Severe Thunderstorm Warning 150, NWS North Platte, NE

000 
WWUS53 KLBF 172059
SVSLBF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
358 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

NEC015-172130-
/O.CON.KLBF.SV.W.0150.000000T0000Z-080617T2130Z/
BOYD NE-
358 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR BOYD COUNTY...

AT 356 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR ANOKA...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF SPENCER...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 29 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PARSHALL BRIDGE STATE WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA AND 7 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF HIGHWAY 281 MILE MARKER 220 BY 405 PM CDT...
  SPENCER BY 415 PM CDT...
  SPENCER DAM BY 420 PM CDT...
  BRISTOW BY 425 PM CDT...

HAIL UP TO AN INCH IN DIAMETER HAS BEEN REPORTED NEAR BONESTEEL 
SOUTH DAKOTA WITH THIS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THE STORM... 
TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 4294 9845 4290 9832 4278 9831 4278 9861
      4281 9866 4280 9870 4283 9881 4284 9883
      4284 9889 4289 9898 4280 9926 4282 9926
      4300 9921 4300 9850
TIME...MOT...LOC 2058Z 319DEG 25KT 4293 9883

$$

SPRINGER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
303 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
H5 RIDGE OVER WESTERN CONUS WITH TROUGH OVER EASTERN CONUS.
MOISTURE POOLING OVER SOUTHWEST INTO NORTWEST NEBRASKA AS SEN IN
VISIBLE SATELLITE. ISOLATED CONVECTION FIRING ALONG BLACKHILLS AND
SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

IN THE NEAR TERM MODELS HAVING TROUBLE WITH TIMING OF WAVES MOVING
AROUND AND THROUGH THE H5 RIDGE TO THE WEST. MOISTURE RIDGE OVER
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA HAS POTENTIAL FOR WEATHER TONIGHT. HAVE USED A
BLEND FOR THE FORECAST. CONFIDENCE IS LOW WHERE CONVECTION MAY
FIRE. CAP REMAINS STRONG THIS AFTERNOON OVER FORECAST AREA. WEAK
LLJ CAPES AROUND 2000 TO 2500 MODERATE INSTABILITY BUT NO GOOD
FOCUS. STRONGER WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON
WEDNESDAY WITH BETTER FORCING HAVE LEFT CHANCE POPS GOING INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THEN BEGAN TRIMMING THEM BACK. TEMPERATURES IN
THE 80S LOWS IN THE 50S.

EXTENDED...FRIDAY NIGHT THRU TUESDAY
MODELS SEEM TO BE IN DECENT AGREEMENT IN BUILDING THE UPPER RIDGE
ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST DURING THE WEEKEND...AND THEN NOSING THE
RIDGE INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS EARLY NEXT WEEK. UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS OUR
AREA...AND THIS WILL KEEP THE CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT
CONVECTION GOING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS SHOW
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING INTO OUR AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY...SO
HAVE OPTED TO LEAVE THOSE DAYS DRY FOR NOW...AS TEMPERATURES ALOFT
MAY WARM HELPING TO SUPPRESS CONVECTION.

TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY BE WARMING THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH
HIGHS AOA 90 DEGREES...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHWEST ZONES BY SUNDAY. DEW
POINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S WILL HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES UP AT
NIGHT...WITH LOWS IN THE 60S BECOMING COMMON BY SUNDAY...AND THEN
LASTING FOR THE REST OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
&&

.AVIATION...

MOISTURE FEED NORTH ACROSS WESTERN NEBRASKA LEADING TO AREAS OF MVFR
CONDITIONS WEST OF HIGHWAY 83 TO THE EASTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE. THE
POTENTIAL FOR MVFR CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT TERMINALS KLBF AND KVTN
THROUGH 18/00Z. ANOTHER ROUND OF CONVECTION IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT THAT WILL LIKELY INFLUENCE THE KVTN TERMINAL FROM 00Z
TO 04Z THIS EVENING THEN TOWARD DAYBREAK AS RIDGE RUNNERS MOVE
SOUTHEAST. OVERNIGHT BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE INCREASES ACROSS THE
WEST WITH MVFR TO LIFR CONDITIONS GENERALLY WEST OF KLBF AND KVTN
TERMINALS THROUGH 15Z.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

KECK/POWER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
304 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-182015-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
304 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008 /204 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA TONIGHT. THE GREATEST
RISK IS WEST OF A LINE FROM SPRINGVIEW IN KEYA PAHA COUNTY TO
MASON CITY IN CUSTER COUNTRY. ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS FURTHER EAST IS POSSIBLE AS DISTURBANCES MOVES
THROUGH THE UPPER RIDGE AND ENCOUNTER DEEPENING MOISTURE IN AN
UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. THE PRIMARY THREAT IS LARGE HAIL WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO EVOLVE INTO CLUSTERS THAT COULD
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD SLOWLY EAST WITH AN ACTIVE WEATHER
PATTERN EACH DAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BE MAINLY WEST OF A LINE FROM
VALENTINE TO NORTH PLATTE...WHERE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN THE MOST
UNSTABLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE

KECK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
1115 AM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     HAIL             12 NNE SPRINGVIEW       42.99N 99.66W
06/17/2008  E0.88 INCH       KEYA PAHA          NE   PUBLIC

            HAIL COMPLETELY COVERED THE GROUND.

&&

BTAYLOR