Severe Thunderstorm Warning 403, NWS Jackson, MS

000 
WWUS54 KJAN 020153
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
853 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

MSC023-020215-
/O.CON.KJAN.SV.W.0403.000000T0000Z-080602T0215Z/
CLARKE MS-
853 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN CLARKE COUNTY...

AT 853 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES
WEST OF SHUBUTA...OR 14 MILES SOUTH OF QUITMAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
17 MPH.

HIGH WINDS CAN BRING DOWN TREES AND LARGE LIMBS RESULTING IN SERIOUS
INJURY OR PROPERTY DAMAGE. EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION WHEN OUTDOORS
DURING SUCH STRONG WINDS...AND BE ESPECIALLY AWARE OF OLDER TREES.

LAT...LON 3186 8864 3184 8868 3183 8889 3186 8890
      3187 8889 3188 8890 3189 8890 3189 8872
TIME...MOT...LOC 0153Z 321DEG 15KT 3184 8879

$$

MME

000 
WWUS54 KJAN 020206
SVSJAN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
906 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

MSC023-020216-
/O.EXP.KJAN.SV.W.0403.000000T0000Z-080602T0215Z/
CLARKE MS-
906 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN CLARKE COUNTY
EXPIRES AT 915 PM CDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS WEAKENED
BELOW SEVERE LIMITS AND THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3186 8864 3184 8868 3183 8889 3186 8890
      3187 8889 3188 8890 3189 8890 3189 8872
TIME...MOT...LOC 0206Z 321DEG 15KT 3180 8875

$$

MME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
436 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED STORMS CONTINUE
TO GO UP OVER THE EASTERN ZONES...BUT STRUGGLE TO MAINTAIN. STORMS
STARTING TO PRODUCING LIGHTNING AT THIS POINT...COULD SEE SOME PULSE
STORMS IN THE EAST. WILL HAVE TO KEEP A CLOSE WATCH. THE STORM
COMPLEX MOVING THROUGH ARKANSAS CONTINUES TO APPROACH THE CWA...BUT
THE STRONGER STORMS WERE TAKING A MORE EASTWARD TRACK AT THIS TIME.
THE WET MICROBURST CHECKLIST SUGGESTED THERE WAS A RISK FOR THE EAST
TODAY...MUCH OF THE CWA WAS NEAR 90 AND DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE LOWER
70S EVERYWHERE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. LAPSE WERE DECENT ON THE
SOUNDING...BUT WINDS WERE NOT GREAT AND NEITHER WAS THE SHEAR. LOOKS
LIKE HAIL AND WINDS WILL BE OF GREATEST STORMS THROUGH THE EVENING.
HEAVY RAIN WAS ALSO OF CONCERN...WITH PW VALUES AROUND 1.6IN. THE
MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THE BOUNDARY WILL BE ORIENTED FROM
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST...POSSIBLY SAGGING INTO THE NORTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA MONDAY. EVEN WITHOUT THE BOUNDARY...MODEL
SOUNDING SUGGEST LAPSE RATES WILL BE DECENT AGAIN TOMORROW. OVERALL
THE AIRMASS WILL NOT BE CHANGING MUCH...WITH PW VALUES NEAR 1.5IN AND
TEMPERATURES BACK NEAR 90 AGAIN. STRONG TO SEVERE WORDING WILL REMAIN
IN THE HWO THROUGH TOMORROW. THE RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE WEST MONDAY
NIGHT AND PUSHES THINGS OUT OF THE CWA. SHOULD FINALLY SEE SOME
SLIGHTER DRIER AIR...BUT SOUTHERLY MAINTAINS...SO NOT EXPECTING A BIG
CHANGE IN THE AIRMASS.

USED RAW MODEL VALUES FOR TEMPS...BUT DID NOT CHANGE MUCH. LOWS NEAR
70 AND HIGHS NEAR 90 SEEM GOOD THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.LONG TERM...
NO CHANGES MADE TO LONGER RANGE FORECAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY TO MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER WITH WARMER THAN
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. AN UPPER TROUGH DIGS INTO THE SRN PLAINS TOWARD
THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. RIDGING IS WEAKENED OVER THE FORECAST AREA
BY FRIDAY WHEN UPPER TROUGHING MOVES CLOSE ENOUGH TO PRODUCE WEAK
TROUGHING IN THE FORM OF A WEAKNESS BETWEEN THE HIGH CENTER CENTERED
OVER MEXICO AND THE HIGH CENTERED OVER THE NE U.S. COAST. WILL
FOLLOW MOS AND PREV FORECAST TREND AND MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS
FOR FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. ALSO OF INTEREST...THE LATEST MODEL
RUNS ARE NOW IN AGREEMENT THAT THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
ARTHUR WILL NOT MOVE INTO THE NRN GULF AS SUGGESTED BY EARLIER GFS
RUNS. THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS:

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AND
ENSEMBLES WERE GENERALLY SIMILAR WITH THE UPPER PATTERN OF THIS
PERIOD. FOR THE PERIOD WE WILL BE UNDER THE FLUCTUATING FLAT UPPER
RIDGE. FOR TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BE WEAK AS
PRECIPITABLE WATER WILL DECREASE TO AROUND ONE INCH. THE WARM FRONT
WILL PUSH WELL NORTH OF THE ARKLAMISS REGION. A SERIES OF UPPER
DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE REGION. AS WE GET INTO THURSDAY
LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH MOVING TOWARD THE PLAINS. PRECIPITABLE
WATER WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 1.6 INCHES. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL
HELP TO GIVE THE REGION MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION FOR FRIDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY AS THE AXIS OF SEVERAL UPPER TROUGHS WILL ROTATE FROM THE
PLAINS TO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY DURING THE PERIOD. IT WILL
DEVELOP SEVERAL CONSECUTIVE SURFACE LOWS IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...
WHICH WILL PUSH NORTH INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL HELP THE
GULF TO OPEN UP A LITTLE MORE FOR SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION.

THE EUROPEAN MODEL ONLY SHOWED ONE UPPER TROUGH ROTATING THROUGH
THE PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...THEN BUILD
THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE REGION ON SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. IT WAS
SLOWER IN BRINGING THE SECOND UPPER TROUGH UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF
THE FOLLOWING WEEK. LOOKING AT THE ENSEMBLES MOST OF THE THEM
HAD THE ENERGY FROM THE SECOND UPPER STILL OUT IN THE FAR WESTERN
CONUS ON SUNDAY.

SO WILL GO CLOSER TO A COMPROMISE WITH THE EUROPEAN AND ENSEMBLES
SOLUTIONS...THUS BRINGING ISOLATED POPS FOR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
SO WITH THE UPPER RIDGE MODIFYING SOME THROUGH THE PERIOD...IT WILL
KEEP THE AREA MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD...EXCEPT FOR SOME MOSTLY
DIURNAL ISOLATED CONVECTION FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

WENT CLOSE TO GFS ENSEMBLES FOR NIGHTLY LOWS AND MADE SLIGHT
ADJUSTMENTS TO MEX GUIDANCE FOR DAILY HIGHS. WITH 850 MB TEMPS OF
18-20C...DAILY HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM MAINLY THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S.
NIGHTLY LOWS WILL RANGE FROM 68-73.

OF COURSE WITH THE START OF THE TROPICAL SEASON...THE MODELS ARE
POINTING TO SOME POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN ADDITION
TO ARTHUR IN THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. WILL REFER TO TPC FOR ANY
FUTURE DEVELOPMENTS./17/

&&

.AVIATION...
STORMS WERE NOT IMPACTING ANY SITES AT THIS TIME...BUT SEVERE STORMS
HAVE DEVELOPED EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF GTR. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALSO APPROACHING GLH. THE CURRENT FORECAST SEEMS
OK FOR NOW. AT THIS TIME...HBG WILL LIKELY NOT SEE ANY STORMS AND
POSSIBLY JACKSON. WILL MAINTAIN VCTS FOR JAN THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING. THE LOSS OF AFTERNOON HEATING WILL HELP WEAKEN THE
ACTIVITY...SO WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW STORMS ENDING AROUND 3 OR 4Z.
CEILINGS AROUND REGION WERE SCT-BKN AROUND 4000FT. LOOKING FOR THE
RAIN TO END BY 5Z. PATCHY FOG MAY LEAD TO MVFR CONDITIONS IN THE
9-12Z RANGE. BEYOND 13Z EXPECTING VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL AT
GLH...JAN HBG. SIMILAR CONDITIONS WERE EXPECTED OVER THE NORTHEAST
MONDAY AFTERNOON...SO KEPT VCTS IN FOR GTR/MEI STARTING BY LATE
MORNING AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. LOOKING FOR
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL AT ALL SITES AFTER 00Z TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       71  94  72  93 /  13  13   9   9
MERIDIAN      70  92  69  93 /  22  24  12  11
VICKSBURG     71  95  71  95 /   9   5   8   9
HATTIESBURG   72  94  71  96 /  11  16   9  12
NATCHEZ       72  92  71  93 /   3   2   7  10
GREENVILLE    71  93  73  94 /  28  10   8   9
GREENWOOD     70  92  71  93 /  40  18   9   9

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

7/3

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
358 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
022100-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
358 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN
NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...GENERALLY IN AREAS ALONG
AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM CROSSETT TO MACON. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS AND DAMAGING
WINDS TO 70 MPH.

A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX TO OUR WEST WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON. THIS FEATURE
WILL INTERACT WITH THE UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER THE REGION TO PRODUCE
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW OF WHICH WILL DEVELOP
INTO SEVERE STORMS. THE AIR MASS OVER THE REMAINDER OF NORTH
MISSISSIPPI WILL BE HUMID AND UNSTABLE ENOUGH FOR AFTERNOON HEATING
TO PRODUCE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL ALSO HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO BECOME SEVERE.

MOST SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL END BY 10 PM.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN DURING THE DAY MONDAY.
ONE OR TWO STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY FOR
AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM GREENWOOD TO MERIDIAN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

7/03

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
720 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     TSTM WND DMG     10 N MERIDIAN           32.53N 88.71W
06/01/2008                   LAUDERDALE         MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN ALONG MT. CARMEL ROAD.

&&

JALLEN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
722 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

MSZ031-039-020050-
LOWNDES MS-NOXUBEE MS-
722 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 40 TO 50 MPH
WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF BENT OAK TO 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF PAULETTE AT 722 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 21 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

PEOPLE IN LOWNDES AND NOXUBEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
COLUMBUS...SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

MME

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
739 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

MSZ055>057-064>066-072-073-020140-
COVINGTON MS-JONES MS-SMITH MS-JASPER MS-LAMAR MS-MARION MS-
JEFFERSON DAVIS MS-SIMPSON MS-
739 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE
HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
STRINGER IN JASPER COUNTY TO PRENTISS IN JEFFERSON DAVIS COUNTY AT
739 PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 21 MPH.

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

PEOPLE IN COVINGTON...JASPER...JEFFERSON DAVIS...JONES...LAMAR...
MARION...SIMPSON AND SMITH COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES OF COLLINS
AND STRINGER...SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS CLOSELY.

MME

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
748 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

MSZ058-020140-
CLARKE MS-
748 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MIDDLETON AT 748
PM CDT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 22 MPH.

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN CLARKE COUNTY...INCLUDING THE CITY OF QUITMAN...SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

DHB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
810 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ROSEDALE                33.85N 91.03W
06/01/2008                   BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HOME DAMAGED BY LARGE TREE ALONG MATHEWS ROAD

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CLEVELAND               33.74N 90.73W
06/01/2008                   BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES ACROSS MEMORIAL DRIVE

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GUNNISON                33.94N 90.95W
06/01/2008                   BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ACROSS 2ND STREET

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SW CLEVELAND          33.70N 90.78W
06/01/2008                   BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROOF BLOWN OFF BUILDING ALONG SHAW SKENE ROAD

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CLEVELAND               33.74N 90.73W
06/01/2008                   BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE ON TOP OF VEHICLE ON SOUTH COURT STREET

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CLEVELAND               33.74N 90.73W
06/01/2008                   BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TRANSFORMERS AND POWERLINES DOWN ALONG WEST SUNFLOWER
            ROAD

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GUNNISON                33.94N 90.95W
06/01/2008                   BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE ON HOUSE ALONG GIBSON SWAMP ROAD

0440 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CLEVELAND               33.74N 90.73W
06/01/2008                   BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWELINES DOWN ALONG SOUTH VICTORIA ROAD.

&&

JALLEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
819 PM CDT SUN JUN 01 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0723 PM     TSTM WND GST     COLUMBUS                33.51N 88.40W
06/01/2008  E0.00 MPH        LOWNDES            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN OVER POWERLINES ALONG FAIRWAY DRIVE

0723 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COLUMBUS                33.51N 88.40W
06/01/2008                   LOWNDES            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TRANSFORMER ON FIRE AND TREES DOWN ALONG 5TH STREET NORTH
            IN CANTERBERRY ESTATES

0723 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COLUMBUS                33.51N 88.40W
06/01/2008                   LOWNDES            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN OVER POWERLINES AT 7TH AVE AND 18TH STREET
            NORTH

0723 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COLUMBUS                33.51N 88.40W
06/01/2008                   LOWNDES            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ACROSS GARDNER BLVD

&&

JALLEN