Severe Thunderstorm Warning 215, NWS Indianapolis, IN

000 
WWUS53 KIND 090149
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
949 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

INC045-090159-
/O.CAN.KIND.SV.W.0215.000000T0000Z-080909T0215Z/
FOUNTAIN-
949 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN FOUNTAIN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 4030 8681 4016 8685 4012 8710 4030 8710
      4043 8701
TIME...MOT...LOC 0149Z 242DEG 39KT 4025 8694

$$

INC107-157-090215-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0215.000000T0000Z-080909T0215Z/
MONTGOMERY-TIPPECANOE-
949 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHWESTERN TIPPECANOE COUNTIES...

AT 944 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR NEW RICHMOND...OR 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF
CRAWFORDSVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL SOUTHERN TIPPECANOE COUNTY AT 1000 PM EDT

LAT...LON 4030 8681 4016 8685 4012 8710 4030 8710
      4043 8701
TIME...MOT...LOC 0149Z 242DEG 39KT 4025 8694

$$

000 
WWUS53 KIND 090154
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
954 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

INC107-157-090205-
/O.CAN.KIND.SV.W.0215.000000T0000Z-080909T0215Z/
MONTGOMERY-TIPPECANOE-
955 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY AND
SOUTHWESTERN TIPPECANOE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

LAT...LON 4030 8681 4016 8685 4012 8710 4030 8710
      4043 8701
TIME...MOT...LOC 0155Z 242DEG 39KT 4028 8686

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
712 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 0Z TAFS.
COLD FNT WL MV THRU THE SITES OVER THE NEXT 6 HOURS. COULD SEE
THUNDER WITH IT HOWEVER WITH BEST FORCING STAYING N AND W OF THE
SITES AND NOT MUCH INSTABILITY THINK CHANCES ARE LOW ENOUGH TO LEAVE
OUT. RAIN COULD LAG THE WIND SHIFT A BIT BUT NOT ENUF TO SEPARATE IN
TAFS. CIGS WL FALL WITH ARRIVAL OF FNT...BUT LOWEST CIGS COULD ALSO
LAG BEHIND THE WIND SHIFT AS THE BEST CONVERGENCE IS BEHIND THE FNT.
POSITIVE LL RISING MOTION ALONG WITH SINKING MOTION ALOFT BEHIND THE
FNT AND TURBULENT MOTION IN THE BL SHUD MAKE IDEAL CONDS FOR IFR OR
LOWER CIGS BEHIND THE FNT. EXPECT THESE LOWEST CONDS TO LAST FOR
AROUND 4 HOURS OR SO AND LIFT BY AROUND 14Z. FNT WL WEAKEN AS IT
PROGRESSES AND THUS KBMG COULD AVOID THE PRECIP ALTOGETHER AND THE
LIFR CIGS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...UPPR LVL SYS CURRENTLY OVR THE NRN PLAINS/MIDWEST
XPCTD TO PROGESS EWD THRU THE GRTLKS ON TUES...AND EVENTUALLY OFF
THE NEW ENGLAND CST BY WED. RATHER FLAT RDGG WL DVLP ACRS THE OH VLY
IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYS. MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MAIN
DETAILS. FCST FOCUS CENTERS ON POPS EARLY IN THE SHORT RANGE PD
ASSOCIATED WITH MIDWEST SYS.

FOR TONIGHT...AREA OF SHWRS/TSTMS MOVG NEWD THRU NRN IL SHOULD BEGIN
AFFECTING SOME OF THE NW ZONES OVR THE NEXT FEW HRS BASED ON CURRENT
MOVEMENT. NOT SURE HOW FAR E AREA WL PROGRESS AS DEEPER LIFT SEEMS
TO BE LOCATED BACK IN THE COOLER AIR AND SFC INSTABILITY NOT ALL
THAT GREAT. IN ANY EVENT...TAIL END OF LIFT WITH THE UPPR SYS XPCTD
TO PUSH THRU THE LOCAL AREA LTR THIS EVEN...ALONG WITH FROPA IN THE
00Z-06Z TUES TIME FRAME. WL KEEP HI POPS GOING TONIGHT IN THE N
WHERE LIFT IS BETTER...TAPERING TO CHC POPS FARTHER S.

IN THE LTR PDS...WL HOLD ONTO A SML CHC POP OVR THE FAR SEN ZONES
FOR EARLY TUES MORN...BUT SEEMS CHCS OF ANYTHING LINGERING IN THOSE
AREAS AFT SUNRISE ARE DIMINISHING. REST OF SHORT RANGE PD INTO THURS
LOOKS DRY WITH LRG SFC HI DRFTG ACRS THE GRTLKS/NEW ENGLAND.

BASED ON LO LVL THICKNESSES...APPEARS NGM MOS MAY STILL BE UNDER
ESTIMATING THE COOL AIR COMING IN BEHIND FNT. WL NUDGE THE GUIDANCE
TEMPS DOWN A LTL TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...JAS
AVIATION...CP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
824 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

INZ028-035>037-039-043>048-051>057-060>065-067>072-091000-
WARREN-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-BOONE-HAMILTON-VERMILLION-PARKE-PUTNAM-
HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY-
RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-KNOX-
DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
824 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 3 AM EDT...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS
A COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA. SOME OF THE
STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS THE MAIN
THREAT. DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORM THAT FORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ021-029>031-038-040>042-049-091000-
CARROLL-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-TIPTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-
RANDOLPH-HENRY-
824 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AS
A COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTHEAST ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA. SEVERE STORMS
ARE NOT EXPECTED ALTHOUGH DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...BRIEF
HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORM THAT FORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

KOCH