Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Jacksonville, FL

000 
WWUS82 KJAX 271900
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
200 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2008

FLZ020>023-030-031-035-036-281000-
/O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0009.080128T1600Z-080128T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.FW.W.0009.080128T1700Z-080128T2200Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080127T2300Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-UNION-BRADFORD-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-
200 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 5 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 5 PM EST MONDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

A DRIER AIRMASS AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S THIS
AFTERNOON AND MONDAY WILL RESULT IN LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF
AROUND 30 TO 35 PERCENT THROUGH THIS EVENING AND 25 TO 30 PERCENT
MONDAY AFTERNOON. DURATIONS AT OR BELOW 35 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED TO BE
AROUND 4 TO 5 HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE CONSECUTIVE
HOURS.

$$

FLZ040-281000-
/O.UPG.KJAX.FW.A.0009.080128T1600Z-080128T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KJAX.FW.W.0009.080128T1700Z-080128T2200Z/
MARION-
200 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 5 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM TO 5 PM EST MONDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY... AND
DURATIONS BELOW 35 PERCENT WILL REACH 4 HOURS. 

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE CONSECUTIVE
HOURS.

$$

FLZ024-025-032-281000-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FW.A.0009.080128T1700Z-080128T2200Z/
/O.CON.KJAX.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080127T2300Z/
NASSAU-DUVAL-CLAY-
200 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

A DRIER AIRMASS AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S THIS AFTERNOON HAS
RESULTED IN LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF AROUND 30 TO 35 PERCENT.
DURATIONS AT OR BELOW 35 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND
4 HOURS. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO NEAR 20 MPH WILL CONTINUE AS WELL. 

DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY... AND
DURATIONS BELOW 35 PERCENT MAY REACH 4 TO 6 HOURS. AS A RESULT...
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

A RED FLAG WARNING IS ISSUED IN FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE CONSECUTIVE
HOURS.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS ISSUED IN FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES MAY FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE CONSECUTIVE
HOURS.

FOR ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT
WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

$$

FLZ037-281000-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FW.A.0009.080128T1700Z-080128T2200Z/
PUTNAM-
200 PM EST SUN JAN 27 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT MONDAY AFTERNOON. 

DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY... AND
DURATIONS BELOW 35 PERCENT MAY REACH 4 HOURS. AS A RESULT...A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS ISSUED IN FLORIDA WHEN MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES MAY FALL BELOW 35 PERCENT FOR FOUR OR MORE CONSECUTIVE
HOURS.

$$

DEESE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
320 AM EST SUN JAN 27 2008

.SHORT TERM...COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER N FL WITH SURFACE LOW
OFF WEST CENTRAL FL IS CONTINUING THE SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SOUTH
OF A GNV-SGJ LINE. CLEARING HAS MOVED INTO SE GA WITH AREAS OF
DENSE FOG DEVELOPING WHERE WINDS HAVE DROPPED OFF. CLEARING AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS FOR TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA.
SURFACE RIDGE WILL BE JUST WEST OF THE AREA TONIGHT RESULTING IN A
LIGHT FREEZE POSSIBLE OVER MAINLY WESTERN ZONES. GOING CLOSE TO
THE COOLER GFS MOS MIN TEMPS FOR TONIGHT. WILL ISSUE A FREEZE
WATCH OVER THE SUWANNEE VALLEY OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA FOR MARGINAL
FREEZING CONDITIONS. AREAS OF FROST ALSO LIKELY TONIGHT AWAY FROM
THE IMMEDIATE COAST GIVEN TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW
TO MID 30S. TEMPERATURES WILL START A WARMING TREND ON TUESDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES SE AND A SW FLOW COMMENCES AHEAD OF THE NEXT
APPROACHING COLD FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
INTO THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH WEAKENING UPPER SUPPORT. FRONT
WILL STALL OVER CENTRAL FL WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE RETURNING NORTH
AS A WARM FRONT ON THURSDAY. SURFACE LOW WILL HEAD FROM THE LOWER
MS RVR VLY INTO THE OHIO VALLEY ON FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
INTO THE AREA FRIDAY EVENING WITH THE GFS AND DGEX NOW SLOWER AND
CLOSER TO THE ECMWF TIMING. GOOD DYNAMICS MAY RESULT IN A SQUALL
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS BUT INSTABILITY STILL IN QUESTION AS
INDICATED BY GFS LIS.

&&

.AVIATION...WILL CONTINUE TO DEAL WITH LOW CIG AND VSBY VARIATIONS
THRU THE REST OF THE NIGHT. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO RAPIDLY IMPROVE
AFTER SUNRISE AS NW FLOW INCREASES AND DRY AIR FILTERS INTO THE
AREA. ONLY OTHER CONCERN WILL BE WIND GUSTS AROUND 20 KTS FROM
LATE MORNING THRU MID-AFTN.

&&

.MARINE...HAVE LEFT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HEADLINE UNCHANGED FOR
THE OFFSHORE WATERS. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO BE MARGINAL WITH
PERIODS OF ADVISORY CRITERIA WINDS AND 7 FT SEAS IN SE CORNER
OF MARINE ZONES. WINDS AND SEAS WILL AGAIN INCREASE TUE NIGHT
AHEAD OF NEXT FRONT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...HAVE UPGRADED MOST OF FIRE WX WATCH TO A WARNING
FOR TODAY...BUT LEFT OUT CLAY AND PUTNAM. WINDS SHOULD BE BELOW
CRITERIA SO WILL NEED TO MEET RH DURATION CRITERIA. HAVE ALSO
HOISTED A FIRE WX WATCH FOR INLAND NE FL FOR MON. THANX FOR
COORD TBW AND MLB.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  62  32  63  34 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  60  38  59  45 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  64  33  62  35 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  62  41  60  44 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  65  33  66  35 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  66  31  66  34 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM THRU 6 PM THIS AFTN FOR
     ALACHUA-BAKER-BRADFORD-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-
     MARION-NASSAU-SUWANNEE-UNION.

     FIRE WX WATCH FROM 11 AM THRU 6 PM MON FOR ALACHUA-BAKER-
     BRADFORD-CLAY-COLUMBIA-DUVAL-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-MARION-NASSAU-
     PUTNAM-SUWANNEE-UNION.

     FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR
     COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-SUWANNEE.

GA...NONE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM MON FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA
     TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

ZIBURA/CARROLL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
830 PM EST SAT JAN 26 2008

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-271100-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
830 PM EST SAT JAN 26 2008

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE WITH VISIBILITIES GENERALLY IN THE 1 TO 3
MILE RANGE...ALTHOUGH PATCHY DENSE FOG WITH LOCAL VISIBILITIES
AROUND ONE HALF A MILE WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. USE CAUTION AND
LOW BEAM HEADLIGHTS WHEN DRIVING TONIGHT AS FOG CONDITIONS MAY
CHANGE RAPIDLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

A LIGHT FREEZE IS POSSIBLE OVER INLAND AREAS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONALLY...AREAS OF FROST WILL BE LIKELY
FOR AREAS AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

MZ/HESS