Red Flag Warning 7, NWS Jacksonville, FL

000 
WWUS82 KJAX 250826
RFWJAX

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
326 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2008

FLZ020>023-030-035-252200-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FW.W.0007.080125T1600Z-080125T2200Z/
HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-UNION-GILCHRIST-
326 AM EST FRI JAN 25 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR PARTS OF INTERIOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA DUE TO
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RH...

A VERY COOL AND DRY AIRMASS HAS MOVED INTO THE AREA. RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL BEGIN TO FALL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS BY LATE MORNING
AND REMAIN BELOW 35% FOR AROUND 4 HOURS ACROSS THE SUWANNEE
VALLEY OF NORTH FLORIDA. MINIMUM VALUES WILL NEAR 30 PERCENT.
SUSTAINED NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WIND GUSTS TO
20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.

PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE
FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING.

$$

MZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
934 AM EST THU JAN 24 2008

.UPDATE...VISIBILITIES HAVE IMPROVED OVER MOST OF THE DENSE FOG
ADV AREA AND WILL ALLOW THE ADVISORY TO EXPIRE. DENSE FOG HAS
MIGRATED INTO ST. JOHNS CO WITH VSBY IN ST. AUGUSTINE LESS THAN
1/4 MILE.

WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS CONSIDERABLE MOISTURE IN THE SUB-TROPICAL
JET ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. JET STREAKS IN THE QUASI-ZONAL FLOW
DENOTE DISTURBANCES WHICH HAVE BEEN BRINGING BOUTS OF PRECIP TO
THE AREA. ONE JETLET OVER THE ERN GULF WILL MOVE ACRS CTRL FL
TODAY. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE EXTENDS FROM JUST WEST OF OUR AREA TO
MS/LA AND THIS WILL INCREASE OUR CHANCES FOR RAIN TODAY. AT THE
SURFACE A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE STRETCHES OVER THE SWRN
ATLANTIC OCEAN INTO THE CAROLINAS. MSAS ANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK
TROUGH OVER SE GA AND ANOTHER TROUGH OVER CTRL GA ALSO DENOTED BY
INCREASED DEWPOINT PACKING. THINK THESE ARE MORE OF A TROFFY
NATURE THAN REAL FRONTS. THE MAIN COLD FRONT IS OVER TN AND WILL
PUSH THROUGH LATER TODAY AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF THE COAST.

HAVE DECREASED POPS THRU EARLY AFTN AS PRECIP IS STILL OVER THE
PANHANDLE. RAINS WILL ARRIVE IN SE GA FIRST AND HAVE KEPT LOW
CHANCE THERE. WILL MAKE NO CHANGES TO POPS GRIDS FOR LATE AFTN.

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT MAINLY OVERCAST MID/HIGH CLOUDS UNTIL MID AFTN.
MVFR CONDS WITH SHRA IS EXPECTED THIS AFTN AND WILL AMEND TAFS.

&&

.MARINE...EASTERLY SWELLS ARE 2-3 FT...SAME AS THE COMBINED SEAS.
WINDS ARE GENERALLY LIGHT THIS MORN...BUT WILL INCREASE BY LATE AFTN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  55  28  52  33 /  50   0   0  10
SSI  59  34  50  39 /  50  20   0  20
JAX  62  34  51  37 /  50  30   0  20
SGJ  65  42  54  44 /  40  30   0  20
GNV  66  37  58  38 /  40  30   0  10
OCF  68  41  60  39 /  40  30   0  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR BAKER-COLUMBIA-GILCHRIST-HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-UNION.

GA...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM EST FRIDAY
     FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-ST AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL 20 NM TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY
     FOR ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
     FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM-ST AUGUSTINE
     TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM.

&&

TRABERT//KERNS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1245 PM EST THU JAN 24 2008

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-251100-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
1245 PM EST THU JAN 24 2008

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...LIGHT FREEZE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF INLAND NORTHEAST
FLORIDA WITH A FREEZE ACROSS INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
FOLLOWING FRONTAL PASSAGE...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA.
A LIGHT FREEZE IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS THE SUWANNEE VALLEY REGION
OF NORTH FLORIDA WITH A FREEZE ACROSS INLAND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.
ADDITIONALLY...NORTHERLY WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH WILL DRIVE WIND CHILL
VALUES INTO THE 20S ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND A LARGE POTION OF
NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ON FRIDAY...

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRING AN
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TO THE INLAND AREAS FRIDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND NORTHEAST
FLORIDA.

A BRIEF PERIOD OF STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL INCREASE THE RIP CURRENTS
ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.

ECZ/ABE