Flash Flood Warning 30, NWS North Platte, NE

000 
WGUS73 KLBF 172310
FFSLBF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
610 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2008

NEC111-180045-
/O.CON.KLBF.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-080718T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LINCOLN NE-
610 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY...

AT 606 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 6 MILES NORTH OF WELLFLEET...OR 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF 
CURTIS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 11 MPH.  MORE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY 
RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST LINCOLN COUNTY OVER THE 
NEXT HOUR.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO HANSEN
MEMORIAL RESERVE STATE WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA...COTTONWOOD CANYON
STATE WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA...MAXWELL...JEFFREY CANYON STATE
WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA AND BRADY

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

LAT...LON 4072 10106 4116 10049 4108 10024 4069 10023

$$

DDB

000 
WGUS73 KLBF 180048
FFSLBF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
748 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2008

NEC111-180057-
/O.EXP.KLBF.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-080718T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LINCOLN NE-
748 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2008

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN
COUNTY...

THE STORMS THAT PRODUCED HEAVY RAIN EARLIER HAVE MOVED EAST.  
THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 4072 10106 4116 10049 4108 10024 4069 10023

$$

DDB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
309 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2008

.DISCUSSION...
DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL RESIDE ACROSS FCST AREA TONIGHT. THE SFC
FRONT ACROSS SRN NEB WILL ACT AS A FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAIN. ADVECTIONS
ARE WEAK...30KT AT 850 MB...SO A SUPER HEAVY FLOOD EVENT SEEMS
UNLIKELY. IT IS POSSIBLE ONE OR MORE VERY LARGE WET SLOWLY MOVING
MCSS WILL FORM ALONG THE FRONT AND MOVE EAST OVERNIGHT. HOLT AND LOUP
COUNTIES HAVE BE TRIMMED OUT OF THE WATCH AS THE FRONT HAS DROPPED
WELL SOUTH OF THOSE COUNTIES. WHEELER AND GARFIELD COUNTIES CONTINUE
IN THE WATCH AS THE RUC13 TRIES TO LIFT THE FRONT NORTH LATE TONIGHT.
THUS THE FLOOD WATCH CLOSELY RESEMBLES THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK
PRODUCED BY HPC. WINDS ALOFT ARE FAIRLY WEAK FAVORING A MULTICELL HP
ENVIRONMENT. SATELLITE SUGGESTS DRY AIR ACROSS WRN KS AND WIND
DAMAGE AND EVEN LARGE HAIL COULD FORM ACROSS SRN NEB THIS EVENING
FROM PULSE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

MOISTURE AND HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD BE LIMITED TO CNTL AND EASTERN
NEBRASKA ON FRIDAY. THE SFC FRONT WILL CIRCULATE MOISTURE ONTO THE
HIGH PLAINS IN THE LATE AFTN AND THE NAM12 IS FIRING A MCS OFF THE
BLACK HILLS. THIS FEATURE MAY DRIFT INTO THE NRN ZONES FRIDAY NIGHT.
OTHERWISE MOST OF THE FCST AREA SHOULD BE DRY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
MAY DEVELOP AREA WIDE.

FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...INSTABILITY RETURNS. THE NAM12 SUGGESTS
STORM INITIATION ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEB SATURDAY AFTN. SPC AND
NEIGHBORING OFFICES SUGGEST NRN NEB. THE FCST SIDES WITH SPC AND THE
NEIGHBORS. STORMS MAY DEVELOP IN THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING AS A
WARM FRONT LIFT NORTH AND A COLD FRONT DROPS INTO NRN NEB. THIS
FRONT WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTH ON SUNDAY AND ACT AS A FOCUS FOR MORE
STORM DEVELOPMENT.

EXTENDED FORECAST...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO REAL CHANGE IN THE
SENSIBLE WEATHER. THE WRN U.S. RIDGE IS FCST TO AMPLIFY SLIGHTLY
AND BUILD TOWARD NEB BUT THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY MOIST AND
WEAKLY CAPPED FOR THE MOST PART. THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BE W-NW
AND A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES COULD LIKELY BE STEERED INTO NEB.
THE 06Z GFS WAS GENERALLY DRY AS WAS THE 00Z ECMWF. THE 12Z RUNS OF
BOTH MODELS WERE SIMILAR. TEMPS ARE LOWER TO MID 90S AND POPS ARE
ISOLATED. THE TEMPS ARE HPC BUT THE HPC POPS HAVE BEEN LOWERED TO
ISOLD AS NONE OF THE NEIGHBORING OFFICES FELT CHANCE POPS WERE
WARRANTED AS SHOWN BY THE GFS AND ECMWF.

&&

.AVIATION...

COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...PRODUCING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. WHILE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE...THE
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL...REDUCING VISIBILITY TO IFR
CONDITIONS AT TIMES. POST FRONTAL ATMOSPHERE...OVERNIGHT...WILL
CONTAIN AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH IFR CIGS AND/OR FOG DEVELOPING
FOR BOTH KVTN AND KLBF. CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR DURING THE MORNING
HOURS...HOWEVER THERE IS UNCERTAINTY ABOUT HOW FAST THIS WILL
OCCUR...ESPECIALLY IN THE RIVER VALLEY AT KLBF.

...HWO...
TONIGHT..
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AS A
STRONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. THERE IS
A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE
FROM OSHKOSH TO ONEILL. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION...THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...WHERE
RECENT RAINS HAVE SATURATED THE GROUND. CAUTION IS ADVISED FOR
TRAVELS IN LOW LYING AREAS...ALONG STREAMS OR CREEKS...AND OTHER
FLASH FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS.

LONG...
ON FRIDAY EASTERLY FLOW INTO THE HIGH PLAINS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
PUSH MOISTURE INTO THE FRONT RANGE AND PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA.
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT SHOULD INITIATE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN TO
THE WEST AND FLOW ALOFT WILL MOVE THESE INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORM MAY BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BUT THE SEVERE WEATHER
SHOULD NOT BE WIDESPREAD. AN ACTIVE PATTERN CONTINUES INTO NEXT WEEK
WITH AT LEAST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE NEARLY EVERYDAY.

...FWF...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE THIS EVENING AS SURFACE FRONT
SLIDES SOUTHEAST. THEN AS RAIN ENDS OVERNIGHT...CLOUDS LINGER INTO
THE MORNING HOURS. CONTINUED ACTIVE PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
A CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL STORMS NEARLY EVERYDAY. ALTHOUGH RETURNING
TO AROUND 90 DEGREES.
&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING ZONES 028-029-038-059-070-071.

&&

CDC/MJM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
223 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2008

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-181930-
SHERIDAN-EASTERN CHERRY-KEYA PAHA-BOYD-BROWN-ROCK-HOLT-GARDEN-
GRANT-HOOKER-THOMAS-BLAINE-LOUP-GARFIELD-WHEELER-ARTHUR-MCPHERSON-
LOGAN-CUSTER-DEUEL-KEITH-PERKINS-LINCOLN-CHASE-HAYES-FRONTIER-
WESTERN CHERRY-
223 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2008 /123 PM MDT THU JUL 17 2008/

...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING AS A
STRONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. THERE IS
A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE
FROM OSHKOSH TO ONEILL. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION...THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...WHERE
RECENT RAINS HAVE SATURATED THE GROUND. CAUTION IS ADVISED FOR
TRAVELS IN LOW LYING AREAS...ALONG STREAMS OR CREEKS...AND OTHER
FLASH FLOOD PRONE LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ON FRIDAY EASTERLY FLOW INTO THE HIGH PLAINS BEHIND THE FRONT
WILL PUSH MOISTURE INTO THE FRONT RANGE AND PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA.
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT SHOULD INITIATE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
TO THE WEST AND FLOW ALOFT WILL MOVE THESE INTO WESTERN NEBRASKA
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. A FEW OF THESE STORM MAY BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BUT THE SEVERE
WEATHER SHOULD NOT BE WIDESPREAD. AN ACTIVE PATTERN CONTINUES INTO
NEXT WEEK WITH AT LEAST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE NEARLY
EVERYDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING...AND SPOTTERS ARE
REQUESTED TO REPORT HEAVY RAINFALL AND ANY FLOODING TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATOLOGICAL INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NORTHPLATTE

MASEK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
442 PM CDT THU JUL 17 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 N ANSLEY              41.36N 99.38W
07/17/2008  E5.00 INCH       CUSTER             NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FIVE INCHES OF RAINFALL LAST 2 HOURS AND 40 MINUTES, WITH
            STREAMS AND DITCHES BANKFULL.

&&

MBYRD