Severe Thunderstorm Warning 67, NWS Jackson, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
304 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

.SHORT TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...UPDATED

ONGOING SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA. TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL
6 PM FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE AREA. INSTABILITY CONTINUES SPREAD
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA...ALTHOUGH BEST INSTABILITY IS IN THE
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE CWA ATTM. MUCAPES 500-750
J/KG IN SOUTHERN KENTUCKY...WITH LI/S DOWN TO -2. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR FOR ANY WATCH EXTENSIONS. STILL GOOD SHEAR ENHANCING THE
TORNADO THREAT. RUC SHOWS INSTABILITY CONTINUING TO INCREASE IN THE
EAST LATE THIS AFTN AND EVE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. EXPECT A LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN THREAT AS WELL...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION IN HWO AND
FORECAST. THE COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH
CLEARING BEHIND IT.

A SURFACE AND H5 TROF DROPS SOUTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THIS WILL
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATER SATURDAY AFTERNOON...WITH THE BEST
CHANCE PICKING UP SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. ENOUGH COLD AIR WORKS IN
TO AT LEAST CAUSE SOME SNOW TO MIX IN WITH THE RAIN...ALTHOUGH WOULD
NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE PERIODS OF ALL SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHER TERRAIN
LOCATIONS WILL SEE PREDOMINANTLY SNOW LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. COULD BE SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS...MAINLY IN HIGHER TERRAIN.
PRECIP BEGINS TO TAPERS OFF LATER SUNDAY NIGHT AS MOISTURE BEGINS TO
PULL OUT...AND H5 TROF AXIS BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST.

.LONG TERM.../MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...UPDATED

AN EXITING H5 TROF WILL KEEP A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS AT THE
START OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD ON MONDAY. ANY QPF SHOULD BE VERY LIGHT
HOWEVER. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE OHIO TO THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AREA THROUGH MIDWEEK...BRINGING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...DRY
WEATHER...AND A GRADUAL WARM UP. AS THE HIGH SHIFTS TO OUR SOUTHEAST
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL
LEVELS WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW. WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH RIDGING AT THE SURFACE AND UPPER LEVELS.
RIDGING BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN SOME BY FRIDAY...WITH A FEW MORE CLOUDS
MOVING IN AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM...HOWEVER ANY PRECIP SHOULD
REMAIN WELL TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA. STILL A POTENTIAL FOR A
FROST OR FREEZE MONDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHTS.

&&

.AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/

COLD FRONT WAS APPROACHING THE REGION WITH THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. SHOULD SEE MVFR CONDITIONS WITH TEMPO IFR AT TAF
SITES DURING THUNDERSTORMS. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE THROUGH THIS
EVENING. SEVERE STORM WILL PASS NEAR SME AND LOZ BETWEEN 18 AND
1930Z. FRONT SHOULD PASS THROUGH BY THIS EVENING...WITH VFR
CONDITIONS RETURNING OVERNIGHT AS CLOUDS SCATTER OUT.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...WJM
LONG TERM...WJM
AVIATION...WJM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
134 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

KYZ044-050>052-060-088-104-106-107-109-110-113-118>120-121200-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-MENIFEE-HARLAN-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-
MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-KNOTT-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...FRENCHBURG...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...
WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...HINDMAN...
WHITESBURG...INEZ...PIKEVILLE
134 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES AND MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE...WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL. RAINFALL FROM THUNDERSTORMS MOVING REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME
AREAS MAY CAUSE ISOLATED FLOODING PROBLEMS TODAY AND THIS EVENING AS
WELL.

OTHERWISE...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY
OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MIX WITH RAIN SHOWERS AT TIMES SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG THE VIRGINIA BORDER SATURDAY
NIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.

A FROST OR FREEZE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
HOURS FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND DAMAGE...LARGE HAIL...OR
FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON.

KYZ058-059-068-069-079-080-083>087-108-111-112-114>117-121200-
ESTILL-POWELL-ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-WOLFE-LEE-BREATHITT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...IRVINE...STANTON...MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...
SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CAMPTON...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN
134 PM EDT FRI APR 11 2008

...TORNADO WATCH 197 IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES AND MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE...WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE
HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. RAINFALL FROM THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS MAY CAUSE ISOLATED FLOODING PROBLEMS
TODAY AND THIS EVENING AS WELL.

OTHERWISE...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TODAY
OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO MIX WITH RAIN SHOWERS AT TIMES SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN ALONG THE VIRGINIA BORDER SATURDAY
NIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT.

A FROST OR FREEZE IS POSSIBLE DURING THE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
HOURS FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND DAMAGE...LARGE
HAIL...TORNADOES...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSON.

ABE/WJM

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>