Severe Thunderstorm Warning 64, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
912 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

.UPDATE...TWEAKED THE HOURLY VALUES. WINDS AND CLOUDS WILL KEEP THE
AREA IN THE LOWER AND MID 70S FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT. WILL LIKELY
ALLOW THE WIND ADVISORY/LAKE ADVISORY TO EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT. THE
SQUALL HAS BEEN TO SLOW TO MOVE INTO THE CWA AND FEWER SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE LINE THAN EXPECTED. MORE
ACTIVITY WAS DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN ZONES...WHERE THE BETTER
INSTABILITY WAS...BUT THE BETTER SHEAR AND FORCING REMAIN OVER THE
NORTHWEST. ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN A SHORT BREAK IN THE
ACTIVITY...WILL NOT MAKE ANY ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST AT THIS
POINT. THE LINE OF STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES
EAST INTO THE CWA.

&&

.AVIATION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO GLH WITHIN THE NEXT
HOUR...STORMS TO THE WEST WERE PRODUCING WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH.
THE LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST. TSRA WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH OR
GREATER WILL APPROACH GWO AROUND 5Z...JAN 6Z...GTR 8Z...MEI/HBG 10Z.
HAIL WILL BE LIKELY AS THE STORMS MOVE THROUGH ALSO. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL LIKELY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN 3SM BRIEFLY. IN
ADDITION...CEILINGS WILL LIKELY FALL TO 1000FT OR LESS BRIEFLY AS
THE RAIN MOVES IN. OTHERWISE...HEIGHTS SHOULD BE AROUND 2500FT AT
MOST LOCATIONS. THE CURRENT FORECAST SEEMS TO HAVE A HANDLE ON THE EXPECTED
CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       58  61  32  60 / 100  19   0  11
MERIDIAN      60  63  32  61 / 100  49   0  12
VICKSBURG     56  59  32  62 /  99  10   0  11
HATTIESBURG   62  65  34  61 / 100  50   0  11
NATCHEZ       58  61  32  61 /  98  12   0  11
GREENVILLE    52  56  33  56 /  97   9   0  11
GREENWOOD     55  58  31  57 / 100  14   0  12

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR MSZ030>033-
     037>039-043>066-072>074.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR MSZ018-019-025>029-
     034>036-040>042.

LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR LAZ015-016-
     023>026.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR LAZ007>009.

AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

7

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1102 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
070515-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON-FRANKLIN-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-
LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-
OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-
SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-
CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
1102 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY

DANGEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA ALONG AND
EAST OF A SQUALL LINE THE REST OF TONIGHT. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE
MAIN RISK ALONG WITH A FEW TORNADOES...MAINLY EAST OF A LINE FROM
INDIANOLA MISSISSIPPI TO LAKE PROVIDENCE TO WINNSBORO LOUISIANA.
LARGE HAIL CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED WITH HAILSTONES TO GOLFBALL SIZE OR
LARGER.

THE BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE STORMS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST OF THE
INTERSTATE 55 CORRIDOR BY 2 AM AND REACH EAST MISSISSIPPI GENERALLY
BETWEEN 2 AND 5 AM.

THE MOST INTENSE STORMS WILL OCCUR WHERE BREAKS IN THE LINE OF STORMS
OCCUR OVER SOUTH...CENTRAL AND EAST MISSISSIPPI. THESE AREAS WILL
HAVE THE HIGHEST RISK OF TORNADO DEVELOPMENT FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT.

THE STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSING THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER SHOULD REACH
NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA BORDER AROUND SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. THE
LAST OF THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL END BY AROUND 8 AM CST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.
OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

40

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1003 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0903 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GUNNISON                33.94N 90.95W
02/05/2008                   BOLIVAR            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES WERE BLOWN DOWN FROM GUNNISON
            TO DUNCAN.

&&

CME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1230 AM CST WED FEB 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 AM     HAIL             9 NE VICKSBURG          32.42N 90.76W
02/06/2008  E1.75 INCH       WARREN             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED AT OAK RIDGE ROAD.

&&

MME

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1233 AM CST WED FEB 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 AM     TSTM WND DMG     6 E VICKSBURG           32.33N 90.77W
02/06/2008                   WARREN             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS LARGE TREES...POWER LINES AND TRANSFORMERS
            DOWNED IN EASTERN WARREN COUNTY.

&&

MME