Severe Thunderstorm Warning 395, NWS Jackson, MS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1052 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

.UPDATE...WILL DO A QUICK UPDATE TO ADJUST TEMPS AND SKY COVER.
CLOUDS HAVE NOT REALLY CLEARED ACROSS THE CWA AND THE BLOW OFF FROM
FROM THE STORMS TO THE NORTH CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE REGION.
REMOVED THE MORNING WORDING AND MADE THE CWA PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWERED
TEMPS A DEGREE OR TWO AT MOST LOCATIONS. KEPT THE SOUTHEAST IN THE
MID 90S. EXPECTING CLOUDS TO KEEP THE ENTIRE CWA FROM REACHING THE
MID 90S. LOOKS LIKE A FEW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ALONG A WEAK TROUGH
AXIS IN THE EAST INTO THE AFTERNOON. THE STORMS ALONG THE BOUNDARY
WERE STILL OFF TO THE NORTH. A LARGE COMPLEX WAS MOVING INTO
NORTHWEST AR...WILL WATCH THE TIMING FOR ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTHWEST
ZONES. FOR NOW THE FORECAST WAS GOOD.

&&

.AVIATION...CEILINGS WERE VARIABLE AROUND THE AREA...SO SCT- BKN
CLOUDS FROM 1500-3000FT WILL CONTINUE. CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE
NORTH WERE AROUND 5KFT...SO LOOKING FOR THE LOWER CLOUDS TO BURN OFF
OVER THE HOUR OR TWO. THERE WERE A FEW SHOWERS OVER EAST
MISSISSIPPI...BUT THOSE SHOULD STAY NORTH OF MEI...MAY BE CLOSE
AT NMM THE AREA OF STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT REMAIN WELL TO
THE NORTH...SO WILL LIKELY PUSH THE RAIN BACK AT ALL SITES. FOR NOW
WILL MAINTAIN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       92  71  94  73 /  13  13  10   7
MERIDIAN      92  70  92  71 /  17  22  24  10
VICKSBURG     93  71  95  73 /   9   9   5   6
HATTIESBURG   95  72  94  73 /  12  11  16   7
NATCHEZ       92  72  92  73 /   6   3   2   5
GREENVILLE    91  71  93  73 /  26  23   9   6
GREENWOOD     91  70  92  72 /  32  40  14   7

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

7

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
454 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
021000-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
454 AM CDT SUN JUN 1 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM MIDDAY THROUGH TONIGHT
MAINLY FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS INTO NORTH AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI...
GENERALLY NORTH OF A BASTROP LOUISIANA TO MACON MISSISSIPPI LINE.
THE PRIMARY RISKS FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...LARGE HAIL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. A VERY SMALL
RISK FOR TORNADOES WILL EXIST FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT
GENERALLY NORTH OF THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND SURFACE FRONT WILL MOVE BY JUST TO
OUR NORTH COMBINING WITH DAYTIME HEATING AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE TO
TRIGGER THE STORMS. INTERACTING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL CONTINUE
PRODUCING STORMS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT AS THE STORMS PROGRESS
TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST. ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT ONCE
THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...OTHERWISE IS NOT EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.