River Flood Warning 86, NWS Northern Indiana

000 
WGUS83 KIWX 201401
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1001 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  AUGLAIZE RIVER NEAR FORT JENNINGS AFFECTING ALLEN...PAULDING AND 
  PUTNAM COUNTIES 
  MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE AFFECTING DEFIANCE AND HENRY COUNTIES 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE AFFECTING ALLEN...DE KALB AND
  DEFIANCE COUNTIES 
  SAINT MARYS RIVER NEAR DECATUR AFFECTING ADAMS...ALLEN AND VAN WERT 
  COUNTIES 
  TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER AFFECTING DEFIANCE...FULTON AND WILLIAMS 
  COUNTIES 
 
.MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED AFTER THIS WEEKS HEAVY RAINS.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.


ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE 
UPDATED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS... SOONER IF NECESSARY.

OHC003-125-137-211401-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-080322T2024Z/
/FTJO1.1.ER.080320T1105Z.080321T0600Z.080321T2024Z.NO/
1001 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE AUGLAIZE RIVER NEAR FORT JENNINGS 
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 13.6 FEET AROUND  2 
  AM FRIDAY MARCH 21 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  4 PM FRIDAY 
  MARCH 21.
* AT 13.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS IN THE NORTHWEST OHIO COUNTIES
  OF NORTHWEST ALLEN, NORTHEAST VAN WERT, AND SOUTHWEST PUTNAM. FARM 
  LAND NEAREST THE AUGLAIZE RIVER WILL BE AFFECTED BY FLOOD WATER.

$$

OHC039-069-211400-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-080322T0600Z/
/DEFO1.1.ER.080321T0000Z.080321T0000Z.080321T0600Z.NO/
1001 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE 
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND  8 PM 
  THURSDAY MARCH 20 AND BEGIN TO FALL.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS KINGSBERRY AND PONTIAC PARKS.

$$

INC003-033-OHC039-211400-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-080322T1800Z/
/NVLI3.1.ER.080321T0000Z.080321T0600Z.080321T1800Z.NO/
1001 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE 
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY EVENING 
  AND CREST NEAR 12.1 FEET AROUND  8 AM FRIDAY MARCH 21 AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  2 PM FRIDAY MARCH 21.
* AT 12.0 FEET...DEKALB COUNTY ROAD 42 ABOUT 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF 
  NEWVILLE FLOODS. AGRICULTURAL AND LOW LANDS FLOOD ALONG THE ST. 
  JOSEPH RIVER TO THE CEDARVILLE RESERVOIR.

$$

INC001-003-OHC161-211400-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-080324T2247Z/
/DCRI3.1.ER.080319T1836Z.080320T1145Z.080323T2247Z.NO/
1001 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT MARYS RIVER NEAR DECATUR 
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW THE 17.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE 
  AROUND  6 PM SUNDAY MARCH 23.
* AT 18.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 225 NORTH...JUST NORTH OF PLEASANT 
  MILLS INDIANA IS CLOSED BY FLOOD WATER. LOW LAND AREAS OF KEKIONGA 
  PARK ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF DECATUR BEGIN FLOODING WITH FLOODING 
  LIMITED TO FARMLAND IN PLEASANT MILLS...INDIANA AND WILSHIRE...
  OHIO AREAS.

$$

OHC039-051-171-211400-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-080326T0300Z/
/STRO1.1.ER.080314T0157Z.080322T0000Z.080325T0300Z.NO/
1001 AM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER 
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.4 FEET AROUND  2 
  AM SATURDAY MARCH 22 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 11 PM MONDAY
  MARCH 24.
* AT 12.0 FEET...PORTIONS OF STATE ROUTE 66 FLOOD NORTH OF ARCHBOLD.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KIWX 210236
FLSIWX
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 
1036 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE AFFECTING DEFIANCE AND HENRY COUNTIES
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS...
 
  WABASH RIVER NEAR LINN GROVE AFFECTING ADAMS AND WELLS COUNTIES 
  WABASH RIVER NEAR BLUFFTON AFFECTING HUNTINGTON AND WELLS COUNTIES 
  AUGLAIZE RIVER NEAR FORT JENNINGS AFFECTING ALLEN...PAULDING AND 
  PUTNAM COUNTIES 
  BLANCHARD RIVER AT OTTAWA AFFECTING PUTNAM COUNTY 
  SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE AFFECTING ALLEN...DE KALB AND
  DEFIANCE COUNTIES 
  SAINT MARYS RIVER NEAR DECATUR AFFECTING ADAMS...ALLEN AND VAN WERT 
  COUNTIES 
  TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER AFFECTING DEFIANCE...FULTON AND WILLIAMS 
  COUNTIES 
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS... 

  KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30 AFFECTING LA PORTE...STARKE AND 
  ST. JOSEPH COUNTIES 
 
.MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE FLOODING IS
THE RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL FROM EARLIER THIS WEEK. EXPECTED RAIN AND 
SNOW FRIDAY WILL FURTHER AGGRAVATE FLOODING CONCERNS.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE 
WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW SAFE PASSAGE. NEVER ALLOW CHILDREN TO 
PLAY IN OR NEAR FLOOD WATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR 
LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS AND UPDATED FORECASTS.

DETAILED RIVER FORECASTS AND MORE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON THE 
INTERNET AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX. RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND UNDER
THE LEFT MENU BAR UNDER CURRENT CONDITIONS RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS.


ALL TIMES ARE IN EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE 
UPDATED IN ABOUT 24 HOURS... SOONER IF NECESSARY.

INC001-179-220236-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0084.000000T0000Z-080324T1800Z/
/LYNI3.1.ER.080320T1420Z.080322T0600Z.080323T1800Z.NR/
1036 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE WABASH RIVER NEAR LINN GROVE 
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.9 FEET AROUND  2 
  AM SATURDAY MARCH 22 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  2 PM SUNDAY
  MARCH 23.
* AT 12.0 FEET...THE FLOODING OF COUNTY ROADS BEGIN.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.4 FEET WHICH OCCURRED 
  ON JAN 16 2007.

$$

INC069-179-220235-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-080325T2136Z/
/BLFI3.1.ER.080320T1609Z.080322T1800Z.080324T2136Z.NO/
1036 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE WABASH RIVER NEAR BLUFFTON 
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
  AND CREST NEAR 13.6 FEET AROUND  2 PM SATURDAY MARCH 22 AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  5 PM MONDAY MARCH 24.
* AT 14.0 FEET...FLOODING BEGINS TO AFFECT RESIDENTIAL AREAS IN 
  NORTHERN BLUFFTON. LOW AREAS NEAR THE WASTEWATER TREATMENT PLANT 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD. PORTIONS OF ELM GROVE ROAD AND COUNTY ROAD 450 
  BEGIN TO FLOOD.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.1 FEET WHICH OCCURRED 
  ON JAN 17 2007.

$$

INC091-141-149-220235-
/O.CON.KIWX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/DAVI3.3.ER.080107T0200Z.080112T0130Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1036 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE KANKAKEE RIVER AT DAVIS ROUTE 30
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO 11.4 FEET AROUND  2 AM
  FRIDAY MARCH 21 WITH ADDITIONAL RISES POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 11.0 FEET...FLOODING OF SECONDARY ROADS NEAR THE RIVER BEGINS.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET WHICH OCCURRED 
  ON DEC 14 2007.

$$

OHC003-125-137-220235-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0083.000000T0000Z-080323T0320Z/
/FTJO1.1.ER.080320T1105Z.080321T0600Z.080322T0320Z.NO/
1036 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE AUGLAIZE RIVER NEAR FORT JENNINGS 
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 14.5 FEET AROUND  2 
  AM FRIDAY MARCH 21 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 11 PM FRIDAY 
  MARCH 21.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.2 FEET WHICH OCCURRED 
  ON JAN 10 2008.

$$

OHC137-220235-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-080323T0959Z/
/OTTO1.1.ER.080320T1428Z.080321T0600Z.080322T0959Z.NO/
1036 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE BLANCHARD RIVER AT OTTAWA 
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING 
  AND CREST NEAR 23.8 FEET AROUND  2 AM FRIDAY MARCH 21 AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  5 AM SATURDAY MARCH 22.
* AT 23.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING OCCURS MAINLY IN SOUTH OTTAWA. 
  FLOOD WATER ALSO GETS INTO LOW FARMLANDS.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 23.5 FEET WHICH OCCURRED 
  ON JAN 10 2008.

$$

INC003-033-OHC039-220235-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-080324T0600Z/
/NVLI3.1.ER.080321T0600Z.080321T0600Z.080323T0600Z.NO/
1036 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT JOSEPH RIVER OHIO ABOVE NEWVILLE 
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE AROUND  2 AM 
  FRIDAY MARCH 21.
* AT 12.0 FEET...DEKALB COUNTY ROAD 42 ABOUT 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF 
  NEWVILLE FLOODS. AGRICULTURAL AND LOW LANDS FLOOD ALONG THE ST. 
  JOSEPH RIVER TO THE CEDARVILLE RESERVOIR.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.1 FEET WHICH OCCURRED 
  ON DEC 14 2007.

$$

INC001-003-OHC161-220235-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-080325T1047Z/
/DCRI3.1.ER.080319T1836Z.080323T0000Z.080324T1047Z.NO/
1036 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE SAINT MARYS RIVER NEAR DECATUR 
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 18.9 FEET AROUND  8 
  PM SATURDAY MARCH 22 AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND  6 AM MONDAY
  MARCH 24.
* AT 18.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 225 NORTH...JUST NORTH OF PLEASANT 
  MILLS INDIANA IS CLOSED BY FLOOD WATER. LOW LAND AREAS OF KEKIONGA 
  PARK ON THE SOUTHEAST SIDE OF DECATUR BEGIN FLOODING WITH FLOODING 
  LIMITED TO FARMLAND IN PLEASANT MILLS...INDIANA AND WILSHIRE...
  OHIO AREAS.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 18.8 FEET WHICH OCCURRED 
  ON DEC 14 2007.

$$

OHC039-051-171-220235-
/O.EXT.KIWX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STRO1.1.ER.080314T0157Z.080322T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1036 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED
  FOR THE TIFFIN RIVER NEAR STRYKER 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO A CREST NEAR 12.7 FEET AROUND  8 
  AM SATURDAY MARCH 22 AND BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT SOME FARM BUILDINGS 
  NEAR STRYKER AND FLOOD SOME SECONDARY ROADS.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.4 FEET WHICH OCCURRED 
  ON DEC 14 2007.

$$

OHC039-069-210306-
/O.CAN.KIWX.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-080322T0600Z/
/DEFO1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1036 PM EDT THU MAR 20 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MAUMEE RIVER NEAR DEFIANCE
* AT 7 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.8 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9.8 FEET THURSDAY
  EVENING.  THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE FALLING.
* AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OCCURS KINGSBERRY AND PONTIAC PARKS.
* THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 10.2 FEET WHICH OCCURRED 
  ON FEB 10 2005.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
714 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2008

.AVIATION...
CLEARING LINE APPROACHING THE ILLINOIS/INDIANA BORDER AT 23Z. THE
LATEST OBSERVATION AT SOUTH BEND SHOWS VFR WITH A SCT AC DECK. THIS
CLEARING TREND SHOULD CONTINUE TO ADVANCE EASTWARD THROUGH THE
NIGHT AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE NORTHEAST. SIGNIFICANTLY
DRIER AIR IS WORKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA SO FOG SHOULD NOT BE
A PROBLEM DESPITE THE CLEARING SKIES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 351 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2008/

SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW

MID LEVEL WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOW PRESSURE ARE CONTINUING TO
EXIT THE REGION. AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN ARE STILL OCCURRING IN THE SE
WITH SPRINKLES ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPARTING DEFORMATION ZONE.
DRY NORTHERLY FLOW IS BEGINNING TO UNDERCUT THE MID LEVEL MOISTURE
TRANSPORT...LENDING TO AREAS OF VIRGA OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND
WEST. LL CLEARING IS ALSO ONGOING ACROSS THE NW AS DRY AIR IS
PUNCHING INTO THE REGION. TRENDED THE FORECAST PACKAGE TO THE 12Z
NAM WITH GUIDANCE FROM THE NMM4 AND ARW. MODELS HAVE A REALLY GOOD
HANDLE ON THE NEAR TERM. HENCE HAVE GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THEIR 24
HOUR SOLUTIONS. MAIN CONCERN THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL BE ENDING
PRECIP IN THE SE...GRADUAL CLEARING...AND FORECAST HIGHS TOMORROW.

TONIGHT...HAVE ENDED ALL POPS BY 00Z ACROSS THE FA. GIVEN ONGOING LL
DRYING AND DEPARTING UPPER WAVE/FORCING...THINKING ANY LINGERING
PRECIP WOULD BE SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES AT BEST.
OTHERWISE...ISALLOBARIC WIND FROM BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD
KEEP WINDS UP TONIGHT AND HOLD TEMPS IN THE UPPER 20S.

TOMORROW...WITH WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL...EXPECTING A
RELATIVELY QUIET DAY WITH A FEW DIURNAL CU POSSIBLE IN THE SE.
OTHERWISE...DRY NW LL FLOW SHOULD PRECLUDE MUCH CLOUD COVER SAVE
INCREASING CIRRUS IN THE AFTERNOON PER THE NEXT DISTURBANCE ADVECTING
TOWARD THE REGION. HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS DOWN NEAR LAKE MI WITH A NEAR
PERFECT SETUP FOR LAKE INDUCE BL MODIFICATION. LONG FETCH WEAK
NORTHERLY FLOW...WITH ENHANCED SOLENOIDAL CIRCULATION PER SUNNY
SKIES...WILL SUPPORT A LAKE GRAVITY CURRENT...PLACING AREAS OF
BERRIEN AND LA PORTE COUNTY IN A SHALLOW COLD DOME WITH TEMPS
HANGING IN THE 30S. OTHERWISE...THE MAJORITY OF THE FA SHOULD SEE
TEMPS RISE INTO THE 40S WITH NEAR 50 FAR SW.

LONG TERM...
THURS NIGHT THRU SATURDAY...

MAIN CONCERN IS WITH THE POTENT SYSTEM FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...WILL
LEAN MORE HEAVILY TOWARDS THE GFS/EURO CAMP...RATHER THAN THE
NAM/SREF WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE SOUTHERN TRACK SEEMS MUCH MORE LIKELY
WITH THE NAM DEEPENING THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TOO MUCH AND THEN
CUTTING OFF THE LOW AT H500 WHICH WOULD PRODUCE THE MORE NORTHERN
TRACK SEEN IN THE NAM SOLUTION.

THURSDAY NIGHT THE SFC HIGH WILL BE MOVING EAST THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES AND THE OHIO VALLEY...WITH THE BIGGER ISSUE
STARTING TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. OFFICIALLY IT MAY
TURN TO SPRING FRIDAY BUT THE CONDITIONS OUTSIDE WILL BE VERY
SPRINGLIKE. EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THE PRECIP WILL START TO SLOWLY
OVERSPREAD THE REGION...FAVORABLE THERMAL PROFILES FOR SNOW AT THE
ONSET. THIS SYSTEM HAS VERY SIMILAR CHARACTERISTIC TO THE
OVERPERFORMING CLIPPER SYSTEM EARLY IN THE WINTER SEASON OF DEC 4/5.
STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE WITH STRONG LOW LEVEL JET PUSHING MOISTURE
LADEN AIR INTO THE REGION...SFC LOW RUNNING ALONG THE BAROCLINIC
ZONE...AND STRONG FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING AND THE MODERATE TO STRONG
EASTERLY FLOW BELOW 925MB WHICH MAY PULL DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION
AND ALLOW FOR BETTER COOLING TO KEEP P-TYPE MOSTLY SNOW OVER MUCH OF
THE REGION. TIME HEIGHT FOR BOTH FWA AND SBN SHOWS NICE AREA OF NEG
EPV FRIDAY NIGHT WITH SIGNIFICANT OMEGA SEEN JUST UNDER OR INTO THE
DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH REGION. IF THE QPF IS REALIZED FROM THE
GFS...AND THE COOLING CAN BALANCE THE LOW LEVEL JETS SOUTHERLY PUSH
THEN SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH A SHARP
CUTOFF LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION. THE UNCERTAINTY HAS SHRUNK
SOME...BUT CONDITIONS ARE SUCH THAT A WATCH IS CERTAINLY APPROPRIATE
AT THIS TIME FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE BEST SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS LOOKS TO FALL NORTH OF A LINE FROM STARKE COUNTY INDIANA TO
ALLEN COUNTY INDIANA TO NEAR PUTNAM COUNTY OHIO...AMOUNTS PUSHING 4
TO 6 INCHES WOULD BE LIKELY IF EVERYTHING WORKS OUT JUST
RIGHT...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN A THIN BAND SOMEWHERE IN THE
REGION.

SUNDAY THRU WEDNESDAY...

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES MADE THROUGH THE PERIOD...THE SLOW CLIMB OUT
OF THE BELOW NORMAL TEMPS CONTINUES THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD AS
THE EASTERN TROUGHINESS STARTS TO GIVE AND RIDGING ATTEMPTS TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION. POSSIBLE DECENT WARM AIR ADVECTION BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...SPRING MAY FINALLY BEGIN JUST A BIT DELAYED.

AVIATION.../18Z TAFS/
DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL GIVE WAY TO WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
THROUGH THE PERIOD. EXPECTING AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN IN THE SE TO
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH EARLY EVENING. LOOK FOR VFR
CONDITIONS TO GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD THE REGION NW TO SE AS MVFR
CIGS TO WILL BE FORCED SOUTHEAST WITH DRY AIR PUSHING INTO THE
REGION. HAVE INCLUDED NEAR MVFR CIGS IN THE NW AS CU RULE
INDICATES SCT-BKN CIGS POSSIBLE AS SUNSHINE ENTERS THE PICTURE
BEHIND THE EXITING SYNOPTIC CLOUDS. FARTHER SE...NOT EXPECTING
CLEARING UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AT FWA. HAVE OPTED FOR
21Z BKN PERIOD PER NAM H925 RH FIELDS...BUT THIS MAY BE TOO
EARLIER. WILL MONITOR AND UPDATE IF NECESSARY.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR INZ003>009-012-014-016>018.

MI...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR MIZ077>081.

OH...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016.

LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR LMZ043-046.

&&

SHORT TERM...CHAMBERLAIN
LONG TERM...SCHOTT
AVIATION...REHBEIN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
438 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2008

INZ003>009-012-014-016>018-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-
202045-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
MARSHALL-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-
BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...
SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...
BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...
COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...MONTPELIER...WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...
DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...PANDORA
438 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2008 /338 PM CDT WED MAR 19 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

FLOODING ON SOME STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL CONTINUE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL BE ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 6...WHERE 4
TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

INZ013-015-020-022>027-032-033-OHZ024-025-202045-
PULASKI-FULTON IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-
GRANT-BLACKFORD-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...ROCHESTER...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...
LIMA
438 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN INDIANA
AND NORTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

FLOODING ON SOME STREAMS AND RIVERS WILL CONTINUE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

INZ034-202045-
JAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PORTLAND
438 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

HEAVY RAINFALL FROM LAST NIGHT HAS LED TO AREAS OF FLOODING.
ROADWAY CLOSURES ARE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE
ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OR ANY FLOODING.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-202045-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
438 PM EDT WED MAR 19 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LAKE
MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAMAREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP

JC