426 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...HEADING TOWARD THE GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. ...TORNADOES... WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ030-041-130330- /O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU- 426 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...HEADING TOWARD THE GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL. PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CALCASIEU: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES. A VERTICAL WATER RISE FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210 BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING IN LAKE CHARLES. ...WINDS... CALCASIEU PARISH: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH COULD EXPERIENCE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH THIS EVENING. WINDS ARE ALREADY GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE. BEAUREGARD PARISH: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE PARISH...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... CALCASIEU PARISH: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. BEAUREGARD PARISH: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... CALCASIEU: MODERATE FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR SALT WATER BARRIER. AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER WHICH MAY FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF LAKE CHARLES. ON THE LOWER CALCASIEU AT OLD TOWN BAY MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ...WITH WATER LEVELS FORECAST TO RIVAL THOSE REACHED IN NOVEMBER 2002 (THE FOURTH HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD). NUMEROUS HOMES AND CAMPS NEAR THE RIVER ARE FLOODED. MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 898 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM FRIDAY. $$ LAZ027>029-031>033-042>045-055-130330- /O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE- LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON- 426 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...HEADING TOWARD THE GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS... LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... |...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH: THE STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS RAPID INCREASE IN THE LAKE ARTHUR AREA. ITS ASSOCIATED VERTICAL WATER RISE MAY REACH 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY...BEFORE DECREASING TO BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 20 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 60 AND 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER RAINBANDS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO THE STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 898 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM FRIDAY. $$ TXZ180>182-201-216-130330- /O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER- 426 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...HEADING TOWARD THE GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE...TYLER. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY. PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... ORANGE: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP INTO SABINE LAKE. ITS ASSOCIATED RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE...FROM 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...WILL CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY AND PORTIONS OF ORANGE. ...WINDS... ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH WILL PREVAIL THIS EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES LATER THIS EVENING... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE SABINE RIVER AT ORANGE DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING...WHICH MAY FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF ORANGE. RECORD FLOODING IS ALSO FORECAST ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT DUE TO STORM SURGE. WIDESPREAD MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. NUMEROUS HOMES IN NORTHEAST BEAUMONT AND ROSE CITY ARE FLOODED. ...TORNADOES... ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM FRIDAY. $$
000 WTUS84 KLCH 130216 HLSLCH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 916 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON... .AT 800 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF VERY LARGE HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.3 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS. IKE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. A NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY LATER THIS EVENING OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 110 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE AND COULD REACH THE TEXAS COAST SATURDAY MORNING AS A CATEGORY THREE...A MAJOR HURRICANE. IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES FROM THE CENTER. DURING THE PAST HOUR...SUSTAINED WINDS OF 55 MPH HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON GALVESTON ISLAND AND A GUST TO 70 MPH WAS MEASURED AT A NOAA BUOY JUST OFFSHORE GALVESTON ISLAND BEFORE IT STOPPED REPORTING. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH NEAR 25 FEET IN SOME AREAS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY RISEN BY 7 TO 9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS. LAZ051>054-TXZ215-130830- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CAMERON-IBERIA-JEFFERSON-ST. MARY-VERMILION- 916 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: CAMERON...IBERIA...JEFFERSON...ST. MARY...VERMILION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR VERMILION PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14 INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR IBERIA PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR SAINT MARY: VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER. FOR CAMERON PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... JEFFERSON COUNTY: SEVERE STORM SURGE FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE TIDE LEVELS AT SABINE PASS NORTH WAS 8.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT 7 PM FRIDAY. STORM SURGE IS INCREASING VERY RAPIDLY. THE FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 20 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...IS POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET... CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF THE CITY OF PORT ARTHUR. MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL. RECORD FLOODING IS ALSO FORECAST ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT DUE TO STORM SURGE. WIDESPREAD MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. NUMEROUS HOMES IN NORTHEAST BEAUMONT AND ROSE CITY ARE FLOODED. CAMERON: SEVERE FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN SOUTHERN CAMERON PARISH. THE TIDE LEVEL AT CALCASIEU PASS WAS 10.1 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT 7 PM FRIDAY. STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ITS FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 20 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...IS EXPECTED BY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDERWATER. AS MUCH AS 8 TO 10 FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE AROUND 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY: STORM SURGE FLOODING IS BEING REPORTED AROUND VERMILION BAY. THE TIDE LEVEL AT FRESH WATER CANAL LOCKS WAS AROUND 10 FEET ABOVE THE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT 7 PM FRIDAY. THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. THE FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES WILL BE AROUND 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM ON SATURDAY. THE FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE ACROSS VERMILION PARISH WILL BE AROUND 12 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM ON SATURDAY. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY ARE LIKELY FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN ISLAND. FLOODING IS ALSO LIKELY TO OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335 ...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND ...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE. ACROSS IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 ARE LIKELY FLOODED. ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY ARE LIKELY FLOODED. ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES... WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... JEFFERSON: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH WILL PREVAIL...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. CAMERON: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL PREVAIL...AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON. VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WILL PREVAIL. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT...BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IS BEING REPORTED. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT FOR JEFFERSON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR JEFFERSON. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT FOR CAMERON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR CAMERON. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 70 AND 80 PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY...VERMILION... AND IBERIA PARISHES. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT SATURDAY. $$ GMZ450-452-455-130830- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM- 916 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM... COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT SATURDAY. $$ GMZ470-472-475-130830- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 916 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. ...TORNADOES... WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT SATURDAY. $$ LAZ030-041-TXZ180>182-201-216-130830- /O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER- 916 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE... TYLER. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY. PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CALCASIEU: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES. A VERTICAL WATER RISE FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210 BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING IN LAKE CHARLES. ORANGE: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP INTO SABINE LAKE. ITS FORECASTED RAPID VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 15 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...MAY CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY AND PORTIONS OF ORANGE. ...WINDS... CALCASIEU PARISH: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH COULD EXPERIENCE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH THIS EVENING. WINDS ARE ALREADY GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE. BEAUREGARD PARISH: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE PARISH... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY. ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH WILL PREVAIL THIS EVENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH ARE EXPECTED BY MIDNIGHT...THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING.HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES LATER THIS EVENING... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... CALCASIEU PARISH: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. BEAUREGARD PARISH: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... CALCASIEU: MODERATE FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR SALT WATER BARRIER. AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER WHICH MAY FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF LAKE CHARLES. ON THE LOWER CALCASIEU AT OLD TOWN BAY MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ...WITH WATER LEVELS FORECAST TO RIVAL THOSE REACHED IN NOVEMBER 2002 (THE FOURTH HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD). NUMEROUS HOMES AND CAMPS NEAR THE RIVER ARE FLOODED. MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP. ORANGE: AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE SABINE RIVER AT ORANGE DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING...WHICH MAY FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF ORANGE. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT SATURDAY. $$ LAZ027>029-031>033-042>045-055-130830- /O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE- LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON- 916 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS... LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH: THE STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS RAPID INCREASE IN THE LAKE ARTHUR AREA. ITS FORECASTED VERTICAL WATER RISE MAY REACH 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY...BEFORE DECREASING TO BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 20 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 60 AND 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER RAINBANDS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO THE STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 900 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND MIDNIGHT SATURDAY. $$
000 WTUS84 KLCH 130304 HLSLCH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 1004 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...LARGE HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES ITS TREK TOWARD GALVESTON ISLAND AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST... .AT 1000 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.4 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.. A NORTHWEST TO NORTH-NORTHWEST MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL BE VERY NEAR GALVESTON ISLAND AND THE UPPER TEXAS COAST BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. DATA FROM NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE AND COULD REACH THE TEXAS COAST AS A CATEGORY THREE...MAJOR HURRICANE...JUST BEFORE LANDFALL. IKE REMAINS A VERY LARGE HURRICANE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH NEAR 25 FEET IN SOME AREAS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF IKE MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. WATER LEVELS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED TO 9 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...AND SOUTHERN AND WESTERN LOUISIANA. LAZ051>054-TXZ215-130915- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CAMERON-IBERIA-JEFFERSON-ST. MARY-VERMILION- 1004 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTY AND PARISHES: CAMERON...IBERIA...JEFFERSON...ST. MARY...VERMILION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR VERMILION PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14 INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR IBERIA PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR SAINT MARY: VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER. FOR CAMERON PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... JEFFERSON COUNTY: SEVERE STORM SURGE FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE TIDE LEVELS AT SABINE PASS NORTH WAS 8.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT 7 PM FRIDAY. STORM SURGE IS INCREASING VERY RAPIDLY. A FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 20 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...IS POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. ALSO...AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET... CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF THE CITY OF PORT ARTHUR. MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL. RECORD FLOODING IS ALSO FORECAST ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT DUE TO STORM SURGE. CAMERON: SEVERE FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN SOUTHERN CAMERON PARISH. THE TIDE LEVEL AT CALCASIEU PASS WAS 10.1 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT 7 PM FRIDAY. STORM SURGE WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 20 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...IS POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDERWATER. AS MUCH AS 8 TO 10 FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. LOW LYING AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE AROUND 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY: STORM SURGE FLOODING IS BEING REPORTED AROUND VERMILION BAY. THE TIDE LEVEL AT FRESH WATER CANAL LOCKS WAS AROUND 10 FEET ABOVE THE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT 7 PM FRIDAY. THE ACTUAL TIDES WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. THE FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE ACROSS IBERIA AND ST. MARY PARISHES WILL BE AROUND 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM ON SATURDAY. THE FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE ACROSS VERMILION PARISH WILL BE AROUND 12 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM ON SATURDAY. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY ARE LIKELY FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN ISLAND. FLOODING IS ALSO LIKELY TO OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335 ...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND ...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE. ACROSS IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 ARE LIKELY FLOODED. ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY ARE LIKELY FLOODED. ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES... WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... JEFFERSON: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH WILL PREVAIL...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ON SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY SATURDAY. CAMERON: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL PREVAIL...AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON. VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WILL PREVAIL. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT...BUT REMAIN ABOVE TROPICAL STORM FORCE INTO SATURDAY MORNING. WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE IS BEING REPORTED. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT FOR JEFFERSON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR JEFFERSON. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT FOR CAMERON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR CAMERON. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 70 AND 80 PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY...VERMILION... AND IBERIA PARISHES. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM SATURDAY. $$ GMZ450-452-455-130915- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM- 1004 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE HEADED TOWARD GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM... COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM SATURDAY. $$ GMZ470-472-475-130915- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 1004 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE HEADED TOWARD GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. ...TORNADOES... WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY INTO SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM SATURDAY. $$ LAZ030-041-TXZ180>182-201-216-130915- /O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER- 1004 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE HEADING TOWARD GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE... TYLER. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY. PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CALCASIEU: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES. A FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210 BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING IN LAKE CHARLES. ORANGE: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS ONSHORE FLOW UP INTO SABINE LAKE. THE FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 15 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...MAY CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY AND PORTIONS OF ORANGE. ...WINDS... CALCASIEU PARISH: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 65 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 85 MPH WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. WESTERN PORTIONS OF CALCASIEU PARISH COULD EXPERIENCE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH. WINDS ARE ALREADY GUSTING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE. BEAUREGARD PARISH: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE PARISH... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY. ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 55 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH ARE EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT...PERSISTING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH EXPECTED TONIGHT. ALSO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... CALCASIEU PARISH: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. BEAUREGARD PARISH: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... CALCASIEU: MODERATE FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR SALT WATER BARRIER. AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER WHICH MAY FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF LAKE CHARLES. ON THE LOWER CALCASIEU AT OLD TOWN BAY MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ...WITH WATER LEVELS FORECAST TO RIVAL THOSE REACHED IN NOVEMBER 2002 (THE FOURTH HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD). MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP. ORANGE: AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE SABINE RIVER AT ORANGE DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING...WHICH MAY FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF ORANGE. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM SATURDAY. $$ LAZ027>029-031>033-042>045-055-130915- /O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE- LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON- 1004 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT SATURDAY... ...NEW INFORMATION... IKE HEADED TOWARD GALVESTON. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS... LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH: THE STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE ITS RAPID INCREASE IN THE LAKE ARTHUR AREA. THE FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE MAY REACH 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY...BEFORE DECREASING TO BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 20 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 60 AND 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER RAINBANDS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO THE STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 900 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 5 AM SATURDAY. $$
000 WTUS84 KLCH 131010 HLSLCH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 510 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...EYE OF IKE MOVING INLAND ACROSS THE GALVESTON-HOUSTON AREA... .AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST OR NEAR BAYTOWN TEXAS. THIS POSITION IS ABOUT 30 MILES... 50 KM...NORTH- NORTHWEST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM...EAST OF HOUSTON TEXAS. IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN AND EASTERN TEXAS TODAY...AND INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER INLAND...ALTHOUGH IKE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A HURRICANE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO OCCUR WELL INLAND NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. PORT ARTHUR TEXAS RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 96 MPH...154 KM/HR. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES. THE NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE STATION AT THE GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER REPORTED A MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 951.6 MB...28.10 INCHES...AS THE EYE OF IKE PASSED OVER THE STATION. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 20 FEET...WITH POSSIBLY UP TO 25 FEET IN BAYS AND RIVERS...ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS. THE SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. AUTOMATED TIDE GAGES ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST ARE REPORTING STORM SURGES OF 9 TO 12 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS. DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE IN THE EYE. THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST SURGE WILL LIKELY OCCUR NEAR OR JUST AFTER THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...AND SOUTHERN AND WESTERN LOUISIANA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN LOUISIANA...MUCH OF ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI. LAZ051>054-TXZ215-131615- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ CAMERON-IBERIA-JEFFERSON-ST. MARY-VERMILION- 510 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: CAMERON...IBERIA...JEFFERSON...ST. MARY...VERMILION. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FOR VERMILION PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 14 INCLUDING THE TOWNS OF ERATH AND DELCAMBRE. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR IBERIA PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 675. THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH IS UNDER A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION. FOR SAINT MARY: VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR THOSE LIVING SOUTH OF INTRACOASTAL CITY INCLUDING CYPREMORT POINT AND BURNS POINT AND SOUTH OF THE RAILROAD IN FRANKLIN. SHELTER HAS BEEN SET UP IN FRANKLIN FOR EVACUEES. THOSE LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND IN LOW LYING AREAS ARE ENCOURAGED TO SEEK SHELTER. FOR CAMERON PARISH: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. FOR JEFFERSON COUNTY: A MANDATORY EVACUATION HAS BEEN ORDERED. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... JEFFERSON COUNTY: DEVASTATING STORM SURGE FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE TIDE LEVEL AT SABINE PASS NORTH WAS 14.3 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT 3 AM SATURDAY. THE TIDE LEVEL AT PORT ARTHUR WAS 11.9 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT 4 AM SATURDAY. STORM SURGE IS CONTINUING TO RISE. A FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 20 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...IS POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY MORNING. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE HIGHER THAN THOSE EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA...AND POSSIBLY THE HIGHEST WATER LEVELS EVER RECORDED. AT THESE WATER LEVELS...THE SEAWALL IN PORT ARTHUR WILL BE OVERTOPPED...BY ABOUT 6 FEET... CAUSING EXTENSIVE FLOODING OF THE CITY OF PORT ARTHUR. MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 73 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND WINNIE WILL HAVE STORM SURGE FLOODING. FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG HILLEBRANDT AND TAYLOR BAYOUS BETWEEN FANNETT AND LA BELLE. ALL ROADS IN SABINE PASS WILL BE FLOODED. HIGHWAY 73/87 BETWEEN PORT ARTHUR AND BRIDGE CITY WILL BE FLOODED AS WELL. RECORD FLOODING IS ALSO FORECAST ALONG THE NECHES RIVER AT BEAUMONT DUE TO STORM SURGE. CAMERON: SEVERE FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN SOUTHERN CAMERON PARISH. THE TIDE LEVEL AT CALCASIEU PASS PEAKED AT 11.8 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS INLAND AREAS OF CAMERON PARISH. BATTERING WAVES ATOP THE HIGH WATER WILL CAUSE FURTHER DAMAGE. LA 82 AND LA 27 WILL BE UNDERWATER. AS MUCH AS 8 TO 10 FEET OF WATER WILL COVER THE STREETS IN DOWNTOWN CAMERON. MANY AREAS OF GRAND LAKE AND HACKBERRY WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE FLOODING. SOME ROADS COULD SEE AROUND 7 FEET OF WATER OVER THEM. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. VERMILION...IBERIA AND ST.MARY: STORM SURGE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AROUND VERMILION BAY. THE TIDE LEVEL AT FRESHWATER CANAL LOCKS PEAKED AT 10.1 FEET ABOVE THE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM AT 7 PM FRIDAY. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. ACROSS VERMILION PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY ARE LIKELY FLOODED...INCLUDING INTRACOASTAL CITY AND PECAN ISLAND. FLOODING IS ALSO LIKELY TO OCCUR UP TO HIGHWAY 335 ...AFFECTING THE COMMUNITIES OF COW ISLAND...FORKED ISLAND ...ESTHER...HENRY... AND DELCAMBRE. ACROSS IBERIA PARISH...MOST LOCATIONS SOUTH OF LA 14 AND US 90 ARE LIKELY FLOODED. ACROSS ST. MARY PARISH...BURNS POINT...CYPREMORT POINT...AND MOST AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTRACOASTAL WATERWAY ARE LIKELY FLOODED. ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES... WILL BE INUNDATED. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE. VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF...PERHAPS FOR MORE THAN A WEEK. CONDITIONS WILL BE MADE WORSE BY BATTERING WAVES. SUCH WAVES WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR. ...WINDS... JEFFERSON: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 80 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 100 MPH WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING. WIND GUSTS OF 90 TO 100 MPH HAVE BEEN MEASURED IN MANY LOCATIONS. WINDS WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE LATER SATURDAY MORNING...BUT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. CAMERON: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 95 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY NOON. VERMILION/IBERIA/ST. MARY: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 65 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT FOR JEFFERSON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR JEFFERSON. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT FOR CAMERON. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 90 AND 100 PERCENT FOR CAMERON. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS LESS THAN 20 PERCENT ACROSS VERMILION...IBERIA AND SAINT MARY PARISHES. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 70 AND 80 PERCENT ACROSS SAINT MARY...VERMILION... AND IBERIA PARISHES. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM SATURDAY. $$ GMZ450-452-455-131615- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM- 510 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM... COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE LATER SATURDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ...TORNADOES... A TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM SATURDAY. $$ GMZ470-472-475-131615- /O.CON.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- 510 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: HURRICANE WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE COMPLETED. ALL VESSELS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. ...WINDS... HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DECREASE TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE LATER SATURDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ...TORNADOES... WATERSPOUTS WILL BE LIKELY TODAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM SATURDAY. $$ LAZ030-041-TXZ180>182-201-216-131615- /O.CON.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER- 510 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...HURRICANE WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE... TYLER. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. HURRICANE WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... MANDATORY EVACUATIONS IN CALCASIEU PARISH FOR PEOPLE IN TRAVEL TRAILERS...MOBILE HOMES...AND LOW-LYING AREAS. THIS INCLUDES RESIDENTS WHO ARE HOME-BOUND...REQUIRING ELECTRICITY FOR THEIR WELL-BEING. RESIDENTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE PARISH ARE STRONGLY ENCOURAGED TO LEAVE AS WELL. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ORANGE COUNTY. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR HARDIN COUNTY. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... CALCASIEU: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE FLOWING UP THE CALCASIEU SHIP CHANNEL INTO LAKE CHARLES. A FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE FROM 8 TO 10 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. AT THESE LEVELS...COMMUNITIES ALONG THE CALCASIEU RIVER BASIN SUCH AS DEATONVILLE...PORTIONS OF CARLYSS...SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF SULPHUR...AND PORTIONS OF WESTLAKE WILL EXPERIENCE STORM SURGE FLOODING. AREAS WITHIN LAKE CHARLES NEAR THE I-10 AND I-210 BRIDGES...NEAR THE CIVIC CENTER...AND THE LAKE CHARLES BEACH WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. THIS FLOODING WILL BE COMPARABLE TO THAT EXPERIENCED DURING HURRICANE RITA. ALSO FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY ALONG ANY BAYOUS IN WESTLAKE AND LAKE CHARLES. BLACK BAYOU TO THE SOUTH OF LAKE CHARLES WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WELL. FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING IN LAKE CHARLES. ORANGE: STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE RISING FROM SABINE LAKE INTO THE SABINE RIVER. THE FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE...AROUND 15 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM...MAY CAUSE MAJOR FLOODING UP THE SABINE RIVER TO ORANGE AND ANY CONNECTING BAYOUS...SUCH AS COW AND ADAMS BAYOUS IN ORANGE COUNTY. THIS WILL INUNDATE BRIDGE CITY AND PORTIONS OF ORANGE. THERE HAVE BEEN REPORTS OF PEOPLE STRANDED ON ROOFTOPS DUE TO THE STORM SURGE FLOODING. ...WINDS... CALCASIEU PARISH: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AROUND 40 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH WILL PREVAIL EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE BEGINNING TO DIMINISH LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. WINDS HAVE GUSTED AS HIGH AS 77 MPH IN LAKE CHARLES. BEAUREGARD PARISH: TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS UP TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 80 MPH WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE PARISH... BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY. ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: HURRICANE FORCE WINDS AROUND 75 MPH WITH GUSTS FROM 90 TO 100 MPH ARE EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY MORNING. TYLER...SOUTHERN JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS: WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 50 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 90 MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THESE COUNTIES THIS MORNING. ACROSS NORTHERN JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES...EXPECT WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH. WINDS WILL BEGIN DECREASING LATER ON SATURDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... CALCASIEU PARISH: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. BEAUREGARD PARISH: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 35 AND 45 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. JASPER... NEWTON...AND TYLER COUNTIES: THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 80 AND 90 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... CALCASIEU: MODERATE FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING NEAR SALT WATER BARRIER. AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE NEW RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE LOWER CALCASIEU RIVER NEAR THE SALT WATER BARRIER WHICH MAY FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF LAKE CHARLES. ON THE LOWER CALCASIEU AT OLD TOWN BAY MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ...WITH WATER LEVELS FORECAST TO RIVAL THOSE REACHED IN NOVEMBER 2002 (THE FOURTH HIGHEST CREST ON RECORD). MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE WEST FORK OF THE CALCASIEU FROM HOUSTON RIVER TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE CALCASIEU RIVER DUE TO TIDAL BACKUP. ORANGE: AREAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS. AS IS THE CASE DURING ANY TROPICAL SYSTEM...ANY AREA THAT RECEIVES HEAVY RAINS MAY SEE FLASH FLOODING. AT THIS TIME RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR THE SABINE RIVER AT ORANGE DUE TO STORM SURGE FLOODING...WHICH MAY FLOOD PORTIONS OF THE CITY OF ORANGE. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 900 IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM SATURDAY. $$ LAZ027>029-031>033-042>045-055-131615- /O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/ ACADIA-ALLEN-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-LAFAYETTE- LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-VERNON- 510 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008 ...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...NEW INFORMATION... HURRICANE IKE HAS MADE LANDFALL NEAR GALVESTON TEXAS. ...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS: ACADIA...ALLEN...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...JEFFERSON DAVIS... LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST. MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN...VERNON. ...WATCHES/WARNINGS... THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THIS AREA: FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TORNADO WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING. ...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PERSONS SHOULD PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WHICH MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES...BLOWN DOWN TREES...AND SOME ROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES AND BUSINESSES. ...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE... JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH: THE STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO RISE IN THE LAKE ARTHUR AREA. THE FORECAST VERTICAL WATER RISE MAY REACH 8 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER DATUM. THESE WATER LEVELS WILL BE COMPARABLE TO HURRICANE RITA. THE STORM SURGE WILL BE SLOW TO RECEDE THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING DUE TO THE PROLONGED ONSHORE FLOW. ...WINDS... TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY MORNING...BEFORE DECREASING BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS... THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 20 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS FALLS BETWEEN 60 AND 80 PERCENT. ...INLAND FLOODING... AREAL RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO AROUND 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG RIVERS...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER RAINBANDS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE MERMENTAU RIVER AS WELL AS THE VERMILION RIVER NEAR SURREY STREET IN LAFAYETTE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER VERMILION RIVER SOUTH OF LAFAYETTE DUE TO THE STORM SURGE TRAVELING UPSTREAM. ...TORNADOES... TORNADO WATCH 900 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM CDT SATURDAY. ...NEXT UPDATE... THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 AM SATURDAY. $$ SHAMBURGER
000
WTUS84 KLCH 131618
HLSLCH
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE IKE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1118 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
...IKE STILL A HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADO THREAT...
.AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST OR NEAR TRINITY
TEXAS.
IKE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IKE IS FORECAST TO
MOVE THROUGH EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN TEXAS TODAY... AND INTO
WESTERN ARKANSAS TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. IKE IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE CENTER
MOVES FARTHER INLAND. HOWEVER...IKE COULD REMAIN A HURRICANE INTO
THIS AFTERNOON.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM. A WIND GUST TO 56 MPH...91 KM/HR...WAS
REPORTED DURING THE PAST HOUR IN LUFKIN TEXAS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.47 INCHES.
DURING THE PAST HOUR...A PRESSURE VALUE OF 968.5 MB...
28.60 INCHES...WAS REPORTED AT HUNTSVILLE TEXAS TO THE WEST OF
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IKE.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDES... WITH POSSIBLY UP TO 20 FEET IN BAYS AND RIVERS WELL
INLAND...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS. THE
SURGE EXTENDS A GREATER THAN USUAL DISTANCE FROM THE CENTER DUE
TO THE LARGE SIZE OF THE CYCLONE. AUTOMATED TIDE GAGES ARE STILL
REPORTING STORM SURGES VALUES OF TO 12 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTAL
AREAS.
IKE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER EASTERN TEXAS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES... WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA...WESTERN ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN MISSOURI... ILLINOIS...NORTHERN INDIANA...AND SOUTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN THROUGH SUNDAY.
A THREAT FOR TORNADOES EXISTS THROUGH TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...SOUTHERN AND WESTERN LOUISIANA...
MUCH OF ARKANSAS...AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
LAZ051>054-TXZ215-131900-
/O.CAN.KLCH.HU.W.1009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.TR.W.1009.080913T1618Z-000000T0000Z/
CAMERON-IBERIA-JEFFERSON-ST. MARY-VERMILION-
1118 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
CAMERON...IBERIA...JEFFERSON...ST. MARY...VERMILION.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO STAY AWAY FROM FLOODED AREAS. CURFEWS ARE
IN EFFECT AT MANY LOCATIONS.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
EARLY THIS MORNING...MAXIMUM STORM SURGE VALUES WERE ESTIMATED TO BE
12 TO 15 FEET BETWEEN SABINE PASS AND CAMERON...AND 10 TO 12 FEET
BETWEEN INTRACOASTAL CITY AND CYPREMORT POINT. THESE VALUES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL TO 6 TO 10 FEET THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
BE CAREFUL DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON AS HIGH TIDES COMES IN AGAIN.
SOME PLACES COULD SEE A 1 TO 2 FOOT RISE IN STORM SURGE BEFORE
DROPPING AGAIN SATURDAY EVENING.
...WINDS...
THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON...WIND GUSTS WILL VARY FROM 50 TO 70
MPH ACROSS JEFFERSON COUNTY AND CAMERON PARISH...TO 40 TO 50 MPH
ACROSS VERMILION...COASTAL IBERIA..AND ST. MARY PARISHES.
...INLAND FLOODING...
INLAND LOCATIONS SUCH AS HACKBERRY...GRAND LAKE...AND FRANKLIN
WILL CONTINUE TO SEE INLAND FLOODING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 2 PM.
$$
GMZ450-452-455-131900-
/O.CAN.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.TR.W.0002.080913T1618Z-000000T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
1118 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...NEW INFORMATION...
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20
NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
TORNADO WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ENDS.
...WINDS...
SOUTH WINDS OF 35 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 2 PM.
$$
GMZ470-472-475-131900-
/O.CAN.KLCH.HU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KLCH.TR.W.0002.080913T1618Z-000000T0000Z/
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-
1118 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...
...HURRICANE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...NEW INFORMATION...
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ENDS.
...WINDS...
SOUTH WINDS OF 40 TO 45 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 60 WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 2 PM.
$$
LAZ030-041-TXZ180>182-201-216-131900-
/O.CAN.KLCH.HI.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/
/O.EXA.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/
BEAUREGARD-CALCASIEU-HARDIN-JASPER-NEWTON-ORANGE-TYLER-
1118 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...NEW INFORMATION...
THE HURRICANE WIND WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM
WIND WARNING.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
BEAUREGARD...CALCASIEU...HARDIN...JASPER...NEWTON...ORANGE...
TYLER.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
STAY INDOORS AND STAY SAFE. DO NOT INHIBIT RESCUE PERSONNEL WHILE
THEY ARE WORKING THIS AFTERNOON.
...WINDS...
WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL GUST TO 40 TO 55 MPH THROUGH 1 PM. IN THE
HEAVIER RAIN BANDS...WINDS COULD GUST BRIEFLY TO 70 MPH.
...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM SURGE FROM THE COAST WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT
FLOOD PROBLEMS IN ORANGE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE BRIDGE CITY AND
DOWNTOWN ORANGE AREAS. IN CALCASIEU PARISH...PARTS OF SULPHUR...
WESTLAKE...AND LAKE CHARLES WILL CONTINUE TO SEE FLOOD WATERS.
...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 2 PM.
$$
LAZ028-029-032-033-043>045-055-131730-
/O.CAN.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/
ACADIA-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST. MARTIN-RAPIDES-
ST. LANDRY-UPPER ST. MARTIN-
1118 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...NEW INFORMATION...
THE TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ACADIA...AVOYELLES...EVANGELINE...LAFAYETTE...LOWER ST.
MARTIN...RAPIDES...ST. LANDRY...UPPER ST. MARTIN.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. TORNADOES AND
FLASH FLOODS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY.
...WINDS...
WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON.
...INLAND FLOODING...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT.
...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 2 PM.
$$
LAZ027-031-042-131900-
/O.CON.KLCH.TI.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080914T0300Z/
ALLEN-JEFFERSON DAVIS-VERNON-
1118 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008
...TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT
THIS EVENING...
...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING CONTINUES.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:
ALLEN...JEFFERSON DAVIS...VERNON.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:
FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
TORNADO WATCH.
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN INDOORS. DO NOT INHIBIT RESCUE PERSONNEL WHILE
THEY ARE WORKING THIS AFTERNOON.
...WINDS...
SOUTH WINDS WILL GUST TO 40 TO 50 MPH THROUGH 2 PM. IN THE RAIN
BANDS...A BRIEF WIND GUST OF 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
...INLAND FLOODING...
STORM SURGE HAS BEEN MOVING CLOSER TO THE LAKE ARTHUR AREA. WATER
COULD CONTINUE TO RISE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
...TORNADOES...
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE AROUND 2 PM.
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this hurricane warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this hurricane warning went out at Sep 11, 11:56 AM CDT, 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 11, 11:56 AM CDT, 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1156 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND LOUISIANA
COASTS...
.DISCUSSION...ONLY UPDATES TO THE FORECAST WERE HAZARDS...WINDS...AND
SEAS BASED ON LATEST GUIDANCE FROM TPC. BASED ON THIS
GUIDANCE...UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH TO A WARNING
ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR IN LOUISIANA...UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WIND WATCH
FOR ORANGE AND HARDIN COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...AND REPLACED THE
WIND ADVISORY WITH A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH FOR EAST CENTRAL
LOUISIANA. FAR OUTER RAIN BANDS ARE ALREADY STARTING TO AFFECT
PARTS OF THE AREA...WITH ONE PASSING THROUGH THE LAFAYETTE AREA
WITHIN THE PAST HOUR. ANOTHER IS JUST WEST OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN
HEADING WESTWARD.
ALTHOUGH IKE HAS NOT STRENGTHENED IN TERMS OF MAXIMUM WINDS...HE
CONTINUES TO GROW IN SIZE WITH TS FORCE WINDS EXTENDING ABOUT 260
MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER...AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTENDING ABOUT 115 MILES TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. DUE TO THIS
EXPANSIVE WIND FIELD...A HIGHER STORM SURGE THAN WOULD OTHERWISE
BE EXPECTED FOR A STORM OF THIS STRENGTH IS EXPECTED ALONG THE
TEXAS AND LOUISIANA COASTS...10 TO 13 FEET ALONG COASTAL JEFFERSON
AND CAMERON...8 TO 10 ALONG VERMILION...AND 6 TO 8 ALONG IBERIA
AND ST MARY.
FOLKS...IF YOU LIVE ALONG THE COAST IN AN AREA WHERE YOUR LOCAL
OFFICIALS HAVE REQUESTED THAT YOU LEAVE...PLEASE...PLEASE DO SO.
DO NOT BE FOOLED BY THE TRACK TO OUR SOUTHWEST OR CURRENT MAXIMUM
WINDS.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 526 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008/
..TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCHES NOW IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA...
DISCUSSION...
RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES FURTHEST OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE IKE
HAVE ENTERED THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA THIS MORNING.
MUCH OF FORECAST AREA ALREADY IN THE CIRCULATION OF IKE WITH
NORTHEAST WINDS OBSERVED AT MANY ASOS SITES. LATEST NHC FORECAST
TRACK TAKES IKE INLAND NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
EXPECTED WIND RADII KEEPS THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS JUST WEST OF
OUR SOUTHEAST TEXAS ZONES...BUT ANY DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE
TRACK COULD BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS AND POSSIBLY FAR SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA.
BUOY DATA IN THE GULF INDICATES THE 34KT WIND RADII IS VERY LARGE
WITH IKE AND EXTENDS OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE EYE. THIS GREAT EXPANSE OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
HAS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCHES FOR ALL
OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA.
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE UPGRADED TO WARNINGS LATER TODAY. HIGHLY
CONCERNED ABOUT POTENTIAL STORM SURGE AS IKES LARGE WIND FIELD
AND LENGTHY TIME OF ONSHORE FLOW COMBINE ALONG OUR COAST.
HAVE RAISED POPS FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH INCREASING
CONFIDENCE OF RAIN BANDS IMPACTING MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA. WITH
CWA BEING IN FAVORABLE NORTHEAST QUADRANT OF TROPICAL CYCLONE
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES
BEGINNING ON FRIDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY.
MADE FEW CHANGES IN THE EXTENDED AS MAIN FOCUS REMAINS ON
HURRICANE IKE.
AVIATION...
MVFR VISIBILITIES POSSIBLE THIS MORNING DUE TO PATCHY FOG...BUT
OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A FEW SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE AT KLFT AND KARA ASSOCIATED WITH THE FARTHEST OUTER RAIN
BANDS OF HURRICANE IKE. CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN DETERIORATING AT ALL
TERMINALS BY TOMORROW AS IKE MOVES CLOSER TO THE REGION.
MARINE...
WINDS BEGINNING TO INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AS IKE MOVES
CLOSER TO THE AREA. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BEING AS EARLY
AS THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS AND SEAS RISING SUBSTANTIALLY TONIGHT
INTO TOMORROW. LARGE SWELLS UP TO 30 FEET WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
OUTER COASTAL WATERS WITH GUSTS OVER HURRICANE FORCE LIKELY. WINDS
AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS IKE MOVES WELL INLAND.
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR LAZ027>033.
TROPICAL STORM WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR LAZ041>045-
055.
HURRICANE WARNING FOR LAZ051>054.
TX...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR TXZ180>182.
HURRICANE WARNING FOR TXZ215.
HURRICANE WIND WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR TXZ201-216.
GM...HURRICANE WARNING FOR GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475.
&&
PUBLIC/MARINE...13Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 11, 5:33 AM CDT, 7 hours 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA 533 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182- 201-215-216-121045- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD- ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA- LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY- LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE- 533 AM CDT THU SEP 11 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA... SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF HURRICANE IKE BEGIN TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS AND SEAS WILL ALSO BEGIN INCREASING SOUTH- CENTRAL LOUISIANA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS HURRICANE IKE CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY LATEST NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FORECAST TRACK FOR HURRICANE IKE TAKES THE SYSTEM WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE TEXAS COAST NEAR FREEPORT EARLY SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS...PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA...AND ALL OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS ALL OF THE GULF WATERS. ANY DEVIATION TO THE EAST IN THE TRACK OF IKE COULD RESULT IN HURRICANE CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND POSSIBLY FAR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA. PLEASE REFER TO ADVISORIES ON IKE FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. SHAMBURGER
The office that day
Everything else NWS Lake Charles, LA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 9:45 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | LCH | Calcasieu | 5 days |
| Sep 10, 10:46 PM CDT | Inland Tropical Storm Watch | LCH | Avoyelles, Evangeline, Rapides, Saint Landry | 19 hr |
| Sep 11, 5:08 AM CDT | Wind Advisory | LCH | Avoyelles, Evangeline, Rapides, Saint Landry | 6 hr |
| Sep 11, 9:58 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | LCH | Acadia, Jefferson Davis | 15 days |
| Sep 11, 12:41 PM CDT | Hurricane Warning | LCH | 47 hr | |
| Sep 11, 12:41 PM CDT | Inland Tropical Storm Warning | LCH | Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Evangeline, Lafayette, Rapides and 3 more | 52 hr |
| Sep 11, 2:34 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | LCH | Lafayette, Vermilion | 7 days |
| Sep 11, 5:53 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LCH | Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Evangeline, Lafayette, Rapides and 3 more | 46 hr |
| Sep 11, 6:06 PM CDT | Inland Hurricane Warning | LCH | Beauregard | 41 hr |
| Sep 11, 12:41 PM CDT | Inland Hurricane Watch | LCH | Hardin | 5 hr |
Nearby
Hurricane Warnings in Louisiana, 2008Every hurricane warning in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.