Severe Thunderstorm Warning 445, NWS North Platte, NE

000 
WWUS53 KLBF 140125
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
825 PM CDT WED AUG 13 2008

NEC069-140134-
/O.CAN.KLBF.SV.W.0445.000000T0000Z-080814T0200Z/
GARDEN NE-
724 PM MDT WED AUG 13 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GARDEN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS HAS EXITED GARDEN COUNTY SHOWERS AND A FEW 
THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST ACROSS GARDEN COUNTY...ALTHOUGH SEVERE 
WEATHER IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. 

LAT...LON 4139 10199 4139 10198 4163 10192 4167 10162
      4101 10163 4091 10205 4099 10206 4102 10210
TIME...MOT...LOC 0124Z 289DEG 18KT 4156 10176 4090 10199

$$

NEC005-049-101-135-140200-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0445.000000T0000Z-080814T0200Z/
ARTHUR NE-DEUEL NE-PERKINS NE-KEITH NE-
724 PM MDT WED AUG 13 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT
FOR WESTERN KEITH...NORTHWESTERN PERKINS...SOUTHEASTERN DEUEL AND
WESTERN ARTHUR COUNTIES...

AT 723 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM HAYTHORN LAKE TO 11 MILES
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80 MILE MARKER 110...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM ARTHUR TO 12 MILES SOUTH OF BIG SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 21 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  LAKE VIEW CAMPGROUND...HIGHWAY 61 MILE MARKER 120...HIGHWAY 26 MILE
  MARKER 140 AND LEMOYNE BY 730 PM MDT...
  ARTHUR...INTERSTATE 80 MILE MARKER 120...HIGHWAY 61 MILE MARKER 110
  AND HIGHWAY 26 MILE MARKER 140 BY 735 PM MDT...
  HIGHWAY 61 MILE MARKER 100 AND OGALLALA BY 750 PM MDT...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 4139 10199 4139 10198 4163 10192 4167 10162
      4101 10163 4091 10205 4099 10206 4102 10210
TIME...MOT...LOC 0124Z 289DEG 18KT 4156 10176 4090 10199

$$

KAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
332 PM CDT WED AUG 13 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
CONVECTION HAS WANED ACROSS THE ERN PORTION OF THE CWA ATTM WITH
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE DOMINATING THE WRN PORTION. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWING NEXT SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS WY ATTM WITH SRN CANADA UPPER
LOW MOVING VERY LITTLE YET. FURTHER EAST...LOW WAVE UPPER TROF OVER
ERN HALF OF U.S. PROGRESSING EWD...WITH 500 MB HEIGHT LEVELS 3-4 SD
FROM THE MEAN FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. BACK IN THE CWA...OUTFLOW BNDRY
WAS EARLIER EVIDENT ON VSBL SAT PICS...AND MAY POSE A PROBLEMS
WITHIN A FEW HOURS IF DECENT SRLY WINDS CONTINUE TO EXIST IN SWRN
CWA. SFC PRESSURES FALLING ACROSS THE WRN PANHANDLE ATTM AS WINDS
BEGIN TO VEER FROM NWRLY TO NERLY. VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS
CU FIELD ALREADY FORMING IN THE EASTERN PANHANDLE WITH A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY BECOMING SEVERE THIS EVENING IN THE WEST AS
THE WAVE MOVES EAST WITH THE STORMS EVOLVING INTO A THUNDERSTORM
COMPLEX BEFORE DROPPING SOUTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS ALONG THE SFC TROF AXIS OVER THE SWRN PORTION OF THE CWA ARE
PROGGED TO BACK SLIGHTLY...THOUGH THERE IS NO INDICATION OF THAT
YET. WOULD EXPECT THAT THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED OUTFLOW BNDRY SHOULD
BE A FOCUS FOR TSRA DEVELOPMENT WITHIN A FEW HOURS...AS WILL THE
WEAK TRIPLE POINT AREA IN THE WRN SANDHILLS AS THE EFFECT OF LARGE
SCALE ASCENT INCREASES WITH ADVANCEMENT OF SHORT WAVE. SPC HAIL OUTLOOK
IS ALSO HIGHEST OVER SWRN CWA AND BASED ON A LIKELY EVOLUTION OF
FEATURES AS MENTIONED ABOVE...WOULD EXPECT THAT WOULD BE THE BEST
LOCATION. HOWEVER...NAM BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOW SOME SLIGHT WARMING
ALOFT THRU THIS AFTERNOON...THEN COOLING AGAIN. GOES DPI HAVING SOME
ISSUES RESOLVING GOOD PW VALUES...BUT WOULD GUESS BASED ON AREA
SOUNDINGS THAT WE SHOULD BE AROUND AN INCH MOST PLACES...WHICH IS
WHERE THE MODELS PROGS US TO BE. IN ADDITION...SPC SOUNDING ANAL
PAGE HAS -20C LEVEL ABOUT 2K FT LOWER THAN LAST NIGHT...SO MOST
THINGS POINTING TO A DECENT CHC OF HAIL TONIGHT AND HAVE TRENDED THE
GRIDS THAT WAY. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE A FAIRLY STORMY DAY AS UPPER
LOW DROPS QUICKLY SWD WHICH SHOVES FRONT EWD. COOLER AIR IN THE MID
LEVELS WILL SERVE TO ENHANCE MID LEVEL FGEN BECOMING OVERLAIN WITH
SFC FEATURES ALLOWING FOR DEEP LIFT TO BECOME PROLONGED ACROSS THE
AREA. SHOULD ALSO BE ENOUGHT DESTABILIZATION TO ALLOW FOR TSRA
DEVELOPMENT. CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY KEEP MAX TEMPS WELL BELOW AVE
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE STORMS WILL RAISE THE POTENTIAL FOR
INCREASED RUNOFF IN SE PERKINS...CENTRAL HAYES...WESTERN
FRONTIER...EASTERN LINCOLN AND EAST CENTRAL HOLT COUNTIES WHERE 1
HOUR FFG ARE NEAR 1 INCH PER HOUR. AS STORMS DEVELOP THESE AREAS
WILL BE MONITORED AND ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS ISSUED AS NEEDED.

UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO ADVANCE SSWWD INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.
THIS WILL PUT THE CWA IN FAVORABLE LOCATIONS FOR ISENTROPIC LIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYNOPTIC SCALE SYSTEM. COULD EASILY SEE TEMPS
NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE 60S IN SOME LOCATIONS FRI OR SAT...BUT
HAVE TRENDED MAX TEMPS IN THE L70S BASED ON THE ANOMALOUS NATURE
OF THE SYSTEM. STILL SHOULD BE SOME GOOD RAINS IN STORE. NAM SHOWS
BEST QVECT CONV REMAINING W OF THE CWA THRU SAT...THOUGH DEEP ERLY
FLOW SHOULD ALSO HELP TO DEVELOP PROLONGED ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE
MAKING FOR CLOUDY/RAIN CONDITIONS.

FOR SUN THRU WED...PERIOD CONTINUES TO LOOK UNSETTLED...WITH LARGE
UPPER LEVEL LOW TO MIGRATE SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS TAKE THE UPPER LOW FROM THE VICINITY
OF WESTERN KANSAS ON SUNDAY AND THEN MOVE IT TO EASTERN NEBRASKA ON
WEDNESDAY. THIS TRACK PLACES WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA IN A
FAVORABLE REGION TO RECEIVE PRECIPITATION. WOULD EXPECT MORE OF A
STEADY RAIN OR SHOWERY TYPE PRECIPITATION AS OPPOSED TO
THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...WITH THE COLD UPPER LEVELS COMBINED WITH
ANY SUNSHINE WHICH MIGHT OCCUR WOULD LEAD TO DESTABILIZATION AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF THUNDER...SO LEFT ISOLATED WORDING IN THE ZONES.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT BELOW NORMAL...WITH PERHAPS THE
COOLEST DAY ON SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS FEW CLOUDS DEVELOPING ACROSS WESTERN
NEBRASKA AT 13/18Z AND CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH DECAYING CONVECTION
ACROSS FAR EASTERN NORTH CENTRAL ZONES. THIS EVENING CONVECTION IS
EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP ACROSS THE WEST WITH THE HEATING OF THE DAY AS
WELL AS THE APPROACH OF A MID LEVEL WAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY
OCCUR AT TERMINAL KLBF AND KVTN THROUGH 14/02Z OTHERWISE HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDINESS SPREADING EAST OF THE PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT. TOWARDS
DAYBREAK THURSDAY A STRONGER WAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST OF THE
PANHANDLE THAT WILL INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL DROP CEILINGS TO MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLY
LOCALLY IFR CONDITIONS AT THE KLBF TERMINAL BEYOND 15Z.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

KECK/JWS/TAYLOR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
351 PM CDT WED AUG 13 2008

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-141000-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
351 PM CDT WED AUG 13 2008 /251 PM MDT WED AUG 13 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
OUTLOOK AREA TONIGHT. A SURFACE BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS SOUTHWEST
ACROSS THE PANHANDLE WILL SERVE AS AN INITIAL FOCUS FOR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING A FEW COULD BECOME SEVERE AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST BY 7 PM CDT. THEN OVERNIGHT STORMS
THAT DEVELOP WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST BRINGING AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR
MORE RAINFALL INTO SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA WHERE A FEW LOCALES COULD
SEE INCREASED RUNOFF DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL AMOUNTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ON THURSDAY IN
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...OR SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
IMPERIAL TO MASON CITY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS. THEN A STORMY WEATHER PATTERN WILL
EVOLVE INTO THE WEEKEND AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TRACKS FROM THE
SOUTH CENTRAL CANADIAN PROVINCES TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH
SATURDAY. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST DAILY THROUGH
THE PERIOD WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF UNSEASONABLY COOLER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE

KECK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
614 PM CDT WED AUG 13 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     HAIL             11 SSE RUSHVILLE        42.57N 102.38W
08/13/2008  E1.00 INCH       SHERIDAN           NE   PUBLIC

            QUARTER AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL WITH HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG
            WINDS.

&&

MBYRD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
707 PM CDT WED AUG 13 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0701 PM     HAIL             21 N HYANNIS            42.30N 101.76W
08/13/2008  E1.75 INCH       CHERRY             NE   PUBLIC

            GROUND COVERED BY GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND SMALLER.

&&

MBYRD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
721 PM CDT WED AUG 13 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             BASSETT                 42.58N 99.54W
08/13/2008  E0.88 INCH       ROCK               NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

13

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
729 PM CDT WED AUG 13 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             3 NW SPRINGVIEW         42.86N 99.79W
08/13/2008  E1.00 INCH       KEYA PAHA          NE   PUBLIC

&&

MBYRD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
751 PM CDT WED AUG 13 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0741 PM     TORNADO          12 NE CHAPPELL          41.22N 102.30W
08/13/2008                   DEUEL              NE   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFF DEPUTY REPORTED TORNADO MOVING SOUTHEAST.

&&

MBYRD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
754 PM CDT WED AUG 13 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     HAIL             3 W OSHKOSH             41.41N 102.40W
08/13/2008  E1.75 INCH       GARDEN             NE   PUBLIC

&&

MBYRD