Alert archive / Kentucky / River Flood Warnings in 2008

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Jackson, KY

April 3, 2008Lee County, Kentucky

NWS Jackson, KY issued this river flood warning at Apr 3, 2008, 11:48 AM EDT for Lee County, Kentucky. It took effect at Apr 6, 2008, 2:00 AM EDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 3, 2008, 11:48 AM EDT (15:48 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 6, 2008, 2:00 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 4, 2008, 11:09 PM EDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Jackson, KY
Flood severity
Minor

County Lee County, KY

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 36 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Kentucky River at Heidelberg (HLDK2).

Action stage
16 ft
Minor stage
20 ft
Moderate stage
24 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03282000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KJKL 031548
FLWJKL
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 
1148 AM EDT THU APR 03 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED
A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY...

  CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG
  SOUTH FORK KENTUCKY RIVER AT BOONEVILLE
  KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG
  KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA
  RED RIVER AT CLAY CITY

.PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE... WILL LIKELY BRING QUICK RISES ON AREA RIVERS.
RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL WILL KEEP AREA RIVERS HIGH THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. 
CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 PM TONIGHT.

KYC189-040348-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FL.W.0001.080405T1739Z-080406T1145Z/
/BOOK2.1.ER.080405T1739Z.080406T0000Z.080406T0545Z.NO/
1148 AM EDT THU APR 03 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SOUTH FORK KENTUCKY RIVER AT BOONEVILLE
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...4.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 29 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

KYC129-040347-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FL.W.0002.080405T1800Z-080407T0300Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.080405T1800Z.080406T0600Z.080406T2100Z.NO/
1148 AM EDT THU APR 03 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...10.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD.

$$

KYC065-040347-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FL.W.0003.080405T0800Z-080408T0400Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.080405T0800Z.080406T1800Z.080407T2200Z.UU/
1148 AM EDT THU APR 03 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA
* FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...11.6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26 FEET BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING. 
* AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 28.1 FEET ON JUNE 1 
  2004.

$$

KYC235-040347-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FL.W.0004.080405T1900Z-080407T2200Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.080405T1900Z.080406T0600Z.080407T1600Z.NO/
1148 AM EDT THU APR 03 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG
* FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...4.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 25 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

KYC197-040347-
/O.NEW.KJKL.FL.W.0005.080405T1300Z-080406T1800Z/
/CYCK2.1.ER.080405T1300Z.080405T1800Z.080406T1200Z.NO/
1148 AM EDT THU APR 03 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON KENTUCKY HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE RED RIVER AT CLAY CITY
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS...3.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. MULTIPLE ROADS ARE CLOSED 
  WITH DAMAGE TO ROADWAYS.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.0 FEET ON SEPTEMBER 
  18 2004.

$$
6 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KJKL 040347
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1147 PM EDT THU APR 03 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 
  SOUTH FORK KENTUCKY RIVER AT BOONEVILLE  
  KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG AFFECTING  
  KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA AFFECTING  
  RED RIVER AT CLAY CITY  
 
.PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...WILL LIKELY BRING QUICK RISES ON AREA RIVERS.
RUNOFF FROM THIS RAINFALL WILL KEEP AREA RIVERS HIGH THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 11 AM FRIDAY.

KYC189-041547-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0001.080405T1739Z-080406T1145Z/
/BOOK2.1.ER.080405T1739Z.080406T0000Z.080406T0545Z.NO/
1147 PM EDT THU APR 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK KENTUCKY RIVER AT BOONEVILLE.
* FROM SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET. 
* AT 27.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD.
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 29.3 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 27.6 FEET ON DECEMBER 1 
2004.

$$

KYC129-041546-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0002.080405T1800Z-080407T0300Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.080405T1800Z.080406T0600Z.080406T2100Z.NO/
1147 PM EDT THU APR 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG.
* FROM SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 11PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD.
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.3 FEET ON SEPTEMBER 18 
2004.

$$

KYC065-041546-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0003.080405T0800Z-080408T0400Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.080405T0800Z.080406T1800Z.080407T2200Z.UU/
1147 PM EDT THU APR 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* FROM SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26 FEET BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING. 
* AT 21.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD.
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 28.1 FEET ON JUNE 1 2004.

$$

KYC235-041546-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.080405T1700Z-080408T0400Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.080405T1700Z.080406T0600Z.080407T2200Z.NO/
1147 PM EDT THU APR 03 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* FROM SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD.
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.0 FEET ON SEPTEMBER 18 
2004.

$$

KYC197-041546-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0005.080405T1300Z-080406T1800Z/
/CYCK2.1.ER.080405T1300Z.080406T0000Z.080406T1200Z.NO/
1147 PM EDT THU APR 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT CLAY CITY.
* FROM LATE SATURDAY MORNING UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 08PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 18.2 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 19.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. MULTIPLE ROADS ARE CLOSED.
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.0 FEET ON SEPTEMBER 18 
2004.

$$
000 
WGUS83 KJKL 041258
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
858 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY..
  CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 
  SOUTH FORK KENTUCKY RIVER AT BOONEVILLE 
  KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG 
  KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 
  RED RIVER AT CLAY CITY 
 
.PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL RANGE FROM TWO TO FOUR
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.  RUNOFF FROM THIS
RAINFALL WILL KEEP AREA RIVERS HIGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 1 PM EDT.

KYC189-050058-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0001.080405T1739Z-080406T1145Z/
/BOOK2.1.ER.080405T1739Z.080406T0000Z.080406T0545Z.NO/
858 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK KENTUCKY RIVER AT BOONEVILLE.
* FROM TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 04AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 29.3 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 27.6 FEET ON DECEMBER 1 
2004.

$$

KYC129-050058-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0002.080405T1800Z-080407T0300Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.080405T1800Z.080406T0600Z.080406T2100Z.NO/
858 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG.
* FROM TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING.
* AT 08AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.3 FEET ON SEPTEMBER 18 
2004.

$$

KYC065-050058-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0003.080405T0800Z-080408T0400Z/
/RAVK2.2.ER.080405T0800Z.080406T1800Z.080407T2200Z.UU/
858 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* FROM EARLY TOMORROW UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 08AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* AT 25.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 28.1 FEET ON JUNE 1 2004.

$$

KYC235-050058-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0004.080405T1700Z-080408T0400Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.080405T1700Z.080406T0600Z.080407T2200Z.NO/
858 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* FROM TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 08AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 25.2 FEET ON FEBRUARY 7 
2004.

$$

KYC197-050058-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0005.080404T1600Z-080405T1000Z/
/CYCK2.1.ER.080404T1600Z.080404T1800Z.080405T0400Z.NO/
858 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT CLAY CITY.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING.
* AT 08AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 18.2 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW.
$$
000 
WGUS83 KJKL 041554
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1154 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN KENTUCKY...
 
  SOUTH FORK KENTUCKY RIVER AT BOONEVILLE
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 
  KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG
  KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA
  RED RIVER AT CLAY CITY
 
RUNOFF FROM 2 TO LOCALLY 4 INCHES OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE AREA
RIVERS TO RISE. 

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY ****.

KYC235-050354-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0004.080405T2000Z-080406T1500Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.080405T2000Z.080406T0000Z.080406T0900Z.NO/
1154 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* FROM TOMORROW AFTERNOON UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 11AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...FLOODING THREATENS LOW LYING ROADS AND STRUCTURES. 
  LOW-LYING AREAS ALONG GEORGE HAY ROAD AND 10TH STREET BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.3 FEET ON DECEMBER 10 
2004.

$$

KYC189-041624-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080406T1145Z/
/BOOK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1154 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK KENTUCKY RIVER AT BOONEVILLE.
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING. 
* AT 11AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET. 
* AT 27.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 27.6 FEET ON DECEMBER 1 
2004.

$$

KYC129-050354-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0002.080406T0000Z-080406T0600Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.080406T0000Z.080406T0000Z.080406T0000Z.NO/
1154 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG.
* FROM TOMORROW EVENING UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING THEN FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.3 FEET ON SEPTEMBER 18 
2004.

$$

KYC065-050354-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0003.080405T2000Z-080407T1100Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.080405T2000Z.080406T1200Z.080407T0500Z.UU/
1154 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* FROM TOMORROW AFTERNOON UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 11AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 21.5 FEET...SANG BRANCH ROAD IS UNDER WATER AT RED LICK CREEK
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.4 FEET ON APRIL 16 
2007.

$$

KYC197-050351-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0005.080404T1800Z-080405T0351Z/
/CYCK2.1.ER.080404T1800Z.080404T2100Z.080404T2151Z.NO/
1154 AM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT CLAY CITY.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 11AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE 
  TO RISE TO NEAR 17.0 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 17.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD. SOME ROADS NEAR THE RED RIVER
  ARE CLOSED
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.7 FEET ON SEPTEMBER 9 
2004.

$$
000 
WGUS83 KJKL 042009
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
409 PM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN KENTUCKY...
 
  RED RIVER AT CLAY CITY 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
KENTUCKY...
 
  KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG 
  KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN KENTUCKY..
  CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG 
 
CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 10 PM EDT.

KYC235-050809-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0004.080405T2000Z-080406T1500Z/
/WLBK2.1.ER.080405T2000Z.080406T0000Z.080406T0900Z.NO/
409 PM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUMBERLAND RIVER AT WILLIAMSBURG.
* FROM TOMORROW AFTERNOON UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 03PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 21.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 21.0 FEET...FLOODING THREATENS LOW LYING ROADS AND STRUCTURES. 
  LOW-LYING AREAS ALONG GEORGE HAY ROAD AND 10TH STREET BEGIN TO 
  FLOOD
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.3 FEET ON DECEMBER 10 
2004.

$$

KYC129-050809-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0002.080406T0600Z-080406T1200Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.080406T0600Z.080406T0600Z.080406T0600Z.NO/
409 PM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG.
* FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 03PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING THEN FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 20.8 FEET ON MAY 28 2004.

$$

KYC065-050809-
/O.EXT.KJKL.FL.W.0003.080405T2200Z-080407T0800Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.080405T2200Z.080406T1200Z.080407T0200Z.UU/
409 PM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* FROM TOMORROW EVENING UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 03PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN FALL
BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 21.5 FEET...SANG BRANCH ROAD IS UNDER WATER AT RED LICK CREEK
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.4 FEET ON APRIL 16 
2007.

$$

KYC197-042039-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-080405T0351Z/
/CYCK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
409 PM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE RED RIVER AT CLAY CITY.
* AT 04PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* AT 16.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD. SOME ROADS NEAR THE RED RIVER
  ARE CLOSED
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 15.6 FEET ON MARCH 7 2004.

$$
000 
WGUS83 KJKL 050200
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1000 PM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS IN
KENTUCKY...
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA 
 
.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO BRING THE KENTUCKY RIVER TO
FLOOD STAGE AT HEIDELBERG AND RAVENNA.

AT 9 PM...THE STAGE AT HEIDELBERG WAS 15.6 FEET. IT IS EXPECTED TO 
CREST NEAR 20 FEET ON SATURDAY NIGHT. FLOOD STAGE AT HEIDELBERG IS 
20 FEET.

AT 9 PM...THE STAGE AT RAVENNA WAS 17 FEET. IT IS EXPECTED TO CREST 
22.4 FEET EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. FLOOD STAGE AT RAVENNA IS 21 FEET.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY 6 AM.

KYC129-051400-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0002.080406T0600Z-080406T1200Z/
/HLDK2.1.ER.080406T0600Z.080406T0600Z.080406T0600Z.NO/
1000 PM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG.
* FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 09PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* AT 20.0 FEET...LOW LYING AREAS FLOOD
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.3 FEET ON SEPTEMBER 18 
2004.

$$

KYC065-051400-
/O.CON.KJKL.FL.W.0003.080405T2200Z-080407T0800Z/
/RAVK2.1.ER.080405T2200Z.080406T1200Z.080407T0200Z.UU/
1000 PM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* FROM TOMORROW EVENING UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 09PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* AT 21.5 FEET...SANG BRANCH ROAD IS UNDER WATER AT RED LICK CREEK
THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 21.4 FEET ON APRIL 16 
2007.

$$
000 
WGUS83 KJKL 050309
FLSJKL
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1109 PM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS
IN KENTUCKY...
 
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA
 
.WATER RUNNING OFF FROM RECENT RAINFALL IS NOT AS GREAT AS WAS
FORECAST. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN SLIGHTLY LOWER CRESTS ON THE 
KENTUCKY RIVER. 

AT 10 PM AT HEIDELBERG THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET. A CREST OF 18.1 FEET
IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY EVENING. FLOOD STAGE AT HEIDELBERG IS 20
FEET.

AT 10 PM AT RAVENNA THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. A CREST OF 20.2 FEET IS
EXPECTED EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. FLOOD STAGE AT RAVENNA IS 21 FEET.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. IF YOU ARE IN AREAS AFFECTED BY 
THE FOLLOWING FORECAST TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. 

ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS CONCERNING THE HIGH RIVER LEVELS AT HEIDELBERG
AND RAVENNA WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

KYC129-050339-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080406T1200Z/
/HLDK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1109 PM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER AT HEIDELBERG.
* AT 10PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.8 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 18.1 FEET SATURDAY EVENING 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 


$$

KYC065-050339-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080407T0800Z/
/RAVK2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1109 PM EDT FRI APR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE KENTUCKY RIVER NEAR RAVENNA.
* AT 10PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 20.2 FEET EARLY SUNDAY 
  MORNING. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Apr 3, 10:42 AM EDT, 1 hour 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 3, 10:42 AM EDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
1042 AM EDT THU APR 3 2008

.SHORT TERM.../THE REST OF TODAY/...UPDATED

FLOODING CONCERNS CONTINUE TO MOUNT AS MOISTURE RICH FEED FROM THE
GULF (PWATS NOW OVER 200% OF NORMAL ON THE 12Z NASHVILLE RAOB)
OVERRIDES A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH. AN ADDITIONAL
WEAK BOUNDARY NOTED BY SURFACE DEWPOINT AND WIND FIELDS RUNS FROM
NEAR PRESTONSBURG SOUTHWEST TO RICHMOND AND THIS BOUNDARY IS
FORECAST TO TIGHTEN... STRENGTHEN THIS AFTERNOON SERVING AS A
FURTHER FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. UPSTREAM RADAR TRENDS ARE RATHER
DISCONCERTING AS STRONG LOW LEVEL JET PUNCHING NORTHWARD IS SERVING
TO FORCE ADDITIONAL MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
WESTERN KENTUCKY AND TENNESSEE AND THIS AREA OF RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD
EAST KENTUCKY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. MUCH OF THIS PRECIP WILL
FALL ON SATURDATED OR NEARLY SATURATED SOIL THANKS TO THIS MORNING/S
RAINFALL.

AS FOR THE ONGOING FORECAST... TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN LOWERED
SOME... ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTH... DUE TO THE EXPECTED CLOUDS AND
RAIN THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY. WINDS AND DEWPOINTS WERE ALSO
TWEAKED AND FINE TUNED FOR THIS AFTERNOON BUT LITTLE SUBSTANTIVE
CHANGES ARE CURRENTLY NEEDED.

THE PREVIOUS SHORT TERM FORECAST DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...

/TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/

AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT WILL BEGIN A PERIOD OF VERY WET WEATHER
WITH FLOODING RAINS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. RAIN WILL
SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES LATE
THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. PUSHED THE START TIME OF THE FLOOD WATCH
BACK TO NOON...SINCE IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE
ON THE LIGHTER SIDE THIS MORNING...AND IT WILL TAKE A WHILE FOR THE
THREAT OF FLOODING TO BEGIN. OVERALL FOR THE SHORT TERM PORTION OF
THE FORECAST...SIDED CLOSER TO A GFS/SREF SOLUTION FOR SURFACE
FRONTAL POSITIONS...ALTHOUGH MANY OF THE DYNAMIC FIELDS ON THE GFS ARE
CONTAMINATED DUE TO CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK. SIDED CLOSE TO HPC FOR QPF
VALUES THROUGH THE PERIOD AS WELL. THE WRF IS MUCH DRIER ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA WITH QPF VALUES TODAY AND TONIGHT. AFTER LOOKING AT ALL
OF THE DATA...DECIDED TO GIVE THE WRF SOLUTION MUCH LESS WEIGHT FOR
THE FORECAST. MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY WILL BE IN THE
NORTHERN 1/2 TO 2/3RDS OF THE CWA...WITH 0.75 TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN
EXPECTED. IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST...AMOUNTS OF AROUND 1/2 INCH ARE
EXPECTED...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THERE. WAS NOT
QUITE CONFIDENT ENOUGH ATTM TO PUSH THE START TIME OF THE FLOOD WATCH
BACK MORE IN THE SOUTHEAST WITH UNCERTAINTY IN THE QPF GRADIENT.
THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME DOWNSLOPE SOUTHEAST FLOW WHICH MAY CONTRIBUTE
TO LOWER QPF VALUES OVER THAT AREA. THE WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...AND SHOULD BE NEAR THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY BY
THIS EVENING. A SURFACE LOW WILL BE OVER THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...MOVING NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT. ELEVATED INSTABILITY WILL
KEEP THE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST AS WELL. A GOOD LOW
LEVEL JET ALSO MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...WHICH WILL ENHANCE THE QPF
AMOUNTS.

TONIGHT...ANOTHER 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA...WITH AROUND 1/2 INCH IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST...AND THE
HIGHEST NORTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. AGAIN...LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE. GOOD LOW LEVEL JET PERSISTS AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS
FURTHER NORTH OVERNIGHT. MORE CONCERNED WITH THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AS
ELEVATED INSTABILITY INCREASES...AND EVEN SOME HINT OF SURFACE BASED
INSTABILITY IS INDICATED ON THE MODELS. ANY CONVECTIVE ENHANCEMENT
WILL ADD TO PRECIP TOTALS. STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MAY ALSO MIX DOWN
SOME STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH ANY STORMS.

FRIDAY THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA. THE SURFACE
LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS KENTUCKY AND INTO OHIO...DRAGGING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH DURING THE DAY. MODELS INDICATE A WAVE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE
FRONT...FURTHER SLOWING ITS EASTWARD PROGRESSION. EXPECTING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY. SHOULD SEE ANOTHER 0.75 TO 1.25 INCHES OF
RAIN ACROSS THE AREA. INSTABILITY ALSO BECOMES MORE SURFACE
BASED...AND THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF STRONG WIND GUSTS. SOME
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT AS WELL. THE FRONT
SHOULD SLOWLY MOVE EAST...REACHING THE FAR EASTERN CWA TOWARDS
MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT. HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PART OF
THE AREA THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

CONSIDERING QPF AMOUNTS AND PLACEMENT OF THE HIGHEST QPF VALUES EACH
12 HR PERIOD...EXPECTING TOTAL QPF TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES FROM
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

.LONG TERM.../SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/

THE CONFIDENCE IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD IS A LITTLE BETTER THAN
YESTERDAY AS THE MAIN LONG WAVE PATTERN SEEMS TO BE COMING INTO PLACE
AS THE MODELS NOW AGREE THAT THERE WILL BE TROUGHING IN THE WESTERN
US. THE PROBLEM IS THAT THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF DIFFERENCE ON HOW THE
MODELS ARE HANDLING THE RIDGING IN THE EAST AND QUITE A BIT OF
DIFFERENCE IN THE TIMING OF SHORT WAVES WHICH WILL BE MOVING INTO THE
RIDGE. IN GENERAL...THIS SHOULD BE A FAIRLY WARM PERIOD WITH SYSTEMS
FALLING APART AS THEY TRY TO DISPLACE THE RIDGE WHICH WILL WANT TO
STUBBORNLY STAY IN PLACE. EXPECT THE MODELS WILL BECOME MORE
CONSISTENT OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AND THAT CONFIDENCE AND
TIMING WILL THEN BEGIN TO IMPROVE. THE FORECAST IS A BIT OF A BLEND
BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND THE GFS IN AN ATTEMPT TO TIME SYSTEMS INTO THE
AREA. THE POPS ARE LOW IN THE FORECAST DUE TO FORECAST UNCERTAINTY
AND WAS NOT VERY BOLD IN BRINGING RAISING THE TEMPS. AS THE FORECAST
BECOMES MORE CERTAIN...HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE EXTENDED WILL
PROBABLY BE INCREASING.

&&

.AVIATION.../12Z TO 12Z/

RAIN WAS SPREADING INTO THE AREA...WITH A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS AS
WELL. EXPECTING MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING...DROPPING CONDITIONS TO MVFR. COULD BE SOME BRIEF IFR
IN THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY. A WARM FRONT WAS MOVING NORTH TOWARDS THE
REGION...AS A SURFACE LOW MOVES NORTHEAST ALONG IT OUT OF THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. SEVERAL WAVES OF PRECIPITATION ARE
EXPECTED. COULD SEE A BRIEF LULL LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY
AFTERNOON BEFORE THE NEXT WAVE MOVES IN LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING. STILL EXPECTING MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS THOUGH. BETTER CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...AND SOME OF THESE COULD BECOME SEVERE. SHOULD SEE SOME TEMPO
IFR CONDITIONS WITH THESE. OVERALL...LOOKS LIKE A VERY WET AND
UNSETTLED PATTERN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT FOR KYZ044-050>052-058>060-
068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120.

&&

SHORT TERM...WJM/ABE
LONG TERM....JJ
AVIATION...WJM
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 3, 4:38 AM EDT, 7 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
438 AM EDT THU APR 3 2008

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-041200-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
438 AM EDT THU APR 3 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING...WITH THE GREATEST THREAT BEING NORTH OF A
PAINTSVILLE TO JACKSON TO MCKEE LINE. SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...LOW
WATER CROSSINGS...AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE PRONE TO
FLOODING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE TO THE SOUTH OF
THIS AREA...ESPECIALLY WHERE THUNDERSTORMS OCCUR. THIS COULD LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS. IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT COULD BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT...WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF
EASTERN KENTUCKY. IN ADDITION TO FLOODING OF SMALL
STREAMS...CREEKS...AND LOW LYING AREAS...SOME RIVER FLOODING IS ALSO
POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE AND PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT INSTANCES OF FLOODING...RAINFALL
AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH...OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON.

WJM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 11:48 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningJKLOwsley24 hr
Apr 3, 11:48 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningJKLEstill35 hr
Apr 3, 11:48 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningJKLWhitley34 hr
Apr 3, 11:48 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningJKLPowell28 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Kentucky, 2008Every river flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.