Flash Flood Warning 18, NWS Jackson, KY

000 
WGUS73 KJKL 300123
FFSJKL

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
922 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2008

KYC147-300132-
/O.CAN.KJKL.FF.W.0018.000000T0000Z-080730T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MCCREARY KY-
922 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2008

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR CENTRAL MCCREARY
COUNTY...

MCCREARY COUNTY 911 REPORTS NO FLOODING PROBLEMS AS OF 921 PM EDT. 
IN ADDITION...THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD 
WARNING FOR CENTRAL MCCREARY COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

TO REPORT ANY FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...CALL TOLL
FREE AT...1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3681 8456 3680 8435 3666 8436 3669 8454

$$

PELTON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
257 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2008

.SHORT TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...UPDATED

AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR TWO HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF
THE CWA...HOWEVER PLENTY OF DRY AIR ALOFT AND SOME CAPPING HAS KEPT
ACTIVITY TO A MINIMUM. HANDLING THESE WITH SHORT TERM FORECASTS SINCE
COVERAGE IS VERY LIMITED. TONIGHT SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR FOR A WHILE
AFTER THE DIURNAL CU DISSIPATES. SHOULD SEE SOME CLOUDS BEGIN TO MOVE
IN LATER TONIGHT. EXPECT ANY PRECIP TO STAY NORTH AND WEST OF THE CWA
OVERNIGHT. EXPECTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
WEDNESDAY WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND INCREASING MOISTURE. BEST DYNAMICS
REMAIN NORTH AND WEST OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY...HOWEVER WITH LOW
CONVECTIVE TEMPS AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...EXPECT
SCATTERED COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOISTURE INCREASES FURTHER
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST...AND
WILL CONTINUE WITH LIKELY POPS. MORE DYNAMICS KICK IN LATE AT NIGHT
AS WELL. WILL CONTINUE LIKELY POPS INTO THURSDAY AS THE FRONT DROPS
SLOWLY SOUTH. PWATS INCREASE TO 2.0 OR ABOVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY...SO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE. COULD BE SOME
LOCALIZED FLOODING CONCERNS ESPECIALLY WHERE ECHO TRAINING OCCURS.
WILL CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT THIS IN THE HWO. PLENTY OF INSTABILITY
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...SO STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE.
WILL KEEP CHANCE/SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN A COUPLE ROWS OF COUNTIES IN
THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE CWA AS THE FRONT CLEARS THE AREA. THINGS
SHOULD DRY OUT BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. NOT MUCH OF AN AIRMASS CHANGE
BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH ONLY A SLIGHT DROP OFF IN DEW POINTS.

.LONG TERM.../FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...UPDATED

GENERALLY LOOKS LIKE A DRY AND HOT PATTERN THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. RIDGING AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT BEGINS TO BUILD IN FRIDAY
AS THE CENTER OF A LARGE H5 HIGH DRIFTS EAST OUT OF THE PLAINS. THE
H5 HIGH SHOULD BE CENTERED OVER KENTUCKY EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE HIGH
DRIFTS EAST OF THE AREA TUESDAY...AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MAKE ITS
WAY SOUTH OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. WILL KEEP THE ENTIRE PERIOD DRY
FOR NOW...SINCE THE FRONT SHOULD STILL BE TOO FAR TO THE NORTH TO
BRING ANY PRECIP TO THE AREA. THE TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE MAIN
STORY...WITH HIGHS STARTING OUT AROUND 90 ON FRIDAY...AND RISING TO
THE MID TO UPPER 90S OVER THE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A FEW
PLACES COULD APPROACH OR TOP 100 DEGREES. WILL INCLUDE A MENTION OF
THE VERY HOT CONDITIONS IN THE HWO. RECORD HIGHS WILL LIKELY BE
BROKEN LATER IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK IF THE FORECAST
PATTERN HOLDS. PREFERRED HPC GUIDANCE TEMPS AS A START...AND MADE
SOME ADJUSTMENTS CONSIDERING H8 TEMPS AND H10 TO H8 THICKNESSES.

&&

.AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/

VFR CONDITIONS WILL DOMINATE THE AVIATION WEATHER THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A TOUCH OF BR AT LOZ AND SME LATE TONIGHT.
BROUGHT THESE SITES TO MVFR VIS AROUND 06Z AND THEN TO IFR FOR A TIME
THROUGH DAWN. THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON
WEDNESDAY...BUT KEPT MENTION OUT UNTIL AFTER 16Z AND THEN JUST AS A
VCTS AND CB IN THE FROM GROUP. EXPECT BETTER COVERAGE LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...TUESDAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH MID
MORNING TUESDAY WHEN THEY ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP FROM THE WEST AT 5
TO 10 KTS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...WJM
LONG TERM...WJM
AVIATION...GREIF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
343 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2008

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-301100-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
343 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND
THEN MOVES THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVE
SLOW...OR PASS REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME LOCATIONS WILL PROVIDE A
THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
MAY BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BEING THE MAIN THREAT.

HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE MID TO UPPER 90S. THESE
TEMPERATURES...COMBINED WITH THE HUMIDITY...WILL RESULT IN HEAT
INDICES TOPPING OUT BETWEEN 95 AND 100 ON SATURDAY...AND 100 TO 105
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS IF YOU PLAN ON ANY OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY INSTANCES OF WIND DAMAGE AND
FLOODING ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

WJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
217 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BARBOURVILLE            36.87N 83.88W
07/28/2008                   KNOX               KY   NEWSPAPER

            TWELVE TO EIGHTEEN INCHES OF RUNNING WATER OVER SEVERAL
            AREA ROADS IN DOWNTOWN BARBOURVILLE.

&&

RAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
348 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0219 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E SCIENCE HILL        37.18N 84.60W
07/28/2008                   PULASKI            KY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            LARGE TREE LIMBS WERE BLOWN DOWN. REPORTED BY COUNTY
            DISPATCH.

&&

JP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
707 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2008

KYZ084-300000-
MCCREARY-
707 PM EDT TUE JUL 29 2008

...A NEARLY STATIONARY THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN TO AFFECT
EASTERN MCCREARY COUNTY THROUGH AROUND 800 PM EDT TUESDAY
EVENING...

AT 707 PM EDT...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
MARSHES SIDING AND WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

THIS STORM WILL BE REMAIN NEAR MARSHES SIDING AND ADJACENT RURAL
AREAS OF EASTERN MCCREARY COUNTY THROUGH AROUND 8 PM EDT BEFORE
DISSIPATING.

RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP
TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR...AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IN
THESE AREAS.

THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS.
US 27 WILL BE AMONG THE ROADWAYS AFFECTED. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO
DRIVE CAREFULLY.

PELTON